Santana to Sox Trade in the Works
ESPN's Buster Olney is reporting, via Rotoworld, that the Sox and Twins are discussing a trade that would send Johan Santana to the Sox for Coco Crisp, Jed Lowrie, Jon Lester and a fourth player.
The fourth player could be Justin Masterson or Michael Bowden. I'm hoping it's the former. I really like Bowden and I think he could be as good a pitcher as Clay Buchholz.
If the Sox trade Lester, Crisp, Lowrie and Masterson for Santana, I'll be ecstatic. It would certainly favor the Red Sox because A) Crisp is expendable, B) Lowrie doesn't have a spot in the Sox lineup, C) Buchholz > Masterson, and D) Lester is a good pitcher, but I think Buchholz and Bowden will be better.
What are the thoughts going around Red Sox Nation?
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Re: Santana to Sox Trade in the Works
Geez, does that make any freakin' sense at all? :P
by Hughie Jennings on Nov 29, 2007 4:08 PM EST 0 recs
Re: Santana to Sox Trade in the Works
by AZredsoxfan on
Nov 29, 2007 4:30 PM EST
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Re: Santana to Sox Trade in the Works
Talentwise, this seems like a no-brainer. All that's at issue is whether the extension would be workable.
by argo0 on Nov 29, 2007 4:29 PM EST 0 recs
Re: Santana to Sox Trade in the Works
So we would be trading two expendibles (who don't really have a place on the team anyways) and two unproven SPs, for a proven ace and argueably one of the best....I say you have to do it (given that it's for more then one year...and some might say "why not just wait one year then and sign him as a FA?", well, what if the Yanks DO trade for him and then give him an extension....so much for that idea)
by Realistic on Nov 29, 2007 4:36 PM EST 0 recs
Re: Santana to Sox Trade in the Works
SP:
Beckett
Santana
Dice-K
Schilling
Wake
Buccholz (for when one of our old guys inevitable goes on the DL)
Lineup:
Jacoby
Dustin
Papi
Manny
Lowell
Drew
Youks
'Tek
Lugo
and with Paps closing out the games, who could stop us?
No one, that's who.
by Schulz on Nov 29, 2007 4:36 PM EST 0 recs
Re: Santana to Sox Trade in the Works
Plus, that lineup is pretty scary. Four out of the 5 players at the top are pretty much guaranteed to hit over .300, with Manny being able to hit really well anyway. Then you have Drew, who I really think will have a better year this year; Youk, who is just awesome; 'Tek, whose knees seem to be made of iron; and Lugo, who... well, maybe he'll do better this year too.
And the lineup goes lefty, righty, lefty, righty, righty, lefty, righty, switch, righty. That'll be fun...
by Liza on
Nov 29, 2007 5:08 PM EST
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Re: Santana to Sox Trade in the Works
by RSNexile on
Nov 30, 2007 2:04 AM EST
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Re: Santana to Sox Trade in the Works
by the red head on
Nov 30, 2007 10:34 AM EST
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Re: Santana to Sox Trade in the Works
At the very least, the Yankees will get word of this deal and be forced to up their offer big time
by Schulz on Nov 29, 2007 4:38 PM EST 0 recs
Re: Santana to Sox Trade in the Works
This is a good deal for the Sox, even if Santana continues with his numbers as he did in 2007.
by superferret on Nov 29, 2007 4:46 PM EST 0 recs
Re: Santana to Sox Trade in the Works
by spinz on
Nov 30, 2007 12:37 AM EST
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Re: Santana to Sox Trade in the Works
Make this deal now. Before the Yankees get a chance to offer more.
Thanks
by cblesz on Nov 29, 2007 4:58 PM EST 0 recs
Re: Santana to Sox Trade in the Works
by reversecursing on Nov 29, 2007 5:24 PM EST 0 recs
Re: Santana to Sox Trade in the Works
The news today is that the Sox are in the lead for Santana.
The news yesterday was that the Yankees had the lead.
Anybody else think that the Twins are doing a pretty darn good job, so far, in building up interest? Let's see how good this new GM of theirs is.
by Hughie Jennings on Nov 29, 2007 5:26 PM EST 0 recs
Re: Santana to Sox Trade in the Works
Work your magic Theo...
by Bosoxman34 on Nov 29, 2007 5:36 PM EST 0 recs
Re: Santana to Sox Trade in the Works
The Sox will set the record for wins in a season IF they get Santana.
Lets not forget some things:
- Drew has a down year and will probably rebound. What if he plays up to potential?
- Manny has a "down" year for himself.
- Papi was playing hurt all year.
- Scrappy wasn't batting lead-off all year long. Jacoby is a legit lead-off hitter, giving us something we didnt really have all of 2007. And we can bat Scrappy further down. Jacoby will have at least as good a year defensively in 08 as Coco, and produce better w/ the bat.
- Dice-K should rebound huge in 08
by Matzushocka on Nov 29, 2007 5:36 PM EST 0 recs
Re: Santana to Sox Trade in the Works
- Drew had a normal year for him and I don't expect much better.
- Manny is a good hitter when he is in the lineup but he is only a fair defensive player, if that. Hope he can contribute all year.
- Papi has a chance to have another wonderful year.
- Jacoby should be a valuable leadoff hitter. With Dustin behind we have good table setters. Having Youk, Papi and Manny behind in some combination is pretty formidable.
- Dice K should be better next year.
by Longsuffering on
Nov 29, 2007 6:50 PM EST
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Re: Santana to Sox Trade in the Works
by Matzushocka on
Nov 29, 2007 7:26 PM EST
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Re: Santana to Sox Trade in the Works
Manny's defense is underrated at Fenway only, IMHO.
by Allen Chace on
Nov 29, 2007 11:00 PM EST
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Re: Santana to Sox Trade in the Works
by the red head on
Nov 30, 2007 10:38 AM EST
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Oh, dear
In the beginning of the season and when he comes off the DL, Manny hustles around the field and the bases because his hamstrings don't hurt. There's a reason he's also called Hammy Ramirez. He's an ideal DH, but that spot is filled on the Red Sox' roster.
Manny's a hall-of-famer, and one of the best right-handed hitters of our generation and of all time. Personally, I think he has the sweetest swing in baseball.
No team is better off without Manny Ramirez.
I hope we can put "trade Manny" to bed.
by SoxDevil on
Nov 30, 2007 12:38 PM EST
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Re: Oh, dear
I'd make that deal, but that's about the only one.
by RSNexile on
Nov 30, 2007 1:21 PM EST
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Re: Oh, dear
I can no longer contain myself of fans that find it necessary to 'hold onto' players because of 'what they've done.'
The sooner the better Manny leaves, the sooner I'll feel as though I'm free of my aching back.
by the red head on
Nov 30, 2007 5:37 PM EST
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Re: Oh, dear
- Your male chauvinism and sexism angers me.
- By your logic no one should ever get hurt "playing" baseball, unless they get hit with a ball or possibly someone's cleats. Clearly baseball, while it doesn't require the same sort of physical endurance as a triathlon or a marathon or the physical contact of football, is a very physically taxing sport. Some players' bodies react in certain ways more than others. I think, especially considering the fact that he tore it up in the postseason, it's a little early to count Manny out.
by B VT on
Nov 30, 2007 7:27 PM EST
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Re: Santana to Sox Trade in the Works
this Santana news is making my day.
Just think...
Beckett>Santana>Matsuzaka>Schilling>Wakefield>Buccholtz
on top of that...
Posada claims Pettitte is leaning towards retiremnt!!!
let's go back2back2back
by mpieretti on Nov 29, 2007 5:40 PM EST 0 recs
"Beckett > Santana"
by tommy.otm on
Nov 29, 2007 7:22 PM EST
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Re: "Beckett > Santana"
We don't want to piss of Beckett by paying Santana a ton of money and then just naming him our ace.
Beckett is 6-2 in his postseason starts. He carried the team past the Indians in the ALCS-- I think he's earned top dog status for now
"It was Beckett's 3rd post season complete game shut-out. In Tom Verducci's Inside Baseball column this morning, Tom points out that only Christy Mathewson has more post season shut-outs than Beckett with four. Beckett also became the first pitcher in MLB history to throw a complete game shut out with no walks and no extra base hits."
Need to look up Santana's post season numbers and see how they compare.
What a great problem we could have!!!
by mpieretti on
Dec 2, 2007 1:42 PM EST
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Re: "Beckett > Santana"
by 0157H7 on
Dec 3, 2007 1:58 AM EST
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Re: "Beckett > Santana"
http://www.baseball-reference.com/pi/gl.cgi?n1=santajo02&post=1&t=p
by 0157H7 on
Dec 3, 2007 2:00 AM EST
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Re: Santana to Sox Trade in the Works
Let me paraphrase all the conversations:
- As we know the offer is Lester, Coco, Lowrie and Masterson for Johan Santana.
- Yankees, this is not confirmed, just a rumor offered Ian Kennedy, Melky Cabrera and some parts.
- Mets want in but refuse to give up Jose Reyes, which means they are offering nothing.
- Twins want Ellsbury or Buchholz from the Sox, Hughes or Cano or Jaba from the Yankees, or Jose Reyes from the Mets.
- rumors are that the Dodgers, Angels, Mariners and the Reds are all in this but will not give up their prized top prospects which I assume is guys like Kershaw and Adenhart.
- Most people believe this is it for the Sox since they most likely will not give up either Ellsbury or Buchholz and in truth Theo is just making the Yankees deal one of the two stud pitchers Hughes or Jaba.
- Everyone thinks the Twins move Bartlett to make room for a SS, Reyes. Which leaves the Yankees high and dry, but makes the Angels even more attractive with their young SS prospects.
- Rumor again - it will take a 5+ year deal upwards of 130 million to sign Santana.
- Yankee fans hate us and we hate them, nothing has changed.
by SoxAcumen on Nov 29, 2007 5:49 PM EST 0 recs
Re: Santana to Sox Trade in the Works
Lowrie is expendable in my opinion, as he has had a miserable fall.
Crisp, get rid of him asap.
What gets to me is that I really like Lester and Masterson. Both have ace potential, personally I feel more so Lester than Masterson. Lester is 6 years younger, and Santana is almost 30 already. Won't be long before he begins to decline. We could be stuck with him until he's 36 putting up average numbers at a price tag of over 25M a year.
by Albert Chang on Nov 29, 2007 6:01 PM EST 0 recs
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by Albert Chang on
Nov 29, 2007 6:02 PM EST
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Re: Santana to Sox Trade in the Works
As for Bowden or Masterson, both have potential of being Aces, but they also have the chance of bottoming out, it happens all the time (Snyder himself was once considered a potential future ace...do think anyone would still say that about him). And the chances of them turning into one of the top 5 pitchers in the game (like Santana) is slim, and the chances of them being the best pitcher (like Santana is) is even slimmer.
by Realistic on
Nov 30, 2007 9:59 AM EST
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Re: Santana to Sox Trade in the Works
That said, of all the pitchers mentioned here as possible parts of a trade for Santana, I think he's the most disposable.
by RSNexile on
Nov 30, 2007 11:51 AM EST
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Re: Santana to Sox Trade in the Works
by Realistic on
Nov 30, 2007 12:01 PM EST
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Re: Santana to Sox Trade in the Works
We have to look at this from the Twins' point of view.
They get a CF without much offensive production. A young lefty with control issues, who always manages to get his pitch count to around 100 by the end of the 5th inning (and has put up very average ML stats), and two unproven minor league prospects.
They give up Johan Santana
Johan friggen Santana people.
If I were the Twins, I would never make this deal. It would definetly take Jacoby or Buccholz/ Joba or Hughes, plus a lot of high value prospects
by Schulz on
Nov 29, 2007 7:44 PM EST
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Re: Santana to Sox Trade in the Works
by gnick55 on Nov 29, 2007 6:05 PM EST 0 recs
Re: Santana to Sox Trade in the Works
If this happens it'll be extraordinary. I just don't think it'll get the deal done. If I were the Twins, I'd be asking for either Buchholz or Ellsbury as opposed to Lester or Crisp.
NY will need to bring more to the party then Kennedy and Cabrera. They'll need to include either Hughes, Chamberlain, Cano or a combination thereof. As good as prospects as Hughes and Chamberlain are I think NY is putting waaaay too much stock in how good they can be. We have all seen great prospects not live up to expectations and sample sizes for both of them is way too small at this stage.
We are talking about Santana. This is like getting Koufax at 25, or Pedro when we got him. Let me introduce you to our first 3 starting pitchers(not in any particular order)
Santana
Beckett
Dice-K
Jesus, that's just brutal for everyone else in the league. You are looking at 70-80 quality starts right there. We instantly become a 105 win team if this comes off.
by sydneysox on Nov 29, 2007 6:30 PM EST 0 recs
Re: Santana to Sox Trade in the Works
Put it this way, we didn't give up that much for Beckett. We only gave one A level prospect (Hanley who at the time was struggling at the plate....though I guess he turned out pretty good) and one B level prospect (Anibal, who faked people out with his no-hitter, but then came back down to earth). Now given, Beckett wasn't considered the best pitcher in the game at the time, but still I think it's a decent comparison
by Realistic on
Nov 30, 2007 10:15 AM EST
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Re: Santana to Sox Trade in the Works
Correct me if I am wrong but I just want to state that the Twins don't get nothing they get 2 first round draft picks if Johan is lost to FA. That is with the assumption the Twins offer arbitration, which they will.
Other then that though I still agree two draft picks for Johan is a terrible loss.
by drabidea on
Nov 30, 2007 10:38 AM EST
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by Realistic on
Nov 30, 2007 11:10 AM EST
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Re: Santana to Sox Trade in the Works
Then there's the question of is he really the best. Baseball Prospectus's VORP scale has him 11th in 2007, slightly behind Beckett and on a par with Haren, the other most frequently mentioned trade target.
by MJMcC on Nov 29, 2007 6:34 PM EST 0 recs
Re: Santana to Sox Trade in the Works
He'll be one of the top 3 pitchers for the next 4 years at least, to me its well worth the price we are offering and giving him 5 years.
by sydneysox on
Nov 29, 2007 6:39 PM EST
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Re: Santana to Sox Trade in the Works
11th for 2007, but earlier in his career he was one of the top three...
All of a sudden, I'm nervous... yeah, 32 and on a decline of his possibilities... that can hurt.
by the red head on
Nov 30, 2007 10:45 AM EST
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Re: Santana to Sox Trade in the Works
by Schulz on
Nov 30, 2007 7:19 PM EST
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Re: Santana to Sox Trade in the Works
I highly recommend everybody clicking it and checking out (way down) his stats at Fenway. Then click on Fenway.
You'll notice that his awful stats there were compiled over 10 2/3 innings in 2000, 2002 and 2003.
In other words, Santana hasn't started a single game in Fenway since he became, well, The Best Pitcher in the game.
Also... 10 2/3 innings is a remarkably small sample size. So small it's basically of no significance.
You also might notice that his home/away splits for his career aren't that different (you'll find those higher up on the page).
I, for one, don't have a worry at all about Santana pitching at Fenway. My guess is he'll be un-f'in-believable; aka Santana.
by Hughie Jennings on
Nov 29, 2007 6:45 PM EST
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Re: Santana to Sox Trade in the Works
This is just a fact and probably why Lester has +4.00 era.
Johan will be a major help on the road.
by SoxAcumen on
Nov 29, 2007 8:19 PM EST
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Re: Santana to Sox Trade in the Works
There's a thread on SOSH projecting Santana, and how Fenway might affect him. One of the observations was that Santana biggest problem lately has been left-handed slugging, which pitching at Fenway would help with. Check it out:
http://sonsofsamhorn.net/index.php?s=d524ce3c0a5fc5a7da529f8cbb37d2c1&showtopic=25714
by 0157H7 on
Nov 29, 2007 11:18 PM EST
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Re: Santana to Sox Trade in the Works
People can call it a myth or whatever, but the truth is for the Sox, right handed pitchers are better in Fenway.
Look at the Sox history, find me a quality Lefties who have done well in Fenway.
This is why I keep pushing Haren, he will most likely be better in Fenway than Santana.
by SoxAcumen on
Nov 30, 2007 1:14 AM EST
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Re: Santana to Sox Trade in the Works
Hurst pitched great in Fenway.
As mentioned above, Lester's problem is control, not the park.
by kite in a gale on
Nov 30, 2007 4:44 PM EST
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by tommy.otm on
Nov 30, 2007 4:57 PM EST
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Re: Santana to Sox Trade in the Works
I am going to find some site that explains this to you guys. I know it bc someone long ago explained why Lefties do poorly in Fenway. When I find someone on the net who explains it better than I, we can continue.
Until then, I guess you have to take my word, Lefties do poorly in Fenway.
by SoxAcumen on
Nov 30, 2007 7:48 PM EST
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by tommy.otm on
Nov 30, 2007 7:55 PM EST
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Lefties @ Fenway
Scott Kazmir - (9 GS) 2.73 ERA (career ERA 3.64)
CC Sabathia - (3 GS) 2.35 ERA (career ERA 3.83)
Andy Pettitte (14 G/12 GS) 3.70 ERA (career ERA 3.83)
Mark Mulder (5 GS) 2.93 ERA (career ERA 4.18)
Jimmy Key (17 G/15 GS) 3.49 ERA (career ERA 3.51)
Jim Abbott (6 GS) 3.07 ERA (career ERA 4.25 ERA)
Here are some former Red Sox lefties:
Former Red Sox reliever Tom Burgmeier was very good at Fenway. In 121 appearances there, he had a 2.55 ERA. In 127 appearances, Tony Fossas had a 2.77 career ERA at Fenway.
Frank Viola (48 starts) 3.84 career ERA at Fenway. In his two full seasons in Boston (1992-1993), Viola had a 3.36 ERA at home and a 3.34 ERA on the road.
I'm sure there are others, and there are pitchers like former Angel Chuck Finley that were no better or worse when pitching at Fenway. In 20 games (16 starts), Finley had a 3.90 ERA at Fenway. His career ERA was a very similar 3.85.
by Drugs Delaney on
Nov 30, 2007 9:15 PM EST
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Re: Lefties @ Fenway
That teams do not stack their line ups with right handed hitters who can float a fly ball off the wall or hammer a line drive off the wall?
That RHanded hitters do not hit better against LHPs?
That the Sox have not tried to stack their teams over the years with Rhanded hitters?
Sox get right handed hitters and right handed strike out pitchers, and right handed ground ball pitchers. This has been their strategy for years.
You can pull up stats all you guys want, the fact is a LHP cannot pitch inside consistently to a Rhanded hitter in Fenway bc 1) Rhanded hitters hit LHP on average better, 2) there are more RHanded hitters in the line up against a LHP 3) Rhanded hitters pull the ball off the wall and get more hits/hrs/runs v. LHP bc the green monster makes hits when certain at bats should be outs, and 4) if you pitch inside to a RHander on average he will pull the ball more than go the opposite way.
Seriously, I thought this was common knowledge.
When I find someone who explains this in a nice article ill post it, but I am telling you guys, no hard feelings or nothing, I knew this as a 12 year old back in CT. I hear this talk about lefties in Fenway all the time.
I want to know if this is true or made up by someone in the 70s, we need Peter Gammons to clarify I think.
by SoxAcumen on
Nov 30, 2007 10:46 PM EST
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Re: Lefties @ Fenway
by tommy.otm on
Dec 1, 2007 12:01 PM EST
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Re: Santana to Sox Trade in the Works
by sydneysox on Nov 29, 2007 6:43 PM EST 0 recs
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by reversecursing on Nov 29, 2007 6:44 PM EST 0 recs
Re: Santana to Sox Trade in the Works
by Matzushocka on Nov 29, 2007 7:11 PM EST 0 recs
Re: Santana to Sox Trade in the Works
He has 2 change ups, 2 fastballs and a slider and most batters cannot tell what he is throwing until its in the glove.
Johan Santana and Roy Halladay have an argument for the filthiest pitchers from the past 10 years.
by SoxAcumen on
Nov 29, 2007 8:21 PM EST
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by tommy.otm on
Nov 29, 2007 8:30 PM EST
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Re: Santana to Sox Trade in the Works
It's doubtful we'll ever see such a performance again, honestly.
by Allen Chace on
Nov 29, 2007 11:00 PM EST
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Re: Santana to Sox Trade in the Works
Halladay is one of the most underrated filthy pitchers of the past 10 years. When healthy the guy can go from tough to UNHITTABLE. its a shame that guy plays in a place no one will ever see him. I believe Halladay has 2 Cys as well. Someone correct me if I am wrong, but 2 Cys is the same as Johan.
Johan had 99' Pedro stuff during his Cy Young years. Does he still have it? probably not.
by SoxAcumen on
Nov 30, 2007 1:22 AM EST
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Re: Santana to Sox Trade in the Works
Pedro's 00 ERA+ = 291 (WHIP: .737)
Next best back-to-back years?
Greg Maddux, 94-95. 271, 262.
Johan's best single season ERA+ = 182. (Santana's best WHIP in a single season, .921, is really a virtual tie with Pedro's 2nd and 3rd best seasons in that category, which were both: .923)
I want Santana as much as anyone, but I think comparing him to Pedro is unfair to him and an insult to Martinez himself.
by Allen Chace on
Nov 30, 2007 1:41 AM EST
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Re: Santana to Sox Trade in the Works
Allen Chase, you are SOOO FRIGGIN' RIGHT. And when you're right, you're right.
Santana is awesome. A dream of a hunk of a superstar that I'd love to see in a Red Sox uni.
But Pedro was god-like. There is absolutely no comparison. I'd give up Ellsbury, Buchholz and Pedroia (and more) for his equal today.
Consider:
Santana's BEST year: 2004 with an ERA+ of 182 and a Cy Young. Impressive. Very.
Pedro's best year: 2000 with an ERA+ of 291 (and his final Cy Young).
Pedro has had four other seasons of ERA+ of over 200, plus one more higher than Santana at 189.
That's a total of SIX seasons that Pedro had that he bested Santana at his best. There is NO CONTEST.
I hope everybody got to see Pedro in his prime, because you won't see it again in your lifetime. Not even if the Sox trade for Johan Santana.
PS. Beckett, in his best full season (2007), posted a 145 ERA+. He was awesome. Friggin' awesome. And he wasn't even in the same universe as Pedro.
by Hughie Jennings on
Nov 30, 2007 1:39 AM EST
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Re: Santana to Sox Trade in the Works
Must be the Holiday Ale Festival speaking.
by Hughie Jennings on
Nov 30, 2007 1:41 AM EST
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Re: Santana to Sox Trade in the Works
And we basically posted the same things about Santana-Martinez at the same time.
by Allen Chace on
Nov 30, 2007 1:42 AM EST
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by Hughie Jennings on
Nov 30, 2007 1:45 AM EST
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It's high time Randy found $$ in the OTM budget to make my position a salaried position.
by Allen Chace on
Nov 30, 2007 1:47 AM EST
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Re: Santana to Sox Trade in the Works
What is the OTM budget, by the way? :)
by Hughie Jennings on Nov 30, 2007 1:52 AM EST


