Professional journalists ask questions.
Ian Browne has some questions.
Just off the top, I personally think Ian Browne does a good job as the Red Sox beat reporter. If you disagree, that's fine. Anyway, on to my responses to his questions.
1. How well will J.D. Drew fit in?
There's really no way to tell at this point. Have to agree with Browne that patience will help, but it's an unlikely outcome in terms of fan behavior. More importantly is whether J.D. Drew will shrink when he's blasted to bits (perhaps by CHB) if/when he goes into a slump.
2. Can David Ortiz take it to yet another level?
We're spoiled. Is there another level? Papi, Howard, and Pujols could make the 2007 regular season their own personal home run derby, and I'm excited for the results.
3. Is Manny Ramirez happy?
Is any player, or human being, ever completely happy? This is an important question only if you believe the angle that Manny "quit" on the Sox last season. If he's upset and puts up 40 HRs and 120 RBIs in about 150 games(pretty likely)...I'm not sure if I'll care about him being upset.
4. Who will close?
Me. Obviously. I have experience from 9-10 year old Little League play, and I'm not sure that's much less than the actual candidates. And all of this has been discussed ad nauseum anyway. My real answer? Devern Hansack. Yeah. I drink that kool-aid.
5. Does Craig Hansen need more time in the Minors?
I don't know if he just wanted to have nine questions for a personal reason, but this one could've just been a statement in an article. Example copy: "Craig Hansen needs more time, at least half a season, in the Minors."
6. Will the real Coco Crisp step forward?
I'm going to go ahead and say what everyone was thinking when they read this question. Thank God that this (.264/.317/.385) was the work of an impersonator.
7. Can Josh Beckett make the adjustment?
We'll see. Some days I'm optimistic, and some days I'm not. First step is admitting the problem. Beckett admits himself to bouts of "stubborn stupidity". It'd be nice if he made a more specific admission, like an admission to bouts of laser-straight chest-high 97 MPH fastballs.
8. Will the Captain regain his groove?
The answer to this question requires some pretty obvious film research. Here we go. Not sure the methods in this movie will work, but Angela Basset was 40 years old when she got her groove back. Varitek will be a mere puppy in his age-35 season in 2007. Thus, the answer must be yes.
9. How good will Papelbon be in the rotation?
Looking at his projection data, Bill James is the closest. His actual 2007 pitching line: 1.35 ERA, 22 wins, 195 IP, 342 K, and 45 saves. He also cures all forms of cancer and gives us conclusive data as to whether or not Honey Nut Cheerios ACTUALLY lowers your cholesterol. He is given a Nobel Prize and the AL and NL Cy Young Awards.
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Re: Professional journalists ask questions.
by brady12 on Feb 10, 2007 10:06 AM EST reply actions
Re: Professional journalists ask questions.
- The amount of negativity surrounding JD Drew's signing is ridiculous. I am a guy who values production over friendly non-production any day, but it seems to me like Drew is a reserved guy who's been mistaken for a bad teammate. Sometimes, the media places unrealistic expectations on the players for what kind of attitude the guy has, and I think this is one of those times. Not everybody can be as outgoing as Kevin Millah or as lovable as Papi. I'm a bit of an introvert myself, so perhaps I'm biased, but I think reserved people are sometimes labeled as snobs without much evidence that they actually are.
- There's no reason to think that Ortiz can't keep his level of hitting up for the next couple years.
- I'm a Manny apologist. There I said it. But I really don't buy into this "quit on the team" stuff. Manny is old enough that he's starting to have more nagging injuries. Myself, I've always found it hard not to like the guy. He's just a goofball, millionaire baseball player or no.
- Brendan Donnelly or Timlin, and then Delcarmen takes over around late June.
- I'd start him the major league bullpen and pitch him in low leverage situations at first. We've got enough veteran guys to afford to do that.
- Yes, Crisp'll bounce back now that he's over his hand injury from that idiotic headfirst slide into third base against the Orioles in an 8-run game.
- If nothing else, I can't see Beckett giving up that many home runs again this year. An improvement in that department would definitely lower his ERA.
- I love 'Tek, but I can't see him being much better than last year. The guy is getting old for a catcher. Here's hoping he proves me wrong.
- Papelbon, IMHO, will be like Beckett-with-a-brain in the rotation. I think he'll approximate Schilling's 2006, which would be a godsend.
by Saberrox on Feb 10, 2007 11:57 AM EST reply actions
Re: Professional journalists ask questions.
#8. I see Tek rebounding, to around .260-.270. He's better than .238. I don't see him topping 20 HRs again though.
Re: Professional journalists ask questions.
by Saberrox on Feb 10, 2007 1:50 PM EST up reply actions
Re: Professional journalists ask questions.
- Agreed. I'm also an introvert (unless I have some semi-anonymous blogging forum...) and if JD Drew is just a guy that likes to go about his business, keep to himself, and not bother anybody? No problems here.
- Excellent line, and probably true too.
Re: Professional journalists ask questions.
1. How well will J.D. Drew fit in?
If healthy, Drew will be a huge upgrade in RF. He has very good on-base numbers and is a good defender. Most importantly, he'll keep Wily Mo on the bench because Drew is not a platoon player like Trot Nixon was.
2. Can David Ortiz take it to yet another level?
What other level? Here's what Ortiz has averaged over the past three seasons: 47 HR 141 RBI .296 AVG .397 OBP .614 SLG. Maybe Ortiz can take it up a notch, and become a Gold Glove first baseman or a stolen base threat.
3. Is Manny Ramirez happy?
I'm not worried about Manny. He is a hitting machine. Since Manny was put on waivers after the 2003 season (he also reportedly wanted out of Boston in 2005 and 2006), here is what he has averaged: 41 HR 125 RBI .306 AVG .406 OBP .608 SLG. I don't care about the media reports. Manny is the anti-Nomar, nothing bothers him.
4. Who will close?
I've made this point before: You don't need a lights out closer anyway. Look, there are only four really good closers in the AL: Mariano Rivera, Joe Nathan, BJ Ryan, and Francisco Rodriguez. That's it. Detroit had a good pen last year and Todd Jones was their closer. Jones had an ERA of 3.94, but blew the same number of saves as Papelbon. If a team has a good rotation and enough decent arms in the pen, they'll be fine. If your starters get you into the 6th and 7th inning consistently, you don't need to go to your 4th and 5th options out of the pen. Again, I'm not worried.
5. Does Craig Hansen need more time in the Minors?
I'm not counting on Hansen this year. If he steps up, great. Otherwise, the Sox can get by with a combination of Timlin, Donnelly, Hatchet Face, Delcarmen, Okajima, JC Romero, Javy Lopez, or someone else. To me, what happens to Hansen isn't a very important question.
6. Will the real Coco Crisp step forward?
I think Crisp's hitting will be much better this year, closer to what it was in Cleveland: 15 HR .280-.300 AVG .340-.350 OBP. He isn't a lead-off hitter, and he is no Johnny Damon. But Crisp will once again play an OK CF and probably hit well. In other words, he'll be fine. If Crisp sucks again, Wily Mo will get a chance to play.
7. Can Josh Beckett make the adjustment?
I have no idea what to expect from Beckett. In my opinion, he needs another pitch, either a cut fastball, splitter, or a much better change up. He's stubborn, but he can't be worse than he was in 2006. That said, if Matsuzaka and Papelbon step in and pitch well and Schilling and Wakefield are healthy, the Sox can live with Beckett as a # 5 starter.
8. Will the Captain regain his groove?
Tek played hurt most of last season. I think he can put up numbers along these lines: .250-.265 AVG ..340-350 OBP 12-15 HR. I said it at the time, locking up an aging catcher for big money was a mistake. That said, I think he'll have a decent season. I don't think we'll ever see the Varitek of 2003-2005 again, where he averaged 22 HR 76 RBI .283 AVG .369 OBP .493 SLG.
9. How good will Papelbon be in the rotation?
This is a huge question for the Sox this year. No, he won't post an 0.92 ERA as a starter (if Pedro couldn't do that, it can't be done). I think he'll be very good, with an ERA somewhere around 3.50. For me, the question is durability. If Paps can't throw at least 180 innings, the Sox may be in trouble. This year's team will go as far as Matsuzaka and Paps can carry them (you pretty much know what Wake and Schilling bring to the table).
I'm looking forward to the season ...

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