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Around SBN: 2011 In Extreme Home Runs

Clay Buchholz: New, Improved and Ready For The Future

If you take away five hits and a walk from last night's game, Clay Buchholz pitched a perfect game. It was almost like what Armando Galarraga did the other night. Or, almost like what Armando Galarraga almost did.

Buchholz's start won't go into the record books, but it will go down as one of his best this season.

Star-divide

Buchholz has been very good over his last five starts. As Logan pointed out, Buchh has a 5-0 record and a 0.99 ERA over the last five starts. Wins are useless, of course, but just seeing a number and a "-0" is nice.

The most impressive stat to me over his last five games is his WHIP. In 36.1 innings, he has allowed 23 hits and 12 walks, good for a 0.97 WHIP. This wasn't the Buchholz we saw in April, one that would give up the hits and walks and somehow strand those runners. His ERA has been pretty tidy all year long, but the WHIP has always been a problem. Not now.

Here's a closer look at Buchh's last five starts:

DATE TEAM IP ER H BB SO GB FB PIT
5/14 @DET 6.1 1 3 5 3 8 7 111
5/19 MIN 8.0 2 5 1 7 13 4 104
5/24 @TBR 6.0 1 6 1 8 7 6 108
5/29 KCR 7.0 0 4 4 4 12 3 108
6/4 @BAL 9.0 0 5 1 2 13 11 101


Over the course of these five starts, Buchholz has become more efficient. One-hundred and one pitches has been his lowest pitch count, but it came in Friday's complete-game shutout. He averaged 11.2 pitches per inning in the shutout. In the 5/14 start against Detroit, he was averaging 17.6 pitches per game.

The interesting thing about Buchholz's starts is that he really hasn't followed a clear trend. In three of the five games, he walked just one batter per game. But in the other two he walked five and four, which are two high numbers. Then, in two games, Buchh struck out seven and eight -- good totals no matter how many innings are pitched. But in three of the other games, he has struck out four or less, including two Friday night.

What makes it even more interesting is that the two high strikeout games came against two good teams: Minnesota (seven strikeouts) and Tampa Bay (eight strikeouts). What does this mean? Is Buchholz purposely trying for the strikeouts against better opponents?

Maybe, because it seemed pretty obvious he was pitching to contact against the Orioles' weak lineup on Friday night. Buchh induced 13 ground balls and 11 fly balls. He didn't have to be a shutdown starting pitcher because he allowed his defense to do the work behind him. Against the Twins it seems like everything was clicking, because with the seven strikeouts, he also induced 13 ground balls.

It seems like there is no real reason why Buchholz has been very good as of late. There are no trends to his performances, except one: he gets the job done. One game it might be striking people out and avoiding the contact. The next it might be pitching to contact to let his defense do the work.

This is exactly what the Red Sox need, though. They don't need a pitcher that goes out there and gets 10 strikeouts a game and lives and dies by that. They need a pitcher that can go out and pitch in whatever way gets a win. Buchholz has been that kind of guy and the Red Sox are a better team because of it.

Perhaps we have finally seen the true Clay Buchholz we have been waiting to see for years.

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Pretty interesting, and suprising

…that Buchholz is anchoring this rotation right now (along with Lester -not a suprise). I definitely thought, and am probably not alone on this, that Beckett and Lester would be the leaders this year, with Lackey not far behind, and Buchholz a question mark.

Don’t get me wrong, I thought Buckles would have a stand out year…but he is maturing at a higher rate than I expected right now. Getting some post season experience, and confidence last year…seems to really have bolstered him.

Great to see. Now, only if Lackey, Dice K, and Beckett, when he returns…could follow suit. The Sox would literally, be unbeatable.

by RockEmSoxEm on Jun 5, 2010 12:36 PM EDT reply actions  

Hes been our best pitcher all year

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by bestbostonsports on Jun 5, 2010 12:38 PM EDT reply actions  

Love his May WHIP.

but like his improved groundball % even more.
April GB%, 45.2%
May GB%, 58.6%

and reduced flyball % too:
April FB%, 38.4%
May FB%, 22.5%

Link to Buchholz Fangraphs Splits:

If he can keep this trend going with our defense behind him, only good things can happen.
John Lackey, please watch Clay pitch and bring those groundballs back.

by went9 on Jun 5, 2010 12:56 PM EDT reply actions  

The K splits make sense to me

Bucholtz got 8 first pitch outs last night because Baltimore was swinging. Teams like the Twins and the Rays are going to work the count more, which means you get to the necessary 2 strikes it takes to get a third.

by Maeamian on Jun 5, 2010 1:14 PM EDT reply actions  

To be fair, he only got 3 swinging strikes last night.

But looking at what batters do against Clay, I’m not too worried about Ks. For one thing, he gets the same swinging strike rate as some of the best strikeout pitchers in the game. I looked at the 5 guys who rank just ahead of him in K/9, and he had about 25% more swinging strikes than any of them. You could look at this as Clay having a problem with putting guys away, or you could say he’s just getting unlucky on when guys whiff against him.

He also has one of the highest outside swing percentages in the majors, so he’s clearly fooling batters, and that’s the sort of stuff that induces weak contact and outs. If guys learn to stay home against him better, he might have to hit the zone more, but that’s OK, because Clay has one of the lowest contact rates in the strike zone.

Honestly, he’s kind of pitching incredibly right now.

USG

by Ben Buchanan on Jun 5, 2010 4:58 PM EDT up reply actions  

If a pitcher can count on the defense to do their job

Then the pitcher is free to focus on getting the batter out, rather than worrying about not getting hit.

I don’t know what did it, but Buchholz has finally overcome whatever mental block it was that kept causing him to panic whenever the bases started getting filled up. He’s been a decidedly different pitcher this year, even with runners on board.

Fenway: "An alternate and better universe, disguised as a ballpark." --Thomas Boswell

by lone1c on Jun 5, 2010 1:52 PM EDT reply actions  

Buchholz

Stuff: Check
Mental toughness: Check
Maturity:Check

Earlier in his career the stuff was there, but the other two were in question

by BobZupcic on Jun 5, 2010 2:29 PM EDT reply actions  

He is being pretty BAMF this year.

"We are not normal, We are Legends. People will tell their kids about us." - Deon Butler before Ohio State Game 2008.

by Rogue Nine on Jun 5, 2010 3:38 PM EDT up reply actions  

Buch for Cy?

If he keeps pitching like he did in May I could see it happening, and that would be a hell of a comeback.

If I was your math homework I'd be really hard and you'd be doing me on your desk.
I'm a 7 WAR player in bed.

by TheLoneDavid on Jun 5, 2010 7:35 PM EDT reply actions  

huh?

“Wins are useless, of course, but just seeing a number and a “-0” is nice."

This kind of statement is what turns me off the stathead’s POV. I have been unhappy with this team for a while but great goooleymugdley they are getting better week by week. But…never in my wildest dreams could I say that statement. Wins are never useless, just ask Grenke this season.

by papoonforpresident on Jun 5, 2010 10:01 PM EDT reply actions  

Well, it's really just not a good indicator of how a guy pitches.

Jon Garland had the 3rd most wins in 2006, but a 4.51 ERA. Look at Joe Saunders. Or Scott Feldman. D-Lowe this year. It’s equally a measure of your offense as your pitching.

USG

by Ben Buchanan on Jun 5, 2010 10:31 PM EDT up reply actions  

Armando Galarraga didn’t “almost” do anything. He threw a perfect game and retired another man for good measure. If replay or any other issue raised by Selig brying his head in the sand is so sacriligeous, then repeal Home Run call replay system that our team has enjoyed as recently as Scutaro’s off the wall during the last home game recently.

Stupidity. The man earned it. This fellow can articulate it further than I can presently be bothered.

  http://sports.yahoo.com/mlb/news;_ylt=AqsCVPjo3rmRHTcOTGFqBvERvLYF?slug=jp-replay060310

by Christopher B on Jun 6, 2010 12:00 AM EDT reply actions  

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