Dustin Moseley

by TheLoneDavid on Jan 31, 2012 10:25 PM EST

The Red Sox still desperately need a 4th starter. Roy Oswalt has no interest in coming to Boston, Edwin Jackson is looking for more money than Boston wants to pay, and will probably go somewhere that will inflate his stats so he can sign a big contract next year. Kenny Williams is Kenny Williams, so who knows what he's asking for Gavin Floyd.

Enter San Diego Padres pitcher Dustin Moseley. Moseley posted a 95 ERA- in his first full year as a starter, his 3.99 FIP and 4.22 xFIP look good in his first year as a full-time starter, and, importantly, he posted a 49% GB rate, which means he isn't totally a product of Petco Park. Moseley went down for the year after dislocating his shoulder during a game batting for the Padres (another resounding argument for the DH), and without Gavin Floyd's track record he should come fairly cheaply. He also will make just over 2 million dollars on the year, which is important for the suddenly frugal Sox FO.

Moseley isn't a sure thing, the last time he was in the AL East he pitched in 16 games, starting 9 of them and put up a 4.96 ERA. That's not pretty, but it's likely much better than we can expect from the Terrible Pitcher Medley we have competing for the #5 spot in our rotation. As a consistent starter, his numbers could improve, and a 3.80-4.20 is not out of the question. Given the current state of the rotation, being able to pencil that into the back of the rotation would be a huge step towards being confident in the team making the playoffs.

The other problem with Moseley is his stamina, last year he only pitched for 120 innings, but that was still his career high. He pitched 160+ innings in 2006, but he's not what one would call "reliable." This is for the #5 spot however, and after last year, 160 innings from one pitcher would feel like a godsend.

So, Mosely, cheap to pay, probably cheap to acquire, above-average arm for the #5 spot. Injury concerns. Thoughts?

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What do you reckon the Padres would want for him?

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by Bloggy on Feb 1, 2012 6:50 AM EST via Android app reply actions

I'm not sure.

Common sense says he should be had for a song, but he is one of the few good players still on the team. I’m hopeful something like Britton/Tejada would be able to get him.

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by TheLoneDavid on Feb 1, 2012 9:39 AM EST up reply actions

Absolutely no K's

Only way to compensate for that and be successful is walk nobody and never give up HR’s, he doesn’t do either well. 88mph fastballs won’t fool anybody up in the zone either.

pass

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by L33to II on Feb 1, 2012 10:25 AM EST reply actions

he is a sinkerball pitcher

they are supposed to go slower. An 88 mph sinker is much harder to hit than a 93 mph fastball.

by SoxAcumen on Feb 1, 2012 9:59 PM EST up reply actions

You can never give up HR's if you play...

…in Petco.

But not really, for him. I fired up the old spreadsheet, and found that he’s given up 7 HR in 60 career IP in Petco, a 1.05 HR/9. He’s given up 35 HR outside of Petco, in 293 and one third innings, good for a 1.07 HR/9. Not a big difference.

by nvalvo on Feb 3, 2012 1:25 PM EST up reply actions