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Red Sox at Orioles lineups: Do it for mom, Tricky Nick

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Nick Pivetta can put the Sox one win from a sweep today in Baltimore.

MLB: Boston Red Sox at New York Mets
Brad Penner-USA TODAY Sports

The Red Sox can get one win closer to a sweep over Orioles with a win this afternoon at Camden Yards (1:05 p.m., NESN, MLBN out-of-market) behind the surging Nick Pivetta.

Pivetta has been executing a high-wire act this season, writes Pitcher List’s Jai Correa, with an underlying arsenal that just might not be sustainable:

Pivetta’s focus on accuracy is unlike any approach we have seen from the right-hander in prior seasons, but it’s yielded some unexpected results. While the 3.38 ERA and 3.33 FIP speak to his early success, his 4.75 SIERA, 4.13 xERA, and 4.42 xFIP suggest a steep fall over the long run, if nothing changes. Given that there seems to be a method behind the madness in Pivetta’s prevention of home runs by his approach, he should be able to likely outperform his xFIP through the year. But considering he doesn’t have any wipeout offerings at the moment, Pivetta is heavily relying on generating weak contact as his means of production, which is far beneath his potential. Figuring out how to optimize his batted-ball suppression and strikeout ability needs to start with how he uses his refined 12-6 curveball, as it’s an important third pitch that needs to add some more swinging strikes if Pivetta is to not only keep an upper-20% strikeout rate but to also keep his currently pristine 3.38 ERA.

TL,DR: He’s getting lucky. Hopefully he can do it again today against Baltimore’s Dean Kremer who, with a 6.43 ERA on the season, has not been getting lucky. Hopefully he can do THAT against the Sox today.

One day after hitting a homer on an honest-to-dog high fastball, Michael Chavis is back out of the lineup today. Also Kevin Plawecki gets a Sunday start behind the dish, and hot-hitting FRANCHY is back.

Game 35 at Orioles

Lineup spot Red Sox Orioles
Lineup spot Red Sox Orioles
1 Marwin Gonzalez, 2B Cedric Mullins, CF
2 Alex Verdugo, CF Austin Hays, LF
3 J.D. Martinez, DH Trey Mancini, 1B
4 Xander Bogaerts, SS DJ Stewart, RF
5 Rafael Devers, 3B Ryan Mountcastle, DH
6 Hunter Renfroe, RF Freddy Galvis, SS
7 Bobby Dalbec, 1B Mikael Franco, 3B
8 Franchy Cordero, LF Chance Sisco, C
9 Kevin Plawecki, C Rio Ruíz, 2B
SP Nick Pivetta, RHP Dean Kremer, RHP