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The Jason Varitek Hall of Fame Case

 

Earlier this week, NESN asked a question that I can’t help but returning to again and again, is Jason Varitek a Hall of Famer?

Tek might just be my favorite player of all time. As a kid, I wanted to be a catcher and to this day I maintain a huge interest in the position. There is no doubt that Tek was an excellent player. He was 2005 silver slugger and gold glove winner at the catcher’s position and he has been a three time All-Star. He has been regarded as one of the best game callers in the sport and he received MVP votes in three seasons. In 2004, he became the first captain of the Boston Red Sox since Jim Rice, making official the leadership role he had been playing for years in the Boston clubhouse. Clearly, he has had a great career, but is he a Hall of Famer?

Star-divide

As you might expect, I looked to the numbers first. In this day and age the obvious starting point for Hall of Fame discussions is wins above replacement (WAR). There are thirteen Hall of Fame catchers (excluding the players honored for off-field contributions) and they range in WAR from Johnny Bench’s 71.3 to Al Lopez’s 13.5 with an average WAR of 46 and 2.84 WAR per season. Given this rough standard, Jason Varitek is below average on both accounts with a mere 23.8 WAR thus far and an average of 1.83 WAR per season. However, he does rank ahead of three current Hall of Famers, Rick Farrell, Ray Schalk and Al Lopez on both counts. Even so, he is miles below the next lowest WAR total, Roy Campanella’s 36.2.

Varitek’s case gets even weaker when compared against his contemporaries. From 1999 to this point, Jason Varitek has been the 7th most valuable catcher in baseball by total WAR and he is 10th by average WAR per season. His totals and averages are closer to Ramon Hernandez than any of his other contemporaries. His best seasons of 2004 and 2005 rank as the 37th and 40th best seasons by a catcher during his career.

Were he to retire after the 2011 season, he would likely fall on the ballot with three catchers with better career numbers, Jose Posada (yes, it hurts to write that), Ivan Rodriquez and Jason Kendall (yes, that Jason Kendall). Rodriquez may be the greatest defensive catcher of all time and he out hit Tek during his prime. The steroid allegations might affect his case, but on performance alone he is the most clear-cut Hall of Famer of the group. Varitek might lack the hitting statistics to top Posada or Kendall but he was clearly superior behind the plate. Posada is a near certain Hall of Famer with his five championships and the huge advantage Yankees’ players have in the voting. Jason Kendall seems like a HoF long shot, but he does have five seasons that top Varitek’s best season.

Most of the people on the NESN article’s comments thread who support Varitek for the Hall cite "intangibles" as the reason. Certainly few players have the history of leadership that Tek can claim. Additionally, he is probably the most well-regarded catcher in the game when it comes to handling a pitching staff. Pitchers as diverse as Derek Lowe, Curt Schilling, Josh Beckett and Pedro Martinez have sung his praises. He has also caught four no-hitters in his career, tying him with Hall of Famer Ray Schalk for the most ever. He captained two World Series Championship teams and five playoff teams. Few players have as many intangible qualifications as he does and that certainly strengthens his case.

When everything is said and done, Jason Varitek’s whole case comes down to the value you place on things such as leadership and game calling. To put this into the context of WAR- did Tek’s handling of pitchers and his leadership add roughly one win per season beyond that of another catcher’s skills? In this context a full win is actually a very large amount. In 2010, one win was approximately the difference between Jed Lowrie and Mike Cameron. If his "intangibles" could be worth that much, Varitek would be a very viable Hall of Fame candidate, the third best catcher of his generation and in the range of the top twenty greatest ever.

Personally, I don’t think that is a reasonable value to give his unquantifiable skills. Jason Varitek had a fantastic career. He is easily the second best catcher ever to play for the Boston Red Sox, behind only Carlton Fisk. He was a top tier catcher for ten years and an incomparable team leader. However, he is not a Hall of Famer in my mind. His election would certainly not be a travesty or a perversion of the Halls standards, but it would not be a great choice.

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I loved Tek in his prime, and as much as I give him crap in game threads, it’s all BS- I am a big fan of his.

That said, I don’t see HOF for him.

OTM's biggest Clutch Carl fan.

by gizmosandy on Jul 9, 2011 6:53 PM EDT reply actions  

True

The argument about four no-hitters bugs me. On the catcher’s side, I’ll allow for a slight benefit of who is calling the game, but I can’t possibly think of a way to show that Varitek has some higher power in eliciting no-hitters from pitchers. To catch four is awesome, but it’s got a lot to do with: luck, being on good teams with good pitchers, longevity and more luck.
Also of note: Ron Hassey caught two perfect games. Nolan Ryan had seven no-hitters, all with different catchers. Is that really a good (or even mediocre) way of assessing HOF merits? And if his four no-hitters caught are significant enough, what does it say that he couldn’t coax a no-hitter out of Pedro, the greatest pitcher of our generation and perhaps of all-time?
Feels good to get that off my chest.
BUT, to add: even though Varitek is not a HOF, in my opinion, having played his entire MLB career in Boston and with the accolades he’s earned (captain, WS, no-hitters, etc. etc.), he is a LEGEND for anybody who calls him or herself a Red Sox fan. He won’t just be remembered fondly, he will be worshiped (or close enough) for all he’s done for the franchise and the fans. And that is pretty darn good. Perhaps not on par with the MLB HOF, but damn close, in my opinion.
And a final PS: I don’t believe the NESN poll question or anybody else limited his HOF candidacy to his playing days. I believe that the man has the knowledge and ability to become a HOF manager some day. That chapter of this book has not yet been written, but I’d love to see it come to fruition.

by AGuinness on Jul 10, 2011 12:53 AM EDT reply actions  

As much as I love him

I would have to agree with your assessment that he is not quite a HoFer.

However, will the Red Sox retire his number?

"For lo, the winter is past; the rain is over and gone; the flowers appear on the earth; the time of singing of birds is come; and the voice of the turtle is heard in our land" E.H.

by AlexHayes on Jul 10, 2011 8:43 AM EDT reply actions  

I've often wondered

if the sox will retire:

Pedro
Schilling
Varitek
Ortiz

OTM's biggest Clutch Carl fan.

by gizmosandy on Jul 10, 2011 9:18 AM EDT up reply actions  

The Sox policy to this point

is only to retire the numbers of Hall of Famers. I would like to see an exception to that made for Tek should he not make the hall and I would also support them retiring Dewey’s 24. Pedro is a first ballot guy and I suspect that his number will be retired. Schilling has a good case for the hall given his post season heroics but he will not go in as a Red Sox and I doubt his number will be retired by the team. Ortiz is the most interesting case. He is very close to a Hall of Famer, but as a DH he may not make it. With Edgar Martinez struggling to get in, the bar seems very high for DH’s. If Ortiz played crappy first base his whole career he would have a better case. Regardless I would like to see his number retired though.

- Matt Sullivan
"I would change policy, bring back natural grass and nickel beer. Baseball is the belly-button of our society. Straighten out baseball, and you straighten out the rest of the world." Bill "Spaceman" Lee
www.overthemonster.com
www.spacemanspancakes.wordpress.com

by Mattsullivan on Jul 10, 2011 10:15 AM EDT up reply actions  

While I doubt he will make it,

I feel that he should be given close consideration if any of the following do occur:
The Sox Make the WS.
He catches another no no.
Big Papi should make it if :
The Sox win another WS and
Papi has a couple more walk off hits in the post season.
If he remains a Red Sox team member and is paired with Agon he could approach being as good as he was teamed with Manny, but only for a year or two. However that might be enough to nudge him into the Hall.
 

by NJ Native on Jul 10, 2011 11:36 AM EDT reply actions  

Just a few more comments:

Catchers are most easily forgotten men on the team. Yet he is the pivot man on the field and while not the total athlete an outfielder is, thinking DiMaggio, Mays, Williams and yes,Tony C. The catcher is the forgotten end of the battery who enhances or ruins a pitchers efforts. We saw just how bad it can be earlier in the season when Salty couldn’t do anything right.
A decent catcher can make a pitcher, a great catcher makes the pitcher great. The decent catcher rarely drops the ball, can gun down base runners about 30% of the time and blocks the plate as well as most pitches in the dirt. The great catcher consistently holds onto the foul tip, is a field general directing the fielders when the manager isn’t, controlling not only the pitch selection but the pitchers moods on the mound, getting that critical third strike in a jam by framing the doubtful pitch with a deft flick of the wrist. He backs up 1st and is the first and last line of defense regularly making one of the most difficult throws in baseball with the slow rolling bunt down the first baseline. He is a part of every play on the field, just like the pitcher but only the pitcher gets the win. Yet he is the baseball equivalent of the goalie, who does get the win. Maybe we should go back and use wins for catchers along w/ era as is now being used. But what we do look at is how well the guy hit. Hence only 13 backstops have been voted in based on their on field performance.

by NJ Native on Jul 10, 2011 11:50 PM EDT reply actions  

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