Giving A Vote Of Confidence To Jarrod Saltalamacchia
The Red Sox appear to once again have a new catcher.
With last year's catcher, Victor Martinez agreeing to a 4-year contract with the Detroit Tigers and Russell Martin signing with New York Yankees last week, it seems that 25-year Jarrod Saltalamacchia will indeed be the team's primary catcher in 2011 with veteran Jason Varitek serving as his backup and mentor.
Saltalamacchia was acquired in a trade deadline deal from the Texas Rangers in exchange for minor leaguers
Roman Mendez and Chris McGuiness. A highly valued prospect in the Braves farm system, Saltalamacchia acted as the original center piece used to acquire Mark Teixeira in 2007. However, since being dealt to the Rangers, he has never really followed through on his promise, and been something of a disappointment.
His career numbers:
2007 (ATL and TEX): .266/.310/.412
2008 (TEX): .253/.352/.364
2009 (TEX): .233/.290/.371
2010 (TEX and BOS): .167/.333/.292
It's only been downhill for Saltalamachhia, who was only allowed into 24 games last season. To be fair, he did battle injuries in 2010, including a shoulder injury that forced the Red Sox to put him on the season-ending disabled list.
Disappointment though he may be, Salty is still only 25-years-old and still has an opportunity to prove a lot to Red Sox nation this season.
Here are some thoughts to ponder on Salty before you throw him under the bus:
Three Years Ago, He Was The Top Catching Prospect In Baseball
Baseball America rated Saltalmacchia as the best catching prospect on 2007, as he landed 36th overall on their top 100 prospects list.
Here is the scouting report on Saltalamacchia from 2007:
Excellent catcher's frame. Makes average to slightly below-average contact. Plus power. Above-average plate discipline. Hitswell from both sides of the plate. There are some concerns about his defense, primarily his glovework and his game calling ability. Throwsout runners at a decent clip. Has had issues with throwing the ball back to the pitcher.
Saltalamacchia was hampered by wrist injuries which prevented him from reaching the majors until 2007, when he began with a backup role for the Braves with Brian McCann being the primary catcher. Along with Elvis Andrus, he was one of the highest valued prospects in the Braves' farm system. With McCann still in his early twenties at that point, Salty's coaches were beginning to prep him to play first base and left field.
However, the process was stalled when they decided to ship Saltalamacchia, Andrus, and others to the Texas Rangers for switch-hitting first baseman and current Yankee Mark Teixeira. Splitting time with Gerald Laird behind the plate and playing a little first base, Salty was limited to only 176 PAs and 167 ABs.
Defensively, Saltalamacchia recorded a 19% caught stealing percentage, four points higher than Victor Martinez recorded during his rookie season and just south of the league average that year. Salty also only committed three errors as a catcher while collecting 11 as a first baseman in limited time (yikes).
This guy was once very valued as he was built as a prototypical catcher with developing defensive abilities plus some good power. 2007 was just three years ago, I don't think we should give up on the number one catching prospect three years removed and without a full season of work just yet.
Even Though He Has Been Around Since 2007, He's Still Only 25 Years Old
People may forget that Saltalamacchia is still fairly young and is an upgrade in that respect to the likes of the soon to be 32-year-old Victor Martinez and 38-year-old Jason Varitek. In fact, Salty ranks as one of the youngest starting catchers in the majors. Many successful catchers in the majors such as Yadier Molina, Jorge Posada, and Victor Martinez didn't exactly catch on in the majors until they were in their mid-to-late twenties.
Not to mention that Jason Varitek, whom we all love and adore, was just 25--the same age as Saltalamacchia--when he was finally handed the full-time catching role and has handled it pretty well since. In his 3-year major league career, he has yet to play over 100 games, as he has been in a back-up role nearly his entire career. Now that he is in Boston, he will be groomed into being a starter rather than a back-up.
In fact, you could almost compare the two, as through age 26, both actually had similar numbers, both offensively and defensively:
Through age 26, Saltalamacchia has been a career .248 hitter while Varitek at age 26 was a career .253 hitter. It wasn't until Varitek turned 27 that he was consistently producing at the level we remember (such as his career .778 OPS and .436 Slugging percentage).
It's a little unfair to base Salty off of his statistics taking that he has never played more than 100 games and has never been a full-time starter in the majors. Despite never having recorded a WAR over 1 in his career, he is right up there in statistics with a typical backup like Josh Bard, whom recorded his first over 1 WAR his first year of being a starting catcher with the Padres. You can't judge a guy yet based on statistics until he's been a starter whos played at least 100 games in a season. (That's what happened with Big Papi and the Twins, basically.)
Salty Hits Right-Handers Well, Tek' Hits Left-Handers Well; Platoon Anyone?
Despite having horrendous hitting totals last season, Saltalamacchia quietly has had success against right-handed pitchers over his career. Despite being a switch-hitter, he is clearly a better hitter from the left side.
Salty's career against RHP: .273 AVG, .343 OBP, .422 SLG, .765 OPS
Salty's career against LHP: .206 AVG, .266 OBP, .326 SLG, .592 OPS
His career splits show that he fairs much better as a left-handed batter hitting right-handed pitcher rather than batting right-handed against lefties. Since Varitek can hit lefties well but not so much on righties, a platoon seems in order:
Varitek's career against LHP: .279 AVG, .359 OBP, .471 SLG, .830 OPS
Varitek will also likely see more time when pitchers Josh Beckett and Daisuke Matsuzaka take the hill as Varitek is widely speculated to be their catcher of choice. However, Salty will likely enter the game or start on Tim Wakefield days as Varitek has trouble with the knuckleball.
Letting Victor Martinez Go Could Have Been The Smartest Idea Of The Offseason
When you look at the 2011 Red Sox offseason, you could really argue this. Although he was a reliable offensive option in the lineup, Martinez was horrible behind the plate in his time in Boston. He caught only 20% of baserunners, seemed to have the aforementioned struggles with Beckett and Matsuzaka, and had a few truly boneheaded plays earlier in the year. If you don't remember his throws to second letting a man score from third early in the year, consider yourself lucky.
Jarrod Saltalamacchia is no great shakes behind the plate himself, but it's important to remember that Victor Martinez was not just the offensive force we described to him--or rather that he was. He just wasn't a well-rounded player. If the difference in the money paid to Salty and the money that would've been paid to Victor allowed the team to sign a player like Carl Crawford, all the better. They're even receiving a pair of very good picks in a very strong draft in return.
At 25, Saltalamacchia really ought to have been spending his last few seasons primarily in the minors instead of bouncing around between backup jobs. So far in his career, Salty hasn't done much, but I believe we should give him a fair shot because, as Jason Varitek pointed out to us a long time ago, your career really doesn't get going until your mid-twenties.
44 comments
|
0 recs |
Do you like this story?
Comments
You forgot SOTO!
Anyway, if Jarrod’s the guy, then Jarrod’s the guy, I’ll be rooting for him.
I'm a 7 WAR player in bed.
Official Baker of Red Sox Nation
Good article, Jared.
I think the “struggles” between VMart and Beckett might have been overblown, but I agree that letting Victor go ended up being the right choice. I will freely admit that I wanted to resign him back in November, but seeing the way Theo has constructed this team, I’m comfortable with him in Detroit.
And I think your overall point about Salty rings true: Let’s give the kid a chance. A real chance (as in, don’t slaughter him if he’s not hitting by the end of April). He’ll likely be hitting out of the 9 hole anyway. We can’t have an all-star at every position, and Salty has enough upside to warrant an extended look.
I'm comfortable with him starting for the most part
Yet, I’d like to see Tek more because most likely he’ll retire.
Saltalamacchia day here on OTM apparently.
Went with a solid 3. We as Sox fans have been pretty spoiled for over a decade now between Tek and Victor, but having an above average catcher is pretty rare considering the talent pool at catcher. I think we can coax league average out of him, which will be a downgrade for us, but is better than what most teams have going for them. Maybe all he needs is a breath of fresh air and a solid run in the starter’s seat rather than bouncing around. I think the stability here may help him quite a bit.
"We are not normal, We are Legends. People will tell their kids about us." - Deon Butler before Ohio State Game 2008.
Was gonna say.
Knew one was coming, and now there’s two! Quick, someone get Lester on here so we can have two!
Over the Monster -- SB Nation's Resident Red Sox Site
USG
by Ben Buchanan on Dec 22, 2010 1:52 PM EST via mobile up reply actions
I went for a good ol 2
I’m very confident in the team. I will be rooting for him and hoping he does very well with the Sox, but confident is not a word I would use to describe how I feel about him
A 2 from Bloggy, as well
I am nothing even remotely approaching “confident” when it comes to Salty. That said, the talk of ’Tek’s late blooming and similar early numbers and the whole platooning thing has made me let in a glimmer of hope. I strongly disagree with letting Martin slip through our fingers. But he’s gone and maybe this can work out.
Galactus does as he pleases. Because Galactus is drunk.
@#$%ing Twit: @blogtard
young and still can improve
his prime years are not quite there yet. Plus we don’t need allstars for all position players. Just reliable players that can hit and play a little defence.
Jeffrey M Melhorn
Not convinced
The Sox catcher situation worries me. Just because Salty was once a highly rated prospect doesn’t mean he’ll be a good player. In 2006, Baseball America ranked Jeremy Hermida as the #4 prospect in the game. (BTW, Brandon Wood was #3 and Lastings Milledge was #9). Anyone remember Andy Marte?
Salty’s “strength” is offense. His defense has always been suspect. Offensively, he hasn’t shown much in the majors: .248 AVG/.315 OBP/.386 SLG (.307 wOBA). Sure, he might improve. But let’s also remember that VMart, a true elite offensive catcher, hit .283 AVG/.359 OBP/.492 SLG (.358 wOBA) his first full season in the majors (at age 25). I doubt Salty will ever be the offensive force Vic was/is, nor will he likely ever be as good defensively as Tek was in his prime.
I voted a 1. I hope I’m wrong, but Salty looks like a bust to me. I’ll be ecstatic if he is better than league-average. I’m not optimistic, though.
I gotta go 'cause I'm probably definitely gonna nod out again.
Suspect as his defense might be
there is very little evidence to suggest that it is anything but average. He doesn’t gun down many runners but that tends to get overrated. He does handle pass balls/ wild pitches well enough and that is pretty important. He greatly admires Varitek and works hard on his catching. He could be very close to the defensive catcher Tek was in a few years. Offensively he will never be V-Mart, but V-Mart is barely a catcher. I think it is unlikely that Salty is going to be much worse than an average catcher. Average at catcher just isn’t that productive.
- Matt Sullivan
"I would change policy, bring back natural grass and nickel beer. Baseball is the belly-button of our society. Straighten out baseball, and you straighten out the rest of the world." Bill "Spaceman" Lee
www.overthemonster.com
www.spacemanspancakes.wordpress.com
by Mattsullivan on Dec 22, 2010 1:44 PM EST up reply actions
Actually, VMart ranked about average in most defensive categories, except throwing. Since CS% has as much to do with pitchers as it does with catchers, expect Salty to be pretty bad there too next year (unless the Sox philosophy changes). When looking at the numbers, it should be noted that VMart caught Wake, something Tek didn’t. Knuckleballers aren’t easy on catchers. In short, I don’t expect Salty to be better than Vic defensively. But even if he’s slightly better, his bat will be a huge downgrade.
I gotta go 'cause I'm probably definitely gonna nod out again.
by Drugs Delaney on Dec 22, 2010 2:09 PM EST up reply actions
I've never bought into VMart's supposedly wretched defense
He did a great job catching Wake, any friction between him and Beckett seemed short-lived if there was any at all, and he improved throwing out baserunners as the season went on.
Galactus does as he pleases. Because Galactus is drunk.
@#$%ing Twit: @blogtard
agree with both these two posts.
While I actually DO think that letting V-Mart go was probably the right thing to do from the financial standpoint of going out and getting both Gonzalez and Crawford, I disagree very strongly with any assessment that V-Mart’s defense was really all that bad. All the numbers and history suggest he was perfectly average defensively (and obviously way above average offensively).
As Drugs and Bloggy both point out, the only defensive metric that V-Mart was below average at was CS% – and it is notable that (a) he was never all that bad at CS% prior to coming to the Red Sox and (b) no Red Sox catcher was any better at CS% this last year – most were far worse.
Its okay for us to be supportive of Theo’s moves and to believe whether through faith or through diligence that Salty will turn out ok. But there is no real basis for tearing down V-Mart’s defense as extremely as some have done.
v-mart was a ok catcher behind the plate
his offense far outwieghed his defensive weakness. he was average the thin i will add it has been said at 32 he will only be getting worse behind the plate and i think knowing they were going after gonzalez and crawford and they couldnt afford all 3 so theo made a in the ballpark look good offer to v mart a offer that he was confident wouldnt be accepted. i tip my hat to v-mart wish him the best but i think the direction the front office went this offseason was 100 percent perfect.
V-Mart's defense is certainly hurt by
both the Sox pitcher’s inability to control the running game and catching Wake, but he was splitting time at 1B and DH when he was with Cleveland as well and there is a reason for that. He is not terrible at anything besides throwing, but he isn’t good at anything behind the plate either. In contrast, Tek has struggled with throwing out baserunners, but he is very good at preventing wild pitches and pass balls, Martinez has been just average at that and he showed some signs that he is declining their as well (though catching Wake could be a big influence on that). He is a good enough catcher given how great a hitter he is, but it is pretty likely that Salty will be an upgrade defensively and the gap is only going to get wider.
- Matt Sullivan
"I would change policy, bring back natural grass and nickel beer. Baseball is the belly-button of our society. Straighten out baseball, and you straighten out the rest of the world." Bill "Spaceman" Lee
www.overthemonster.com
www.spacemanspancakes.wordpress.com
by Mattsullivan on Dec 22, 2010 4:11 PM EST up reply actions
According to BTBS and baseballprojections.com
he was average or better than average at most all catcher defensive metrics.
On passed balls he was average – only 4 PBs all year – yet the ‘average’ catcher in MLB did not have to catch for Wakefield.
Further, even though he had to catch Wakefield, he saw only 37 Wild Pitches go by – which sounds like a lot but is actually fairly average given the number of innings he caught. The 58 WPs that the RS had as a team was just below league average (60) for an AL team last year.
These two things suggests that he was actually slightly better than average at fielding pitches behind the plate.
Over 9 seasons, baseballprojection.com rates V-Mart as, on average worth about -2 runs overall for his Catcher defense, over a 1200 inning season. That basically is dead-on average. He’s actually measured out worse at 1B where he rates a -6 Rtot/yr – though that is still pretty much in the noise of average.
The only metric that V-Mart comes out negative in for last year was CS% – and most of that damage was from early in the season. Prior to coming to the Red Sox, in 2007 & 2008 V-Mart posted CS% numbers of 32% & 37%, respectively. This and the numbers on other Catchers coming into the RS system suggest strongly that the absurdly low CS% problem is less about the catcher’s intrinsic ability than it is about Red Sox systematics. Yes, a 21% (27 for 126) CS% looks awful – but no other Catcher on the Sox did any better. Tek was also at 21% and Salty+Cash+Brown+Molina combined to catch just 6 for 42 or 14.3%. And before you rip those guys, know that Cash has a solid 28% career CS% – higher when away from the Red Sox, Ditto for Brown & Molina in the minors.
Interestingly, Salty is the only one of those guys without noticeably better CS% numbers posted when away from the Red Sox. His minor league career number is just 24% and his MLB number is just 20%. So I’m not sure on what basis you might thinkg Salty will represent an improvement in that particular area.
IMHO, though, I am not worried about Salty and catching base-runners. I think the emphasis fans put on CS% as a measure of catcher defense is way out of proportion with its true merit.
It is certainly true that with age, V-Mart’s defense might decline and Salty’s defense might get to be a bit better. But I disagree strongly with your assessment of degree. Any likely net positive defensive value is likely to be marginal, basically within the statistical noise of being equal.
Can we please look at the move as overall positive (i.e. Salty/Tek should be at least average overall and a LOT cheaper which helped us land Gonzo & Carl) without having to rip down V-Mart based on myths and misconceptions?
by mmmmm on Dec 22, 2010 5:09 PM EST up reply actions 1 recs
+1
Can we please look at the move as overall positive (i.e. Salty/Tek should be at least average overall and a LOT cheaper which helped us land Gonzo & Carl) without having to rip down V-Mart based on myths and misconceptions?
Well said. Just because I think we’re better off without Victor, does not mean that he has no value, that he is a bum, blah blah. It is the domino effect of letting him walk that I find much more preferable.
Also, Nice work Jared
This has turned out Salty Day here at OTM. It is cool to see how we can both look at the same player through different lenses and come to some very solid conclusions. Great stuff
- Matt Sullivan
"I would change policy, bring back natural grass and nickel beer. Baseball is the belly-button of our society. Straighten out baseball, and you straighten out the rest of the world." Bill "Spaceman" Lee
www.overthemonster.com
www.spacemanspancakes.wordpress.com
salty will be a average catcher hopefully
him and tek will platoon but not just rhp and lhp tek will catch beckett no matter who is pitching and most like dice k as well. but i think tek can help salty a lot they were very similiar players when tek was his age and i think tek can help salty with his game calling and defensive skills. we cant have a silver slugger at every position obv so as long as the catcher calls a decent game plays good defense his offense will be icing on the cake. with crawford and gonzalez added to this lineup scoring runs will not be a issue.
THANK YOU
I can’t believe the utter lack of faith in even giving Salty a chance. Yes, there is a debate about whether we should’ve kept Victor, but that’s passed. Give Salty a chance.
He is young.
He has promise.
He is cheap.
As much as I hated to see V-Mart go
I am willing to give Theo and his crew enough slack to think that they have good reasons for going with Salty. They must see some of that former potential still there.
I’ll be rooting for him.
Yeah
He was a top prospect for a reason.
by Marisa Ingemi on Dec 22, 2010 3:00 PM EST up reply actions
Really?
There are plenty of “top prospects” who have been busts.
I’m willing to give Salty a chance. I’m just not optimistic.
I gotta go 'cause I'm probably definitely gonna nod out again.
by Drugs Delaney on Dec 22, 2010 3:28 PM EST up reply actions
It's better to be pessimistic.
That way if you’re right, you’re right, if you’re wrong, it’s a good thing.
I'm a 7 WAR player in bed.
Official Baker of Red Sox Nation
by TheLoneDavid on Dec 22, 2010 3:40 PM EST up reply actions
Plus
his bat can be hidden in what is easily the best lineup in the league (assuming full health of all players). I did a quick projected WAR comparison of the starting 9 for all AL teams and the Sox rolled in with a 37.7 followed by the MFY at 29.4.
37.7
seems like a hell of alot for just the 9 starters. I just used my own completly unscientific numbers and ended up with 31.5 WAR. Seems like a huge gap. Could you go into detail on how you end up with 37.7 please?
by German Red Sox Fan on Dec 22, 2010 9:39 PM EST up reply actions
Sounds like.......
a potentially good platoon situation with Salty and Tek………..The wild-card factor primarily being Varitek’s durablity at this point.
And Saltalamacchia is a guy that should be batting lefty all the time…….Dump the switch-hitting.
I agree except
the switch hitting might still be valuable if it keeps from forcing the manager to make a switch when a relief pitcher comes in and that is usually a valuable thing, especially for the catcher position.
I wonder if that that is probably motivation for why there seems to be so many switch-hitting catchers around (even though so many can barely hit from either side ….). It adds to their value in the eyes of the manager?
Not so small detail
The injury that ended his season with the Red Sox was a ligament in his thumb. The shoulder is an older injury that was no longer bothering him.
simul justus et peccator
Scale?
Is 5 most confident and 1 least confident?
Great read...
I appreciate the “truth” about Salty and to think, I was already high on him. I think he could really be a good player for the Sox and I’m excited to see him get a chance to produce.
For the love of god, can we get a QB and a new HC?
Official president of the "Fire Jim O'Brian Fan Club"
by return2greatness on Dec 22, 2010 8:05 PM EST reply actions
Today I accidentally dropped and broke our 2004 Sox ornament
So if everyone gets hurt again next year, it’s my fault
2 articles about Salty?
Must be the saddest day in OTM history
by German Red Sox Fan on Dec 22, 2010 9:21 PM EST reply actions
I just hope he doesn't break down midyear.
I say him in OKC last year and he looked old then. Yes I know he was injured, but his repeated injuries playing the toughest position in baseball don’t give me a lot of confidence. He’s been traded enough times that you have to wonder why he is one step above the PTBNL level. Now if he was an outfielder,that would be one thing but catchers with an average arm and an average bat….that’s gold. I gave him a one and hope I’m wrong.
by papoonforpresident on Dec 23, 2010 8:16 PM EST reply actions
CS%
Dont forget the CS% will be going up. The catchers no longer have to worry about Carl Crawford stealing 7 bases against us in ONE game. Give Salty the time. It cant hurt us too bad. The only thing that worries me is what if he and tek get hurt whos catching????
I was curious about this, so for entertainment
If you removed Carl Crawford’s stolen bases against the Red Sox in 2010, they go from a 19.9% CS rate to 20.6% for the year.
Of course the flip side is that if you remove bases he stole against Red Sox catchers, Crawford goes from 47 stolen bases at an 82% success rate down to 38 stolen bases at just a 79% success rate.
So some pluses, some minuses.

by 






























