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Disturbing Trend

I was thinking about how awful the Red Sox look on the road this year. It left me wondering if there was a direct link. The Red Sox have one of the biggest home field advantages in baseball and have intelligently built their team around it. What I discovered may worry some.

I went back as far as 2004 when they started this run.

In 2007 the Red Sox clearly the best team in the league. There is no debate about it. They won the toughest division in baseball and rolled through the post season en route to a championship. The Red Sox road record was the best it's been during the magical run. They went 45-36.

In 2004 they won the wildcard and the championship. That year they had their second best road record over the run. They went 43-38. Almost as good as 2007, but not quite. Like the team itself.

In 2006 the red Sox finished in third and missed the playoffs. That year they had their worst road record over the past 5 years. they went 38-43

In 2005 they didn't win the division but had an identical record to the division winner and won the wildcard but lost in the playoffs. That year they had their 3rd best home record at 41-40

And finally last year 2nd place and their road record not quite as bad as in 2006 when they finished in 3rd. Last year their record was 39-42

It's uncanny. The link matches perfectly. Their best year 2007 they had the best road record. the second best year in 2004 led to the second best road record. Third best year in 2005 when they finished tied with the Yankees they had their 3rd best  road record. The year they finished in 3rd and missed the playoffs they had their worst road record.

It's no surprise the Red Sox look great at home, but the last 5 years suggests the road record is a better barometer.

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