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American League Playoff Update: September 17, 2017

The Yankees just keep winning.

Texas Rangers v Los Angeles Angels of Anaheim Photo by Stephen Dunn/Getty Images

With the minor-league season over and our typical 8:00 AM slot suddenly open, I figured it would be worthwhile to take a quick daily look at how the playoff picture has changed in the American League on a day-to-day basis. This will be nothing fancy. Just a look at how playoff contenders did on the day, how it affected the standings and what it means for the Red Sox. I’ll consider any team within five games of a playoff spot as a postseason contender.


HOU 8, SEA 6

NYY 9, BAL 3

CLE 8, KC 4

BOS 3, TB 1

TOR 7, MIN 2

LAA 2, TEX 0

Division Odds

Team Fangraphs Baseball Prospectus
Team Fangraphs Baseball Prospectus
Red Sox 88.60% 80.80%
Indians 100.00% 100%
Astros 100.00% 100%
Yankees 11.40% 19.20%
Twins 0.00% 0%
Angels 0% 0%
Mariners 0% 0%
Royals 0% 0%
Rangers 0% 0%

Playoff Odds

Team Fangraphs Baseball Prospectus
Team Fangraphs Baseball Prospectus
Red Sox 100.00% 100.00%
Indians 100.00% 100.00%
Astros 100.00% 100.00%
Yankees 99.90% 100.00%
Twins 53.10% 59.40%
Angels 38.80% 31.90%
Mariners 3.90% 4.90%
Royals 3.10% 2.10%
Rangers 0.60% 1.10%

Playoff Picture

The top four teams in the American League — Cleveland, Houston, Boston and New York — all won on Saturday and are essentially locked into those four spots. The only point of intrigue is whether or not Boston or New York takes the AL East and the three seed. With both teams winning, the Red Sox still hold the inside track with a three game lead. As for the last wildcard spot, there was a time in which that looked like it was going to be one of the most entertaining races in years, but it’s turning into a two-team race at this point. Seattle, Kansas City and maybe even Texas can still turn it into a bigger race, but it’s unlikely. Minnesota still holds the second wildcard, but Mike Trout and the Angels continue to climb and now trail by only one game in the standings. This race should last all year.