clock menu more-arrow no yes

Filed under:

Red Sox over/under win total: 92.5

New, 19 comments

How does that sound?

New York Mets v Boston Red Sox
Get used to this picture because I love it.
Photo by Joe Robbins/Getty Images

Just a couple weeks ago, Bovada released their World Series odds. On that list, the Red Sox were tied with the Cubs for favorites to take home the ultimate prize. This week, the same betting agency has released over/under win totals for every team in the league. The Red Sox came in at 92.5. This was tied with Cleveland for the third-highest total, one behind the Dodgers and three behind the Cubs.

This won’t be a long one, but I think this is just more proof that oddsmakers are incredibly good at their job. This seems like the perfect place to set the over/under. On the one hand, this team is clearly very talented and winning at least 93 games isn’t asking too much. That’s how many games they won last season, and despite losing David Ortiz they now have Chris Sale and another year of experience under the belts of young players.

On the other hand, it’s very easy to see just enough going wrong that they finish in the wildcard race rather than running away with the division. If they suffer a couple injuries in the rotation, they are all of a sudden looking like a completely different team. Obviously the same goes for someone like Mookie Betts or Xander Bogaerts. If Andrew Benintendi suffers a sophomore slump or Pablo Sandoval continues to look like butt, the lineup becomes shallower. There are ways for this team to be much worse than expected, is my point.

Gun to my head, I’d probably take the over, but I’d rather not have a gun to my head. What do you think?