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The Red Sox Payroll, Featuring Carl Crawford

BOSTON MA - DECEMBER 11:  Theo Epstein (L) general manager of the Boston Red Sox welcomes Carl Crawford to the team during a press conference to announce Crawford's signing on December 11  2010 at the Fenway Park in Boston Massachusetts.  (Photo by Elsa/Getty Images)

The question has come up a few times recently: with Carl Crawford on board, how much money can the Red Sox possibly have left to spend this offseason? They still need, after all, a big improvement in the bullpen, as well as a solid right handed bat to avoid some nasty splits. Do they have the money to do so?

With the team showing the willingness to go up to the luxury tax threshold last year, the answer should be: yes.

The numbers follow.

Star-divide

A few things to keep in mind for the luxury tax:

  1. The number that matters is the average annual value of a player's contract. That means that guys like Youkilis, Pedroia, and Lester--signed to gradually increasing deals--don't have their current salary count, but the average salary they'll receive over the length of the deal.
  2. Everyone on the 40-man roster counts. For the most part, this doesn't add up to even an extra million dollars when considering minor leaguers, but...
  3. Guys like Jose Iglesias and Junichi Tazawa with big league contracts cost the full amount.
  4. Each team in the majors has to pay a share of player benefits. Last year, that figure was around $10 million last year.

 

Name 2011 Salary AAV
Carl Crawford $20.00 $20.25
Adrian Gonzalez $6.30 $3.05
Josh Beckett $15.75 $17.00
John Lackey $15.25 $16.50
J.D. Drew $14.00 $14.00
David Ortiz $12.50 $13.05
Kevin Youkilis $12.00 $10.25
Daisuke Matsuzaka $10.00 $8.65
Jonathan Papelbon $11.00 $11.00
Mike Cameron $7.25 $7.75
Jon Lester $5.75 $6.00
Dustin Pedroia $5.50 $6.75
Marco Scutaro $6.00 $4.35
Jose Iglesias $0.55 $2.05
Jason Varitek $2.00 $2.00
Tim Wakefield $2.00 $2.75
Junichi Tazawa $0.55 $1.10
Jarrod Saltalamacchia $0.75 $0.75
Jacoby Ellsbury $3.00 $3.00
Clay Buchholz $0.50 $0.50
Jed Lowrie $0.45 $0.45
Scott Atchison $0.50 $0.50
Daniel Bard $0.45 $0.45
Eric Patterson $0.50 $0.50
Adrian Beltre $0.00 $2.00
Total $152.55 $154.65

 

(Thanks to Cot's Baseball Contracts. I can't promise these numbers are perfect.)

Add about $.75 million for the 40-man, and $10 million for benefits, and the Sox come in right around $165 million. That leaves about $13 million left to fit in any new contracts. Based on what we've seen so far this offseason, that's maybe two solid relievers and a bench player.

Conveniently, that's the number of spaces left on the 25-man based on those payroll numbers, assuming that Tazawa and Iglesias stay in the minors (they will).

A few things stick out to me, though.

  • The Red Sox' funny accounting with Adrian Beltre last year is actually coming back to haunt them a bit. Since Beltre didn't pick up his option year, the Sox are on the line for a few million to make up the difference between last year's assumed AAV and the actual figure.
  • This just goes to show you how important delaying the Gonzalez extension is. The Sox have no room to maneuver if he's taking up $22 million.
  • Filling just one of their spots from the minors would be a big deal. Using Darnell McDonald as the right handed bat or Felix Doubront as a lefty specialist would make deals with both Russell Martin and a high-level reliever a lot more realistic.
  • Pedroia and Lester are still ridiculous values. Hopefully Buchholz' peripherals bump up to meet his results ala Jon Lester, and we add his name to that list for the next 5-6 years in 2011.

It's also worth considering that, for all the talk of being the new Yankees, the Bronx Bombers exceed the Red Sox' presumed 40-man salary at the end of the offseason with just 11 players.

I'm just saying. . .

Comment 28 comments  |  0 recs  | 

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This really shows just how thorough the Red Sox FO is

in exploiting every advantage they can find. The fact that they can go get the top two players they want and still have $20M in cap space is incredible. Great job Theo and Co!

- Matt Sullivan
"I would change policy, bring back natural grass and nickel beer. Baseball is the belly-button of our society. Straighten out baseball, and you straighten out the rest of the world." Bill "Spaceman" Lee
www.overthemonster.com
www.spacemanspancakes.wordpress.com

by Mattsullivan on Dec 11, 2010 11:53 AM EST reply actions  

It's not exactly brain surgery.

Sign a big free agent and trade for a great free agent to be. Pretty much a no brainer.

Strikeouts are boring- Besides that, they're fascist. Throw some ground balls - it's more democratic.

by CasanovaWong on Dec 12, 2010 4:19 AM EST up reply actions  

I think he talks about

extending Gonzo after Spring Training and thus avoiding the luxury tax this year because if he would have signed his 7Y/154M extension allready there would be no money to spend anymore this offseason to fix the Pen or get Martin.

by German Red Sox Fan on Dec 12, 2010 5:32 AM EST up reply actions  

You hit the nail on the head with the Doubront/MacDonald point

That’s where they have room for Russell Martin and a solid (read: pricey) reliever. A trade of Cameron, Ells, or Scutaro opens up things quite a bit as well although what they obtain may be just as costly.

And, oh, by the way, Patterson’s salary appears to be half a million too high. (Why is this man on my team’s roster?)

by dsharp on Dec 11, 2010 12:23 PM EST reply actions  

Mike Cameron at 7.25 and JD Drew at 14.00 are the only two I have a real problem with, other than we still have some overpiad players, but a lot of reasonable contracts

by DanTuc27 on Dec 11, 2010 12:43 PM EST reply actions  

Lackey...

Brett Anderson is the Truth. Brett Anderson is divine presence. Brett Anderson is eternal life. Brett Anderson is within you. Brett Anderson is here. Brett Anderson is Now.

by Frederick0220 on Dec 11, 2010 12:59 PM EST up reply actions  

Seriously?

You have a problem with JD Drew when he’s being paid exactly what he’s worth, but nothing for Beckett’s 5.7 ERA or Lackey being terrible in the first year of his contract?

by Sean O on Dec 11, 2010 1:04 PM EST up reply actions  

seriously?

1st year as a red sox
nancy drew carey 1.8 war
lacker 4.0 war

by Mick Lowe on Dec 11, 2010 4:04 PM EST up reply actions  

First off,

OH MY GOD Nancy Drew, how original and clever. There was a fictional girl who had the same last name, and it’s funny to call a guy a girl’s name. Hilarious.

Second, Lackey’s periphs have been declining every year and show no sign of improvement. It was a stupid move from the beginning.

But really, Nancy Drew, god that’s amazing. You should tell ’eei.

by Sean O on Dec 11, 2010 4:44 PM EST up reply actions  

carey - you forgot the carey part!

i knew you would pee in your pants and break your hand slapping your knee!!

if i had said david jonathan would you know who i was referencing? seriously, would ya’?

if you are going to compare, compare fairly.

this is baseball – give em all a break

by Mick Lowe on Dec 11, 2010 10:28 PM EST up reply actions  

Yay, Crawdaddy's willing to bat leadoff!

1) Crawford (L)
2) Pedroia®
3) Adrian (L)
4) Youker®
5) Ortiz (L)
6) Lowrie (S)
7) Drew (L)
8) Salty (S)
9) Ellsbury (S)

Brett Anderson is the Truth. Brett Anderson is divine presence. Brett Anderson is eternal life. Brett Anderson is within you. Brett Anderson is here. Brett Anderson is Now.

by Frederick0220 on Dec 11, 2010 1:14 PM EST reply actions  

*Ells is a lefty

Never back-to-back lefties against a lefty pitcher except Ells/Crawfish

Brett Anderson is the Truth. Brett Anderson is divine presence. Brett Anderson is eternal life. Brett Anderson is within you. Brett Anderson is here. Brett Anderson is Now.

by Frederick0220 on Dec 11, 2010 1:14 PM EST up reply actions  

WHAT...COME ON.

When is this experiment gonna end?

He’s not an awful lead-off hitter (and he actually gets on-base as much as Crawford) but all Ellsbury does is hit soft rollers to 2nd with the occasional bloop single or walk.

Crawford would be a much more dynamic lead-off hitter.

Brett Anderson is the Truth. Brett Anderson is divine presence. Brett Anderson is eternal life. Brett Anderson is within you. Brett Anderson is here. Brett Anderson is Now.

by Frederick0220 on Dec 11, 2010 4:38 PM EST up reply actions  

Crawford would be more dynamic

But I believe he has said he would really prefer not to lead off, and his numbers are better out of the #2 and #3 slots. I don’t think he is the type of guy to outright refuse doing it, but I think if Francona has a viable alternative in Ellsbury he’ll at least try it. With the number of lefties in the line-up I think your line-up is very reasonable and I like it but I have a feeling Ellsbury will move up to the top and everyone else will move down, at least to start out.

It’ll mean Youk gets last ABs even though he is one of the top OBP guys. Either way I see alot of experimentation with those first 4-5 slots to see how guys fit together.

by The Name is Dalton on Dec 13, 2010 10:09 AM EST up reply actions  

50 million or so AAV off the books next year!

which will help offset Gonzalez. Figure Kalish and a few other league minimums on the 25-man….

by BobZupcic on Dec 11, 2010 1:49 PM EST reply actions  

excellent stuff, Ben. very informative

i hope we see this post again as new numbers become available.

also, sox fans have no reason to believe the cap max is the sox max payroll budget.

Great job Mr. John W Henry II and staff!!!

by Mick Lowe on Dec 11, 2010 4:17 PM EST reply actions  

Hello? Excuse me?? Why is Eric Patterson still on this list?

He’s taking up the space where a baseball player could be.

by dsharp on Dec 11, 2010 6:46 PM EST reply actions  

Exactly

SOMEONE has to go out back and collect the HR balls that Pedrioa hits in batting practice. Might as well be him.

"We are not normal, We are Legends. People will tell their kids about us." - Deon Butler before Ohio State Game 2008.

by Rogue Nine on Dec 11, 2010 6:53 PM EST up reply actions  

Thanks, Ben, for posting the numbers.

Pretty much right about where I thought.

by mmmmm on Dec 11, 2010 11:06 PM EST reply actions  

Not a cap

we can assume the Sox want to stay around the tax threshold, but it is not a hard cap by any means. I’m guessing the Sox will end up going over the cap again when the roster is complete. they are wise to manage this closely since tax money is a waste, but they can’t and won’t let it hold them back from making moves to help the team.

by Scoop1981 on Dec 12, 2010 10:26 PM EST reply actions  

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