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Another Call For Robot Umpires

Encarnacion scores but is called out. Is this really an acceptable way to end an Major League Baseball game?

If you watched Tuesday night's Red Sox game, you know how it ended. Darnell McDonald threw out Edwin Encarnacion at the plate to preserve a 3-2 Red Sox win. Except he really didn't. Replays quickly showed Encarnacion touched the plate before Jason Varitek tagged him. He should have been safe, the run should have counted, the score should have been 3-3, and the game should have continued.

Maybe had it continued as it should have, the Red Sox would have won, or maybe they wouldn't have. I'm not here to predict the future, which is good for all involved. But at the very least, the game should have been tied, there should have been runners on the bases, and the Blue Jays should have had another shot at scoring against a fading Jonathan Papelbon.

Games should never, ever, end as Tuesday night's did. It is embarrassing that MLB would allow any missed call, let alone one of such importance, to stand. I'll put it as plainly as I can. Major League Baseball must institute instant replay in some form, and do so soon. 

Star-divide

The play in question (screenshots from MLB.tv) took place in the ninth inning with two outs. John McDonald singled hard to left field. Darnell McDonald fielded the ball and threw home. Catcher Jason Varitek caught the ball and turned to make the tag on the sliding runner, Edwin Encarnacion.

In the first picture, Varitek has the ball and Encarnacion is sliding. During the slide, Tek's left leg, planted in the ground like a cornerstone, blocks Encarnacion's left leg from crossing the plate. The collision between left legs causes Encarnacion to helicopter around. Note the perfect positioning of home plate umpire Brian Knight.

1_medium

The helicopter motion has begun, as Tek's left leg has blocked Encarnacion's left leg forcing the runner's momentum to spin his body around. Tek's block of the plate has been so effective that he has knocked Encarnacion off his path and away from the catcher. As such Tek is unable to tag him. You can see Tek extend his arms, trying to tag Encarnacion, but he's out of reach. At the same time, you can see Encarnacion's right leg, whether accidentally or not, is right next to the plate. A split second later it touches the plate. You can see where Tek's glove is (nowhere close). 

2_medium

Below is the tag. At this point Encarnacion has spun around and his right leg has crossed the plate. Again, notice the positioning of the home plate umpire, Brian Knight. It's perfect. He's standing exactly where he should be standing and he's looking exactly where he should be looking. And he still missed the call. He missed it because this stuff is really hard. It is unreasonable for anyone to expect an umpire to never miss a close call, yet that's exactly what MLB's replay policy does.

3_medium

Here, from down the third base line, is the moneyshot. Tek's glove is over and above Encarnacion's left knee. Meanwhile,  Encarnacion's right foot is clearly on the plate.

Safe_medium

Here's a GIF of the play, taken from Mike Petraglia's column on WEEI.com (click if it isn't moving). You can watch the play over and over. Tek blocks the plate, knocking Encarnacion off his intended path. Tek reaches for Encarnacion but can't tag him, meanwhile Encarnacion's right foot touches home plate.

Notout-1_medium

Let's review. The umpire was in perfect position to make the correct call, but missed it. The Blue Jays lost a game they had not rightfully lost and the Red Sox won a game they had not rightfully won. How is that allowed to happen?

While it was difficult to see on first viewing, the runner was clearly safe. The call was wrong and it altered the game and the standings. If MLB had had a replay system of just about any sort, a review would have revealed the run should have counted quickly and without question. Like Armando Galarraga's imperfect perfect game last year, the embarrassing result of this game was entirely preventable. Indeed, it should have been prevented and as a baseball fan, it's a shame the game ended as it did, regardless of who won.

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Yeah

except that none of this would even be relevant if there were robots because Patterson would have been rung up on 3 pitches.

by Buzzy on Jul 6, 2011 4:15 PM EDT reply actions  

Two wrongs don't make a right.

It would still be relevant. What you mean is it simply wouldn’t have happened, which is likely though hard to say for certain.

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by Matthew Kory on Jul 6, 2011 4:24 PM EDT up reply actions  

It is pretty certain

think about what has to happen for use to even consider THIS play from occuring-say you ascribe to the fallacy of the predertemined outcome, then we are dealing with a 2 out, no amn on base situation with a 3-1 score when McDonald come to the plate. Vastly different. Even more so in reality the win probability difference is so massive between 1 out, no one on and the most dangerous hitter in the world (who likely would have been pitched to differently) than no out, 1 on.

The 2 wrongs “don’t make a right” statement is completely off-base. I am not claiming two wrongs make a right-I am claiming that Knight’s first wrong was about as egregous as his second. And for near certainty there is NOT the same bang-bang play at the plate regardless of the outcome.

I also contend that looking at Knight’s strike zone, the blown 3rd strike is a less excusable one. The paly at the plate had a ton of moving parts. In real time I actually thought he was out. What is the excuse for the 3rd strike blown call? In 20 or so pitches in that area Knight had consistently called that correctly, and that one was not close. The call for robots should be as much for balls and strikes as for these kind of plays.

by Buzzy on Jul 6, 2011 4:35 PM EDT up reply actions  

Agree

Also strike zone calls affect many more games than bang-bang plays at bases.

I gotta go 'cause I'm probably definitely gonna nod out again.

by Drugs Delaney on Jul 6, 2011 6:31 PM EDT up reply actions  

Agreed

But you already knew that from the other thread :)

by drabidea on Jul 7, 2011 3:26 PM EDT up reply actions  

+1

If replay is going to be expanded this far, then we should just have a computer system call balls and strikes. It doesn’t make sense to have a certain amount of replay and then not have balls and strikes.

Twitter: @BoldandBrash

by BoldandBrash on Jul 6, 2011 4:28 PM EDT up reply actions  

That is a joke...

If you have the necessities to get the call right you should. If it happened the other way around all of us would be screaming for replay.

Replay I believe should be used on homeruns, plays in the field, and balks. It should not be used for bals and strikes that is to should be left up to the discretion of the umpire and would make last longer than it already does.

Replay also IMO (along with other factors) would boost the popularity of the game and baseball is in need of that because it’s popularity is dipping.

by Mike-Dub on Jul 6, 2011 4:45 PM EDT up reply actions  

Nonsense

It would not take longer. You simply have the same technology that gives Brooks or Amica or any pitchzones which are instantaneous and the technology is already set up in each park, and when it is a ball or strike a green or red light flashes. If you want that “old time” feel then it can flash in device in the umps hand and he can call it out. The problem is this would basically put umps out of business, and the union would never go for that.

Balls and strike calls influence games much much more than these rare but noticable plays.

by Buzzy on Jul 6, 2011 4:49 PM EDT up reply actions  

Those strike zones such as Amica and Pitch trax etc.

aren’t always correct. I never said that doing replays for infield plays home runs etc. would make the games longer but not every team plays marathons like the Sox and Yankees. Getting the call right IMO would definitely worth being a litttle added time to the game.

Also I think balls and strikes should be left to the umps because that leaves some of the human element to it that the older fans seem to love.

by Mike-Dub on Jul 6, 2011 4:56 PM EDT up reply actions  

I agree about a challenge system.

but really that can’t fix the balls and strikes issue that is the biggest issue with the umps.

by Buzzy on Jul 6, 2011 4:59 PM EDT up reply actions  

I think the challenge system is the way to go

I think managers should be able to call replay for absolutely anything- home run, balls and strikes, whatever, but they just have one challenge. If the original call is upheld, they lose it, if it’s overturned, they get to keep it. Managers won’t use the challenge almost any of the time just because if they aren’t 1000% sure they’re right, they’ll lose the challenge.

by wolf9309 on Jul 6, 2011 10:48 PM EDT up reply actions  

How do you know they are not correct?

they all consistently give the same answer-and are likely vastly more accurate. In fact that is how they grade umps! Use it as an unbiased, uniform definition, and there would be no complaints.

The human element is really the players. Why on earth does anyone care to see Joe West out there acting like a fool? It does not increase the enjoyment of the game. It is just a custom that would quickly be forgotten.

by Buzzy on Jul 6, 2011 4:58 PM EDT up reply actions  

I've heard on broadcasts that they are not completely correct.

Just look at ESPN’s K zone compared to Amica or Fox’s Pitch Trax and they are all different sizes.

by Mike-Dub on Jul 6, 2011 5:00 PM EDT up reply actions  

Amica and other thant I see on the MLB package

as well as the MLB netwroks gamecast agree with Brooks because I have checked it. Sometimes they might look different because the draw the ball differently (eg the center or the whole ball). The only one that seems consistently off to me is the ESPN gamecase one.

by Buzzy on Jul 6, 2011 5:02 PM EDT up reply actions  

Probably doesn't use Pitch F/X

They do that thing a lot where they “trace” the ball to the plate and then just leave an afterimage of it on a superimposed strike zone. My guess is they just use that sort of thing and don’t account for CF camera angle.

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by Ben Buchanan on Jul 6, 2011 5:57 PM EDT up reply actions  

I agree. I would take it out of the NFL and college football too.

the officiating has become precipitously worse with more instant replay. I can live with mistakes as long as there is more accountability.

by cds7c on Jul 6, 2011 4:49 PM EDT up reply actions  

It's the best out of all the four major sports.

It’s ludacris to take out replay which would just make it worst when it already is great.

by Mike-Dub on Jul 6, 2011 4:52 PM EDT up reply actions  

@#$% the robot umpires

I think that umpires should be held more accountable than they currently are, or currently seem to be, but the human element the umpires bring to the game add to the experience not detract from it. This “we can make everything better with computers” talk is for the birds, as far as I’m concerned. But maybe I’m just an old fogey.

Galactus does as he pleases. Because Galactus is drunk.

@#$%ing Twit: @blogtard

by Bloggy on Jul 6, 2011 4:45 PM EDT reply actions  

For balls and strikes, it causes players to adjust to strike-zones

For calls on the field, it creates tension for the “how’s he gonna call it moment”. It is an additional dynamic to a game that is a team game, but very much about individual dynamics. It’s part of the reason I love it. I want to see people, not lights and I wanna here “SAFE!” not see a green light go on.

Hold the umps to task. Don’t just scrap the whole umpiring system (which throws skilled (well…usually skilled…) people out of a job, by the way).

Galactus does as he pleases. Because Galactus is drunk.

@#$%ing Twit: @blogtard

by Bloggy on Jul 6, 2011 5:02 PM EDT up reply actions  

You shouldn't have to worry while you're playing wether he is going to make the call right or not...

I am proposed for not having replay for balls and strikes but they can add it to other parts of the game.

by Mike-Dub on Jul 6, 2011 5:06 PM EDT up reply actions  

Works for Hockey

The thing that’s most difficult to call, they rely on technology, the humans get everything in between…

by toonman on Jul 6, 2011 5:09 PM EDT up reply actions  

And that's what they do now for baseball.

The things that are most difficult to call (homeruns, 400ft away) they rely on technology. The humans get everything else.

Galactus does as he pleases. Because Galactus is drunk.

@#$%ing Twit: @blogtard

by Bloggy on Jul 6, 2011 5:55 PM EDT up reply actions  

I think you might be misinterpreting it

Despite the title, I don’t think Matthew, or anyone here, is actually proposing getting rid of umpires at all, just in expanding replay (which if anything would create another umpire job).

I still hold that changing strikes zones does absolutely nothing to improve the game.

by wolf9309 on Jul 6, 2011 10:51 PM EDT up reply actions  

Chinese umpires

that seems to have been the answer for all of corporate america…why not baseball…

by toonman on Jul 6, 2011 4:54 PM EDT reply actions  

I have to call BS on umpires adding a necessary "human element"

What does that even mean, other than the fact they sometimes make mistakes? If you want to keep them because they are traditional and you like tradition, fine, but that particular argument just seems so absurd.
Besides, as long as humans are playing baseball, they should be contributing adequate “human element” to the game. With the possible exception of JD Drew.

by Fromalabama on Jul 6, 2011 5:00 PM EDT reply actions  

Yeah!

Errrr…

Galactus does as he pleases. Because Galactus is drunk.

@#$%ing Twit: @blogtard

by Bloggy on Jul 6, 2011 5:04 PM EDT up reply actions  

You don't need robot umpires, just BETTER umpires.

The Joe Wests, CB Bucknors, and inexperienced AAA-callup personnel are disproportionately responsible for the recent spike of irritation towards umpiring. The lack of accountability makes it even worse and often-arrogant attitude doesn’t help.

I am fine with different umpires having different strike zones. That has existed as long as baseball has existed. As long as that strike zone is called consistently for both teams, for the duration of the entire game, I don’t care. I feel most would agree on that.

As for the “honest mistakes” that end up having massive repercussions (e.g. Galarraga and Jim Joyce, or even calls like last night’s), implementing a challenge system to take advantage of replay sounds fine to me. I hope people realize that between Pitch F/X, Field F/X, and every other data-tracking system that is (or soon will) be out there, every single action on a baseball field will soon be scrutinized by dozens of cameras and computers, in addition to tens of thousands of sets of eyes. Clinging to blatantly incorrect umpiring calls in the face of all that data when we pay attention to such minute details for everything else, seems asinine to me.

by L33to II on Jul 6, 2011 5:17 PM EDT reply actions  

I don't agree with the...

if the strike zone is called consistently for both teams it’s fine. If they’re calling balls consistently strikes they’re making the wrong call consistently.

by Mike-Dub on Jul 6, 2011 5:23 PM EDT up reply actions  

Oh my god

can we stop Zaprudering this call? The umpire fucked up strike 3 to Corey Patterson. Tit for tat, forget about the goddamn 9th inning.

by Sean O on Jul 6, 2011 5:20 PM EDT reply actions  

I don't really know which side I'm on (though I'm leaning towards no-minimum replay)

and an argument can be made for both sides. But I don’t understand why we would have replay for HR-foul calls, safe-out base calls (potentially), and not have balls and strikes on some sort of replay/computer system. It’l like saying “we must get everything else right, but we don’t care about balls and strikes.” Keep replay where it is or go all out. I won’t say there is no middle ground because there is, but I don’t like it.

Twitter: @BoldandBrash

by BoldandBrash on Jul 6, 2011 5:21 PM EDT reply actions  

different angle -> wembley goal

background: i’m from germany and in germany the national sport is soccer
in 1966 the soccer world cup was held in england. germany and england met in the final. the score was 2:2. when geoff hurst’s shot hit the crossbar and bounced straight down. it wasimpossible to determine whether the ball crossed the goal line or not, the goal was given and england won the match. it took 40 years to determine that the ball did not cross the line (thanks to computer animation). in these 40 years the discussion never stopped and every time germany and england met in a game the story was rediscovert and emotions ran high. this goal is one of THE points of the soccer rivalry between the teams.
sidenote: since this illegitimate goal/game england never beat germany in a major tournament again (take that karma!)

lets face it: sports is a story-generating-machine and things like these are stories that will probably never be forgotten (look at bartman, buckner or david price’s called third strike that struck out jd drew). these are the most emotional stories that sport writes. england-germany today without the wembley goal? i think most people would miss something, it has become part of history.

i’m not saying that instant replay should be banned or that it should be expanded, i’m merely trying to show a different angle.

by loeres on Jul 6, 2011 5:46 PM EDT reply actions  

I know I laughed my ass off when the obvious goal from

Frank Lampard was ignored by the refs in South Africa last year in the German game.

by Sean O on Jul 6, 2011 6:02 PM EDT up reply actions  

Me too

I gotta go 'cause I'm probably definitely gonna nod out again.

by Drugs Delaney on Jul 6, 2011 6:35 PM EDT up reply actions  

yeah that was hilarious :D

didn’t that game end 4:2 as well? only this time in favor of germany?

by loeres on Jul 6, 2011 6:36 PM EDT up reply actions  

I, for one, welcome our new robot umpire overlords

and you’d think MLB would, too. In the early innings, hitters are not only trying to figure out the pitcher, but also the location of that day’s strike zone. If players could rely on more consistent strike zones from game to game and umpire to umpire, it seems reasonable to expect that offense would increase across the board, as hitters would come into the game having already solved one of that day’s puzzles. Seeing as how MLB has demonstrated a willingness to promote offensive (pun intended) spectacles over continuity and tradition of the game, it surprises me that they haven’t already implemented an electronic pitch-calling system.

"If your happiness depends on Boston winning or losing, you have to get a life." Manny Somebody-or-other

by Tessie's Dad on Jul 6, 2011 6:43 PM EDT reply actions  

Yeah.

Good luck getting THAT by the umpire’s union.

(To give you an idea of why they haven’t even floated that idea yet.)

Galactus does as he pleases. Because Galactus is drunk.

@#$%ing Twit: @blogtard

by Bloggy on Jul 6, 2011 7:00 PM EDT up reply actions  

I know what you mean,

but this could easily add up to more union jobs, so there may not be an issue in that regard. (Two guys in a booth looking at pitches and relaying the call to the HP ump, for instance.)

"If your happiness depends on Boston winning or losing, you have to get a life." Manny Somebody-or-other

by Tessie's Dad on Jul 6, 2011 7:04 PM EDT up reply actions  

But it leads down a road to irrelevance.

And takes the umpire skill out of it. (Yes, I’m aware that opens a door there, but still)

Galactus does as he pleases. Because Galactus is drunk.

@#$%ing Twit: @blogtard

by Bloggy on Jul 6, 2011 7:06 PM EDT up reply actions  

There's just no reason why the umpires union should have that much power over baseball

it’s not like the players. If the umpire’s union goes on strike, they can find other umpires and install more replay/technology to increase their accuracy. They aren’t and shouldn’t be any focal point of the game. It’s not really a particularly challenging job except that it requires at ton of dedication and willingness to leave home for half the year and is relatively high pressure. Other than that, the only real skill required is good eyesight and an understanding of the rules of baseball.

by wolf9309 on Jul 6, 2011 10:59 PM EDT up reply actions  

Replay and all that-

On NESN last night they showed this play from a different angle, from behind the plate and low. Watching that replay over and over it seemed to me most likely that Encarnacion never actually touched the plate. From that low angle it looks like his butt is the anchor that keeps both feet off the ground-the foot in question seems to remain a full few inches off the plate. You notice that he never argues the call-meaning that he did not attempt to touch the plate with the foot/leg in question and simply didn’t know where he was (he got spun around). Matthew’s angle in the story is completely deceptive because it shows Encarnacion’s foot go over the plate but cannot show if it touched the plate. My guess is that the umps would replay this and call it inconclusive.

by Buzzy on Jul 7, 2011 10:20 AM EDT reply actions  

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