This offseason a lot of Red Sox fans do not want a big signing or trade. Some people are even saying that the Red Sox should never trade prospects. While prospects can be exciting for fans, they're prospects. What no one seems to understand about prospects is most of the time they fail. When people look at Xander Bogaerts, they look at a future superstar, and that's possible, but that is actually a low probability. The higher probability is that Xander Bogaerts will bust. Most prospects bust. Since Bogaerts is an elite prospect, an average player is a more likely scenario, but still, guys like Garin Cecchini, and Blake Swihart are being seriously overrated, and most likely, they will both turn into nothing. Now onto free agent signings. While Crawford and Lackey did not turn out well, that doesn't mean we should never sign anyone again. Free agent signings are a great way to get players. You don't even lose prospects, just money, now bad contracts can hamper a team, but mostly in bunches like last year. A free agent bust can cripple a team, but if you never sign anyone, you won't be competitive. Our team has tons of money to spend, and the free agent class next year won't be very good, why don't we make a big free agent signing now? Everyone says that Hamilton or Greinke would be a terrible idea. Hamilton, I would give 4 years too, but Greinke, I think we should sign right now. This team needs pitching, and Greinke has a lot of signs of a good free agent signing. Greinke is relatively young for a free agent at only 29, his peripherals have been better than his ERA the last few years, he is not trending down, not trending up either, he's just all over the place in terms of K's. His BB's are relatively consistent though at around 2.3 per nine innings which isn't bad at all. He is also one of the only chances we have to get a true ace in a while, so I say sign him.