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Around SBN: Sixers Vs. Celtics: Countdown To Game Seven

Dear Red Sox Fans -- There Is Cause for Hope

BOSTON - MAY 9:  Jon Lester #31 of the Boston Red Sox throws against the New York Yankees at Fenway Park on May 9, 2010 in Boston, Massachusetts. (Photo by Jim Rogash/Getty Images)

Dear Red Sox Nation,

It's time to step away from the bridge. Time to put out your trashcan fires, put away your molotov cocktails, and return your vehicles to an upright position. You have suffered through a month so listless, no list could possibly list all the list that was absent. But all that is at an end, and not just because Boston avoided another sweep at home. Here are five reasons why Red Sox fans can entertain playoff hopes this year:

Star-divide



1. April is over, so it's time for Jon Lester to shine.

As I previously spelled out, the Sox biggest problem to start the season has been pitching. Part of that was Jon Lester, who experienced his customary April struggles: a 4.71 ERA in April. But two starts into May he's looking very strong, having silenced the Angels and Yankees in succession. With a revivified Lester at the helm, our rotation will be greatly improved.

2. Victor Martinez will get better.

VMart has done little so far, reaching base less than . But he is a batter with a career .370 OBP, and with him healthy there's absolutely no reason to not expect more from him - more power, more hits and more walks. Include the inevitable return of our missing outfielders Ellsbury and Cameron (barring either catching Lowrieitis) and we can expect either renewed offense or at least a continuation of their current success.

3. Josh Beckett can't possibly be this bad, this long.

7.46 ERA? You kidding me?! Well, this awfulness won't last long - Beckett's peripheral statistics are way too good for the high ERA to continue. His FIP is 4.47 and his xFIP is 4.35, and his BABIP is .365. These stats indicate he's been victimized by very bad luck on balls in play, as well as poor defense. It may take a little while - we still have a tough schedule ahead for May - but as Beckett showed in his start against Baltimore, he can limit teams to 3 or fewer runs, and put our offense in a position to win.

4. John Lackey and Clay Buchholz should be strong.

Buchholz was the brightest spot in the Red Sox starting rotation through April (2.19 ERA), and with health and familiarity with the AL, we can continue to expect great performances from him. Lackey pitched decently through April (4.50 ERA), and had a great start to May against the Angels; given his career numbers, he should continue to impress.


5. Dustin Pedroia is a God among men.

If you're reading this sentence for explanation of the above, forget it. Our second baseman will single-handedly carry this team to October if he has to, with time for charity and filming commercials on the side.

___________ 

It may not be time to beat your swords and pitchforks to ploughshares, but there's definitely cause for hope. As a Sox fan, I realize that this may just be a mirage - a vision of October champagne being cruelly offered to a drowning fanbase. But I don't believe that, and neither should you. Keep the faith, and écrasez l'infâme!* - E.

* l'infame being the Yankees, of course

Poll
Are you ready to take down the barricades, step down from the ledge, and return to your home?
Yes, your soothing words and the Red Sox improved play have encouraged me.
180 votes
Give me a minute, I want to gather up my stuff in case I have to protest again in a few days.
212 votes
No, it's my party and I'll riot if I want to. (You would riot too if it happened to you.)
166 votes

558 votes | Poll has closed

Comment 64 comments  |  0 recs  | 

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I always kept confedence in this team. Keep the faith!!!!

Join the NLL community at http://www.nationallacrosseleagueblog.blogspot.com/
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by bestbostonsports on May 10, 2010 12:11 AM EDT reply actions  

the rays will fold no question

just a little more pressure on skankville and they will collapse as well. the al least is still up for grabs

by brian custer on May 10, 2010 12:58 AM EDT reply actions  

Agreed... partly.

I think the Yanks will falter, they are old and if they lose Pettite or Posada for a good amount of time, I could see them hitting a nice rough patch.

The Rays on the other hand really make me nervous. They really do have a good team and even though I can’t stand them, I’d much rather it be them playing well then the Yankees. Btw, what’s up with Matt Garza, he is becoming a Red Sox killer.

There are no stupid questions, but there are a LOT of inquisitive idiots.

by return2greatness on May 10, 2010 11:41 AM EDT up reply actions  

I fully expect us to play some good ball the rest of the year.

Did we dig too big a hole? Maybe. It remains to be seen. We certainly had a harder schedule than the other two. Its time to just relax and watch a team play good ball (god willing).

Let me ask you this: Did any Yankee fan concede they were too far out this time last year? Of course not. We’re the Red Sox. Coming back from deficits is what we do.

by alskor on May 10, 2010 1:18 AM EDT reply actions  

We have one hundred and thirty games still to play.

We have not yet begun to fight.
Go Sox.

" Play Ball "

by went9 on May 10, 2010 1:19 AM EDT reply actions  

Nine loses compared to 16 loses.

With 130 games to play. I’ve climbed larger mountains than that molehill.
Bring it on.

" Play Ball "

by went9 on May 10, 2010 7:19 AM EDT up reply actions  

Pedroia is god.....

I need a T-shirt that says that!

I LOVE PEDROIA!!! ITS MAN LOVE!

by kraken613 on May 10, 2010 1:54 AM EDT via mobile reply actions  

Yeah, I saw that the other day.

It’s is all kinds of awesome. The t-shirt is cool, too.

Although buddy is seriously getting ripped about the design.

Galactus does as he pleases. Because Galactus is drunk.

I have a five-tool player in my pants.

ACTUALLY, advanced metrics show that that wasn't "premature".

@#$%ing Twit: @blogtard

by Bloggy on May 10, 2010 6:19 AM EDT up reply actions  

Not to be That Guy

But according to Pedroia’s past laser show comments, the lasers actually refer to all the flashbulbs every time Pedroia comes up to the plate. And judging by his bomb squad comment the day after, he refers to hits as bombs.

I guess I’m the pedroia wiki now.

Building Fenway from the ground up - Virtual Fenway

by Sean O on May 10, 2010 10:24 AM EDT up reply actions  

Please do not throw a wet blanket on the awesome.

Galactus does as he pleases. Because Galactus is drunk.

I have a five-tool player in my pants.

ACTUALLY, advanced metrics show that that wasn't "premature".

@#$%ing Twit: @blogtard

by Bloggy on May 10, 2010 10:32 AM EDT up reply actions  

I like the Laser Show = flashbulb thing

After all, Pedroia’s whole life has been about proving he can do it, and nothing says he’s arrived like 35,000 flashbulbs every time he blows his nose.

Building Fenway from the ground up - Virtual Fenway

by Sean O on May 10, 2010 10:41 AM EDT up reply actions  

Yes!

I have to have that shirt!

I LOVE PEDROIA!!! ITS MAN LOVE!

by kraken613 on May 10, 2010 10:33 AM EDT via mobile up reply actions  

Busting your bubble

We were playing in bad weather, at home, and we always hit Burnette hard. I know….I saw the ground rule double by Ortiz , and the hits from Beltre, and Hermida going yard, and we didn’t commit any errors tonight. I even saw the footage of Ellsbury and Cameron working out before the game. But we are still only at .500 and got spanked in the first two games of this series. We have a long way to go before we start contending. I do hope that this is the biginning of something great, but it’s going to take a 7 to 8 game winning streak before this month is through before we can even think that things are turning around. It’s all about consistency.

by 75bandwagon on May 10, 2010 3:53 AM EDT reply actions  

Busting your bubble

but my bubble is unburst.

Rock me, sexy Jesus...

by nuthinboutnuthin on May 10, 2010 1:08 PM EDT up reply actions  

I agree about consistency

However, the Sox have played .623 ball over their past 19 games. A .623 WP is good for about 102 wins over 162 games. So, I’d say the team has been pretty good of late. What the Sox need to do is continue to play well.

I gotta go 'cause I'm probably definitely gonna nod out again.

by Drugs Delaney on May 10, 2010 1:30 PM EDT up reply actions  

Sox need to win a few series against high quality teams before we can get too excited

Going back to the 2nd half last year, the Sox have really struggled against teams with high winning %/playoff teams.

That hasn’t changed much to start ‘10, it’ll need to before I think we can really gather up too much hope or momentum.

by JonnyNYC on May 10, 2010 10:28 AM EDT reply actions  

Jays are on their typical downward spiral after a hot start

They are playing pretty good ball, but I’m not sure they’ll be fighting for much longer.
Sox need to at least win this series, if not sweep.

by JonnyNYC on May 10, 2010 11:16 AM EDT up reply actions  

This needs to be rec'd

CONGRATS, BROTHER!

Galactus does as he pleases. Because Galactus is drunk.

I have a five-tool player in my pants.

ACTUALLY, advanced metrics show that that wasn't "premature".

@#$%ing Twit: @blogtard

by Bloggy on May 10, 2010 11:51 AM EDT up reply actions  

Congrats, Hix

I gotta go 'cause I'm probably definitely gonna nod out again.

by Drugs Delaney on May 10, 2010 12:35 PM EDT up reply actions  

Great stuff man - my boy was born 4/20

he’s arrival to earth prompted Darnell McDonald to arrive and do some things.

Hopefully your lil man can bring V-Mart out of his slumber…or Beckett…or something!

by JonnyNYC on May 10, 2010 1:00 PM EDT up reply actions  

Congrats!

All the best to you and your family.
Laser Hix has arrived.

" Play Ball "

by went9 on May 10, 2010 1:38 PM EDT up reply actions  

Oh wow thanks guys

See that grip? That’s a baseball grip! He’s working on his breaking ball already ’cause he has 95 mph fastball in store ;)

Westmoreland recently asked his son how he was feeling, and the response the father received didn't surprise him. "I'm going to be in Portland next year," Ryan said.

by radiohix on May 10, 2010 3:28 PM EDT up reply actions  

Now DAT is da AWSOME!

Congrats, ’Hix!

Is this your first?

Grab sleep whenever you can, son!

by mmmmm on May 10, 2010 10:38 PM EDT up reply actions  

Dont forget Beltre

Does anybody really think he’ll average 5 errors a month?

by Jason A on May 10, 2010 11:47 AM EDT reply actions  

No Minor Lines today?

Join the NLL community at http://www.nationallacrosseleagueblog.blogspot.com/
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by bestbostonsports on May 10, 2010 12:02 PM EDT reply actions  

He has a 118 OPS+

I’m not excusing the questionable defense, but from the 6 games I’ve attended this season, he has taken some terrible hops. His first inning 2 errorfest against the Orioles was awful luck. Now, he should still get most of those, but I don’t see any reason to believe he’s massively regressed.

Building Fenway from the ground up - Virtual Fenway

by Sean O on May 10, 2010 12:26 PM EDT up reply actions  

Im sure you would agree with me, that much fo the Sox fan base is reactionary, and freaks out over a small sample size.

Now, having said that. I am cautiously optimistic that we will turn it around. And as for Beltre, his hitting has been pretty solid, and he’s been having timely at bats lately with RISP.

by RockEmSoxEm on May 10, 2010 12:36 PM EDT up reply actions  

Both UZR and Dewan have Beltre as a positive fielder on the year (though obviously SSS with many factors outside his control still)

…but he’s clearly getting to a ton of balls, he just got nailed with a few tough errors and bobbled a few (which he always has). The error total is ugly, but it doesn’t mean a whole lot. Contrast him to if we played Lowell there. Beltre has made 7 errors… but how many balls in and to each side has he turned into outs that Lowell wouldn’t have come close to? Its way more than 7.

Beltre also has a .361 wOBA and the highest AVG on the team. He’s been one of our best players.

by alskor on May 10, 2010 1:18 PM EDT up reply actions  

can't disagree with any of that

He certainly hasn’t been our problem. I’d love another 20 points of EYE, but you take what you can get in that area.

Building Fenway from the ground up - Virtual Fenway

by Sean O on May 10, 2010 1:50 PM EDT up reply actions  

Our problem, hands down, has been Pitching

Your “ACE”, whom you just gave a healthy extension, cannot be pitching like Beckett has of late. And your 5th starter, in Dice-K, has also been coughing up lemon starts…When those two start producing consistent 6-7 inning outings (asking a lot from Dice-K), we will start rolling, and winning more games consecutively.

by RockEmSoxEm on May 10, 2010 1:53 PM EDT up reply actions  

Plus

as if on cue, an article (not about Beltre) but claiming Fenway has the worst infield dirt in the majors: http://www.boston.com/sports/baseball/redsox/articles/2010/05/10/disdain_still_surfacing_over_infield/

by alskor on May 10, 2010 2:04 PM EDT up reply actions  

Scoot

was complaining about the infield earlier in the season, as maybe contributing to his adjustment curve, when he was making errors.

Pedey also mentioned it during the playoffs last year.

by RockEmSoxEm on May 10, 2010 2:08 PM EDT up reply actions  

Re: the O's game

I think one of the “errors” was changed to a “hit” by the official scorer.

I gotta go 'cause I'm probably definitely gonna nod out again.

by Drugs Delaney on May 10, 2010 12:36 PM EDT up reply actions  

Also, regarding turning it around...

I think given the BRUTAL stretch we have ahead of us…this 3 game set Vs Toronto is CRUCIAL. In order for me to start feeling “good”, We ave to leave fenway with at least a 18-17 record. It’d be nice to build some momentum.

by RockEmSoxEm on May 10, 2010 12:41 PM EDT up reply actions  

It was

but I’ll call a spade a spade. There’s no logical way you can see that error 1 was an error but error 2 wasn’t, or vice versa. They were the exact same play.

Building Fenway from the ground up - Virtual Fenway

by Sean O on May 10, 2010 12:50 PM EDT up reply actions  

yeah I thought that was odd

and didn’t think either was an error.

by wolf9309 on May 10, 2010 1:05 PM EDT up reply actions  

Tito didn't like his control

but hopefully that’s been improving (I haven’t really been following him) and he seems pretty certain to be a significant bullpen piece by the end of the year.

by wolf9309 on May 10, 2010 1:05 PM EDT up reply actions  

He has

supposedly worked on not floating the ball up in the zone. He got pounded when he left his FB up high. Also, he has a nice evolved “slurve” now…plus being 6’6 and 240 doesnt hurt his chances haha.

by RockEmSoxEm on May 10, 2010 2:03 PM EDT up reply actions  

Reasons to be nervous

The past three years, there has been a 3-headed monster in the AL East called the Sox/Yanks/Rays. Don’t know if it means anything, but since only two of the three heads make it into the playoffs, it could be a bad omen that 2008 saw the Yankees lose out and 2009 had the Rays packing it in early.

Could it be time for the third head of the monster to be watching the playoffs from the “comfort” of their living rooms this year? I’m just saying…

by The Bat on May 10, 2010 1:53 PM EDT reply actions  

yes, if

the teams that made the playoffs were determined by an annual rotation of teams. But if that were the case, aren’t we about due for a Royals/Pirates world series?

by wolf9309 on May 10, 2010 2:39 PM EDT up reply actions  

I'd watch that.

Galactus does as he pleases. Because Galactus is drunk.

I have a five-tool player in my pants.

ACTUALLY, advanced metrics show that that wasn't "premature".

@#$%ing Twit: @blogtard

by Bloggy on May 10, 2010 2:45 PM EDT up reply actions  

Side Note

Why do I ever visit bostondirtdogs.com? Their multi-post excoriation of Nomar is shameful even by BDD standards, and that’s saying something. Bloody idiots give us all a bad name.

Building Fenway from the ground up - Virtual Fenway

by Sean O on May 10, 2010 2:01 PM EDT reply actions  

a diamond in the rough

a bright spot has been jeremy hermida. seems he has taken advantage of injuries (ellsberry, cameron), & big papi’s woes. the pitching will settle in, though i see the x factor as being dice-k, nobody can forecast what he’ll do. my hope is for a quality 1/2 season so we can package him in a deal for somebody worthwhile come trading deadline. no reason to give up hope…

by thaipatsfan on May 10, 2010 9:58 PM EDT reply actions  

What do we vote in the poll

If we were never barricaded or anywhere near a bridge? I don’t give up that easy.

by legacyme3 on May 10, 2010 10:47 PM EDT reply actions  

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