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Should Fully Guaranteed Contracts Go for Good?

 

In one of the threads in the immediate aftermath of last week, I pointed out that one of the biggest difficulties that the front office faced in dealing with this debacle was the timing. There’s just not a lot of available options for a club that stages a September swoon. However, I think that lost in that argument was another major issue—it was touched upon a few times, but its significance in the downfall of the Sox maybe didn’t get the full attention it deserved.

For the casual visitors, and those looking to know a bit more about baseball contracts: a major difference between MLB and the other major professional sports is that free agents have much more control over their contracts and career than in the other sports. While this certainly works to protect the players to an extent, it also can make the job of management a lot tougher. The rules are sufficiently weighted in favor of the players that a free agent cannot be sent down to the minors without his consent. If a player refuses a minor league designation, the team’s only options are to retain the player on the 25-man roster, or to release him. In the case of a release, the full salary specified in the contract must still be paid. The only way to be released from the contract is if the player breaks the contract (through retirement or violating other clauses). However, the number of times this has actually happened is relatively small—and I certainly can’t remember hearing about it. 

Now, how do we put this into context for last month’s disaster? Well, to deal with problems in September is very challenging. There’s very little that can be done. Trade rules make it very difficult to bring in new blood that far into a season (and also remember that they’d also be ineligible for the playoffs, even if they were to impact the regular season race). You could try to solve the problem by eliminating a "cancer," if you were able to identify the specific player to let go, and were willing to absorb the remainder of their contract. They’ve already gotten most of their money due for the year, and you’d be left holding the bag for essentially the full amount remaining to be paid on the contract. (Remember, other teams can sign a released player for the league minimum, and the original team is responsible for the remainder of the contract.) 

Star-divide

 

We, of course, have seen the Sox use the power of designation for assignment (DFA) with players with substantial time remaining on their contract. The names Julio Lugo and Edgar Renteria come immediately to mind in thinking about the million the Sox have shelled out in contractually obligated payments for players no longer on the roster. However, Lugo was dispatched mid-season—well before the trade deadline—and Renteria was dealt in a trade, with the Sox responsible for very little of his actual salary. In addition, these players were released for poor performance on the field (in addition to whatever issues they may or may not have had in the clubhouse).

There is, of course, another reason to want to rid yourself of a contract that has nothing to do with on-field performance. Exhibit A for the Red Sox in this category being one Manuel Aristides Ramirez. Nobody should question that Ramirez was a brilliant baseball player. Equally, nobody should question that Ramirez’s antics and demands made things very difficult for the management. A player with Ramirez’s statistics should not, under normal circumstances, be placed on waivers on an annual basis. With the waiver system, the Red Sox were essentially looking for someone to pick up his contract—they didn’t even have to negotiate an offer for a trade. Had another team been willing to shoulder the salary burden or entertain a trade, I don’t doubt that Ramirez would have been gone long before the 2008 trade for Jason Bay, and probably even before his 2007 heroics. 

Ultimately, no one ever pulled the trigger. Not one team was willing to absorb his $20 million price tag. Why not? Well, for many of the same reasons the Sox were stuck: the contract was fully guaranteed, and therefore nobody wanted to be the one to take on a "problem case." Sure, you could get $20 million in production (and perhaps then some), but you’d also be taking on a very expensive headache as well. The McCourts were willing ultimately to make a trade, but only because Boston was willing to eat Ramirez’s salary for the remainder of the 2008 season. Without that concession—without being responsible for paying for Ramirez—there wasn’t a deal to be had.

So, the most powerful tool that teams in other sports have to deal with cantankerous clubhouses—the power of the paycheck—has been essentially gutted in baseball. As I said above, this definitely protects players from capricious management decisions, and prevents teams from taking advantage of players. However, when a contract is fully guaranteed, there’s only internal motivation left to ensure that the player lives up to his contract. When a player doesn’t make that effort, what tools are left at a GM’s disposal? You can cut the player, but that’s a potentially budget-breaking way to deal with the problem, particularly if you think you can get some return for the investment in the future. 

All that said, what do I think should happen to the system? Well, I’d certainly get rid of the fully guaranteed contract. Note—I don’t think that there should be no guarantees, either. I think there needs to be a balance: a portion, maybe half or more, that is fully guaranteed, with the other half payable when a player completes the season on a team’s roster without incident, and with potential incentives and penalties as appropriate. To avoid teams promising contracts they have no intent on delivering, you’d "tax" teams based on the incentivized contract, rather than the guarantee. 

I think such a strategy, in which players will see most of the money they’re promised, but have to be productive and cooperative to earn the full amount, strikes a reasonable balance between recognizing and rewarding past performance, while allowing for some control and levers over future behavior.  

Poll
Should MLB players continue to be offered fully guaranteed contracts?
Yes, contracts should remain fully guaranteed.
50 votes
Contracts should be like in the NFL: partly guaranteed, partly not.
222 votes
Contracts should be mostly non-guaranteed.
25 votes
No, contracts should never be fully guaranteed.
59 votes
No opinion
7 votes

363 votes | Poll has closed

Comment 24 comments  |  0 recs  | 

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there is so much precedent that it's hard to discuss

to get rid of fully guaranteed contracts in the CBA, the owners would have to make some concessions along the lines of- OK we’re only going to partly guarantee contracts, but we’ll triple the average salary

by wolf9309 on Oct 4, 2011 10:26 AM EDT reply actions  

This^.

You can’t look at it from just one side of the bargaining table.

The guarantees are part of the value of the transaction between management and labor – there is a dollar value associated with security. Take away the security and you have to replace it with more up-front dollars.

In the NFL this takes the form of gigantic signing bonuses. That system doesn’t always work any better at making fans happy with player performance. Look at all the high-draft picks that have been given big signing bonuses only to become totally worthless in the NFL.

NBA Officiating - Corrupt? Incompetent? Which is worse? Does it matter? It sucks.

by mmmmm on Oct 4, 2011 10:37 AM EDT up reply actions  

Agreed.

Management shouldn’t be able to back out of contracts where the player is underperforming unless the players can back out of contracts where they are OVERperforming and can get a better deal on the market.

by Nick1024 on Oct 4, 2011 12:58 PM EDT up reply actions  

Look at all the high-draft picks that have been given big signing bonuses only to become totally worthless in the NFL.

Every high draft pick Matt Millen has ever made, with one glorious best-in-the-NFL-screw-you-Cris-Carter exception

I'm a 7 WAR player in bed.
DFA Rev Halofan, The New York Yankees, The Tampa Bay Blue Seats, Carl Crawford, John Lackey, Darnell McDonald, Curt Young, Dave Magadan, Tim Bogar, Buck Showalter, Dan Johnson, Hawk Harrelson, Jonah Keri, Murray Chass, Mark Sanchez, Micheal Vick, Jared Allen, Jerry Jones, Al Davis, Rex Ryan, Rob Ryan, Trent Dilfer, Heath Evans, Cris Carter, Vuvuzelas, The Chicken Dance, Lady Gaga, Justin Bieber, Stephanie Meyer, and the entire fucking city of Philadelphia.

by TheLoneDavid on Oct 4, 2011 1:18 PM EDT up reply actions  

lo

NBA Officiating - Corrupt? Incompetent? Which is worse? Does it matter? It sucks.

by mmmmm on Oct 4, 2011 1:53 PM EDT up reply actions  

Gah - I typo'd "lol"!

NBA Officiating - Corrupt? Incompetent? Which is worse? Does it matter? It sucks.

by mmmmm on Oct 4, 2011 1:53 PM EDT up reply actions  

I had thought about this this morning

When I was off-line and didn’t have a good Internet connection. Such a deal—increasing at least the minimum salary to accommodate the change, and a proportional increase in the average salary—might make this palatable to the union.

Fenway: "An alternate and better universe, disguised as a ballpark." --Thomas Boswell

by lone1c on Oct 4, 2011 5:32 PM EDT up reply actions  

This Is Silly

Don’t make stupid decisions on long-term contracts, and this won’t be a problem.

Also, it’s a moot point, because we’re nowhere near a time when the union would agree to non-guaranteed deals, nor should it. The NFL union is weak, therefore it can be bullied into non-guaranteed deals.

by UltimateCranston on Oct 4, 2011 12:36 PM EDT reply actions  

Who cares? The season is over.

I'm a 7 WAR player in bed.
DFA Rev Halofan, The New York Yankees, The Tampa Bay Blue Seats, Carl Crawford, John Lackey, Darnell McDonald, Curt Young, Dave Magadan, Tim Bogar, Buck Showalter, Dan Johnson, Hawk Harrelson, Jonah Keri, Murray Chass, Mark Sanchez, Micheal Vick, Jared Allen, Jerry Jones, Al Davis, Rex Ryan, Rob Ryan, Trent Dilfer, Heath Evans, Cris Carter, Vuvuzelas, The Chicken Dance, Lady Gaga, Justin Bieber, Stephanie Meyer, and the entire fucking city of Philadelphia.

by TheLoneDavid on Oct 4, 2011 12:47 PM EDT reply actions  

In my opinion for there to be a change to make contracts not guaranteed

1. The union would have to be severly weakend, because the MLBPA is rediculously strong compared to the NFL or NBA counterparts.
2. Increase the size of contracts so that the guaranteed part can be raised.
3. A team salary floor would need to go in. In addition to a weaker union, the NFL owners were able to get non-guaranteed contracts because of the salary cap limiting their flexibility in times of injuries. Owners would not do a salary floor without a salary cap (most likely) and getting MLBPA to agree to both a salary cap and non-guaranteed contracts is a pipe dream.

by The Name is Dalton on Oct 4, 2011 12:57 PM EDT reply actions  

There's no question that this would never happen in reality

Even in the abstract, I find it hard to believe it’s a good idea. Contracts can’t just be nullified because the bargain isn’t going the way you expect. That doesn’t work in the real world, and while sports and the real world don’t always coincide, this is an instance where I think they do.

While I’m not especially familiar with the NFL’s non-guaranteed system, the little that I do about it makes it seem absolutely repulsive to me. I’ll read up on it when I get home.

by Sologub on Oct 4, 2011 1:03 PM EDT reply actions  

Contrats aren't fully guaranteed in real life, either.

If I hire you to do a job for me, and you start drinking on the job and disrupting the work place, you shouldn’t expect to walk away with the full amount promised when you get fired. You haven’t delivered your end of the contract, so you shouldn’t reasonably expect full payment.

What I do like about the NFL system is that there is a guaranteed portion, and a portion that needs to be earned. I don’t like the NFL system in its entirety, either. But I do think it’s fair to have a certain amount of money be non-guaranteed.

Fenway: "An alternate and better universe, disguised as a ballpark." --Thomas Boswell

by lone1c on Oct 4, 2011 5:40 PM EDT up reply actions  

well yes, but, the only reason contracts exist

is that demand for major league-level baseball players is such that teams are willing to offer more than one guaranteed year. In extreme cases, where the player is just not participating or being Zambrano-level disruptive, they can be placed on the restricted list and not get paid, but those cases are few and far in between.

by wolf9309 on Oct 4, 2011 6:44 PM EDT up reply actions  

One correction.

“A player with Ramirez’s statistics should not, under normal circumstances, be placed on waivers on an annual basis.”

I’m pretty sure this is false. Almost every player, including stars, is put on waivers each year, partially for procedural reasons. Obviously, most of them are never claimed or pulled back, but they are still put up.

by ThePanda on Oct 4, 2011 1:23 PM EDT reply actions  

Right

The big deal with Manny was he was placed on non-revokeable waivers, and even then no team wanted to take a chance on him.

by Sologub on Oct 4, 2011 1:26 PM EDT up reply actions  

I didn't have a chance to look up the non-revocable waiver status.

I had suspected it was the case.

Fenway: "An alternate and better universe, disguised as a ballpark." --Thomas Boswell

by lone1c on Oct 4, 2011 5:40 PM EDT up reply actions  

"a major difference between MLB and the other major professional sports is that free agents have much more control over their contracts and career than in the other sports."

I think this statement, while technically true, is misleading without the converse situation in context.

The fact is that until a baseball player is a FA, the teams have tons of control over him.

The formula for baseball and pro sports in general is fairly straightforward: When a star player is young, and under club control, the teams extract tons of excess value. When that player reaches free agency, the clubs over-pay for any remaining value.

Folks get bent out of shape over the extreme cases, but overall, it just sorta works out.

As Nick1024 points out, you can’t expect the players to agree to give up guaranteed contracts unless the teams agree to allow players a similar exit strategy.

Would you guys like to see Lester, Pedroia & Youkilis suddenly renege on their uber-team-friendly contracts? Because they are all seriously underpaid right now.

As is Ellsbury – we have him under control for a couple more years before we will almost certainly lose him. What if he had the ability to walk for a better paycheck right now?

NBA Officiating - Corrupt? Incompetent? Which is worse? Does it matter? It sucks.

by mmmmm on Oct 4, 2011 2:06 PM EDT reply actions  

But I think that's fairly true of the other leagues as well.

I don’t think anybody has full control over their rights as a rookie. Maybe in basketball, but I don’t think NFL or NHL players have any major powers that their MLB counterparts lack.

Fenway: "An alternate and better universe, disguised as a ballpark." --Thomas Boswell

by lone1c on Oct 4, 2011 5:33 PM EDT up reply actions  

"for baseball and pro sports in general"

This pattern is implemented in all pro sports leagues, in variant forms.

The NFL players give up the most control over their lives but in return have relatively larger signing bonuses.

NBA Officiating - Corrupt? Incompetent? Which is worse? Does it matter? It sucks.

by mmmmm on Oct 4, 2011 6:04 PM EDT up reply actions  

I think

everybody should get paid less — in terms of: annual salary, no guaranteed contracts, less ownership revenues, etc. — in order for tickets to Fenway to be $10 and a beer/hot dog meal is $5.

by salary_cap on Oct 4, 2011 4:48 PM EDT reply actions  

It would be nice.

If only ticket prices were dictated by profit margins and not by supply and demand

by The Name is Dalton on Oct 4, 2011 8:42 PM EDT up reply actions  

Would the owners even be unanimous in pushing for this?

It would largely benefit the big-spenders (those most likely to make big, bad contracts), whereas the concessions the owners would have to make to the players to get it done would adversely affect the small-spenders, perhaps worse than the big-spenders. This idea seems like a non-starter as long as there is uneven spending.

by steel sox on Oct 4, 2011 6:29 PM EDT reply actions  

Ahhh, wishful thinking about MLB player salaries

It never ends. I mean, for good reason, but still…

I absolutely believe, in a vacuum, MLB salaries should be partially guaranteed. If a player just isn’t performing at the level he was prior to signing (or during the first few seasons of a long-term deal), the team should have a partial out-clause; still assuming some salary, but not all and the player is released. It is pretty frustrating seeing out-of-shape professional athletes and I’m sure a few of them would be motivated to stay in better shape (which is just ridiculous…if you’re a pro athlete, why in the world would you do something to harm your body?). Accountability, holmes.

However, as has been adequately discussed already, that won’t happen.

SO JUST STAY OFF THE DAMN FREE AGENT MARKET, THEO. JEEZ LOUISE.

Hi ho, Duke!

by The Duke of Silver on Oct 5, 2011 12:06 AM EDT reply actions  

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