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Bill James Handbook Sneak Peak: 2010 Boston Red Sox Projections

It's not even the hot stove yet, but damn it, don't tell that to Bill James!

After the jump is a sneak peak at what the Bill James Handbook has to offer for the 2010 Boston Red Sox. If you like projections that don't necessarily mean anything at all, then this is for you!

If you want to get your hands on Bill James' book, you can visit the ACTA Sports website to buy your own copy (which, of course, includes a whole lot more than what's here after the jump).

Things to remember: Mr. James and his staff makes no prediction of where free agents will go or anything like that. So if you question why Jason Bay is on this roster, it's because they use the current roster for each team. That means, obviously, it's the 2009 team ... as bad as that may be to your eyes.

First, the hitters. Nothing too shocking here, really. As a side note, Jacoby Ellsbury is predicted to steal 64 bases and be caught 14 times. Here's your list (I left Chris Duncan off -- felt like that really didn't matter too much):

NAME AGE AB H 2B HR RBI BB SO AVG OBP SLG
Brian Anderson 28 161 39 9 6 18 14 40 .242 .311 .410
Rocco Baldelli 28 178 47 9 7 25 11 42 .264 .321 .444
Jason Bay 31 576 150 32 32 103 88 159 .268 .374 .504
J.D. Drew 34 498 134 30 22 76 91 119 .269 .385 .474
Jacoby Ellsbury 26 635 192 32 9 62 52 73 .302 .360 .420
Alex Gonzalez 33 230 57 14 6 28 14 42 .248 .305 .387
Nick Green 31 158 39 8 4 18 11 38 .247 .312 .373
Casey Kotchman 27 372 101 25 9 53 36 37 .272 .341 .417
Mike Lowell 36 529 147 35 19 84 46 74 .278 .339 .456
Jed Lowrie 26 384 100 35 9 59 53 80 .260 .350 .438
Victor Martinez 31 560 167 36 18 78 67 74 .298 .377 .464
David Ortiz 34 484 128 34 29 99 77 112 .264 .369 .519
Dustin Pedroia 26 623 191 50 15 75 66 43 .307 .378 .465
Jason Varitek 38 253 58 13 9 34 34 69 .229 .332 .387
Kevin Youkilis 31 557 161 42 23 95 85 128 .289 .394 .492

Now the pitchers. Once again, nothing too shocking here. The relievers will all once again be pretty good, while the starting pitching doesn't look too spectacular. Jonathan Papelbon is projected to have 41 saves. But that's why you play baseball on the field, not on a computer screen (I left Billy Wagner off -- who had really good projected stats -- because as we all know, he won't be a Red Sox in 2010):

NAME AGE IP H HR BB SO W L ERA
Daniel Bard 25 53 40 5 25 70 4 2 3.06
Josh Beckett 30 221 208 24 64 206 15 9 3.62
Michael Bowden 23 130 137 14 46 100 7 8 4.71
Clay Buchholz 25 161 150 17 63 155 10 8 3.91
Paul Byrd 39 68 80 10 12 33 4 4 4.63
Manny Delcarmen 28 58 54 4 27 54 4 3 3.72
Jon Lester 26 206 200 19 80 184 13 10 3.84
Daisuke Matsuzaka 29 195 184 21 83 184 12 10 4.02
Hideki Okajima 34 58 51 6 19 53 4 2 3.26
Jonathan Papelbon 29 68 53 5 18 75 5 3 2.38
Ramon Ramirez 28 73 68 7 31 63 5 3 3.82
Takashi Saito 40 60 52 5 18 62 5 2 3.00
Tim Wakefield 43 96 93 12 33 62 6 5 4.03