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A Final Review of the Red Sox Minor Leagues

Over the course of the Red Sox season, I attended many minor league affiliate games, including Portland, Pawtucket, and Lowell. I would often put up my scouting reports after those games, and often got requests of which players to watch.

Well, the minor league season is over the Red Sox is all but about to be. So here are the final scouting reports of the Red Sox Minor Leagues.

 

Pawtucket:

I know some of these players have been up, but I made these before they were called up.

Lars Anderson: I saw Lars 13 times this year in spring training and Pawtucket, and he got one hit. He made a better impression on me the last game, ripping a 95 mph fastball and singling, and made some good plays at 1B. But as a whole, he just never impressed me. He has a lot of holes in his swing. A big uppercut, he has issues with low and in offspeed pitches and often is late on fastballs. His defense is suspect at best, and has issues making scoops and long stretches at 1B. When he does make contact, however, he can hit it a long way. If he projects to be an MLB starter, I see him as more of a DH.

 

Bubba Bell: I know he is not really a prospect, but I've always liked Bell. He always gives it his all and is a very good outfielder. He has a decent bat, can hit for gap power. Not much contact though, he tends to swing through some balls. I could see him as a 4th OF on some team maybe, but being 27 is not going to help him.

 

Aaron Bates: Technically not a prospect either, he has always played well when I've seen him. If he is going to get to the big leagues it's his power potential and good defense that will get him there. Similar to Anderson, he has some major holes in his swing. He swings and misses way too often, and he strikes out too much as well. He does have on base ability though, as he had an OBP of .338 compared to his .240 average. He gets too streaky, going on long hitless streaks and then short stretches of power surges.

 

Portland:

Anthony Rizzo: Rizzo was the most impressive Red Sox minor leaguer I saw this season. He may be what they thought Anderson was two years ago. He has incredible power to all fields and is one of the best defensive 1B I have seen. He scoops up balls like nothing and has incredible range. I also liked his focus in game. He always seemed like his head was totally in the game. I think this guy is your best potential MLB prospect.

Casey Kelly: I saw Kelly three times this season and I was always stunned. He has great locations on all his pitches and hardly makes mistakes. When he does, it is in later innings and I think that led to his high ERA. He seemed to tire around the fifth inning, which I think is a little concerning. But his stuff is absolutely incredible, I definitely see him as a potential major leaguer.

Ryan Lavarnway: This guy was my surprise prospect of the the year. Lavarnway had one of the best years in the minor league system and left quite an impression on me. What impressed me the most was his power; During batting practice, he was hitting bombs left and right. Every ball he hit was a home run. His defense was not as bad as it was made out to be either. I have certainly seen better, but his was not terrible.

Luis Exposito: I have always been as Expo fan, but I tend to think he took a step back this season. His defense is exceptional, he does not let anything get behind him. But it's his at bats that worry me. He swings at bad pitches, and misses good pitches often. Swings and misses a lot, too much in my opinion. But his hitting is good enough for a catcher. So with that and his defense, he has a future.

 

Lowell:

 

The only real prospect I saw in Lowell with Kolbrin Vitek, so here we go. He played third base that night, and bot was he awful there. Bad hands. He made two bad errors and all his throws to first were shaky. However, his offense was very good. He went 3-4 that night with two doubles. He has pretty good power and a decent eye at the plate.

Well, there you go, the final MILB scouting reports of the year. I hope to do this again next year!

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Long day

I wanted to post sooner but sleep/NFL MNF got a hold of me. Thanks for the final recap. I agree on catcher defense there, we really don’t know how valuable it is, if Ryan can take his bat and adapt it to the bigs he will have plenty of value at an offensively starved position.

Rizzo has jumped Lars in my mind but Lar’s MLB debut hasn’t been so bad actually, he’s getting hits and gaining confidence, only 12 ABs I know but he’s worked with them.

I’m not worried about Kelly yet. Pitchers at his age are expected to tire, usually why they piggyback starters sometimes. This was his first season devoted entirely to pitching, he missed some with an injury but I won’t worry about him unless this is an issue in 2012 still when he knock on wood will be starting the season in Pawtucket. Next year they’re definitely going to increase his inning count, he’s had 95 each of the last two seasons.

Vitek will NOT be a 3B. Unless they work him out there all offseason and get him going he just doesn’t seem to have it. Wayyy too many errors and he can play elswhere.

So did Lin look as good as people say out in the field in Portland?

"We are not normal, We are Legends. People will tell their kids about us." - Deon Butler before Ohio State Game 2008.

by Rogue Nine on Sep 14, 2010 9:57 AM EDT reply actions  

Oops I forgot Lin

I’ve always liked him but he is another guy who may have taken a step back. I love his defense in CF, but I was hoping he’d be a better hitter. Next year is a big one for him.
Lars has been better than I thought, but I’m not sure how long it will last, but his defense is really encouraging.

Go Patriots
"That place was for diehard sports fans. I only follow my team when they're in the playoffs" - Homer Simpson
Join the Lacrosse community The Lacrosse Blog

by bestbostonsports on Sep 14, 2010 12:12 PM EDT up reply actions  

Though I bet I look like an GG 1B when standing next to Mike Lowell at this point

Lin hasn’t really taken a step back, he just hasn’t taken a step forward. He had no power. His patience at the plate got a lot better this year, his OBP jumped from .355 last year to .386 this year. His OPS didn’t go up by as much though as his power remained about the same.

"We are not normal, We are Legends. People will tell their kids about us." - Deon Butler before Ohio State Game 2008.

by Rogue Nine on Sep 14, 2010 12:43 PM EDT up reply actions  

I was dissapointed none of his slight pop carried over from last season.

But if he keeps his numbers up through the transition to AAA and th MLB, I’d be happy to have Lin patrolling center and giving the Sox an honest to God leadoff hitter for the first time in years. No, Ellsbury does not count with his Take strike 1, foul, ball in play ways.

Lin in Center, Kalish in left, and Reddick in right would be a ridiculous defensive outfield. Without thinking about it much, the best in the majors by a good margin I’d imagine, with each player having a great arm and range for their position.

USG

by Ben Buchanan on Sep 14, 2010 1:34 PM EDT up reply actions  

Right

I’m still not sold on Reddick. I like him a lot, but there always seems to be something missing.
I think Kalish will be a productive major leaguer.
I need to see a step foward for Lin though to get too excited.

Go Patriots
"That place was for diehard sports fans. I only follow my team when they're in the playoffs" - Homer Simpson
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by bestbostonsports on Sep 14, 2010 1:44 PM EDT up reply actions  

As I said last night

So long as Reddick isn’t striking out this September, he’s succeeded for the month. If Josh’s game isn’t going to be about walking, it’s got to be about making contact like he did in Pawtucket.

As for Lin, .386 OBP isn’t a step back. The question is if he’ll ever develop even a modicum of power. But even if he doesn’t, he’s a born leadoff hitter.

USG

by Ben Buchanan on Sep 14, 2010 1:50 PM EDT up reply actions  

Right....

I’d like to see a few more hits as well. His defense is unquestionable, I’ve seen it first hand.
I want to believe in Reddick. He’s been my guy for a while, I saw his MLB debut live and fell in love with his game. However, I just don’t see a lot. Not much discpline, and he tries to pull the ball too much.
Now, that will probaly change, as it does often with young lefites. I like Reddick, but I’m not willing to call him a major leaguer until I see more.

Go Patriots
"That place was for diehard sports fans. I only follow my team when they're in the playoffs" - Homer Simpson
Join the Lacrosse community The Lacrosse Blog

by bestbostonsports on Sep 14, 2010 1:54 PM EDT up reply actions  

my bigger concern for Lin

is that when he gets to the majors and pitchers there learn that he doesn’t hit for incredibly high average or much power at all, he’s not going to see enough balls out of the zone to keep that sort of walk rate intact. It is impressive that he kept that up at Portland, I’m just skeptical about whether that’s possible to keep up in the majors.

by wolf9309 on Sep 14, 2010 2:09 PM EDT up reply actions  

Exactly

will he start the season in Pawtucket?

Go Patriots
"That place was for diehard sports fans. I only follow my team when they're in the playoffs" - Homer Simpson
Join the Lacrosse community The Lacrosse Blog

by bestbostonsports on Sep 14, 2010 2:21 PM EDT up reply actions  

That's just a question of making adjustments.

You walk by not swinging at balls out of the zone. If they throwing in the zone, you swing and that’s how you get hits.

His batting avg at Portland this year is .275 – that’s hardly sucking as a hitter – and is actually a notable improvement over his BA at lower levels. I.E. he has shown the ability to hit balls in the zone.

I would say it is not Lin’s ability to hit for average that would be a concern. It is his SLG that is low. And as Ben points out you don’t need that to be a lead off hitter.

That said, let’s keep in mind that Lin is still only 22. He’s 6-0 and only 180 lbs. At that height, he could easily carry 10+ more pounds of muscle mass and that would make a HUGE difference in his power numbers. Most guys continue to put on muscle mass and increase their power significantly from age 22 to 28.

I doubt that with his cautious swing that he’ll ever be a guy to SLG over .550. But .450+ is not at all an unreasonable projection. And if he can combine that with an OBP north of .350, combined with his defense – that would make for a very nice guy to lead off any batting order.

by mmmmm on Sep 16, 2010 12:07 PM EDT up reply actions  

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