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Clay Buchholz to start in Toronto

"Free Clay" faithfuls: your prayers have been answered!  According to the Globe

Clay Buchholz will start for the Red Sox Friday night against the Blue Jays, the team's first game after the All-Star break, Sox manager Terry Francona announced after this afternoon's game at Fenway Park. With two Red Sox starters in the All-Star Game (Tim Wakefield and Josh Beckett), Francona said the plan is for Buchholz to make just one start with the big club.

Six man rotation? No! It seems to me like it's just a start caused by the mess that the ASG will cause (Wake and Beckett are going to St Louis).

After Buchholz's start Friday, the rotation will continue with Brad Penny, Jon Lester, John Smoltz, Beckett, and Wakefield. Buchholz is 7-1 with a 2.11 ERA in 15 starts this season for Pawtucket.

Thoughts?

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Clay is free!

i am very excited about seeing him pitch, but i am almost a little worried that he’ll pitch so well that the sox can not in good conscience send him back down. that would cause some problems, namely a six man rotation or smoltz getting the boot.

by revived0103 on Jul 12, 2009 5:54 PM EDT reply actions   0 recs

Masterson trade/demotion...

Smoltz = pen?

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by bs.uf15bosox9bears23 on Jul 12, 2009 9:57 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Is it a jinx...

if you talk about the no-hitter before it starts?

Rock me, sexy Jesus...

by nuthinboutnuthin on Jul 12, 2009 6:07 PM EDT reply actions   0 recs

Yes.

Manny ain't the only bad man.

by tommy.otm on Jul 12, 2009 10:02 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Damn

Rock me, sexy Jesus...

by nuthinboutnuthin on Jul 12, 2009 10:15 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

I'll be interested to see how the Sox work their roster

They’ll probably send Bates down for Buchholz. Lowrie is due back Saturday, so he’ll probably take Buchholz’s spot. Then again, they may DFA Lugo.

I gotta go 'cause I'm probably definitely gonna nod out again.

by Drugs Delaney on Jul 12, 2009 6:23 PM EDT reply actions   0 recs

"they may DFA Lugo"

PLEASE!!!

"Hey we got a lot in common here... I'm gonna rape you"

by MerryGoByeBye on Jul 12, 2009 6:38 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Depends on when Lowell comes back

I gotta go 'cause I'm probably definitely gonna nod out again.

by Drugs Delaney on Jul 12, 2009 7:12 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Sadly, Bates finally got it going today.

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by bs.uf15bosox9bears23 on Jul 12, 2009 9:57 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

They aren't going to DFA Lugo

 There are a couple teams that need a utility player like Lugo. My guess is that any deal means the Sox eat half to almost all his salary for the duration of the contract, much like what they did for Renteria.

Lugo may not be worth much, but he is worth a couple prospects and/or a player to be named later. He could also be packaged with Saito, given the Sox are looking for a 1B, and threw Saito out to the Rockies for Garret Atkins.

by superferret on Jul 12, 2009 11:19 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

But that doesn't mean they won't DFA him.

Once a player is DFA’d, they can still trade him.

"Hating the New York Yankees is as American as apple pie, unwed mothers and cheating on your income tax." -- Mike Royko

by sox-inda-south on Jul 13, 2009 8:54 AM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Lugo is worth something

Once he is DFA, and clear of waivers, any team can pick him up for the MLB minimum. Lugo is worth at least some prospects. If he was hitting what he was in 2007, he would probably be DFA, and pretty much no one would pick him up. His hitting is worth something, and his speed can be used in the outfield.

by superferret on Jul 13, 2009 12:24 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

If he could be a decent OF, why don't we try that first?

If we did DFA him, the question is whether someone would claim him before he cleared waivers, which they probably wouldn’t, like ferret said.

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by bs.uf15bosox9bears23 on Jul 13, 2009 3:46 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

I wish they'd use the all-star break to reset the rotation.

Need to ask Maddon not to pitch Beckett after the CG, like he did with his guy last year.

Then we get our two aces up top, and put Wake in between Smoltz and Penny in case we need him to spell the bullpen for a night.

by USG on Jul 12, 2009 7:00 PM EDT reply actions   0 recs

Beckett ABSOLUTELY will pitch an inning in the ASG

Maddon wants to mess up his arm if at all possible. 2 days after pitching a complete game = perfect time to try to mess up a rival pitcher within the division.

Wake will get in the game, too. How can you deny a 42-year-old making his All-Star debut?

by dsharp on Jul 12, 2009 10:33 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Audition for a Halladay trade...?
UPDATED: Two Blue Jays scouts watched Buchholz

PAWTUCKET — WEEI.com’s Alex Katz has confirmed a report, which first appeared on the website of PawSox radio announcer Dan Hoard, that the Toronto Blue Jays had two pro scouts in attendance watching Clay Buchholz pitch for Triple-A Pawtucket today. Jays G.M. J.P. Ricciardi had told multiple media outlets that Toronto will scout other clubs in preparation for a potential deal. With Buchholz pitching, the team had two cross-checkers in attendance. Buchholz allowed five runs (four earned) in 5.1 innings, permitting eight hits and a walk while striking out three.

http://www.weei.com/sports/boston/this-just-in/212759/updated-two-blue-jays-scouts-watched-buchholz

by alskor on Jul 12, 2009 7:06 PM EDT reply actions   0 recs

Doubt it

I gotta go 'cause I'm probably definitely gonna nod out again.

by Drugs Delaney on Jul 12, 2009 7:12 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

They can look all they want...

Just no touching.

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by bs.uf15bosox9bears23 on Jul 12, 2009 9:58 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Exactly.

Kinda like how the Sox scouts probablly regularly scout Texas and Atlanta

"Hating the New York Yankees is as American as apple pie, unwed mothers and cheating on your income tax." -- Mike Royko

by sox-inda-south on Jul 13, 2009 8:57 AM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

We "proablly" regularly scout everyone, like every team does.

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by bs.uf15bosox9bears23 on Jul 13, 2009 3:47 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Also doubt it.

The Jays will be watching all the big-name prospects for contenders. Doesn’t make it likely to happen.

by USG on Jul 12, 2009 7:21 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

More likely they were aware of the possibility the Sox might need him for the Toronto series and were there to pick up some tips for their hitters.

by RSNexile on Jul 12, 2009 7:28 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

It would be a detriment to both Toronto and Boston..

Why would the Sox want to give a Division rival a pitcher they have been grooming since 2005?
Why would the Jays give the Sox one of the top pitchers in MLB in his prime? A Sox rotation of Beckett, Lester, Wake, Smoltz, and Halliday? That is a white flag trade on the Jays part.

The person the Jays should trade or DFA is their GM, JR Ricardi.

My guess the scouts were checking out Buchholz for his possible start after the all star break, even if the Jays are fading fast, they still have a tiny bit of contention left.

by superferret on Jul 12, 2009 11:23 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Very true.

Never thought about that. They haven’t seen him in over a year in the bigs and needs some new footage, reports, etc….. And by just trying to trade Halliday, Toronto has thrown white flag.

"Hating the New York Yankees is as American as apple pie, unwed mothers and cheating on your income tax." -- Mike Royko

by sox-inda-south on Jul 13, 2009 8:59 AM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

might be the wrong place to ask this,

but i dont recall this being discussed anywhere else on this site,

but is it too much to, use the package everyone is talking abt for halladay, and try to go after someone like adrian gonzales? might it make more sense?

by sgsox on Jul 13, 2009 8:24 AM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Discussed earlier in the season, but the Padres said they want a Johan-load of prospects

Think Bucholz, Bowden, Lars, Reddick, and Pimentel

"Hating the New York Yankees is as American as apple pie, unwed mothers and cheating on your income tax." -- Mike Royko

by sox-inda-south on Jul 13, 2009 9:00 AM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Well, not THAT much, but yes, they wanted a load of prospects.

Plus, if we wouldn’t want to trade the package for Halladay, who’s been worth 4.2 WAR in just the first half of this season, why would we trade it for Gonzalez, who’s been worth only 2.9 in the same amount of time, and hasn’t been worth more than 4 WAR during any other season so far in his career.

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by bs.uf15bosox9bears23 on Jul 13, 2009 3:53 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Because AG is a young, cost-controlled power hitter, while Halladay is an old, expensive pitcher.

"Ninety percent [of my salary] I'll spend on good times, women, and Irish whiskey. The other ten percent I'll probably waste."
-Tug McGraw

by BTLove on Jul 13, 2009 5:41 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

True.

Was thinking too much about the stats, my bad.

@bs_uf15bosox9be:OverTheMonster-ALLERGEN WARNING:May contain PB.

by bs.uf15bosox9bears23 on Jul 13, 2009 7:10 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Here's a question

Does anyone seriously think Wake is going to pitch in the game?

"It's just a tiny little nick, but it hurts when I get champagne in there."
- Jason Bay, on getting spiked scoring the winning run in ALDS Game Four.

by 0157H7 on Jul 12, 2009 7:39 PM EDT reply actions   0 recs

I hope so...

…otherwise we have 74 games + playoffs with NG talking about how Maddon knew that he would suck all the momentum, and that Sox fans are just too blind to see this.

Rock me, sexy Jesus...

by nuthinboutnuthin on Jul 12, 2009 7:57 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

LOL (seriously).

I kinda want to see Wake close it out.

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by bs.uf15bosox9bears23 on Jul 12, 2009 9:59 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Wake needs a catcher who won't have a nervous breakdown.

My guess is V-Mart will be his catcher….

If that doesn’t work, kidnapped Yadier Molina, from the other dugout and have him catch for Wake. The guy has to be the best defensive catcher in the game today.

by superferret on Jul 12, 2009 11:26 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

I've got a crazy idea.

Have Youk catch him.

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by bs.uf15bosox9bears23 on Jul 12, 2009 11:52 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

That is crazy.

Youk has said he’s willing to play any defensive position—-other than catcher.

If Pedey were still playing in the ASG, he could have been an entertaining option at C. (Unless Kevin Cash was messing around with our heads last year, Pedey was the official emergency backup catcher.)

by lone1c on Jul 13, 2009 7:39 AM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

I thought it was Lowell.

He use to catch in the minors so he would be the Sox emergency catcher. Then again, with his knee and hip problems, I wouldn’t want him to bend over to pick up a $100 bill.

"Hating the New York Yankees is as American as apple pie, unwed mothers and cheating on your income tax." -- Mike Royko

by sox-inda-south on Jul 13, 2009 9:02 AM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Exactly.

Unless Lowell’s going to lay down behind the plate and prop himself up on his elbows, I don’t see how he’d be able to. Maybe they can have Jeter catch him. :)

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by bs.uf15bosox9bears23 on Jul 13, 2009 3:56 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

I was joking.

I thought I had heard him say that before, which is why I suggested it. :)

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by bs.uf15bosox9bears23 on Jul 13, 2009 3:55 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Beckett, Verlander and Buehrle all started today.

I think that bodes well for Wake.

But who would catch him, that is the question.

Manny ain't the only bad man.

by tommy.otm on Jul 12, 2009 10:13 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Use Wakefield early enough

And Mauer can catch him—-he has to catch RA Dickey, so he is familiar with catching a knuckleball. (Or do you think we can sneak in Kottaras for Mauer that inning or two?)

by lone1c on Jul 12, 2009 10:39 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

I'm positive he'll pitch.

There is no way that they would keep a 42 year old, first time AS on the bench.

"Ninety percent [of my salary] I'll spend on good times, women, and Irish whiskey. The other ten percent I'll probably waste."
-Tug McGraw

by BTLove on Jul 13, 2009 3:32 AM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

He could play 1B, like he did in high school.

Then again, since there’s 4 1B on the roster now, that’d be kinda difficult.

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by bs.uf15bosox9bears23 on Jul 13, 2009 3:57 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Most things I hear about Clay seem to paint him into being a mental case.
How is this going to help that? If he throws a perfect game, back to AAA. If he gives up 10 runs, back to AAA.

Something does not seem right here. It also leads to more roster issues.
Lowell/Jed/Buch with Bates being the only option to be sent down.

Surely, Bard would not be sent down right? ugh…

MODERATOR

by gizmosandy on Jul 12, 2009 8:49 PM EDT reply actions   0 recs

Masterson demoted/traded?

Lugo DFA’d/traded (Royals/Mets?)?
Saito traded?

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by bs.uf15bosox9bears23 on Jul 12, 2009 10:03 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Masterson won't go anywhere.

When Lowrie comes up, something will happen with Lugo. I doubt he’d be DFA’d. He’s hitting .284 with a .719 OPS – same as Nick Green.

by dsharp on Jul 12, 2009 10:40 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

I am guessing Lugo will go to the Mariners...

They just traded their SS, they need a back up left fielder. Another team maybe the Rockies, I really think Lugo will go in some sort of package or three way trade, The Sox are going to eat half to most o his contract…

All I have to say, Theo knows baseball, but he doesn’t know Shortstops, he seems to be in love of ideal of a high OBS shortstop with okay UZR ratings. I think the Sox has had more starting shortstops than Spinal Tap has had drummers, with the drummers have a longer life expectancy.

by superferret on Jul 12, 2009 11:33 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Lugo, Gabbard and prospects for King Felix.

Get it done Theo.

Maybe he could swing a three-way with the Mets and send the Mariners Alex Cora too.

Manny ain't the only bad man.

by tommy.otm on Jul 13, 2009 9:21 AM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Yeah RIght..

The Mariners are still smarting after the Bedard trade with the O’s, given they gave up their jewels for him. King Felix is hardly going anywhere They aren’t going to trade the backbone of one the best starting rotations in MLB for light hitting poor defensive utility player and a so so Southpaw.

by superferret on Jul 13, 2009 11:41 AM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Missed the sarcasm, ferret?

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by bs.uf15bosox9bears23 on Jul 13, 2009 3:58 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Maybe if we threw in Hanseck?

Manny ain't the only bad man.

by tommy.otm on Jul 13, 2009 9:22 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

I wouldn't trade Masterson..

No matter some of his recent meltdowns, he can be a pretty wicked set up man, if he gets his sinker to work. Some of his pitches are pretty sick, I think he can still work out…

by superferret on Jul 12, 2009 11:28 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Buch is up; Bates goes down; Lowell waits a day.

The next day, Lowell comes up and Buch goes back down.

Toronto was looking at Buch because they face him after the break. Halladay’s not coming here.

by dsharp on Jul 12, 2009 10:29 PM EDT reply actions   0 recs

What about Penny?

He’s been fine for us, but why not trade him if Buchholz does well. It would clear a roster spot and net some prospects.

by kpaticus on Jul 12, 2009 10:49 PM EDT reply actions   0 recs

Daisuke isn't going anywhere..

Mr. Matsuzaka isn’t going anywhere, besides if he is washed up for this season, if he gets into shape, he should return to his old form.. He still an incredible talent.. He just needs some PT and a treadmill.

by superferret on Jul 13, 2009 12:25 AM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

RSS feed as your sig?

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by bs.uf15bosox9bears23 on Jul 13, 2009 3:59 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Your sig

should just read: ALLERGEN WARNING: Contains Nuts.

"You know you're having a bad day when the fifth inning rolls around and they drag the warning track." - Mike Flanagan, Baltimore Orioles pitcher, 1992.

by SoxDevil on Jul 14, 2009 12:43 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Ha.

You missed the PB stuff, but yeah, Nuts would be appropriate too.

@bs_uf15bosox9be:OverTheMonster-ALLERGEN WARNING:May contain PB.

by bs.uf15bosox9bears23 on Jul 14, 2009 3:16 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

With all the arms that the Sox’s have and bringing in Buchholz means only one thing..
Its a try out !! Buchholz for Halladay !! Everyone know’s the Yankee’s have been trying to get Halladay.. Do the sox’s really need him ? I think its to either block the Yankee’s or drive the price way up so The Yankee’s give up more…

by freddy_nh on Jul 13, 2009 8:59 AM EDT reply actions   0 recs

It isn't a dress rehearsal..

There is a big detriment for the Jays to trade Halladay within the division. There is even a bigger detriment if the Sox trade Buchholz within the division and he matches up to his potential. Might as well trade Buchholz to the MFY for a Wang. That would go over well.

  Penny is better trade bait than Buchholz, right now. Even though I am all for trading Buchholz, the Sox Management doesn’t share my cynicism, this is their golden prodigy and future meal ticket. The Jays are going to ask for much, much more than Buchholz. They are going probably going to ask for two more top prospects, with Jones or Bowden thrown in.

 The problem right now, is that there isn’t much out there for a good trade. I think the Sox are better off leaving Youk at third and use the Kotsay/Bates combo at 1b. Any trade package offered by the Sox is probably a reliever like MDC or Saito along with Lugo.

by superferret on Jul 13, 2009 11:57 AM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Penny is good trade bait

But unfortunately we need him to stay in the rotation, especially with the mediocrity that Smoltz has given us.

"It's just a tiny little nick, but it hurts when I get champagne in there."
- Jason Bay, on getting spiked scoring the winning run in ALDS Game Four.

by 0157H7 on Jul 13, 2009 12:00 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

I thought Smolz pitched a pretty good game on Saturday...

His splitter was pretty good, he was pinpointing his pitches. Yes it was Kansas City, but his slider was hitting the inside part of the plate.

Let’s see his next start, but he was definitely better than his outing with the A’s, I am more critical of Tito for pulling him after 5.

  If the Sox want a caliber position player or middle reliever, they have to offer something pretty good in return. Not many teams don’t seemed interested in Saito..

by superferret on Jul 13, 2009 8:07 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Cross out "Hallady"...

…and put in “Teixeira.”

I don’t trust the Yankees their diabolical experiment to prove that Cashman and Girardi are capable of overcoming any structural advantage to produce a mediocre team.

Rock me, sexy Jesus...

by nuthinboutnuthin on Jul 13, 2009 5:04 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

* Halladay

Rock me, sexy Jesus...

by nuthinboutnuthin on Jul 13, 2009 5:05 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Difference is, Teix was a free agent...

So he was able to control who came after him, and what was demanded of them.

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by bs.uf15bosox9bears23 on Jul 13, 2009 5:18 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

I hate to agree with someone who has major problems with a grammatical device as simple as the apostrophe, but in this case, I have no choice.

If you couple the reports that Blue Jay scouts were checking out Buchholz in his last minor league start with the fact that the Sox FO are inexplicably bringing him up for just one start… against the very team who has an interest in acquiring him… I can’t see how this isn’t being interpreted as an audition of sorts. Riccardi probably needs to see how good he looks at this point in his development against major league talent before making him the centerpiece of any deal.

Even if it doesn’t happen in the end, as we all expect, Epstein clearly wants to keep all options open. A pitcher of Halladay’s caliber is simply too good to not go after, and as long as we can keep some of our young arms (Bowden, Masterson, etc.), a presence in the rotation of two guys like Halladay and Beckett would provide such a profound, intangible benefit to our staff’s development that you have to at least make a run. And even if we decide not to resign Halladay because he’s too old for the length and cost of his contract, we’ll be able to restock our farm system with two first-round prospects.

I can’t believe how naive you guys are to think that Epstein or Riccardi wouldn’t make this deal. I see the Jays getting Buchholz, Lowrie and a young reliever of their choice.

Straight outta HP. Go MDC!!!
http://soxcentury.blogspot.com

by alfonzo on Jul 13, 2009 11:34 AM EDT reply actions   0 recs

Naive?!?

Dude, the AL East is the equivalent of the “Group of Death” in World Cup Soccer. Right now, we have 4 teams (Soon to be three) in contention. Trading within the division is pretty masochistic. One should trade to get rid of clubhouse cancers, or a team willing to take on an entire contract of someone who hasn’t met up for their potential like Lugo.

Why in the world should the Sox give up their top prospects for Halladay? They would face them for years in the future. I don’t even think the Sox shouldn’t even talked to the Rangers at this moment, because they are in contention, and the Sox can very well face them in the playoffs.

 Halladay is one of the top pitchers in baseball, but like Santana being dangled before the 2008 season, he is going to cost a King’s ransom. One reason the MFY has some holes, is that they have been dealing their prospects for years, which has left some of their less glamourous but essential roles like relief pitching in shambles.

  GMs can’t be sentimental, but they aren’t going ignore risk management, by betting the farm on one player, while giving a division rival enough players to build a dynasty on…

by superferret on Jul 13, 2009 12:19 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

If our farm system looked like the Yankees’, I’d agree with you. Theo is open to considering a deal of this nature because our farm system is so loaded. What we lose in Buchholz we make back when Bowden, Masterson and Bard learn from the likes of Halladay, Beckett and Lester. And those three starters together would form a postseason roster so potent, I can’t think of any good comparisons outside of the 90s Braves. While it’s risky to gamble the future for the present, it’s foolish to sacrifice today for a hope tomorrow.

I agree with you, however, that the Jays would have little qualm with this trade: they’re not going to be competitive this year, and probably not next, either; giving us Halladay now and taking away Buchholz is a smart move. For our part, we have stronger competition to worry about than the Jays, and a higher payroll, a better farm system and more leverage in the draft than the Jays. We can afford to give up Buchholz, even if it allows them to be competitive tomorrow. We can deal with tomorrow when it comes. Let’s win today.

Straight outta HP. Go MDC!!!
http://soxcentury.blogspot.com

by alfonzo on Jul 13, 2009 1:38 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

short term benefits versus long term gains.

 I wouldn’t try for Halladay for a mid season trade. If one is going to trade Buchholz, trade him at least out of the division, let alone out of the league. I don’t agree with the Sox FO about Buchholz, but I wouldn’t trade him within the division. The risk that he actually meets his potential while under contract for a couple years with a division rival, while Halladay has a 1 1/2 year is not practical.

In 2005, the Sox’s pitching and bullpen had huge holes in it, to the point Mike Timlin was the closer. It took two years, some Okajima luck and a change of pitching coach to see some improvement. A fantasy league dream of Becket, Lester and Halladay in a rotation sounds nice, but it comes with a huge cost, especially it will penalize the Sox years to come. Much like if Hanley Ramirez was facing the Sox now in a Jays uniform rather than a Marlins uniform.

 Trading a mega deal within the division is a bad deal. Free agency is a bit different, because the damage can be limited, as with Johnnie Damon going to the Yankees.

by superferret on Jul 13, 2009 3:06 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Another cost

While a Beckett, Lester, Halladay rotation sounds great for 2009/2010. After 2010, either Beckett or Halladay will be gone. Halladay will make $15.75 million next year, and likely more after 2010. The Sox probably can’t afford both Halladay and Beckett.

The likely cost of getting Halladay (assuming the Sox keep him) is Buchholz + 2 top prospects and Beckett. Theo thinks long term. Halladay is a short term solution. If the Sox let Halladay walk they get two picks. But not every compensation pick works out. You don’t know if even one of the players picked as compensation for Halladay would be as good as Buchholz, Bard, Anderson, etc.

Halladay is a great pitcher. But the Sox rotation is a strength. Right now, the Sox are on pace for 99 wins. How many more wins is Halladay worth? And, are the Sox better off in 2011 with Halladay, Lester, and Bowden (assuming he isn’t dealt) or Beckett, Lester, Buchholz (or even Halladay, Lester, Buchholz—if the Sox sign Halladay as a FA without trading for him)?

I gotta go 'cause I'm probably definitely gonna nod out again.

by Drugs Delaney on Jul 13, 2009 3:56 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Could cost us Bay too, potentially.

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by bs.uf15bosox9bears23 on Jul 13, 2009 4:23 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

And how many championships did the 90's Braves win?

We’re not sacrificing anything – we have an excellent chance of making the postseason, and from there on out it’s a crapshoot. Even having 3 great starters wouldn’t guarantee us a series victory, let alone 3 series.

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by bs.uf15bosox9bears23 on Jul 13, 2009 4:15 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

+1

I gotta go 'cause I'm probably definitely gonna nod out again.

by Drugs Delaney on Jul 13, 2009 4:16 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Answering the question?

Or agreeing? :)

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by bs.uf15bosox9bears23 on Jul 13, 2009 4:19 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Both

I gotta go 'cause I'm probably definitely gonna nod out again.

by Drugs Delaney on Jul 13, 2009 6:01 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

!Por fin!

     Finally!!! I have been waiting for this all season and I am sure the rest of RSN has been waiting for this start all season too!

by J P on Jul 13, 2009 6:12 PM EDT reply actions   0 recs

If you look at Theo’s mid summer trading habits, he has not yet traded a top prospect for a quick fix. He has dealt stars (Nomar, Manny) to add depth and well roundedness.

However, it can be argued that the Red Sox would have made it to the World Series in 08 had they kept Manny (they’d be in trouble this year though). Hence, the support for Theo looking at the future. But wouldn’t the Manny trade be all for not if the Sox can’t get it done this year and Bay walks?

Trade Clay for Doc and take your rotation of Halladay, Beckett, Lester against anyone. You have experience with Smoltz and Wake too! 09’ World Series Champs.

The better option is to figure out what pieces are needed to manufacture the same result without Halladay. If it can be done cheaper, do it! If it can’t trade Clay.

Who else would Toronto want? (say no to Bard, Kelly, Lars, and Masterson)

by Buchholz61 on Jul 13, 2009 8:15 PM EDT reply actions   0 recs

Masterson?

Really?

@bs_uf15bosox9be:OverTheMonster-ALLERGEN WARNING:May contain PB.

by bs.uf15bosox9bears23 on Jul 13, 2009 8:42 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

I’d like to see some try to argue that the Sox would have made the WS last year with Manny instead of Bay. Jason Bay had a 1.105 OPS in the postseason last year. Its hard to believe that Manny would have been significantly better than that.

Also, Theo has traded prospects for quick fixes. See: Suckpan, Sauersuck and Gagne. We gave up Mike Gonzalez and Freddy Sanchez for Suppan, which is a pretty good haul for the Pirates. And the Hanley/Beckett trade, though its unclear what role Theo had in that whole thing. A lot of people say he was against it, but for me its hard to believe the Sox made a move that big without Theo’s approval.

"Ninety percent [of my salary] I'll spend on good times, women, and Irish whiskey. The other ten percent I'll probably waste."
-Tug McGraw

by BTLove on Jul 14, 2009 9:53 AM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

As good as Hanley has been

Beckett and Lowell was not exactly a poor haul, nor one on the same level as a Doc trade, since Beckett was maybe 26?

by USG on Jul 14, 2009 12:02 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

I severely doubt we would re-sign halladay in a year and a half if we landed him… he’s simply too old for the FO to commit the kind of money and years he would command. But I’d like to remind everyone here that, as much as I like him and have high hopes for him, Buchholz still isn’t a sure thing. Halladay is just about as close to a sure thing as you can find. In the end, I think that the price the Jays will ask is simply too high for Theo. But when a player of Halladay’s caliber is available mid-season, there isn’t a GM in the game unwilling to consider a package they’d sacrifice to acquire him.

Straight outta HP. Go MDC!!!
http://soxcentury.blogspot.com

by alfonzo on Jul 14, 2009 11:31 PM EDT reply actions   0 recs

Yes, but it's not just Buch we'd be losing.
  • Other prospects
  • Halladay’s salary would likely cause us to lose Bay or Beckett to FA, possibly without getting draft picks because they might accept arbitration if offered, stretching our payroll even further
  • We would have to pay for players to replace the rolls that Buch+ are expected to fill
  • If Buch does become the pitcher he’s supposed to be, then we have to face him as many as 6 times per year, not including playoffs. And, you just know that he’s going to be great if we give up on him – life likes to screw us like that.
  • They likely want whichever club takes on Halladay to take either part of Well’s contract or all of it, including him – that’s enough to make me back off in and of itself.

@bs_uf15bosox9be:OverTheMonster-ALLERGEN WARNING:May contain PB.

by bs.uf15bosox9bears23 on Jul 15, 2009 12:37 AM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

I don't buy #2.

We had the money for Beck, Bay and Teixeira. We’d have the money for Halladay.

Manny ain't the only bad man.

by tommy.otm on Jul 15, 2009 1:04 AM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

yup.

"Ninety percent [of my salary] I'll spend on good times, women, and Irish whiskey. The other ten percent I'll probably waste."
-Tug McGraw

by BTLove on Jul 15, 2009 3:07 AM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Did we?

Also, we didn’t have Youk, Dusty, and Lester signed long term at that point, right?

@bs_uf15bosox9be:OverTheMonster-ALLERGEN WARNING:May contain PB.

by bs.uf15bosox9bears23 on Jul 15, 2009 7:01 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

But its only 1.5 years of Halladay.

If you are talking about extending Halladay, then no, we probably do not have the payroll room to do that. But there is not going to be any extension talk allowed before the trade, so it probably should not factor into the discussion too much. Basically we should accept that we would most likely be trading for 1.5 years of Roy Halladay.

This means that we would only have to carry the bump in payroll for 1.5 years. Yes, Youk, Lester and Pedroia will be making more next year, but not by a whole lot. Altogether the money paid to those three is increasing by about $8M from this year to next. Factor in the extra for Halladay ($15M), a few more million for Paps, RamRam and Delcarmen ($6 altogether) and more money for Bay($14M overall, so an increase of $7M), there would be about an increase of $37M overall. So that is significant, but Penny and Smoltz will be coming off the books (-$10M). Those increases would put our total salary right around 2007 levels, so I would think that is doable, especially with Lugo, Lowell, Papi, Varitek, Beckett and Halladay all coming off the books after 2010.

If trading for Halladay is the right move (and I’m pretty sure it is not) payroll will not stop us from doing so. There would be a significant, but only temporary jump in payroll, but I think this ownership has shown a willingness to spend money to win.

"Ninety percent [of my salary] I'll spend on good times, women, and Irish whiskey. The other ten percent I'll probably waste."
-Tug McGraw

by BTLove on Jul 15, 2009 7:41 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

But

There is no way Theo will trade 2-3 top prospects for 1.5 years of Halladay.

I gotta go 'cause I'm probably definitely gonna nod out again.

by Drugs Delaney on Jul 15, 2009 8:24 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Exactly.

The payroll would stay up because we wouldn’t have the cheap prospects. Plus, Bay will be wantinggetting a lot more than the $7.5 million he’s getting paid this year. Beck’s option is $1.5mil more expensive than this year too.

@bs_uf15bosox9be:OverTheMonster-ALLERGEN WARNING:May contain PB.

by bs.uf15bosox9bears23 on Jul 15, 2009 10:25 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Halladay is unlikely to be moved for a few reasons

(1) Ricciardi would be crucified in Toronto—even more so if he moved Halladay within the division.
(2) Few teams have the major league ready talent that Toronto would need to get in return for Halladay.
(3) Toronto won’t let potential trade partners negotiate a contract extension with Halladay prior to a trade. Thus, a team trading for Halladay would be rolling the dice hoping for a big result this year and next, much like Milwaukee last year.

I doubt he’ll be moved. But if he is, I’d be shocked if he went to an AL team because most of the contending teams either have decent starting pitching or can’t afford him. Of the NL teams, Philadelphia makes the most sense. But I don’t think anything will happen. If Halladay gets moved, I bet it happens in the off-season.

I gotta go 'cause I'm probably definitely gonna nod out again.

by Drugs Delaney on Jul 15, 2009 8:57 AM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

I don’t get why Toronto is not allowing teams to negotiate an extension. I kind of assumed that the only way that he would waive his no-trade clause is if he was able to get that extension. What incentive does he have to waive the no-trade clause now? And wouldn’t teams be more likely to give up more for the guy if they could extend him 2 or 3 years?

"Ninety percent [of my salary] I'll spend on good times, women, and Irish whiskey. The other ten percent I'll probably waste."
-Tug McGraw

by BTLove on Jul 15, 2009 2:52 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

But would Toronto be able to demand more if he agrees to a long extension?

That seems to be the issue, to me.

@bs_uf15bosox9be:OverTheMonster-ALLERGEN WARNING:May contain PB.

by bs.uf15bosox9bears23 on Jul 15, 2009 7:02 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Maybe. But I think the extension would be worked out after the teams come to terms on the trade.

"Ninety percent [of my salary] I'll spend on good times, women, and Irish whiskey. The other ten percent I'll probably waste."
-Tug McGraw

by BTLove on Jul 15, 2009 7:44 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Exactly.

But if that team does sign him, they have then effectively traded the same package of prospects they would’ve traded for 1.5 years, except they’re getting 4.5+ years of Halladay.

@bs_uf15bosox9be:OverTheMonster-ALLERGEN WARNING:May contain PB.

by bs.uf15bosox9bears23 on Jul 15, 2009 10:26 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

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