Lowell | Wilmington | Greenville
I took a break from the MLE's for a little bit, but now I'll continue with the Portland Sea Dogs.
Notice the numbers: they're a lot better than what we saw from teams like Lowell. Now is the time to really look at this and analyze them.
| First | Last | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jeff | Bailey | 137 | 29 | 6 | 0 | 5 | 15 | 44 | .212 | .289 | .365 | .654 |
| Stefan | Bailie | 131 | 17 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 58 | .130 | .162 | .229 | .391 |
| Jim | Buckley | 133 | 22 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 67 | .165 | .245 | .263 | .508 |
| Alberto | Concepcion Jr. | 337 | 73 | 16 | 1 | 4 | 25 | 105 | .217 | .271 | .306 | .576 |
| Chris | Durbin | 403 | 98 | 26 | 1 | 8 | 26 | 82 | .243 | .289 | .372 | .661 |
| Sheldon | Fulse | 170 | 26 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 61 | .153 | .213 | .235 | .448 |
| Brandon | Moss | 516 | 120 | 26 | 3 | 11 | 40 | 158 | .233 | .288 | .359 | .646 |
| David | Murphy | 495 | 118 | 21 | 3 | 9 | 35 | 102 | .238 | .289 | .347 | .636 |
| Raul | Nieves | 242 | 43 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 20 | 50 | .178 | .240 | .236 | .476 |
| Dustin | Pedroia | 264 | 74 | 16 | 2 | 5 | 26 | 32 | .280 | .345 | .413 | .758 |
| Kenny | Perez | 257 | 64 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 14 | 43 | .249 | .288 | .319 | .607 |
| Hanley | Ramirez | 475 | 112 | 17 | 6 | 4 | 29 | 76 | .236 | .280 | .322 | .602 |
| Jared | Sandberg | 478 | 96 | 24 | 0 | 12 | 47 | 161 | .201 | .272 | .326 | .599 |
| Jeremy | West | 482 | 112 | 27 | 2 | 7 | 31 | 93 | .232 | .279 | .340 | .619 |
| Scott | Youngbauer | 322 | 75 | 15 | 5 | 7 | 17 | 97 | .233 | .271 | .376 | .647 |
Like you could probably expect, everyone's favorite little Sea Dog, Dustin Pedroia, tops the list here. Pedroia here has a respectable .280/.345/.413 line and five home runs. Chris Durbin (one of my favorite prospects), also has a pretty good line, with a .661 OPS, second to only Pedroia.
Want to know how accurate MLEs are? Take Jared Sandberg for example. His 2005 MLE projects a .201/.272/.326. His line as a major leaguer with the Devils Rays was a very similar .221/.297/.406. Factor in his age (last time he played pro ball was in 2003), and we're seeing a very accurate line.
| First | Last | IP | H | ER | HR | BB | K | ERA | WHIP | BAA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Randy | Beam | 46.3 | 39 | 20 | 4 | 26 | 40 | 3.89 | 1.40 | .219 |
| Conor | Brooks | 68.7 | 85 | 56 | 6 | 24 | 34 | 7.34 | 1.59 | .292 |
| Manny | Delcarmen | 39.0 | 35 | 21 | 4 | 26 | 40 | 4.85 | 1.56 | .230 |
| Marc | Deschenes | 43.3 | 47 | 27 | 6 | 32 | 44 | 5.61 | 1.82 | .266 |
| Kason | Gabbard | 132.7 | 144 | 103 | 14 | 86 | 77 | 6.99 | 1.73 | .266 |
| Jon | Lester | 148.3 | 128 | 65 | 14 | 75 | 132 | 3.94 | 1.37 | .223 |
| Jim | Mann | 25.0 | 13 | 8 | 0 | 17 | 27 | 2.88 | 1.20 | .148 |
| Jon | Papelbon | 87.0 | 66 | 36 | 13 | 30 | 67 | 3.72 | 1.10 | .202 |
| David | Pauley | 156.0 | 190 | 100 | 26 | 45 | 84 | 5.77 | 1.51 | .289 |
| Anibal | Sanchez | 57.3 | 60 | 33 | 7 | 21 | 51 | 5.18 | 1.41 | .259 |
| Chris | Smith | 75.7 | 107 | 66 | 19 | 20 | 40 | 7.85 | 1.68 | .320 |
| Justin | Sturge | 48.0 | 58 | 39 | 4 | 21 | 27 | 7.31 | 1.65 | .287 |
| Denney | Tomori | 52.7 | 73 | 30 | 4 | 16 | 28 | 5.13 | 1.69 | .316 |
| Charlie | Zink | 105.3 | 115 | 86 | 17 | 70 | 56 | 7.35 | 1.76 | .267 |
The usuals top this list. Jon Lester and Jonathan Papelbon both have strong numbers -- numbers that would have aced the starting rotation for the Red Sox last year.
Notice, however, only three pitchers have K/9 better than 9.00. And none involve the names Lester and Papelbon. Manny Delcarmen, Marc Deschenes, and Jim Mann are the three. All relief pitchers, also.