For One Game Or Two, Ryan Lavarnway Should Start
It's been an up-and-down year for the Boston Red Sox' catchers, of that there's no doubt. For a couple months there with Jarrod Saltalamacchia, it really did seem as though the Sox had run into their answer. His OPS was up in the stratosphere through June and July, and with Jason Varitek putting up good numbers in the backup role, fans were even willing to overlook the often times terrible defense that came behind the plate.
Then he fell back to Earth.
After a terrible September, Jarrod Saltalamacchia's season now looks a lot more like what we might have been expecting at the beggining. A .319 wOBA leaves him just one point above Jason Varitek, who has seen an even more dramatic fall-off this month. While that actually doesn't leave them in too terrible a place amongst the catchers of the league, it's a far cry from being good when you consider all the passed balls, wild pitches, and singles turned into triples (that one's mostly on Varitek).
So here we stand with a big old question mark behind the plate once again. This time, though, there's an answer sitting on the bench--one that's been there for the whole month, and finally got a chance to show his stuff last night in the biggest game of the year.
By now, everyone knows of Ryan Lavarnway's heroics. The real question is: why did it take so long for him to get a start? The obvious answer would seem to be the defense--it's always been the knock on Lavarnway. But quite frankly he looked fine behind the plate last night, and the man he'd mostly be replacing has allowed a full 60% more passed balls than the next backstop on the list, so it's not like there's much to lose.
Meanwhile, he offers a potentially huge bat against left-handed pitchers, and one that's quite possibly quite capable of hitting righties as well, should the minor league numbers play out in the majors. He certainly seemed to be fooled a bit last night when facing same-handed pitching, but that could be as much because of how little he's been used in the past month. He was actually hitting them rather better than lefties in a very small sample size before yesterday, and had seen them well enough to draw a few walks in his short time with the team.
If you subscribe to the more classical ideas of baseball, then if nothing else Ryan Lavarnway is a shot in the arm. For those who are more statistically-oriented, then it's simply a matter of acknowledging that Jarrod Saltalamacchia, over the course of the year, seems to have proven to be little more than what he was in years past--and that's not really acceptable for the Red Sox.
Should they make the playoffs, then it might be time to re-evaluate based on things like Josh Beckett's security blanket relationship with Jason Varitek and Lavarnway's unfamiliarity with the pitching staff. But for now the Sox need to score runs, and if Bruce Chen happens to show up tomorrow, then it's not like Lavarnway will be any less familiar with him than Salty or Tek.
Play the hot hand, and hope he helps win some games.
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While I'm pro-Lavarnway
Salty has been much better than he was elsewhere with Boston. And passed balls are basically useless with him thanks to a certain knuckler.
Twitter: @Marc_Normandin
yes, last time this was mentioned
I was trying to find somewhere I could find how many of those passed balls came from Wake, but I couldn’t. I’m sure it’s nearly all of them.
Considering about 1/3 of Salty's starts are with Wake pitching
I would imagine it is nearly all of them.
Hi ho, Duke!
by The Duke of Silver on Sep 28, 2011 6:02 PM EDT up reply actions
Salty has been pretty similar, really.
This is actually his worst year by OBP
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USG
by Ben Buchanan on Sep 28, 2011 3:21 PM EDT up reply actions
Also easily his best power year
And in a down offensive year relative to the other worthwhile entry of 2007. Like I said, I’m totally Team Lavarnway on this one, but let’s not completely discount that we got a slightly above-average performance offensively, plus solid defense and control of the running game (especially when you factor in Wakefield).
Twitter: @Marc_Normandin
by Marc Normandin on Sep 28, 2011 4:32 PM EDT up reply actions
Salty and Varitek were due for a nose-dive.
Salty has never played more than 103 games in a season (which came this season). His most ever had been 93 (back in his rookie season, 2007). Last year he only played in 12 games, the year before, 84 games. He obviously wore down as the season progressed.
For comparison, Varitek, in mid-career, averaged about 130 games per season and Posada, mid-career, averaged around 140. They were two of the most durable catchers of the past 15 years, but it says something about how rare a full-time capable catcher is. Salty is good, but he’s not yet trained for a full season behind the plate. He’ll need a capable back-up to catch about 50-60 games for the next few seasons, and that’s why it’s great that Lavarnway is getting a few more at-bats and time behind the plate.
Varitek should be kept on as a third catcher/ass’t coach, but he cannot be the everyday back-up.
That being said, I’ve actually been very pleased with the work done by both Salty and Tek. Salty proved better than I had hoped, though his numbers look disappointing at first glance. He had some clutch hits this year and provided fine defense when not catching Wakefield, and he threw out a (relatively) high number of runners (better than what was expected).
Agreed
The Salty/Lavarnway combo next year that will likely lead to Lavarnway being The Man behind the plate in the future is something to look forward to.
Twitter: @Marc_Normandin
by Marc Normandin on Sep 28, 2011 4:33 PM EDT up reply actions
just hoping he doesn't feel the need to be a hero
and try to smack everything out of the park. He seems like a very intelligent, thoughtful hitter though, so I’m sure he’ll be fine.
He should be a thoughtful hitter
He majored in Philosophy at Yale.
/zing
by The Name is Dalton on Sep 28, 2011 3:26 PM EDT up reply actions
Hes looked pretty outclassed with offspeed stuff this year vs. RHP
that’s my concern. Fastballs and lefties, he looks comfortable. Everything else…..
I think you're selling Salty short, Ben.
He’s been excellent most of the year and even with his current slump he’s still been better than most catchers. That said, for tonight at least, I think you have to play Lavarnway.
Writer at Over The Monster. Follow me on Twitter! It'll be super awesome fun! @mattymatty2000
Just to get more pumped for tonight
Game 6, 1975 World Series. http://mlb.mlb.com/video/play.jsp?content_id=13062843
Jeff Edelman
Student.com
http://www.student.com
I just watched Four Days in October.
Gotta get my hopes up somehow. Plus, seeing highlights from that year jut doesn’t get old.
My vote for tomorrow
is for the best defensive catcher. I watched the Rays break the American League record for stolen bases with Veritek catching. I have trouble believing he is the best option.
And with that, I am off to root for the Yankees at the Trop.
Later, everyone.
Salty's serviceable
At least when he’s behind the plate, I don’t feel like every man who reaches first will be at third base within 45 seconds. His bat isn’t embarrassing, but it’s hardly scary. And more often than not, if I see him coming to the plate during a potential rally, I wince instead of getting excited.
Lavarnaway clearly has a bat that’s exciting.
I give him a pass for September
He was so good for the vast majority of the year, I won’t let a month where the entire darn team grossly underachieved be held against him.
"We are not normal, We are Legends. People will tell their kids about us." - Deon Butler before Ohio State Game 2008.
This winter
would like to see a veteran catcher who can throw runners out brought in, and let him see time with Lavarnway/Salty.
Love Tek, but time to go.
the 2011 Red Sox have turned into shit
Salty caught 31%
Actually a pretty decent number, not many full time players caught a higher percent than that. He of course is not that great at blocking the plate, but its hard to judge how bad considering how many times he caught Wake, who will inflate any catcher regardless of how good.
Lavarnway I seem to remember caught upwards of 40%, but also, plate blocking has been the knock.
We’ll see.
"We are not normal, We are Legends. People will tell their kids about us." - Deon Butler before Ohio State Game 2008.

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