Daily Links - The Best Article You Maybe Kinda Sorta Didn't Read Edition
A sweep? In the Bronx? Again? The first double sweep in a season since 1913? Can anything be sweeter? Other than A-Rod's new coconut water, I mean.
Link time!
Sometimes the best contracts are the ones your team didn't hand out. Mo Vaughn comes to mind. Pedro Martinez, as amazing as he was, also qualifies. Jason Bay is looking more and more like he fits into the category as well. After dealing with concussion symptoms last season, Bay is off to a horrendous start this season, hitting .207/.307.279 on the season. Now comes word Bay's bottom is going to be seeing the business end of the bench for the foreseeable future, at least partially due to the horrendous 0-24 streak he now finds himself in. That the Mets owe Bay about $43 million to a player who hasn't hit in what is now coming up on a year comprises most of the problem, but the no-trade clause is the cherry on the flaming bag of poo Omar Minaya left on the Mets' front porch. But before we get all uppity, do remember, folks, the Red Sox did offer Bay a long term deal. He could have easily taken the four years and $60 million the Sox put on the table, but spurned the Sox for New York thanks to an extra $6 million and a medical clause-free contract. Be glad he did. Bay was a productive member of the Sox for a year and a half, but as I said above, sometimes the best deals are the ones you don't make. Sadly Bay fits that description perfectly.
The Red Sox aren't the only ones cashing in on the new Tommy John Surgery fad. The Yankees are trying to get in on the action as well. Your tenth favorite Nebraskan and mine, Joba Chamberlain, will be the first on the Yankees to head down that lonely road this season, as he's been diagnosed with a torn ligament in his elbow. That, medically speaking, is bad. Jay Jaffe has more on Chamberlain over at the Pinstriped Bible. Recall all the way back to April when the Yankees big bullpen plan was Chamberlain in the seventh inning, Rafael Soriano in the eighth and Mariano Rivera in the ninth. Sounded good on paper, but as we all know paper isn't the most permanent of writing receptacles. That would be rocks. The Yankees plan, dubbed JoSoMo which sounds like a real estate agent's attempt to drum up interest in a crime infested neighborhood, lasted all of ten minutes before Soriano's ineffectiveness and subsequent injury derailed the proceedings. Now comes word that Chamberlain will miss the rest of the year. In the span of two months the Yankees have gone from JoSoMo to Mo. Alert MLB Trade Rumors!
The often criticized Jon Heyman of SI.com has a quick mention of J.D. Drew's potential retirement in a column this week. Drew's contract is indeed up at the end of the season so all those WEEI callers will finally be able to rejoice as he's unlikely to return to Boston next year. According to Fan Graphs, Drew has been worth $58.4 million through last season which is interesting in that through last season he's been paid $56 million of his five year, $70 million deal. In other words, he's been worth almost exactly what he's been paid. He's earning $14 million this season and considering his production so far (.229/.333/.346) he's unlikely to reach that figure in value by year's end, though you never know as Drew is a bit on the streaky side. One way or the other Drew's deal won't go down as one of GM Theo Epstein's worst regardless of what happens this season. *coughLUGOcough*
The Sox concluded their draft and now come the tide of draft winners-or-losers articles. Jonathan Mayo has one up over at MLB.com though he smartly abstains from calling anyone a draft loser. Mr. Mayo does like the Red Sox draft, for what that's worth. I add "for what that's worth" on the end of the previous sentence not as a slight against Mr. Mayo but because it is absolutely impossible to diagnose correctly how a team did in the draft a day after the thing is finished. As Hardball Talk's Craig Calcaterra notes in a very well done piece, baseball players take so much time to develop that making pronouncements about who won or lost the draft days after the fact is a fools errand. Mr. Calcaterra makes note of a piece by Kevin Golstein of Baseball Prospectus wherein Mr. Goldstein describes players whose high draft slot was panned by the critics at the time. These players, including the Red Sox own Adrian Gonzalez, have since gone on to become stars. The point is there is no way to know now who did well and who did not. There likely isn't any way to tell next year and there may not be anything definitive three or even four years down the line. Like so many other aspects of baseball, it's more subtle and complex than it's sister sports. And isn't that more interesting?
Finally, a must read: SI.com's Joe Sheehan has an excellent piece up about the return of the stolen base. Mr. Sheehan explains much about the form this season's baseball has taken, centered around the run environment. To properly understand how a player is doing you must understand the context, and Mr. Sheehan has done a great job of explaining that context.
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Jason Bay
Just a reminder for people patting Theo on the back for not resigning Bay. At the time of his departure, he was at the top of his game, and a perfect Fenway hitter. Who’s to say that if the RS had given him what he wanted, he would still be hammering away. Instead , they are paying 144 million for CC who has a sub .300 OBP and never takes pitches or walks, or makes the opposing pitcher work. . Sure, CC’s numbers will improve,but you have to wonder if the Sox did make the right move. The concussion injury probably would not have happenned if the RS had ponied up, and their payroll would be considerably lighter. Had they offerered him an extension after his 1st half season, he might have been had for a lot less. Instead, they let him get to FA. I realize Boras is his agent, but Bay can think for himself.
If Boras had any integrity, he would have urged Bay to take what he could get, to remain in Boston. No question, Bay was greedy,and stupid to leave Fenway, and made a bad career decision to go to the Mets with that big ballpark,but had the RS payed him what he wanted,the chances are, Bay would be hitting 35 HR’s with 120 RBI this year, batting between A-Gon, Ortiz, and Youk. Food for thought.
Boras is not his agent
for some reason everyon assume every big free agent has Boras. He doesn’t.
Crawford is a much, much better player than Bay.
I don’t know why Bay would’ve been inclined to take an extension from a team he just joined after only playing there a few months and I don’t know why the Sox would have given him one.
If Bay performs like he did in 05, 06, 08, and 09
he definitely makes a case to be better than Crawford. The Red Sox would’ve made perfect sense for him. He can actually hit LHP and has an arm.
Twitter: @BoldandBrash
by BoldandBrash on Jun 10, 2011 12:38 PM EDT up reply actions
I'm glad we didn't sign him, though.
Twitter: @BoldandBrash
by BoldandBrash on Jun 10, 2011 12:39 PM EDT up reply actions
You don’t pay players what they want. Period. You pick a price you think they’re worth, have a little wiggle room and then don’t go over a certain amount in chasing them. Bay wanted too much, too much for a player who might not age well and had injury concerns. Bay went to New York and even before the injury was having a lackluster season and since the injury he’s been terrible to the point he may start losing playing time.
Crawford’s OPS over the last month is .885, I think he’s found his swing, if he keeps that up his season stats will rebound pretty quickly.
If the team is run in a ‘hey, why don’t you just put the number you want on the check yourself’ mentality, you become the aging disaster that is the recently swept Yankees. A Rod, Tex, Posada, Jeter, cornerstones of the team, and the payroll, that all soon might have to be occupying the same position, DH. Which is probably where Bay would have ended up sooner or later if he had stayed here on a deal.
The bigger question here is, why are you getting all sentimental for all these past players when the team we currently have, the one with players that replaced these players you want back, is the best team in the AL and just a game behind the Cards for best record in all of baseball? Having kept Bay doesn’t mean that everything else would have happened the way it did, maybe we don’t get Beltre on a one year deal, maybe that precludes us from a window to shift Youk over to 3B and we aren’t able to trade for Gonzo. Maybe it forces us to not pick up Ortiz’s option and we put Bay as DH and sign Crawford anyway while Ortiz blasts homers for Tampa.
"We are not normal, We are Legends. People will tell their kids about us." - Deon Butler before Ohio State Game 2008.
At the time of his departure he was at the top of his game
But there was reason to believe he wouldn’t stay there. So we didn’t re-sign him. He didn’t stay there.
I’m gonna pat Theo on the back for that.
Galactus does as he pleases. Because Galactus is drunk.
@#$%ing Twit: @blogtard
Nothing wrong with his performance
As the post stated, he was at the top of his game, with Fenway being an ideal place.The Sox should have romanced him into an extension after the first half season. Also, drawing a line in the sand publicly, with salary is an arrogant approach that players notice. If it all comes down to a few million, why lose a player, or not sign a FA, just to stick to your so called principals.We all know they have the money.
"Nothing wrong with his performance"
Yeah. That’s because he’s ridin’ the pine now. We’d be paying 60 mil for a guy who’s not good enough to play for the Mets.
CURSE YOU, THEO.
Galactus does as he pleases. Because Galactus is drunk.
@#$%ing Twit: @blogtard
no that's ridiculous
businesses are run by determining how much something is worth and not paying more than they. Of course they draw a line in the sand, that’s how negotiations work.
It didn’t come down to a few million. It came down to $6 million over the 4 years we offered PLUS another year at $17 million if he’s moderately healthy, PLUS taking out the medical language in the contract. That’s a serious, serious commitment there. Pretty much no one thought that was a good contract for Bay when it happened, and it looks significantly worse now.
To be fair
I doubt if he stays in Boston he has the drastic power outage we saw in New York. Likewise, I don’t think he gets a concussion.
DFA Rev Halofan
I'm a 7 WAR player in bed.
Official Baker of Red Sox Nation
Fear the Roar.
by TheLoneDavid on Jun 11, 2011 2:44 AM EDT up reply actions
I don't know about that
Last year at home, he hit .277/.371/.459. Not the numbers they hoped for from Bay, but significantly better than his away numbers: .243/.326/.354, which was just quite awful. It’s hard to say that his power outage last year is a result of Citi Field. He probably would’ve have some more power were he playing at Fenway half the games, but even when he was on the Sox, his ISO was significantly higher on the road.
Concussion, probably, but he would’ve had broken ribs.
Well, he probably would have been hit by Beltre ;)
"Man that ball got outta here in a hurry, you know anything that travels that far oughta have a damn stewardess on it, don't you think?" - Crash Davis
I agree with Bloggy
I understood the Bay departure – the contract offer was generous but not ridiculous. Many scratched their heads at the Crawford signing (due to the left handedness of the lineup). However, with that said, it is nice to see his athleticism on display. And, he is a healthy athlete that works hard so he should age well. Also, he is a defensive upgrade in left field. I will miss JD Drew next season and I think the Sox paid him the market value so no suprises there. Not related to this article but I like Ells in CF (even though he makes some crazy run downs – his speed makes up for that) and, he really is beginning to look like a lead-off man. So, I pat Theo on the back there too for holding on to Ells.
"Man that ball got outta here in a hurry, you know anything that travels that far oughta have a damn stewardess on it, don't you think?" - Crash Davis
forgot to state:
*I am included in the many that scratched their heads…but we claimed “In Theo we trust”
"Man that ball got outta here in a hurry, you know anything that travels that far oughta have a damn stewardess on it, don't you think?" - Crash Davis

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