Meh. Red Sox not much better

Well, I do hope you are correct, bc if not you look like a fool.

Pena to $10?

Maybe the Cubs can win in 200 years?

Good Night and Thank you for trying!

This is an insane post. I didn’t think our team was any good last year, and even I realize we’re substantially better than last season. Did you factor in Pedroia and Youkilis both not miss a half season? Or the fact that Gonzalez will now hit in an actual ballpark?

I mean ill go its a wash but to say that Youk is not a gold glove caliber talent at third seems disrespectful to Youk.

WRONG.

This season I figured we lost about 7-8 games due to injuries to key players, and that was just based off of offensive production. So on top of gaining that back, we’ve also added about 2 WAR via Crawford and Gonzo. We may also add a couple more if Lowrie takes over the starting role at SS from Scoot. Improved seasons from Lackey and Beckett might offset and Buchholz regression and BOOM you’re looking at a potential 100+ win season assuming an improvement in the bullpen.

Sooo yeah. Wrong.

  Sabrmetrics are to give a clear picture as possible to give a team the best possible future moves, however they can’t predict the future. Gonzalez’s stats are going to go up at Fenway after playing 81 games at Petco, while Beltre’s WAR rating will probably go down whereever he plays next year, (there is a reason why Trevor Cahill is a Cy Young Candidate, while none of the Oakland Hitters are going to get the batting crown)

There alot of things also come into play that cannot get be quantified, injuries, bullpen decisions, whether Papelbon can developed a cutter etc.

The Sox are going into 2011 showing they are hardly a pushover. They got a pretty scary line up, with both speed and power, a pretty good infield, 2 out of 3 excellent outfielders, (Drew and Crawford) They have 2 starting pitchers who can continue becoming very good pitchers, they have 2 others that have proven themselves in the past and could reclaim that, and another if he doesn’t walk half the time, shows some brilliance..

I am always wishy washy, but the Sox did very well in acquiring Gonzalez, it helps the team enormously.

Amazing

playing a whole NEW season each year, rather than just injecting the stats of new additions into the stats from last year. The Red Sox clearly lost at least 5 wins just due to injury (based on replacement players and what the injured players were on pace for). Also signing 2011 Beltre in itself would be a downgrade from 2010 Beltre. That was lightning in a bottle.

Fortunately, the well run teams base their decisions on trying to figure out how players will perform over the length of a contract rather than paying for what they’ve done in the past.

I’m sure any one of us would also be frothing mad if the Sox owed 100 million to Soriano, Zambrano, Fokudome, Dempster, Silva, Ramirez and Pena next season.

Adrian Gonzalez: .284/.351/.507 (.875)

What the hell is this garbage, LOL…

See you in the World Series Cubs…

NOT

Anyone makes a post “analyzing” a team beginning with the word “meh” doesn’t merit any kind of actual critical response.

“11 Wins. Even if Crawford duplicates his numbers, and it’s very possible we just saw his career year at 28, the Red Sox have become a 91 win team.”

So you’re trying to play the angle that it is “very possible” Crawford will now be on the decline at the age of 28-29, but won’t say the same thing about V-Mart (will be a 1B/DH and spot catcher in 2-3 years)and Beltre (who has had two great years, contract years), both of whom play positions where their age is going to start to affect them sooner than in Fenway’s tiny LF?

This guy is a troll, leave it alone at this point.

-undervalues Crawford’s defense. By fangraphs WAR he was a 6.9 win player. That might even be understating it, IMHO

-understates VMart’s atrocious defense. WAR doesn’t typically adjust much for catcher defense since we can’t measure it accurately… yet. Nonetheless, VMart was a terrible, terrible defensive catcher.

-Doesn’t account (or adjust strongly enough) for park effects. Both the benefit to Beltre & VMart and the harm SafeCo has done to Gonzalez and how much Gonzalez & Crawford will benefit from Fenway.

-MOST IMPORTANTLY – the Red Sox were a ~95 win true talent team that lost Pedroia, Ellsbury & Youkilis for the season and VMart & Cameron for major portions of the season along with other major injuries.

Nice try, though.

Figures don’t lie, but lier’s figure. All stats can be cut and reorganized to fit any argument. I could say the cubs will never win another world series. They havent won for over 100 years so take the last 100 years as your sample size and presto your flawed argument. I would like to thank the great city of chicago for there hospitality for our football team. I wish most cubies fans a great holiday. this guy however can go for a swim in the lake. Maybe that will smarten him up a bit. Don’t forget the goat- I miss that sweet goat of mine- Dont mess w/zoltan