Community Projections 2010: Adrian Beltre
by Randy Booth on Mar 27, 2010 6:00 AM EDT
in Community Projections
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PrintLet's finish off the horn by predicting for Adrian Beltre.
Beltre is an interesting case. A ma who once led the league in home runs has fallen off the map the last couple years. He had a tough season last year battling through injuries at Safeco, but how will he do with Fenway calling his home? He's got a lot to prove if he wants to opt out of his contract after this year to make more money. So, how's the new defensive stud going to do with the stick?
Copy the form, paste it into the comments and predict away:
PA:
HR:
RBI:
BA:
OBP:
SLG:
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Actually, that SLG is unrealistically low with all those HRs.
.535 instead.
USG
by Ben Buchanan on Mar 27, 2010 7:37 AM EDT up reply actions
Wow
I think that is overly optimistic. I hope you are right! Nothing about his hitting profile suggests Fenway will help in any way other than the usual lack of foul territory. Beltre is a spray hitter who goes the other way a lot. Now he will be facing the Rays and Yankees and greatly improved O’s pitching staff (and diminished Jays staff) instead of basically just the Angels good staff for most of his tenure with the Ms. I see it more this way:
PA:550
HR:19
RBI:88
BA:268
OBP:330
SLG:445
If he's healthy and hitting well, the numbers may actually be higher
Granted, you can’t count on that, but if he’s healthy and hitting that well, he’s going to have more than 600 plate appearances.
May be higher than what I guessed
but I will bet 100 bucks he will NOT post an 875 OPS or 30+ homers. First, Fenway is not a HR park. It has actually been a worse HR park than Safeco over the last 3 years and that is not factoring in the better HR hitting teams that play there (including of course the Sox). Beltre is not a pull hitter like Cameron, and even if he were, it turns out that Fenway is HR neutral for pull righties. His BA/OBP should be helped by Fenway, but he will also be facing better pitching most nights (for much of the time he played in the West, OAK and Texas were not good pitching teams, and the Angels were no better than Tampa or the Yankees are now). I don’t think he will post numbers that are significanly better than what he has at his best in Seattle.
Hey, I've got him pegged for 25 HR and a .800 OPS
I don’t see him putting up bigger numbers either. I’m just saying, if he does, particularly before interleague play starts, he’s going to get a lot more plate appearances, which would mean he would put up bigger numbers.
PA: 565
HR: 27
RBI: 101
BA: .287
OBP: .322
SLG: .435
David Ortiz 2010: 120 RBIs, 35+ HRs. Jason who?
gonna be hard to post 27 HRs and 101 RBI with a .435 slg
in only 565 PA.
Possible, but seems unlikely.
Another Adrian will be playing the corners with Youk at the end of the year.
PA:214
HR:11
RBI:32
BA:.261
OBP:.302
SLG:.499
PA: 540
HR: 27
RBI: 85
BA: .279
OBP: .337
SLG: .482
"Man you are one pathetic loser. No offense." - Lloyd Christmas
by Lloyd Christmas on Mar 27, 2010 11:54 PM EDT reply actions
Beltre DOES know how to pull
Yes, his hit chart shows ‘spray’ – but that’s because he knows how to hit to the various parks he’s been in.
He’ll benefit from Fenway. I predict a lot of green monster doubles.
PA: 590
HR: 28
RBI: 82
BA: .275
OBP: .345
SLG: .505
PA: 572
HR: 22
RBI: 81
BA:.268
OBP:.328
SLG:.479
by German Red Sox Fan on Mar 28, 2010 1:37 AM EDT reply actions
Hard one to predict, but I'm gonna go conservative.
PA: 560
HR: 22
RBI: 82
BA: .274
OBP: .330
SLG: .470
Can't wait to see this guy
PA: 572
HR: 24
RBI: 92
BA: .284
OBP: .344
SLG: .501
Whoever said it doesn't matter whether you win or lose, probably lost.
I just dont see him being successful.. Injuries and such
im just going to do the basic stats i dont know much about the others.
AVG. .255- I see him as a streaky hitter hot and cold
HR’s 15
RBI’s 64
Multiple stints on the D.L is my prediction.
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