FanPost

The Projections: Top 4

Many of the 2011 Projection Data is out and other than PECOTA most are free (and included on fangraphs player pages). I've compiled the projection data for what "should be" the top four of the Sox batting order.

Note: As you can probably tell, Marcel, for good or ill, goes heavily on stats from the prior season (note: Youk and Pedroia)

FANS projections tend to be high due to team-bias but they are not astronomically high.

James numbers came out prior to Crawford and Gonzalez moving to the Sox.

I compiled the average of the 4 for comparison sake. Comment at will

-BZ

YOUKILIS PA AB R H 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO SB AVG OBP SLG OPS
RotoChamp 627 531 99 157 39 5 27 100 81 111 5 0.296 0.404 0.540 0.944
Bill James 649 562 103 165 41 2 25 95 87 119 5 0.294 0.398 0.507 0.905
Marcel 476 407 72 119 28 3 19 70 54 89 5 0.292 0.394 0.516 0.910
FANS 601 523 102 159 37 4 26 122 78 108 4 0.302 0.406 0.539 0.945
Average 588 506 94 150 36 4 24 97 75 107 5 0.297 0.401 0.526 0.926
PEDROIA PA AB R H 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO SB AVG OBP SLG OPS
RotoChamp 651 580 100 181 46 1 17 81 65 56 17 0.312 0.387 0.483 0.870
Bill James 702 632 108 188 51 1 17 77 70 59 16 0.297 0.372 0.462 0.834
Marcel 447 394 67 116 29 1 11 48 41 42 12 0.294 0.363 0.457 0.820
FANS 682 613 118 186 49 1 19 94 69 57 17 0.303 0.375 0.480 0.855
Average 621 555 98 168 44 1 16 75 61 54 16 0.302 0.374 0.471 0.845
GONZALEZ PA AB R H 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO SB AVG OBP SLG OPS
RotoChamp 687 588 111 170 32 1 34 114 96 117 0 0.289 0.392 0.520 0.912
Bill James 687 600 92 171 35 1 33 102 87 119 0 0.285 0.378 0.512 0.890
Marcel 614 525 79 141 27 1 28 88 81 109 2 0.280 0.378 0.495 0.873
FANS 677 586 111 175 41 1 40 127 91 115 1 0.299 0.393 0.577 0.970
Average 666 575 98 164 34 1 34 108 89 115 1 0.286 0.385 0.526 0.911
CRAWFORD PA AB R H 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO SB AVG OBP SLG OPS
RotoChamp 640 591 88 177 28 11 17 98 45 100 49 0.300 0.353 0.470 0.823
Bill James 610 570 93 171 27 9 14 71 40 94 42 0.300 0.350 0.453 0.803
Marcel 596 542 86 158 24 9 14 69 43 93 40 0.292 0.345 0.446 0.791
FANS 690 641 118 197 33 12 17 93 49 108 49 0.307 0.359 0.476 0.835
Average 634 586 96 176 28 10 16 83 44 99 45 0.300 0.352 0.461 0.813
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