2011 Red Sox Community Projections: Jon Lester Misses The Hype

NEW YORK, NY - SEPTEMBER 24: Jon Lester #31 of the Boston Red Sox wipes sweat from his face against the New York Yankees on September 24, 2011 at Yankee Stadium in the Bronx borough of New York City. (Photo by Nick Laham/Getty Images)

Well...you certainly are an optimistic bunch.

More than 20 guesses on Jon Lester, and almost every single one of them too high--or too low, depending on which one means better in this case.

With the worst results and peripherals since 2008, Lester failed to live up to the Cy Young sort of hype that was expected of him. After dodging his usual early-year troubles with a strong April, Lester fell off in May to the tune of a 5.50 ERA. He would rebound, however, and was lights out for the middle of the year right up until the dreaded September, when he, like just about everyone else on the team, had their talent flee in the team's time of greatest need.

On the whole, it just wasn't his best season. With the worst results and peripherals since 2008, Lester failed to live up to the Cy Young sort of hype that was expected of him. Of course, Jon Lester is not alone in this, as Josh Beckett was the only one of our starters to really outperform his expectations, but it wascertainly a down year. The results in projections, then, are predictably ugly:

Username Inings Wins ERA WHIP K/9 BB/9 FIP
Jon Lester 192 15 3.47 1.26 8.55 3.52 3.83
ThePanda 205 20 3.20 1.20 9.70 3.00
Totheights 211 21 2.98 1.18 8.80 2.50 3.10
Nuthinboutnuthin 209 21 3.28 1.19 9.40 2.95 3.00
Remembering9ergods 213 23 3.19 1.19 8.70 2.10 3.08
BobZupcic 220 18 3.12 1.12 9.60 2.70 3.21
Drabidea 205 21 3.10 1.20 9.80 3.20 3.15
Rogue Nine 215 20 3.01 1.15 9.90 2.80 3.15
Dsharp 209 19 3.34 1.24 9.40 3.40 3.25
Brogshan 205 17 3.14 1.21 9.85 3.08 3.09
BoldandBrash 210 21 3.21 1.19 9.88 3.00 3.12
Steve Boyle 204 17 3.3 1.18 9.71 3.52
Tarrsk 220 21 2.96 1.18 9.70 2.99 3.01
GroundRuleTriple90 207 21 2.97 1.17 9.84 2.80
Theartolater 204 22 3.12 1.14 8.70 2.99
Buccaz 213.2 20 2.89 1.16 10.02 2.77
Gizmosandy 210 21 2.98 1.13 9.90 2.70
Royredd87 224.1 24 2.56 1.10 9.70 1.90
Justin_Bobo 221 21 2.61 1.13 9.91 2.95
RSNexile 220 20 3.10 1.17 9.60 3.20 3.30
NJ Native 213 23 3.29 1.25 10.50 4.25
Jason A 224 23 2.97 1.15 9.47 2.45
Mattsullivan 215 18 2.89 1.23 10.35 3.68 2.68
AlohaSox 220 22 2.93 1.15 9.80 2.60 3.10

That may be just about the worst ever. Nobody was close in anything but WHIP and BB/9, where Steve Boyle remarkably hit the nail on the head. That, I suppose, makes him our winner.

With last year's projections wrapped up, we'll start in earnes on projecting the coming year tomorrow. It's going to be a bit of a squeeze, but we should be able to get a good few in.

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