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Around SBN: Is Adebayor About To Become A Full-Time Spur?

Update On Free Agent Relievers

While the Red Sox main focus remains to be centered around the bullpen, the Yankees, Rays, Blue Jays, White Sox, Orioles and Cubs appear to have shifted their focus to adding relievers as well.  Here are a few updates from the reliever market:

With all of these names now likely off the board, the Red Sox targets get thinner and thinner by the minute.  While they are still in discussions with Dan Wheeler, they still seem likely to add another reliever, preferably a left-handed one.  They also remain very interested in former Twins reliever Brian Fuentes as their prime lefty target. 

The Red Sox could also be interested in Mariners reliever David Aardsma, according to Peter Abraham of the Boston Globe.  Aardsma pitched for the Red Sox in 2008, and did put up an impressive 3.45 ERA for the Mariners in 2010 serving as the team's closer. 

The Red Sox have already added former Oriole Matt Albers to fill a presumable mop-up role in the bullpen and Lenny DiNardo, who will likely give AAA Pawtucket some extra depth. 

There is still a lot of work the Sox need to do on their bullpen and little time to do it.

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Dear Theo,

Please don’t sign any multiyear deals. Thanks.

by drabidea on Dec 16, 2010 11:25 AM EST reply actions  

Awww

Heyman

jenks looking for “closer money,” presumably $8 mil and up. not ideal fit for yanks, who need set-up help

Twitter | "Almost every organization has a guy like Papelbon or Lester" - Dave Cameron 12/29/2005

by radiohix on Dec 16, 2010 11:27 AM EST reply actions  

doubt he gets it though

he made 7.5M last year and the White Sox nontendered him because they didnt wanna pay him more for 1 year

by German Red Sox Fan on Dec 16, 2010 11:29 AM EST up reply actions  

Honestly? I think Jenks will end up with the Rays and Soriano with the MFY

I think he’ll sign 1 year deal to recoup his value: He reminds of Troy Percival 3 years ago when he chose to sign with the Rays instead of the MFY, for less money because they offered him the chance to close.

Twitter | "Almost every organization has a guy like Papelbon or Lester" - Dave Cameron 12/29/2005

by radiohix on Dec 16, 2010 11:38 AM EST up reply actions  

Why the Angels are not going after Soriano with a pasion

is just beyond me. Right now their closer is Fernando Rodney…

by SoxAcumen on Dec 16, 2010 2:10 PM EST up reply actions  

Supply and demand, eh?

Even RPs get to be roaring mice with all those needy and wealthy teams…

by dabize on Dec 16, 2010 11:29 AM EST up reply actions  

Aardsma sure seems to have done better

in SEA than he was doing with us.

49 IP with 33 hits? I’ll take it.

Question is, is that because he’s figured something out, or because that park in SEA covers all pitcher’s sins?

by dabize on Dec 16, 2010 11:28 AM EST reply actions  

Is there anything Aardsma did last year

That Kevin Gregg also didn’t do? Some numbers are very similar

by South Coast Ghost on Dec 16, 2010 11:32 AM EST up reply actions  

He's a flyball pitcher playing in a division with spacious OF: Safeco, Colesium, LAA

2 of his 3 OFers (Suzuki and Gutierrez) are GG: It helps.

Twitter | "Almost every organization has a guy like Papelbon or Lester" - Dave Cameron 12/29/2005

by radiohix on Dec 16, 2010 11:34 AM EST up reply actions  

Last year:

FIP
At home: 3.16
Away: 6.15

his K:BB rate was actually better away, it was the .26 HR/9 at home compared to 2.45 HR/9 away that killed him.

I dunno, year to year he has some VERY odd fluctuations in his peripherals and results. Confuses me a little. I don’t trust him at all.

by wolf9309 on Dec 16, 2010 11:41 AM EST up reply actions  

Did you looked at his pitch selection?

Fastball: 77.3% (!!!!!)
Slider: 11.2%
Splitter: 11.5%
Papelbon:
Fastball: 69.5%
Slider: 9.3%
Splitter: 21.2%
He’s even more predictable than Papelbon! I know I’ll hate him…Well I HATE HIM ALREADY!

Twitter | "Almost every organization has a guy like Papelbon or Lester" - Dave Cameron 12/29/2005

by radiohix on Dec 16, 2010 11:49 AM EST up reply actions  

Aardsma blows

I gotta go 'cause I'm probably definitely gonna nod out again.

by Drugs Delaney on Dec 16, 2010 12:10 PM EST up reply actions  

Yep

I was checking his Pitch f/X: He throws hard but damn, nothing is moving!

Twitter | "Almost every organization has a guy like Papelbon or Lester" - Dave Cameron 12/29/2005

by radiohix on Dec 16, 2010 12:28 PM EST up reply actions  

SEA's park is an extreme pitcher's park.

I wouldn’t expect anything near that at Fenway.

by dsharp on Dec 16, 2010 11:49 AM EST up reply actions  

So I should move my panicking

over to this thread now?

Okay, good. It’s helpful to focus it in one spot.

Galactus does as he pleases. Because Galactus is drunk.

@#$%ing Twit: @blogtard

by Bloggy on Dec 16, 2010 11:33 AM EST reply actions  

2011 Pen

Papelbon, Bard, Okajima, Javier Lopez, Eric Gagne, Byun Hung Kim.

Bard throws every day for the first 102 games, causing his arm to actually fly off his shoulder.

But hey, it’ll be cheap. Awesome. Just awesome.

"Laser show. So relax."
"For the Patriots [playing the Jets], it was like fighting Piston Honda knowing that every time he raises an eyebrow, he's about to throw a jab."

by nuthinboutnuthin on Dec 16, 2010 11:53 AM EST reply actions  

What about Curtis Leskanic?

I gotta go 'cause I'm probably definitely gonna nod out again.

by Drugs Delaney on Dec 16, 2010 12:12 PM EST up reply actions  

The Mechanic

Over the Monster -- SB Nation's Resident Red Sox Site
USG

by Ben Buchanan on Dec 16, 2010 12:16 PM EST up reply actions  

How about Rudy?

I liked his grimace. He always looked constipated

by superdaveyboy on Dec 16, 2010 1:29 PM EST up reply actions  

So, seriously, though.

Who’s on board for Saito?

Galactus does as he pleases. Because Galactus is drunk.

@#$%ing Twit: @blogtard

by Bloggy on Dec 16, 2010 12:18 PM EST reply actions  

Slap a poll on the sumbitch, Jed

Saito:

  • Yes
  • No
  • Who cares? The season is over.

Galactus does as he pleases. Because Galactus is drunk.

@#$%ing Twit: @blogtard

by Bloggy on Dec 16, 2010 12:19 PM EST up reply actions  

Jed = Jared

Or, from now one…simply Jed.

Galactus does as he pleases. Because Galactus is drunk.

@#$%ing Twit: @blogtard

by Bloggy on Dec 16, 2010 12:20 PM EST up reply actions  

Three

Always.

"Laser show. So relax."
"For the Patriots [playing the Jets], it was like fighting Piston Honda knowing that every time he raises an eyebrow, he's about to throw a jab."

by nuthinboutnuthin on Dec 16, 2010 12:20 PM EST up reply actions  

;)

Heh heh

Galactus does as he pleases. Because Galactus is drunk.

@#$%ing Twit: @blogtard

by Bloggy on Dec 16, 2010 12:21 PM EST up reply actions  

At the moment? Yes

Twitter | "Almost every organization has a guy like Papelbon or Lester" - Dave Cameron 12/29/2005

by radiohix on Dec 16, 2010 12:26 PM EST up reply actions  

At the moment,

I think you have to be on board for anyone who might be better than Atchison, Bowden or Rich Hill, right?

"Laser show. So relax."
"For the Patriots [playing the Jets], it was like fighting Piston Honda knowing that every time he raises an eyebrow, he's about to throw a jab."

by nuthinboutnuthin on Dec 16, 2010 12:20 PM EST up reply actions  

Agreed

I see Theo waiting until everyone who wants to overpay for relievers does. He then takes what is left over, signs them for cheap and short term and sees what ones stick.

by drabidea on Dec 16, 2010 12:36 PM EST up reply actions  

I don't disagree with your assessment...

… but any bullpen strategy with the word “stick” in it is chillingly reminiscent of last year’s rummage sale collection.

"Laser show. So relax."
"For the Patriots [playing the Jets], it was like fighting Piston Honda knowing that every time he raises an eyebrow, he's about to throw a jab."

by nuthinboutnuthin on Dec 16, 2010 1:11 PM EST up reply actions  

I know

but relievers have such small sample sizes that who really knows what you will get next year from them. I don’t think it is worth spending alot of money/years on them.

I think though if Theo really felt good about a particular reliever though he will jump on him quickly.

by drabidea on Dec 16, 2010 1:33 PM EST up reply actions  

Jenks ERA, FIP and xFIP over the years


Consistency problems?

Twitter | "Almost every organization has a guy like Papelbon or Lester" - Dave Cameron 12/29/2005

by radiohix on Dec 16, 2010 1:26 PM EST reply actions  

I know this is "elementary" stuff around here

But can someone explain the difference between FIP and xFIP? Thanks.

by travben85 on Dec 16, 2010 3:07 PM EST up reply actions  

xFIP adjusts for ballpark and league

I'm a 7 WAR player in bed.
Official Baker of Red Sox Nation

by TheLoneDavid on Dec 16, 2010 3:11 PM EST up reply actions  

Really?

I thought xFIP replaces HR rate with a standard HR/FB rate.

Brett Anderson is the Truth. Brett Anderson is divine presence. Brett Anderson is eternal life. Brett Anderson is within you. Brett Anderson is here. Brett Anderson is Now.

by Frederick0220 on Dec 16, 2010 3:29 PM EST up reply actions  

yes, though that is effectively a park adjustment
Expected Fielding Independent Pitching. This is an experimental stat that adjusts FIP and “normalizes” the home run component. Research has shown that home runs allowed are pretty much a function of flyballs allowed and home park, so xFIP is based on the average number of home runs allowed per outfield fly. Theoretically, this should be a better predicter of a pitcher’s future ERA.

by mmmmm on Dec 16, 2010 3:32 PM EST up reply actions  

Park and luck

Over the Monster -- SB Nation's Resident Red Sox Site
USG

by Ben Buchanan on Dec 16, 2010 3:33 PM EST up reply actions  

So does the standard HR/FB rate change year-to-year...

Based on league results for the last season? Or is it a permanent constant, like pi? Thanks for the explanation(s) guys. Not all of us have been following advanced metrics for long, but that doesn’t mean we shouldn’t try to learn them!

by travben85 on Dec 16, 2010 3:53 PM EST up reply actions  

Lenny's back!

"You know you're having a bad day when the fifth inning rolls around and they drag the warning track." - Mike Flanagan, Baltimore Orioles pitcher, 1992.

by SoxDevil on Dec 16, 2010 1:42 PM EST reply actions  

I am hoping Theo finds his gem via trade

Heath Bell, Justin Masterson, Johnathan Broxton, Leo Nunez, David Aardsma, and I am missing a few.

Move Scutaro and Lars since he has no position for the Sox.

by SoxAcumen on Dec 16, 2010 2:12 PM EST reply actions  

Sergio Romo

Joe Thatcher, Rafael Perez.

Hell, call up Dombrowski and see if we can get Zumaya.

I'm a 7 WAR player in bed.
Official Baker of Red Sox Nation

by TheLoneDavid on Dec 16, 2010 2:33 PM EST up reply actions  

has there been any confirmation that crawford will play

short stop in addition to left field, at the same time? short left fielder? or long short stop?

now that crawford plays for the sox – tek’ defense against base stealing should significantly improve – being that crawford won’t be stealing 40 bases on him.

by Mick Lowe on Dec 16, 2010 6:55 PM EST reply actions  

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