A Quick Look at the 2011 Red Sox Bullpen
As we all know, our good friend Theo Epstein has been busy patching up the bullpen that was so bad in 2010. The acquisitions of Bobby Jenks and Dan Wheeler look to be very promising.
I made this chart to illustrate which pitchers we can expect to pitch in each inning. I will go over them by innings.
Relievers
1st
2nd
3rd
4th
5th
6th
7th
8th
9th
Scott Atchinson
X
X
X
X
Daniel Bard
X
X
Bobby Jenks
X
X
Jonathan Papelbon
X
Tim Wakefield
X
X
X
X
Dan Wheeler
X
X
X
First Inning to Fourth Inning:
The first, second, third, and fourth innings are long relief situations that are caused by a monstrous number of allowed runs by the starting pitcher, or a injury to the starting pitcher. In these situations expect Tito to go to the former starter Tim Wakefield and reliever Scott Atchinson. Tim Wakefield will be his primary option due to the fact that he was a former starter and can go through the opposing lineup more than once. Atchinson could be seen on situations where Wakefield made a spot start or he has recently used as a long reliever. He could also be seen if Wakefield also gets pounded early on.
Fifth Inning:
The fifth inning can see Dan Wheeler coming out of the bullpen if the starter cannot get past it. Depending on the size of the lead or deficit, the long relievers could also see some action in this slot. Over the past three years, Dan Wheeler has been quite successful, posting 0.99, 0.87, and 1.08 WHIPs and ERAs in the range of 3.10 – 3.40. This inning could also see another reliever yet to be determined. This could be Felix Doubront's inning of work if Theo decides not to acquire another reliever.
Sixth Inning:
The sixth inning is where the extra reliever is really necessary. If Dan Wheeler pitches the 5th, who could pitch the sixth? Well, the answer to that could simply be nobody, as in the sense of two pitchers pitching 3 innings, (i.e. Wheeler pitches the 5th and half the 6th, and Jenks pitches the rest of the 6th and the entire 8th) but that option just doesn't help the bullpen. The other option is getting a Free Agent reliever like Hideki Okajima or Kyle Fransworth. And there is also Felix Doubront to pitch the 6th.
Seventh Inning:
The final three innings is really where our bullpen looks really strong on paper. We got the possibility to pitch Wheeler if we have the lead by 4+ runs. If we are at 3 or below (tie included) expect Bobby Jenks and Daniel Bard to come in and pitch the seventh. At first we could just see Jenks pitching the 7th with Bard pitching the 8th, but if Jenks begins to find his stuff and return to top form, we could see them alternating the innings.
Eight Inning:
As I mentioned earlier, Daniel Bard could be the go-to-guy in the 8th for the Red Sox during the young season, but as it progresses, Bobby Jenks could also see some time in this role. Whoever doesn't pitch the 7th, pitches the 8th, as easy as that.
Ninth Inning:
Of course we all know that in the past half a decade Jonathan Papelbon has been the only guy that is mentioned alongside the words "Red Sox" and "Ninth Inning" but this year it could change. Paps has struggled as of late and his contract ends after this season. It sure looks like the Paps' days in Boston could be over soon with Bard waiting patiently in line. We could see Bard in a lot more closing situations than we thought, so prepare yourselves!
Wrapping It Up
Boston has, on paper, a really solid bullpen, especially in the late innings. We do have a big gap in the 5th and 6th innings in which, depending on Theo's decision, could be a FA or Doubront. One thing to think about is that all our relievers are righties! A lefty specialist could come very handy down the road. Something is to think about is, can Salty catch knuckleballs?
Good Stats: In the past three years, Bobby Jenks has held the MFY to .136 AVG while allowing no runs in 6 games. Dan Wheeler allows a .100 AVG, no runs in 3 innings at Fenway.
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I voted OTHER.
Because I think every game is a situation, and as such any one of those relievers could come through the door, with the probable exception of Papelbon.
Galactus does as he pleases. Because Galactus is drunk.
@#$%ing Twit: @blogtard
wait what?
"I don't put any foreign substances on the baseball. Everything I use is from the good old U.S.A."
JVSM
Pedroya Lova
by Dustin's #1 Fan on Dec 29, 2010 3:50 PM EST up reply actions
If we're winning by 6
And the starter has to come out in the 6th. Expect to see Wake or Atch since it’s a low leverage situation and they can soak up the rest of the game. If we’re losing by 1 and the bases are loaded with two outs, well, expect Bard because he is the guy we can trust the most to get the most important outs of the game.
Every game is a situation.
"We are not normal, We are Legends. People will tell their kids about us." - Deon Butler before Ohio State Game 2008.
Oh yeah of course this is in close games mainly. 1, 2 run games. You know?
"I don't put any foreign substances on the baseball. Everything I use is from the good old U.S.A."
JVSM
Pedroya Lova
by Dustin's #1 Fan on Dec 29, 2010 5:09 PM EST up reply actions
The way it's worded
it’s like Atch and Wake are being reserved strictly for innings 1 through 4, and then there’s a guy for inning 5, a guy for inning 6….kind of like they position players. Pedroia plays second, Youk is at third.
It’s so much based on who’s available, the score, the importance of the game….
Galactus does as he pleases. Because Galactus is drunk.
@#$%ing Twit: @blogtard
Yeah of course. Its like Jed Lowrie for example. He can play second, and third, and short, but you will MAINLY see him at short right?
"I don't put any foreign substances on the baseball. Everything I use is from the good old U.S.A."
JVSM
Pedroya Lova
by Dustin's #1 Fan on Dec 30, 2010 2:05 PM EST up reply actions
I guess what I'm saying
is that you will see pitchers not based on inning, but situation. High leverage situation, long-relief situation, one-out, blow out, availability, whatever.
I don’t think slotting people to innings works.
Galactus does as he pleases. Because Galactus is drunk.
@#$%ing Twit: @blogtard
If you see it that way, fine. It does have some logic to it.
But for me its clearer to see them in slots.
"I don't put any foreign substances on the baseball. Everything I use is from the good old U.S.A."
JVSM
Pedroya Lova
by Dustin's #1 Fan on Dec 30, 2010 3:33 PM EST up reply actions
I don't agree.
You want to line your relievers up by leverage, not by inning (though the two are somewhat correlated). If the starter is going to come out in the 5th leaving a 2-on 0-out situation, I’m going to want Bard/Jenks going. If there’s a 5-run lead in the 9th, then go with Atchison.
+1
I think Dustin’s estimates are off at best. Regarding Atchinson and Wakefield, not to say that they won’t take the mound in the first four innings, but it’s more likely to appear out of the bullpen in the 6th and 7th in winning or tie situations, 8th and 9th in mop up duty.
Wheeler should see more 7th inning duty, Bard will likely primarily be a 7th and 8th inning guy with Jenks in the 8th and Papelbon in the 9th. However, a couple good or bad weeks could quickly shuffle that deck.
I'm still hoping for Joe Thatcher
but I think you’re underestimating Atch, I think he could be a decent 5th and 6th inning guy.
I'm a 7 WAR player in bed.
Official Baker of Red Sox Nation
What happens...
…if Joe Thatcher pitches to Geovany Soto in the All-Star Game?
"Laser show. So relax."
"For the Patriots [playing the Jets], it was like fighting Piston Honda knowing that every time he raises an eyebrow, he's about to throw a jab."
by nuthinboutnuthin on Dec 30, 2010 1:50 AM EST up reply actions
I might just explode
especially if Chase Headley starts a double play off Soto.
I'm a 7 WAR player in bed.
Official Baker of Red Sox Nation
by TheLoneDavid on Dec 30, 2010 6:50 AM EST up reply actions
bullpen
all of our pitchers in the pen are right handed and we need at least 1 lefty, so it would make sense to sign fuentes or bring in doubront as a lefty specialist.

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