Prince Fielder's Deal Makes Adrian Gonzalez Look Even Better
Prince Fielder signed for nine years and $214 million with the Tigers, putting an exclamation point on what has been a very spending-heavy winter. Rate-wise, the contract isn't that crazy, as it puts Fielder along four other similarly-paid first basemen in the game, including the Red Sox' own Adrian Gonzalez. The main difference is the nine years, as well as the timing of the contract -- for that, the Red Sox deserve credit.
Travel back in time, all the way to the beginning of the 2010-2011 off-season. The Red Sox had just finished a year in which Kevin Youkilis was their starting first baseman, and Adrian Beltre was at third. There were multiple options to choose from, including sticking with the 2010 lineup at the corners, but that would have entailed investing heavily in Beltre, a player already in his early 30s, and Youkilis, at the same point in his career, was under contract for just two more years and was starting to show signs of wear.
The decision was made to finally do what had been rumored for the better part of a year, and trade for Adrian Gonzalez to play first base.
Gonzalez wasn't yet 30 -- 2011 would be his age-29 season -- and he had just come off of a four-year stretch in which he hit .284/.377/.517 despite playing in the game's most vicious park for left-handed hitters. Gonzalez was set to be a free agent in a year, though, prompting outcry from some who felt Boston had wasted prospects in a trade when they could have simply waited for their prize to be available to all. Part of the reasoning was that New York was already dug in with Mark Teixeira thanks to an eight-year, $180 million deal that ends in 2016, so Boston's path to Gonzalez was clear.
The counterpoint to this was that there would always be teams ready to line up to pay the game's very best players. Baseball is a very rich sport, and while the payrolls of the Red Sox and Yankees tend to be the game's highest, they aren't the only clubs capable of handing out enormous contracts to the top talents out there. With Albert Pujols and Prince Fielder both signing mega-contracts with the Angels and Tigers respectively, this point is magnified even further. Add to that the fact that the Marlins almost landed Pujols with a supposedly larger offer, and that the Cardinals, a team in a market small enough to qualify St. Louis for a chance at the new draft lottery also offered him a huge deal to stick around, and you can see that there is always money for the game's superstars.*
*Offer not valid in Tampa Bay, San Diego, or Pittsburgh
Gonzalez signed an extension for seven years and $154 million, adding on to the last year of his original contract with the Padres for a total of eight years and $159.5 million. That's $22 million a year if you just count from the extension onward, or $19.9 million if you put it all together. It's difficult to imagine the Red Sox getting Gonzalez for that low amount in a winter in which Pujols signed a 10-year deal, and the inferior Fielder was also awarded over $200 million and nearly a decade's worth of guaranteed work.
The Red Sox are, even with Gonzalez in a situation where $22 million per year is a discount, in a bit of a budget crunch as they attempt to stay under the luxury tax in order to make future over-spending easier on the team's wallet and budget. Marco Scutaro was dealt to free up some cash to bolster the outfield, and potentially the starting rotation.
What would the 2012 Red Sox look like if they had to contend with the market of the 2011-2012 off-season, and had signed Gonzalez to a longer-term deal, or one with even just a little bit higher average annual value? They would be a lesser team for it, most likely, or even worse, would be sans Gonzalez due to monetary concerns after setting themselves up to acquire him through free agency.
The Red Sox paid out in prospects, dealing a pitcher who wouldn't be ready to impact the team for a few years, a first base prospect they wouldn't require if they had Gonzalez, and an outfielder from the low minors who could turn into something great or never even make the majors. Those prospects all had value, there is no denying that, but the Red Sox felt that getting Gonzalez for a year and extending him prior to a winter that Pujols, Fielder, and Scott Boras could make into their plaything was worth that cost in prospects. With Fielder and Pujols both signed and Gonzalez coming off of a 2011 MVP-caliber campaign, it looks like Boston's plan worked out.
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Couldn't agree more.
Gonzalez is the best bargain out of the field of himself, Pujols, Teixeira, and Fielder. He’s probably the second-best moving forward, as well.
Only thing that worries me is that shoulder.
by abbreviatedman on Jan 25, 2012 10:35 AM EST reply actions
Not sure who he's second to in that field.
Pujols? Maybe if Miggy Cabrera were in there.
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by nuthinboutnuthin on Jan 25, 2012 11:46 AM EST up reply actions
Pujols.
Even with his “down” year last year, Pujols has been better over the last three years (which is Adrian’s best time streak). I think even if you’re worried Pujols is already in decline, he’s probably still a bit better than Adrian. But only a bit.
by abbreviatedman on Jan 25, 2012 12:59 PM EST up reply actions
Fair enough.
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by nuthinboutnuthin on Jan 25, 2012 1:30 PM EST up reply actions
If it ever comes out, they could probably void his contract
Which would probably be useful when you find out you’re paying him 30 million for his age 42-44 seasons.
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by TheLoneDavid on Jan 25, 2012 4:55 PM EST up reply actions
I could, motherfucker keeps stealing my food.
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by TheLoneDavid on Jan 25, 2012 5:42 PM EST up reply actions
Yeah...
…but it’s not very good food.
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Robble, robble
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by nuthinboutnuthin on Jan 25, 2012 6:21 PM EST up reply actions
He managed a 0.406 wOBA
During a season when his shoulder was still healing. What type of season he could put up with a fully stronger shoulder makes me smile.
No doubt.
I mean, even with Scutaro and Reddick gone, this offense could actually look better in 2012 than it did in 2011… which is really scary.
If only we had a five pitcher rotation this year…
I thought we’d never win it all. And then we went down 0-3 to the Yankees in 2004, and I thought it was the end of the world.
Wait ’til THIS year!
The Detroit Tigers should be rename the Scott Boras’s Tigers..
I wouldn’t be surprise that Cabrera is on the trading block, but this deal is a head scratcher, much like I think the Pujols deal with the Angels is way over value, as much as the Crawford deal was a head scratcher.
Me too
But not because of Adrian, that’s for sure.
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by Marc Normandin on Jan 25, 2012 12:23 PM EST up reply actions
Could you imagine the infield defense
with Beltre, Pedroia and Gonzalez……we night not actually need a SS
We'd need about 3 extra left fielders though
Beltre does not yield.
by Fromalabama on Jan 25, 2012 12:48 PM EST up reply actions
Letting Beltre go
Is easier to deal with if you assume he just would have killed Ellsbury in 2011, too.
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by Marc Normandin on Jan 25, 2012 12:56 PM EST up reply actions
Ha ha ha!
So true.
Imagine, for a moment though, what Beltre cost us despite his strong 2010 campaign.
If Ellsbury had put up his 2011 numbers in 2010, we never would have signed Carl Crawford. (Of course, the flip side is… if Ells hadn’t broken his ribs so badly in that collision, he wouldn’t have spent the offseason strengthening his core to a point where he could just jack the balls out.)
I thought we’d never win it all. And then we went down 0-3 to the Yankees in 2004, and I thought it was the end of the world.
Wait ’til THIS year!
Plus, imagine how fat Doubront would be if Beltre was still here!!
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You know, I'm really surprised DD wouldn't take Scutaro.
An infield of Miggy/Peralta/Scutaro/Fielder would be awesome, and make their lineup a lot more dangerous than having Santiago in the 9th spot.
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Great work, Marc.
The deal looks even better in retrospect if you take into account the prospects sent to San Diego. Of course, deals can’t fairly be evaluated based on information only available after the fact, but it looks like the Sox sold high on Kelly and Rizzo (though I still like him a lot). Fuentes could still turn into something but his stats aren’t particularly impressive in A+ ball last year.
When you look at it, saving roughly $40 million is worth those guys one way or the other.
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Especially how quickly the Pads dealt Rizzo back to Theo/Jed.
I thought we’d never win it all. And then we went down 0-3 to the Yankees in 2004, and I thought it was the end of the world.
Wait ’til THIS year!
well I don't really think that was because of him losing value
I think was because they got Alonso, who’s gonna be there a while. Although the return they got for Rizzo was just awful…
Yeah I think we sold a tad high
But the Padres sold way low.
by The Name is Dalton on Jan 27, 2012 8:48 AM EST up reply actions

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