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MLB Pipeline drops their top Red Sox prospect list

A familiar name at the top.

Boston Red Sox Photo Day Photo by Elsa/Getty Images

On Monday, MLB Pipeline began dropping their top-30 prospect lists and they began with the American League East. The Red Sox list looks familiar, which is to be expected with them being the final list to drop. This particular farm system isn’t a consensus and this list isn’t exactly like any other, but the tiers are the same as we’ve seen time and again. Anyway, before we get into any specific thoughts on the list, you can check it and all the scouting reports out here. Below is the top ten of the list.

  1. Michael Chavis
  2. Triston Casas
  3. Bobby Dalbec
  4. Darwinzon Hernandez
  5. Jay Groome
  6. Tanner Houck
  7. Antoni Flores
  8. Bryan Mata
  9. C.J. Chatham
  10. Jarren Duran
  • Michael Chavis topping this list was not much of a surprise since he was the only top 100 prospect on MLB Pipeline’s national list. He came in at number 79 on that list, right between Franklin Perez and Dane Dunning. Pipeline has always seemed to be the highest on Chavis, and that continues here as this was the only list with any Red Sox prospect in a top 100. They call him an acceptable defender at third base, which is higher praise than other evaluators would give.
  • He’s down at number seven, but reading to scouting report they have on Antoni Flores suggests they are higher on him than the ranking would imply. The shortstop isn’t given a grade lower than 50, thought his arm is the only ranking at 60 or higher. Still, the well-rounded skillset at an up-the-middle performance is certainly something to be excited about, with his lack of professional experience being the major caveat to all of this. Flores is the potential star in this system, if such a thing exists.
  • Number ten! Jarren Duran is getting a lot of love here with the highest ranking he’s seen. Last year’s seventh round pick opened a lot of eyes in 2018 with his performance after being selected out of Long Beach State. This is not the profile of a future star or anything like that, but Duran has a solid hit tool with elite speed (they put a 70 grade on his run tool) and he has the athleticism to play a solid center field.
  • The 14-16 range is the most interesting section of this list in terms of potential risers in the coming year, and you can throw number 18 in there as well. Those would be Danny Diaz, Brandon Howlett, Gilberto Jimenez and Nicholas Northcut. All of these guys are young players, with Northcut being the oldest in the group and he doesn’t turn 20 until June. Three of the four play third base, which could complicate matters at some point in the near future, but they each have intrigue. Howlett is the most intriguing of this group to me, as the Red Sox seemed to help something click when they found contact lenses to address his vision problems. Jimenez is the name you hear most, though, in terms of under-the-radar players in the system. He got a 70-grade run tool like Duran and by all accounts has off-the-charts makeup.
  • Directly following this group of young position players is another interesting group, this time featuring three pitchers who could potentially make a big jump this year. These are slightly more advanced players in Denyi Reyes, Kutter Crawford and Alex Scherff. The first two guys both had big breakouts in 2018, with Reyes being good enough to get a 40-man spot to protect him from the Rule 5 draft despite never having pitched above High-A. Scherff had flashes last year, but he missed time due to injury and struggled with consistency. He has the most upside of this group, but he’s yet to show it.
  • Among the bottom portion of the list, Zach Schellenger is certainly the guy to watch. A sixth round pick out of Seton Hall in 2017, he was seen as a potentially quick-moving reliever with big stuff but also big injury risk. That second part has certainly come to pass as he’s hardly pitched as a professional, but when he came back from injury late last season he looked electric against low-level competition. The scouting report here throws in a comp to healthy Carson Smith, which is no small thing. Durbin Feltman gets all the attention, and deservedly so, but Schellenger could come up and surprise people as soon as this season if things go well. A big if, of course, but one to dream on.

Here is a final table of the rankings this year (unless I forgot about a list that is yet to come out, in which case sorry in advance). This only includes players that were on a top ten of at least one list, though if they were ranked lower on another that ranking is included as well. Another reminder that the average here is a bit misleading because these lists are different sizes. It’s not meant to be a definitive cumulation.

Red Sox Top Prospects

Player Sox Prospects Baseball America Fangraphs Minor League Ball Keith Law Baseball Prospectus MLB Pipeline Average
Player Sox Prospects Baseball America Fangraphs Minor League Ball Keith Law Baseball Prospectus MLB Pipeline Average
Michael Chavis 1 2 3 1 5 2 1 2.142857143
Triston Casas 2 5 1 2 2 3 2 2.428571429
Jay Groome 3 4 8 7 4 6 5 5.285714286
Darwinzon Hernadez 4 3 2 4 1 7 4 3.571428571
Bobby Dalbec 5 1 7 3 6 1 3 3.714285714
Tanner Houck 6 7 5 5 3 4 6 5.142857143
Bryan Mata 7 6 9 5 12 8 8 7.857142857
Antoni Flores 8 9 4 10 8 7 7.666666667
C.J. Chatham 9 10 12 9 15 9 10.66666667
Durbin Feltman 10 11 11 13 5 12 10.33333333
Mike Shawaryn 12 8 16 8 11 9 13 11
Nick Decker 11 6 12 10 10 11 10
Travis Lakins 15 10 17 14 17 14.6
Alex Scherff 19 7 21 15.66666667
Danny Diaz 14 19 9 14 14
Jarren Duran 16 13 14 10 13.25