Boston's Grand 2010 Adventure: Choose Your Own Apocalypse
2010 will be a year of memories for Boston, but most of them would better be forgotten. Josh Beckett going down for most of the season. Jacoby Ellsbury missing all of it. Dustin Pedroia's freak foot injury. Bill Hall bobbling balls at each and every position. Adrian Beltre destroying the outfield.
Speaking of memories, I remember this plague of injuries happening before. In 2006, the team was similarly wracked with injuries. A squad that started in January with 7 starters traded Bronson Arroyo for Wily Mo Pena (remember him?), put Papelbon in the pen, lost David Wells and Matt Clement to injury, and by the end of the year was relying on Kyle Snyder, Kason Gabbard, and a multitude of others. And over the course of the last few months the lineup was devastated as well. Beyond Jonathan Papelbon, the pen was also a lost cause. Pretty much the entire season was forgettable.
If the 2010 doesn't completely disintegrate like the 2006 team, it will play .500 ball, treading water until being mathematically eliminated half-way through September. The Rays may be fading now, but there's no way this team can capitalize on that, and when Tampa gets hot again, Boston will stay lackluster.
As an aside, Theo's teams haven't yet repeated an outcome in consecutive years:
2003 - made playoffs, lost in ALCS
2004 - WS
2005 - made playoffs bounced first round
2006 - plague of injuries costs playoff berth
2007 - WS
2008 - made playoffs, lost in ALCS
2009 - made playoffs, bounced first round
2010 - (probable outcome) plague of injuries cost Sox playoff berth
It's over. Not over-the-monster-down-on-Landowne-Street over. Not 1 game-playoff for the wild card over. Not big-7-game-lead-and-cruising-into-the-playoffs over. This team has been overwhelmed by its overwrought DL and underperforming bullpen. Out of a $170 million playoff-bound behemoth, we have uncovered a hapless triple-A team. This team is not going to see October. When they can't defeat an Indians team that has jettisoned its stars and is flailing around helplessly, when it can't win when Josh Beckett goes up against a Dustin Moseley, you know it's over.
Unlike 2006, being down and out this year was not a predictable occurrence. The Sox weren't a lightweight team building towards contention - they were supposed to compete from day 1. About the only warning sign, arguably, was depending on so many key players above 30 (Youk, Beckett, Lackey, Cameron, Beltre, Ortiz, Lowell, Scutaro, Oki, Martinez, Tek and many others). But two of the most shocking injuries were to young players - Pedroia and Ellsbury, neither of whom seemed like injury risks.
When this season finally ends, ignominiously, there wil be much blame to go around. I believe that the medical staff, often regarded as one of baseball's best, will receive some of it. Fortune, Luck and other intangible qualities will also be blamed. In the end, I'm not sure that anyone or thing can really take all the credit. I'm just sorry MVP seasons from Beltre, Buchholz and Lester were wasted, and so was David Ortiz's unexpected resurgence.
From now on, if you watch, the attraction should be (like a AAA game) seeing young players getting playing time. It should be savoring the good work from Buchholz, Lester, Papi and Beltre (when he's not mauling teammates). It should be thinking ahead to the offseason and 2011's possibilities. Because the Sox are not going to October this year, and you'll only hurt yourself to think that.
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too negitive man
That place was for diehard sports fans. I only follow my team when they're in the playoffs" - Homer Simpson
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by bestbostonsports on Aug 9, 2010 9:59 AM EDT reply actions
Maybe
But I struggle to find positives from the first three games. We can’t win this series, at best, we’ll tie and what had been a pretty easy Lester v. Moseley match up is now Lester v. Hughes, much more difficult. We had to win this four game series.
We let a no name pitcher dominate us last night and then failed to take advantage of the bullpen that they rolled out for us, we couldn’t even score on Joba, every one scores on Joba! Worse than that, we let Berkman get hot. The night before that we let Chunky Carsten beat the crap out of us for 8 innings. Just not looking good.
Meanwhile we also had an opportunity to gain on the Rays and did so minimally as the Jays dominated them like that kid that got held back that one year in grade school and suddenly was bigger and older than everyone else and used it to take their lunch money. The only positive there is that Tampa looks legit ready to nose dive, two of their pitchers are getting looked at for shoulder injuries and they got no hit for 8 2/3 innings (It is unbelievable how many no-hit games they take part in one way or another).
At best, we’re six behind the Yankees after today and with less than 50 games remaining on the schedule. In the wildcard we’re 4.5 back, we play 6 games with the Rays still and now the Twins are tied with us in that fight. Our situation didn’t really improve all that much, if it did at all and now nearly 10% of the remaining schedule has passed.
"We are not normal, We are Legends. People will tell their kids about us." - Deon Butler before Ohio State Game 2008.
At least the Rays are struggling quite a bit now
with their own injuries and inability finally that inability to score runs that we all thought was coming.
They do like to get no-hit
But they did score 11 runs on Saturday.
"We are not normal, We are Legends. People will tell their kids about us." - Deon Butler before Ohio State Game 2008.
and still lost
their track record for scoring lately is not good- lost 5 in a row, scoring one run or less 3 of those times
thank you
they are struggling, we do have a chance here, but people do not want to akoknowledge the positive
That place was for diehard sports fans. I only follow my team when they're in the playoffs" - Homer Simpson
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by bestbostonsports on Aug 9, 2010 11:39 AM EDT up reply actions
Well, technically...
… the Rays struggling is not a positive for us, its a negative for the Rays. Unless we stop struggling, the Rays’ struggles are irrelevant (unless it allows one of those AL Central teams into the WC).
Wait 'til next/this year?
"Laser show. So relax."
by nuthinboutnuthin on Aug 9, 2010 12:43 PM EDT up reply actions
You make a point
But we next play Toronto and we have their number, and Tampa is struggling.
That has to be a positive, if anything, a non-negitive?
That place was for diehard sports fans. I only follow my team when they're in the playoffs" - Homer Simpson
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by bestbostonsports on Aug 9, 2010 12:51 PM EDT up reply actions
True
it’s an opportunity that needs to be capitalized on.
Wait 'til next/this year?
"Laser show. So relax."
by nuthinboutnuthin on Aug 9, 2010 2:48 PM EDT up reply actions
What can I say?
NG sent me a gift-wrapped Kool Aid set in the mail, how could I not indulge?…
In all seriousness, I try to be optimistic, but at this point I am fed up with all these injuries. It’s like watching a different team, kind of like, um… Pawtucket.
Adrian Beltre is why we can't have healthy outfielders.
Today's Lineup:
Scoot SS
Drew RF
VMart C
Papi DH
Beltre 3B
Lowell 1B
Kalish LF
Hall 2B
Ellsbury CF
Lester on the mound.
Love Ellsbury at the bottom, loathe Hall even being in it. Let Lowrie play, he didn’t play yesterday either and can’t possibly be a big of a dufus on the field as Hall. Now Tito goes with the hot bat in the lineup? I love the man, support the man, but this irks me.
"We are not normal, We are Legends. People will tell their kids about us." - Deon Butler before Ohio State Game 2008.
where is Lowrie!!!?
That place was for diehard sports fans. I only follow my team when they're in the playoffs" - Homer Simpson
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by bestbostonsports on Aug 9, 2010 11:39 AM EDT up reply actions
If Lowrie was in that lineup it would be the first one in a while
Where I would look and go “Wow, that isn’t too bad on either side of the game.” But nope, Bill F&^#ing Hall.
"We are not normal, We are Legends. People will tell their kids about us." - Deon Butler before Ohio State Game 2008.
meh
He has his moments.
But I like Lowrie a lot better
That place was for diehard sports fans. I only follow my team when they're in the playoffs" - Homer Simpson
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by bestbostonsports on Aug 9, 2010 11:46 AM EDT up reply actions
Dumb...
… but consistent with Francona’s “squelch the hot hand” strategy. (no, kidding, I still like Tito – he’s my favorite Jackson)
Wait 'til next/this year?
"Laser show. So relax."
by nuthinboutnuthin on Aug 9, 2010 12:45 PM EDT up reply actions
When did Tito start going with the hot bat?
Especially the hot bat who killed out team defensively last night.
"We are not normal, We are Legends. People will tell their kids about us." - Deon Butler before Ohio State Game 2008.
haha
wasnt that cash :P
That place was for diehard sports fans. I only follow my team when they're in the playoffs" - Homer Simpson
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by bestbostonsports on Aug 9, 2010 11:50 AM EDT up reply actions
He was just as bad.
"We are not normal, We are Legends. People will tell their kids about us." - Deon Butler before Ohio State Game 2008.
true
That place was for diehard sports fans. I only follow my team when they're in the playoffs" - Homer Simpson
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by bestbostonsports on Aug 9, 2010 12:50 PM EDT up reply actions
he killed our team defensively?
I mean he made a bad error, which really only compensated for the great play he made for the ball. If he hadn’t gotten to it at all, it would’ve just been runners on second and third instead of first and third
It could have been the last out.
Instead Beckett had to pitch with less confidence and through four more batters that inning before getting a K to end it. That was a big play, and not all the fault is on him, I understand that VMart didn’t put himself in great position for the throw, but it wasn’t a great throw.
"We are not normal, We are Legends. People will tell their kids about us." - Deon Butler before Ohio State Game 2008.
Tito hasn't stayed with the "hot bat" all year.....and now he does it in favor of Bill Hall.
Also, if we want to look at hot lets look at their August performances so far:
Lowrie: .333 Avg, .455 OBP, .333 SLG, Lowrie has K’d 11.1 % of the time while walking 18.2 % of the time.
Hall: .316 Avg, .316 OBP, .632 SLG (2 HRs both solo shots), Hall has K’d 26.3% of the time with zero walks.
Lowrie has been an OBP machine, while Bill Hall has been the master of the solo run home runs in games we don’t have a chance in.
I say let Lowrie play and let him hit in the 2 Hole!!!!
Scoot SS
Lowrie 2B
VMart C
Papi DH
Beltre 3B
Drew RF
Lowell 1B
Kalish LF
Ellsbury CF
we can all speculate and complain about Lowrie not being in
the fact of the matter is that if he isn’t in the lineup two days in a row, with how he’s been hitting, it’s probably because him and Francona have talked and he needs the rest. He’s still not 100% and we’ve known he isn’t playing everyday. I mean, if it’s not because he feels like crap, then it’s obviously a stupid move- as he can bat lefty against a righty at YS with it’s right field- but we don’t have all the info here.
This isn’t even everyday, this is every other day he can’t even play. I mean, this was maybe the most important series of the year for us and we can’t use Lowrie more than twice in favor of Bill Hall? Maybe if he isn’t healthy to play every other day, he shouldn’t have been called up in the first place and acquired someone to fill in for a couple weeks who isn’t named Patterson. I wouldn’t have minded parting with someone decent in exchange for another Alex Gonzalez type like last year.
"We are not normal, We are Legends. People will tell their kids about us." - Deon Butler before Ohio State Game 2008.
I agree, Lowrie had Mono, not a physical injury.
The thing that could be holding him back is poor conditioning due to the mono.
He, “’lost approximately 12 pounds” due to the illness.
But, if he can only play 1 game out of a 4 game series (A very important series) due to poor conditioning, which causes fatigue and a higher likely-hood of injury, he shouldn’t be on the roaster. He needs to be rehabbing to get back into, “baseball” shape. It doesn’t make sense why the medical staff would expose a player who isn’t physically ready to play to the strain of game conditions.
Giving Up
The season isn’t over until the team gives up. Fortunately, they seem to have a little more grit than some of their fans. The odds are stacked heavy against them, it’s true, and making the playoffs is unlikely, but if you can’t appreciate their effort, or don’t believe they’re trying to win, well, that’s too bad.
I dont know, I still have faith
The Red Sox have been in worse situations. I remember in 2004, The redsox were something like 11 games back at the trading deadline. We all know how that season turned out. There is still a lot of baseball left. In a weeks time, We can be in first place. Were only 6 back. Who knows when we get hot or when the yanks/rays get cold. I still have confidence. I say we get hot when Pedroia comes back. He is a huge spark in this team and i have a feeling we will pick it up.
The 2004 team also had no serious injuries.
Every starter made his start. The lineup scored over 1000 runs. They were unlucky before the trade deadline, but in the sense they weren’t playing to full potential; they weren’t hurt, beaten up. This team is just bad.
Adrian Beltre is why we can't have healthy outfielders.
Well your argument shows that the Sox still have hope
Because the 04 team was doing bad with a starting nine. Were in the same spot with a AAAA team. We wont get Youk back, but when Pedey gets back it will help alot. Ellsbury has been slumping but he will get it together eventually. Varitek will come back so we at least have a second catcher. Things will turn around. We may not win it all, but i guarantee a playoff birth.
by arodlikes men on Aug 9, 2010 9:23 PM EDT up reply actions
Too bad they can't get their money back.
even though Beltre has hit well (he has been anything but a gold glove at third) the total
package they got in the off season is aweful, and they are stuck with boat anchors for
several years. Lackey has just killed them ( the league AVERAGE against him is around
300) and the sox signed him for how many years? Cameron and Hermida have been useless, and mcdonald and hall haven’t been much either. Meanwhile the yanks got Swisher who cost next to nothing and has saved thier ass several times. Ugly offseason pick ups could have picked it up when the starters went down, and instead played like AAA or even AA players. Man they are horrid.
Dont forget about Scutaro.
He has done exactly what we asked of him. Hit between .250-.300 and play shortstop above average. Beltre and Scutaro are the only positive off season moves.
by arodlikes men on Aug 9, 2010 9:24 PM EDT up reply actions
McDonald and Hall
have been good bench players that unfortunately have been pressed into every day roles. Frankly, we’ve been lucky to have them. It’s not like it was the plan to have them in the line-up every day.
Galactus does as he pleases. Because Galactus is drunk.
@#$%ing Twit: @blogtard
Yea true
Mcdonald has performed good. Hall has performed exceptional, but I don’t trust him with the glove. We don’t have alot of options, but he is sketchy.
by arodlikes men on Aug 9, 2010 9:54 PM EDT up reply actions
Well in retrospect a few of the signings look pretty 'meh'
But hindsight is 20/20
Lackey has been a pretty good pitcher in his career, no one could have foreseen really that he would start becoming very hittable all of a sudden he does show some flashes and one way or another we manage to win a lot of his starts so the damage he does with his pitching we’ve mostly been able to compensate for.
Scutaro has been a very good pick up. He, like arodlikes men said, has been everything we thought he would be. Average to plus defense at short and a pretty solid leadoff bat, he gets on base and takes a lot of pitches doing so.
Beltre has been a gem, maybe the best third baseman in baseball this year. Maybe it’s Fenway, maybe it’s a change of atmosphere or maybe it’s a contract year, either way Beltre was one of the best signings of any team this off season period and has been our team MVP with his awesome bat and great defense.
Cameron yes, hasn’t done much, but it’s hard not to appreciate that he played hurt for us most of the season just so we could have some sort of stability. But the man isn’t this old and holding down a starting job for nothing, he’s got a track record of being a great center fielder who keeps himself in tremendous shape, he’ll be back next year.
Hermida, nothing tried nothing gained, he was a fallen prospect who still had a chance to make it with a change of scenery, he could have been Theo’s next David Ortiz or he could have been the next Wily Mo Pena. We didn’t give up anything I particularly miss for him and he wasn’t doing too badly before he pissed off Beltre’s kneecap.
McDonald was a non-roster invitee, no one expected anything from him really, except for these guys. He came up at a time of need, propelled us to some wins and for a replacement player, has provided us with positive value so far this season. His bat isn’t great but provides adequate defense across the outfield. For someone who wasn’t supposed to do anything this year, he’s been great.
Hall, well, I hate Hall but it’s hard to overlook what he’s done for us this year. Lowell was handcuffing out roster early on, we needed to have one player that could play the infield and the outfield. Maybe Hall doesn’t play any particularly well but he cost us about nothing to pick up. Maybe Kotchman would have been nice to have, but we had Lowell as a backup 1B. The guy’s been asked to do a lot and he’s done it all. He even pitched a perfect inning for us. For the little amount we’re actually spending on him, he’s provided us with a 1 WAR season so far.
Every player you listed besides the two injured ones Hermida and Cameron, have provided the team with a positive WAR this year, even Lackey.
But you’re missing the point, Hermida, Hall, McDonald, those there minor acquisitions, compare them to Swisher all you want, they weren’t on the same level, Swisher was a good player who was having his worst season ever, a prime buy low candidate that the Yankees jumped on. At the time you’ll have to remember we had Bay, Ellsbury and Drew, our outfield was set.
This year Theo didn’t need to make any trades to get our major pieces in place. We needed an CF/LF so he went out and got defensive whiz with a good bat Cameron. We needed a 3B so he took a flyer on Beltre. SS, how about Scutaro? Everything else was a bench or role player.
Taking injuries into account there isn’t a player on this roster, besides the RPs, that have played down at a minor league level. On top of that, we’ve had minor league players come up and be revelations, Nava was a sensation with a legit bat. Kalish has been damned good so far in his debut, Felix Doubront came up and pitched very well IMO, for a guy no one knew about this season, he came up, gave us what, 3 starts, and each one put us in a position to win the game.
"We are not normal, We are Legends. People will tell their kids about us." - Deon Butler before Ohio State Game 2008.
First it isn't over..
It is going to be tough, and I think the Rays are the tougher club because of their starting pitching. Yes, there are some things out of the Sox’s control, and both the Rays and the MFY have to falter. However, the Sox are playing okay ball, and are still continuing a pretty good winning percentage. They are right now, as I write, 4 and half out of the Wild Card
Right now, I see the ALCS as between the MFY and the Rays. However, if the Sox’s two pitchers they need right now to win the inter divisional games that they are paying lots of money to, Lackey and Beckett, they may have a chance.
Injuries aside, there are some good things about the club this year, mainly the signing of Beltre and the emergence (finally) of Buchholz. They need top of line performances of all the starting players to beat both the MFY and the Rays, it is possible, they have shown they can do this.
It sucks, to see the two top positional players out, and Youklis out for the season, but Pedroia is coming back, If Lackey is pitching injured, he should fess up, and hopefully Beckett can get his game back, even though it doesn’t look like it.
It is way too early to count the Sox’s out. They are a good team in the toughest division, with the Rays showing some dominance in their starting pitching.
The MFY MVP for this year should be as usual, the Right Field Wall.
Right Field hasn't been nearly what it was last year
They’re on pace for 192 home runs as opposed to 244

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