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Trade: Bronson Arroyo sent to Cincy for Wily Mo Pena

According to WEEI, via Boston Dirt Dogs, Bronson Arroyo has been traded to Cincinnati for outfielder Wily Mo Pena.

Now we have four backup outfielders on the roster. What's going to happen? There HAS to be a trade. See my previous story.

Everyone's thoughts?

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aaah
i don't know what to think. my brain is getting fried from all this. someone please tell me why we now seem to be getting a gazillion outfielders by trading one of our gazillion pitchers...?
i like wily a lot, but is he here to stay or part of a bigger plan?

i don't know enough about this stuff to figure it out. help me out, lads!

by SweSox on Mar 20, 2006 11:26 AM EST reply actions   0 recs

I can't figure this out either...
Could this all relate to a blockbusting trade involving David Wells, Manny Ramirez, back-up outfielders, etc.?

One outside possibility I've seen speculated about could be Boston trading these chips away for top prospects, who would be flipped to Florida for Miguel Cabrera - one of the few players who could fill Manny's shoes.

Though would Florida trade Miggy before his salary arbitration is due? Hmm... this is very mysterious!

by britsoxfan on Mar 20, 2006 11:34 AM EST reply actions   0 recs

Scooped!
Damn, you beat me to the punch by 10 minutes!

This is definitely not a bad trade, however I am a bit disappointed that the Sox broke their good-faith gentlemen's agreement not to trade Arroyo after he signed a below-market deal to stay in Boston. Even though it would not have been in the very best interest of the Sox, I'd rather have the Sox trade Clement or Wells + sweetener and honor their word.

I don't see this as being a precursor to trade Manny. Pena is still mostly raw talent. I posted a diary with scouting on Pena.

I think Graff will still be traded, and some of our reserve outfielders will be released. Pena is definitely a big upgrade as a platoon/reserve OF.

"You know you're having a bad day when the fifth inning rolls around and they drag the warning track." - Mike Flanagan, Baltimore Orioles pitcher, 1992.

by SoxDevil on Mar 20, 2006 11:42 AM EST reply actions   0 recs

I agree
I doubt this is a precursor to a Manny trade either. My speculation comes from hope that we can eventually land Cabrera, rather than from any hard fact.

I'm also disappointed re the hometown discount. I'll be sorry to see Bronson go, even though it frees up more opportunities for Papelbon to pitch.

by britsoxfan on Mar 20, 2006 11:54 AM EST up reply actions   0 recs

Frees up bullpen space for Lenny, too...
Like you said, I think it will be good for Papelbon to get more innings in long relief. Additionally, this should cement Lenny DiNardo's place in the bullpen...

http://gnopple.typepad.com/lennydinardo/2006/03/goodbye_bronson.html

http://gnopple.typepad.com/lennydinardo/

by gnopple on Mar 20, 2006 2:46 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

what are u talking about?!?!
This is a terrible trade! Bronson was just entering his prime. He was 3rd among our starters in ERA last year. We had him locked up for 3 years at a CHEAP price (Lets count how much the Sox will shell out for worse starters than Arroyo in the next three seasons; judging by this offseason, a TON).  He's got playoff experience.  He's young.  He doesn't get hurt.  He's LOYAL TO THE TEAM!!!  We picked up a guy who can't hit for average, strikes out a ton, and can't draw a walk if his life depended on it!  We could have picked up a guy like that, dime a dozen. We have MORE PRESSING NEEDS than at outfield!

This doesn't even cover the fact that we broke the gentlemen's agreement.  I think thats what disgusts me the most.  Theo basically lures Arroyo into signing a contract that would make him highly movable by lying to him.  In my opinion, thats not how the Red Sox operate.  We are the team that honored Pesky and Yaz ever time they stepped into the stadium.  We have the Green Monster, the Poles, and Yawkey Way.  We are a team of tradition, integrity, and loyalty to those players who are loyal to us.  This trade flies in the face of everything that made this ball club special from every other ball club.

I have never been more ashame to be a Red Sox fan.

by forage on Mar 20, 2006 1:11 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

btw, Arroyo is my favorite player
He's a blue-collar type, hasn't bitched or complained like any of the stars, honors the game, and plays it the way it should be played.  He didn't get paid as much as he should have... He could have picked up more than 3 mil a year in arbitration, and then sprung for a 5-6mil a year contract in his first free agency.  But he showed loyalty, he showed trust in our ball club, and we let him down.

by forage on Mar 20, 2006 1:15 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

Mine, too
Call me one of Arroyo's Boyoes.  Er, whatever.  

No, he really was my favorite Red Soxk.  I can't say this isn't a good move for the team (especially if he takes over full-time after Nixon leaves), but it still sucks.  

Let me put it this way:  Damon went to the MFY for more money.  Arroyo took less money just to have a chance at making the Red Sox team.  I'm sure Theo and Jed thought it was something they had to do.  But it still sucks to see a team player like Bronson get shipped out.  

Tony the Pony

by Tony the pony on Mar 22, 2006 1:11 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

Good thing
Arroyo settled for a promise instead of a no trade clause.  And we wonder why players have no loyalty.

by salb918 on Mar 20, 2006 11:42 AM EST reply actions   0 recs

good, I think
It makes me sad to see Arroyo go, but this might be the best thing for his career--he may not have gotten many starts with the Sox this year.  From our perspective, we have traded a pitcher who basically gave league-average production for someone with 40 HR/yr potential, and maybe could be the RF of the future since Trot's contract is up after this season.  The only weird thing is that we do now have a glut of OFs, but after 18 days, Stern can go down to AAA and Mohr and Pena can be on the bench.  Pena has played CF, but was perhaps a liability there; however I don't think he'll be there very much, and if Coco has to be on the DL, Stern can come back up.

by poludamas on Mar 20, 2006 11:53 AM EST reply actions   0 recs

That is why it is a business
That is why Damon signs with the highest bidder.  Why Givens signs with God-awful Tennessee, why Willie jumps to Cleveland (although he was released) and why Vinatieri will go to the highest bidder.  It is professional sports and professional sports is a business.  Arroyo took a discount, with the assumption that we would not trade him.  Well, that was a dumb assumption.  If trading him or anyone else makes the team better (or the organization believes it makes the team better), then anybody can get traded...whether they are a nice guy or give the team a discount...(see Wayne Gretzky and Shaquille O'Neal).

by cblesz on Mar 20, 2006 11:53 AM EST reply actions   0 recs

RE:
sheds a tear over Givens

My favorite player... :-(

by Randy Booth on Mar 20, 2006 11:56 AM EST up reply actions   0 recs

RE:
Another real PLUS to this trade is the fact that Wily Mo Pena is from the big ol' DR, Dominican Republic. And -- since Papi is the most likable man on earth -- I'm sure he and Papi are buddies, especially since they were hitting together in that DR lineup. Pena happy, Papi happy, Manny happy? Sounds great to me.

by Randy Booth on Mar 20, 2006 11:58 AM EST reply actions   0 recs

Viva Dominicana!
"You know you're having a bad day when the fifth inning rolls around and they drag the warning track." - Mike Flanagan, Baltimore Orioles pitcher, 1992.

by SoxDevil on Mar 20, 2006 12:18 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

Sorry, baby helping me type
Pena as a fourth outfielder and power off the bench is huge. Mohr might fit fine as a piece, but he doesn't have near the raw talent.

But will this again bring up the occasions on which Theo's front office seemed to reneg on a deal, or at least be dishonest?  It's not worst offense in the world, but it is discouraging.

Good grief - Cabrera? Just think how he might flourish under Papi's wing.

by alfredoz on Mar 20, 2006 12:19 PM EST reply actions   0 recs

RE:
Cabrera is a stud. But I don't think Florida would trade him to the Sox unless we give them a ton of affordable, great-or-soon-to-be-great players.

by Randy Booth on Mar 20, 2006 12:22 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

Cabrera
I don't see him going anywhere for the time being. He's still rediculously young and is already one of the best players in the league. He'll still be in his prime when the rest of the baby Mahlins have developed and are kicking butt. Cabrera, more than any other player, is the one the Mahlins should pay to keep.
"You know you're having a bad day when the fifth inning rolls around and they drag the warning track." - Mike Flanagan, Baltimore Orioles pitcher, 1992.

by SoxDevil on Mar 20, 2006 12:56 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

RE
Jeremy Hermida will be a stud, too. If that team just had a payroll then they would be a scary team.

by Randy Booth on Mar 20, 2006 1:36 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

Wow
I'm surprised, but not surprised, if that makes sense.

I think this is the right move for the Sox, as much as they look like the bad guy over the contract issue. They moved Bronson when his stock was highest (much like Hanley), and got a player who's a potential stud.

Like Roto says:

"It's not often a team can pick up a potential 40-homer guy for a pitcher it plans on using in middle relief."

I agree. Arroyo has been very hittable recently, and I didn't expect him to be very solid this year either.

On the upside, Pena could be good, and he could be a bust. The good news is, he's 24. Arroyo not be grizzled veteran, but he'll start the 2007 at 30 years old. I just don't think there was that much cieling left for him, even if he was in the rotation this year.

by Matt Rivers on Mar 20, 2006 2:02 PM EST reply actions   0 recs

I think this is the front end
of another deal.  pena needs to play.  Whether it is in the outfield or at first base.  I believe someone else is gonna get moved soon.

by cblesz on Mar 20, 2006 2:26 PM EST reply actions   0 recs

Apparently,
Pena played some first over the winter for Aguilas Cibaenas of the Dominican Winter League. It really does look like a front office move to cover for Trot and Lowell (with Youk moving back to 3B).

by britsoxfan on Mar 20, 2006 3:13 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

Anyone hear anything from Arroyo?
Putting aside the merits of the trade, I too am troubled by Arroyo signing a "hometown discount," then being traded before he made a single regular season pitch.  It makes feel like no one should be booing Damon* unless they're prepared to boo the entire Sox organization.

That being said, I wonder how Arroyo feels about the trade, all things considered.  I know he wanted to stay with the Sox, but if given the choice between being a starter with another club or a long reliever with the Sox for this year (and possibly for good -- no more Wells in 2007, but perhaps Lester, plus whoever's in the FA market), would he rather be a starter elsewhere?

* I'm referring to booing him as a "traitor" -- of course it's ok to boo him because he's a Yankee.

by argo0 on Mar 20, 2006 2:47 PM EST reply actions   0 recs

Question & Concerns
Does he go by "Wily Pena" or "Wily Mo Pena"? In other words, will RemDawg use both of his first two names when he says, "Bases loaded, and here comes Wily [Mo] to the plate to bat for Trot Nixon..."?

I'm not worried about the outfield in 2006. I'm worried about our 2nd and 3rd basemen, and our shortstop. There are a whole lot of fingers crossed over those key three positions.

I also can envision Tavares giving up a clutch gopher ball in the playoffs.

by Hudson on Mar 20, 2006 3:37 PM EST reply actions   0 recs

Feh
I have almost no sentiment in my body when it comes to professional sports, but... the Sox did wrong by Arroyo.  Arroyo was foolish to not get a no-trade clause to go with his discount price, but this is a poor way to spend one's organizational credibility.

by NinetyNineTails on Mar 20, 2006 3:49 PM EST reply actions   0 recs

Trade
I think that this a a precurser to a larger trade that might involve trot nixon. I like the trade. I am sick of Arroyo and his "i am going to put singing first then baseball" mentality. This is a perfet situation for us too. He is going to the Reds, who and in the NL and suck. This can't really come back to bite us in the ass. Can you imagine the line up of Papi, Manny, Pena? that is scary.

by absolutelax395 on Mar 20, 2006 7:10 PM EST reply actions   0 recs

singing first?
I've heard similar comments to this one ("he focuses more on music than baseball") and I'm just wondering if there's an actual incident that leads people to this conclusion.

As far as I understand it, Arroyo just recorded an album of cover songs during that one offseason.  He didn't write any of the songs or produce the record -- he just sang and let the producers do the rest. Then, to support the Cd he played one or two concerts in Boston. He didn't do a tour, did he?

Like I said, I'm just wonderring if there's a reason why people think he puts music before baseball, because from what I know that's not the case at all. To me, it seems like the CD was done on a lark. It's not like he was Brian Wilson holed up in the studio for months strung out on drugs.

by Rain Dog on Mar 21, 2006 12:05 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

well
he did have a concert out here in anaheim when the Sox were out here on their road trip, don't know if that means anything.  i think he played the house of blues.
A bad day at the Yard is better than a good day at work

by Fidog on Mar 21, 2006 6:12 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

not sold
on the idea of Trot being moved.

I really think they platoon this year, and Trot moves to 1B next year and finishes his career at 1B. Pena takes over in RF. As for Trot at 1B, He'll play the position nicely, is left-handed, and that'll allow Youk to move back to 3B where he'll have more value (once we move Lowell, who I really don't think has much time with the Red Sox in his future.

by Matt Rivers on Mar 20, 2006 7:14 PM EST reply actions   0 recs

no Trot trade
How on Earth would you move Trot Nixon even if you wanted to trade him? He's been injured each of the last two seasons, and no organization worth its salt would give up more than a role player for Trot. You would essentially be giving him away.

Trot's not that effective vs. lefties, but it's made worse by the fact that he receives very limited practice and exposure to them. Bear in mind that he hits for around .300 with power vs. righties (comprising the vast majority of all pitchers). How would the Sox get approximate fair value for him? Trot's stock is currently low.

"You know you're having a bad day when the fifth inning rolls around and they drag the warning track." - Mike Flanagan, Baltimore Orioles pitcher, 1992.

by SoxDevil on Mar 21, 2006 7:51 AM EST up reply actions   0 recs

Not sure
If Trot becomes a 10/5 guy after this season or not either. 2 games in 1996 may not qualify.

by Matt Rivers on Mar 21, 2006 12:15 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

Trot
I believe this is the last year on Trot's contract; I don't really expect the Sox to re-sign him unless they plan on putting him at 1B (which may be a good idea).

by poludamas on Mar 22, 2006 12:21 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

I like it.
If Manny can do for Wily Mo what he did for Papi, fuggetaboutit.

But I agree that this can't be the end of the dealing. We have to start the season with Wily Mo and Stern as extra outfielders, meaning Mohr and Harris are either gone or sent to AAA until Stern can go down. And at 6'4", 245 lbs, Wily Mo doesn't strike me as a back-up CF, and Mohr's got "Corner OF" written all over him, so I'm guessing Mohr is gone and either Harris or Stern sticks around (probably Harris, as he can play infield, and has better stolen base potential, and Stern could use some steady playing time in AAA).

Is it possible the Sox would eat Lowell's salary if he was hitting below the Mendoza line come May? I'm still hopeful that he comes around at the plate, if only because his defense is stellar, but it seems like Theo's making contingency plans. Is there any trade value for Lowell, if we eat half his salary and package him with Mohr and Seanez/Riske/etc.?

by tommy.otm on Mar 20, 2006 7:34 PM EST reply actions   0 recs

huh?
What exactly did Manny do for Papi?  Last I checked, Papi was a power hitter before he got to boston.  His numbers were hurting because the Twins couldn't surround him with other hitters.  

by forage on Mar 20, 2006 9:29 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

Manny-Papi
It's a Jedi thing, you wouldn't understand.

;)

by tommy.otm on Mar 22, 2006 8:26 AM EST up reply actions   0 recs

I like the deal
One of the main things the Sox lack in the minors is a young OF that can mash.  Wily Mo COULD be an impact bat, and keep in mind that he was rushed to the bigs, and should have had more "seasoning" where he could learn the value of a walk and plate discipline.  Bronson got the contract he did pretty much based on what he would do as a starter, but he wasn't going to be in that role this year, and there aren't a lot of long relievers/spot starters w/ multi million dollar contracts.  I'm sure Bronson would prefer starting, and he will be a front of the rotation guy for the Reds.
A bad day at the Yard is better than a good day at work

by Fidog on Mar 20, 2006 7:43 PM EST reply actions   0 recs

Not true
Given this offseason, you really can't say that.  I'll bet you anything next season's relievers are going to be paid even more.  Good long relievers/spot starters are hard to find.  People with playoff experience are even harder to find.

My whole point is Bronson got screwed over royally.  He's going to be a front of the rotation guy in Cincy, but be paid like a spot starter for 3 years.  He deserved better.  If Theo was thinking about trading him, then he should've antied up and paid Bronson what he was worth.  The only thing I wish for now is for Bronson to kick some serious ass for the Reds and make Boston really wish they hadn't made the trade.

by forage on Mar 20, 2006 9:37 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

Arroyo on WEEI
Apparently, Arroyo knew this was a possibility, even anticipated being traded around arbitration time. He breifly discussed how he didn't feel betrayed in any way, and knows that this is how things go.

by Matt Rivers on Mar 20, 2006 9:50 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

Impressed
I'm impressed with Arroyo's reaction, if that was the case. I'm sure he'll enjoy starting vs. coming out of the 'pen, but I do wish we had at least honored his wishes (and possible gentlemen's agreement) for at least one season.

It's true we lose a very affordable and effective pitcher. Bronson can give you 30 starts every season (he hasn't been injured once!), or come out of the bullpen and provide solid relief. I was one of Arroyo's biggest supporters on this blog, but I think this was a good trade for Boston.

Pena, while a raw talent, can hopefully refine his skills and add a little discipline. I hope that Pena's fellow Dominicans, Manny and Papi, will in some way help. Pena's defense is also a little suspect. His numbers are average because his raw speed and arm-cannon make up for the bad reads and breaks he gets on the ball. I expect this will improve with experience. Pena is only 24,and while he's no Miguel Cabrera he does have excellent potential.

We lacked young, corner power in the OF, and we've filled that hole in the organization. With the addition of Pena and Crisp, our outfield got a whole lot younger.

"You know you're having a bad day when the fifth inning rolls around and they drag the warning track." - Mike Flanagan, Baltimore Orioles pitcher, 1992.

by SoxDevil on Mar 21, 2006 8:01 AM EST up reply actions   0 recs

I realize that
he might have been screwed, but that's the business of baseball.  The fact that he will pitch at the front of the Cincy rotation doesn't say a whole lot as Eric Milton was their "ACE"  last year.  I think Bronson will fare o.k. just by having a slot in the rotation and going to the NL (and out of the AL EAST), but he was going to be a 5th-7th inning guy for the Sox, which doesn't net a 3 mil + salary.  For 06, I would rather have Pap in that role until a rotation spot opens up.  By the time Arroyo's contract is up, Wily could be bangin out 30+ jacks, the kid has serious power.
A bad day at the Yard is better than a good day at work

by Fidog on Mar 21, 2006 12:10 AM EST up reply actions   0 recs

Who Would You Want?
It seems like Wily Mo has a ton more trade value than either Lowell or Trot. I love Trot, and I think all of baseball respects him. But he's still a question mark after all the health issues. And he costs a lot more than Wily Mo.

I really hope Arroyo is happy to start in Cincy, but that city is not like Boston or the West Coast. This feels terribly unfair to him.

by alfredoz on Mar 20, 2006 9:26 PM EST reply actions   0 recs

On A Side Note
If the Reds now play Hatteberg every day over Freel, I truly pity Bronson.

by alfredoz on Mar 20, 2006 9:42 PM EST reply actions   0 recs

Ug.
I second that. Freel should be an everyday player now, with Hatteberg providing days off.
"You know you're having a bad day when the fifth inning rolls around and they drag the warning track." - Mike Flanagan, Baltimore Orioles pitcher, 1992.

by SoxDevil on Mar 21, 2006 8:02 AM EST up reply actions   0 recs

Hatteberg
He was okay when he played for us

by forage on Mar 21, 2006 4:13 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

Consider me surprised...
I'm in awe that Sox fans are even debating the merits of this trade.  While Arroyo was a nice asset for our team as a swing man out of the pen, I think we got tremendous value in return for him in Wily Mo.  This gives us another power bat in our lineup that should play a major role in our lineup for many years to come.

As for the talk of the no trade clause, I think that is just ridiculous.  The facts are, he did not have a no trade clause in his contract.  This is a business where no handshake promises should ever be valued for more than just a handshake.  Not to mention, last time I checked, the contract that Bronson signed seemed to be a pretty good value for a guy with his stats and background.  How exactly did this organization slight him anyways?

Baseball is the only field of endeavor where a man can succeed three times out of ten and be considered a good performer - Ted Williams

by sumelo03 on Mar 21, 2006 9:47 AM EST reply actions   0 recs

Arroyo
How do you figure Arroyo signed a good value contract?  He's league average at the very least (and most likely better), which usually nets about 4 mil.  He has NEVER been hurt, he has PLAYOFF experience, he's YOUNG, and it takes a special type of pitcher to come in here and pitch in the AL East, especially in Boston.  Most people can't do it in big market teams (for more details, see the Yankees).  He would have gotten 4+ mil in arbitration!  

Also, you have to look at the offseason trends.  With the AJ Burnett deal setting the standard, next season is going to be even crazier.  Hell, RELIEVERS are making more money this offseason than Arroyo, and they can't pitch 6-7 innings at a time.  

Also, haven't you ever heard the term 'loyalty'?  Look at our past history.  Derek Lowe, Pedro Martinez, Johnny Damon, Roger Clemens, and lots of other players, they all left Boston to chase the money, and Boston fans hated them for it.  Now we have a pitcher who WANTED to stay with us.  He wanted to pitch for Boston so much that he GAVE UP money to sign a long term contract with us.  For me, that merits respect, and a certain degree of loyalty from the organization.  He was given certain assurances during the negotiations process that he would stay for at least the season, and we didn't hold up to that agreement.  Its shameful.

by forage on Mar 21, 2006 4:24 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

Source?
"He was given certain assurances during the negotiations process that he would stay for at least the season, and we didn't hold up to that agreement."

To my knowledge, Hoyer assured Arroyo that no plans were in place to trade him. Can you cite a source that mentions anything about "at least the season" ??

by Matt Rivers on Mar 21, 2006 4:35 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

yup, ur rite about that
no guarantee for the season from the GMs.  its also interesting to note that this deal was done when Hoyer and Cherington were in charge, and it was Theo who pulled the trigger on the trade.

http://sports.espn.go.com/mlb/news/story?id=2298402

is the story.  It says:

"Arroyo said neither of the Red Sox co-general managers, Jed Hoyer and Ben Cherington, could promise him that he won't be traded.

"But Jed and Ben both stated to me that there was no deal on the table for me right now, and they felt pretty strongly that I wouldn't be traded any time anywhere in the near future," Arroyo said. "They couldn't guarantee me security for the lifetime of the contract."

Apparently, 'near future' meant 2 months.  
My basic point is the same.  The team showed no loyalty to the guy who showed a strong desire to stay, and used him as trade bait.  I understand that this is business and not everyone who wants to stay can stay, but there were other ways.  Why did they have to offer a 3 year deal at a hometown discount?  They could have given him a 1 year deal, allowing Arroyo to negotiate for more money next offseason.  

by forage on Mar 21, 2006 5:27 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

also
I think its safe to say Arroyo thought the 'near future' comment would be for AT LEAST this offseason, allowing him to pitch and cement his spot on the staff.

by forage on Mar 21, 2006 5:28 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

Arroyo wanted the deal
Arroyo would said that he welcomed the long-term deal. I believe he said something to the effect of "I could get hit my a car tomorrow. I could use the securtiy".

I'm not buying the "hometown discount" thing either. It's not like he turned down a 3/25 deal or something like that. I understand that contracts for pitchers are loaded these days, but Arroyo himself didn't feel shafted by this. Part of that is him being a good guy, but I believe it too. He got a raise with that contract.

Unfortunately, it looks bad for the management because of the timing. I don't believe they had intentions of trading him when they negotiated the deal. I can't blame the FO for always looking for a good deal, and this was one to make.

by Matt Rivers on Mar 21, 2006 5:34 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

From Chris Snow's Globe/blog
"Wily Mo Pena just took batting practice. He hit some absolute bombs -- one off the scoreboard in left center, one over the scoreboard, and a smattering onto the field behind the left-field wall.

He's going to get an at-bat or two today, Terry Francona said."

by Matt Rivers on Mar 21, 2006 12:19 PM EST reply actions   0 recs

A few interesting numbers about Wily Mo
A lot of people have been talking about his lack of patience, but that might not be the problem behind his strikeouts.

Think Bellhorn, he didn't have any trouble seeing pitches (over 4 per at bat), but he did K a lot. Pena also sees a lot of pitches (3.8 PPA) last season, but doesnt walk as much. That leads me to believe he's getting suckered somehow in his swing, or swinging for the fence every time, something the Reds probably didn't discourage. That P/PA would be 5th highest on the team last year, beating out Mueller, Renteria, Damon, and others. My guess is that it's not like he's just swinging away on every pitch.

Another number that jumped out at me was his HR/F. Last year, it was .28, meaning, 28% of his fly balls were homeruns. That was 11th highest in MLB. League average is about 11%.

Just to give you an idea, Pena would tie for the lead on our team with that number, with Manny Ramirez.

by Matt Rivers on Mar 21, 2006 12:48 PM EST reply actions   0 recs

Seems the scouting
consensus is he is young enough to adjust at age 24, where Bellhorn just has holes in his swing.  You could run a tape on all of bellhorn's K's and it seems like he struckout on the same type of pitch every time, like he couldn't adjust or even expect fastballs up and in.
A bad day at the Yard is better than a good day at work

by Fidog on Mar 21, 2006 6:19 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

Long Relievers
For everyone who says he wasn't good enough to be a starter, and he wasn't worth the money to be a long relief man:

http://sports.espn.go.com/mlb/news/story?id=2295966

we gave Mota, who had a worse ERA(4.70), and pitched fewer innings(67 to 205.1) 3 mil for 1 year before we trade him.  

by forage on Mar 21, 2006 5:35 PM EST reply actions   0 recs

mota
was signed to be a setup man though, not a long reliever, and Mota had some closing experience, so could have spelled Foulke if he wouldn't be ready and the brass didn't think any of the youngsters could step in.
A bad day at the Yard is better than a good day at work

by Fidog on Mar 21, 2006 6:20 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

Good value???
Now I've heard everything...  Someone just posted that Bronson should have warranted a larger contract because of his versatility and post-season experience?  I'm guessing that guy is probably ready to vote Dennis Lamp in to the Hall of Fame as well...  Did you really justify your position by citing Bronson's post-season experience?  I guess the Sox would be hard pressed to find another swingman with an over 7.00 post season era...

What has Bronson really accomplished in his stint in Boston?  We picked him up off the scrap heap and turned him into a serviceable pitcher.  He managed to win 24 games over 2 years with the best offense in baseball supporting his over 4.00 era.   If nothing else, he should be thankful to the Sox for that.  At 30 years old, one could argue that his stats could be cycling down.  Instead of risking that downside, Theo was able to spin him for a young, power-hitting OF.  Instead of applauding Theo for a job well done, you want to linger with the 2004 memories and wonder what might have been.  If you really want to relive that story, why not visit the Celtics message board???

Baseball is the only field of endeavor where a man can succeed three times out of ten and be considered a good performer - Ted Williams

by sumelo03 on Mar 21, 2006 5:41 PM EST reply actions   0 recs

Maybe you didn't watch last year....
WHEN ALL OF OUR STARTERS WHO STARTED MORE THAN 3 GAMES HAD 4.xx ERA.  They pitch in a hitters ballpark!  Arroyo had an ERA of 3.48 away from Fenway.  He held right handers to .228 over his career.  As a reliever, he has a 2.55 ERA, .191 average against.  As a starter, he did just as well last year as Clement and Wells, who made 6 mil and 4 mil respectively. And, he did it pitching more innings.  

Sure, he won 24 games in the last two years.  Clements won 22, and hes being paid 7 mil next season.  Heck, Arroyo won more games too, with the same offense Clement had last season.
Wake only won 4 more games more than Arroyo in the last two years, and he did it with a much worse ERA over that span.
Beckett hasn't pitched a full season yet.

Take a look at the pitchers market next year, and tell me again he wouldn't have made more money.  In fact, lets count how much more over Bronson's 11.2 mil Boston will shell out for starting pitching over the next 3 years.  

and, pitchers peak in their late 20s/early 30s, so hes its ridiculous to say hes past his prime.  
Bottom line, Bronson is an adequate 3/4 pitcher, which in this league means at least 4-5 mil a year for a veteran.  

Get your facts straight.  Ignorant people shouldnt be knocking on others expressing their opinions.  I haven't countered anyones thoughts without knowing facts and backing it up, and I have NEVER attacked the person posting.  

by forage on Mar 21, 2006 6:52 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

Future Arms
I think you're overestimating the "market" effect.

Because next year is such a huge starting pitching market, Arroyo will have less value. Market value also dramatically shifts each year.

I also don't think that the Red Sox will shell out that much more money in the near future for starting pitching. After this year, Papelbon, Lester, and Beckett are locks for the rotation. Those three combined won't make 7 million.

Arroyo could've been great this year, and he could've been awful. We'll never know.

The bottom line here is that it really doesnt have as much to do with money as its being made out to be, especially with Boston's payroll. Boston needed to trim their roster, and wanted to do so by addressing another area, potentially for several years. That's really all there is to it.

by Matt Rivers on Mar 21, 2006 7:05 PM EST reply actions   0 recs

RE:
And I don't think his success in Cincy this season will be a good enough judge of "would he have been good or not?" Because I think he'll do well in Cincy: sub 3 ERA, higher K-rate, etc, but I don't think he would have done the same in Boston. The pressure is off him now and he has something to prove. He'll be strong this year.

by Randy Booth on Mar 22, 2006 8:55 AM EST up reply actions   0 recs

Get your facts straight?
I just love posters that use the stats that support their argument, and completely ignore the stats that negate them.  Truly classic!  I guess that 7.00 playoff era and declining strikeout rate this past season just don't signify anything.  Do you happen to know what his career era is against the Yankees?  Since it doesn't support your argument, I have an idea, let's just ignore it...  Also, did you really try to compare Arroyo to Beckett?  Please tell me that you realized how silly that comparison was and decided to just drop it.

I'm not saying that Bronson was not a good pitcher.  I think he had a nice stint here in Boston and he obviously had the most trade value of the 3 pitchers (Wells, Clement and Bronson) we have been trying to move this off-season.  Theo recognized this fact, and adjusted accordingly.  I'm sure he would have preferred to do a Wells for Pena swap, but why on earth would the Reds do that deal?  The fact is, we have 2 young kids (Papelbon and Lester) that are pushing for rotation spots in the near future, Arroyo was expendable.

Baseball is the only field of endeavor where a man can succeed three times out of ten and be considered a good performer - Ted Williams

by sumelo03 on Mar 22, 2006 8:34 AM EST reply actions   0 recs

Comparing Arroyo to Beckett
Actually, Arroyo is in some ways more valuable than Beckett (at least more than Beckett has been in the past). Beckett's got more heat and flashier stuff, but Arroyo has never been on the disabled list in his MLB career. How many other pitchers have never missed a start? Arroyo is not flashy, but he's as dependable a pitcher as you'll find. He's probably not my first choice for a must-win game, but over the course of the entire season, Arroyo is a pitcher I'd love to have on my team. You've got to make the playoffs first before you can talk about your 1-2 punch.

Read this article by the Hardball Times. Arroyo's dropping K/9 rate was due to his increased use of a changeup rather than his curve or slider. I don't know why his pitch selection changed, but that's the cause of the drop in effectiveness. There's no reason he can't return to top form.

"You know you're having a bad day when the fifth inning rolls around and they drag the warning track." - Mike Flanagan, Baltimore Orioles pitcher, 1992.

by SoxDevil on Mar 22, 2006 12:14 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

yup
ESPN says its 5.45 against NYY.
He has a 3.00 ERA in Yankees stadium.  

I'm not trying to say he's the best pitcher in all of baseball.  He isn't, and I know that.  But he is better than most pitchers who earn the money he signed for, and he only signed for such a low deal with the hope that he would still play for Boston.  

by forage on Mar 22, 2006 3:38 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

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