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Green, Carter make Opening Day Sox squad

The wait is over: Nick Green and Chris Carter, congratulations. You made the Opening Day roster:

FORT MYERS, Fla. -- Nick Green and Chris Carter have been told that they have made the Red Sox Opening Day roster, with the understanding that things could change if the Sox make a last minute deal or waiver claim.

...

Carter won the extra outfield/backup first base role over Jeff Bailey, who was told he would not be going to New York. A dejected Bailey, who hit .356 with a homer and eight RBI. But Carter enjoyed the best spring of any Red Sox hitter, leading the club with six homers. He hit .359 with 10 RBI.

Green will serve as the team’s utility infielder until Julio Lugo comes back from knee surgery. Carter, meanwhile, is likely to lose his spot when Mark Kotsay (back) is ready to return, on or about May 1.

Both very deserving players. Poor Jeff Bailey. He'll have to wait for an injury to crop up.

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I'm glad about Carter

I see him as Carcass insurance, a late-inning bat to pinch-hit for our rapidly decomposing Captain.

I gotta go 'cause I'm probably definitely gonna nod out again.

by Drugs Delaney on Mar 31, 2009 2:59 PM EDT reply actions  

Agreed

I have too ask though…Why is Bailey still with the Sox? Why is he still in baseball? He must really love the game and have good spirit. For the years he has spent with the sox, he must be frustrated. Poor Guy, I hope he is content with the minor league money. If I was him, I’m not sure I’d have that kind of patience

Friendship is like peeing on yourself: everyone can see it, but only you get the warm feeling that it brings.

by sox-inda-south on Mar 31, 2009 3:42 PM EDT up reply actions  

So he could either play baseball for a few hundred large or…

by BTLove on Mar 31, 2009 6:44 PM EDT up reply actions  

Start a used car dealership!

"It's just a tiny little nick, but it hurts when I get champagne in there."
- Jason Bay, on getting spiked scoring the winning run in ALDS Game Four.

by 0157H7 on Mar 31, 2009 10:13 PM EDT up reply actions  

Quick random question:

what kind of pitcher is Joe Blanton classified as? Certantianty not an Ace, but is he a #2, #3, or just a back end of the rotation guy? My friend is a Philly Fan and he thinks that Blanton is as good as Lester….(he’s not very bright!) :)

Friendship is like peeing on yourself: everyone can see it, but only you get the warm feeling that it brings.

by sox-inda-south on Mar 31, 2009 3:45 PM EDT reply actions  

Well

He’s fat. He fits the Penny role for the Phillies, then. Every team needs a funny fatso kind of guy.

As a pitcher, I really don’t know. He was as good as Wakefield with the A’s. Not sure if that changed.

"Hey we got a lot in common here... I'm gonna rape you"

by MerryGoByeBye on Mar 31, 2009 3:59 PM EDT up reply actions  

Hes had two good years out of 5. If he was on the Sox we would say hes a number 5. But PECOTA projects him to be pretty equal to Lester in 2009 (I think they’re wrong).

by BTLove on Mar 31, 2009 6:47 PM EDT up reply actions  

BT

what is PECOTAs projection for lester? I can’t access it on BP but found a bog that states 4.1 ERA, 1.1 WHIP …or something like that. That seems pretty good to me as these projections go. Do you have the #’s?

There really does seem to be a hangover from such a large innings increase. When pitchers escape the “rule” they often still have a relatively poorer year compared to the previous one.

by Buzzy on Mar 31, 2009 7:21 PM EDT up reply actions  

The weighted mean projection is: 170 IP, 28 GS, 4.57 ERA, 1.45 WHIP, 11-9 W-L. the 90th percentile projection has his ERA at 3.50, but WHIP is still high at 1.30

by BTLove on Mar 31, 2009 7:35 PM EDT up reply actions  

How do they project?

Is it based on a three-year average, like some other systems? Or is it more subjective? Or something like this?

Manny ain't the only bad man.

by tommy.otm on Mar 31, 2009 9:59 PM EDT up reply actions  

PECOTA is proprietary so we don’t really know exactly how they project, but this is their explanation:

PECOTA stands for Player Empirical Comparison and Optimization Test Algorithm. PECOTA is BP’s proprietary system that projects player performance based on comparison with thousands of historical player-seasons. PECOTA analyzes similarities with past player-seasons based not only on rate statistics, but also height, weight, age, and many other factors.

It projected the Rays to win 90 games last year, so I’m all about it. But like any projection system, it obviously it has its downfalls. One, it never projects anyone to be awesome, but only really good. This is because it creates a probability distribution of the possible outcomes. Obviously a lot of guys will beat their PECOTA projections and a lot will not. The Lester projection though is troubling because the best case projection isn’t particularly good and the 50% projection is pretty terrible.

by BTLove on Mar 31, 2009 10:18 PM EDT up reply actions  

PECOTA

I think PECOTA was invented by Nate Silver, of 538.com fame. Got the Rays with 90 wins and the election dead on. Hope he is wrong about Lester…

by Buzzy on Apr 1, 2009 9:44 AM EDT up reply actions  

Lester will beat that WHIP by .10-.20 points.

"You know you're having a bad day when the fifth inning rolls around and they drag the warning track." - Mike Flanagan, Baltimore Orioles pitcher, 1992.

by SoxDevil on Apr 1, 2009 9:46 AM EDT up reply actions  

I asked my brother that question, as he is a die-hard A’s fan. He says that Blanton is, at best, a 3rd starter. IMO, I see him as a fourth starter, but I haven’t watched him pitch as much as my brother.

Adopted Giant: Clayton Tanner (unless someone tells me he's already been adopted)
"He [Sandoval] is a big, puffy crouton in our wilted salad of a lineup. Do No matter how bad a movie is a eight game sweep is wacky in baseball, so a one run loss in the series is not the end of the world. disparage the comedian." -sfgiantstoday

by walkoff baltimore chop on Mar 31, 2009 11:54 PM EDT up reply actions  

Bad News

Here’s Bucholz’s stats against the Rays Today:

C Buchholz 5 1-3 9 6 6 1 4 2

Not Good….Not Good…..

Friendship is like peeing on yourself: everyone can see it, but only you get the warm feeling that it brings.

by sox-inda-south on Mar 31, 2009 4:08 PM EDT reply actions  

What was your Prediction?

That He’d Fail?

Friendship is like peeing on yourself: everyone can see it, but only you get the warm feeling that it brings.

by sox-inda-south on Mar 31, 2009 5:32 PM EDT up reply actions  

Yep.

I’ve been down on Buch since a few starts into last season.

by bdalebs on Mar 31, 2009 6:14 PM EDT up reply actions  

Its

the first time he has been touched this Spring.

by Buzzy on Mar 31, 2009 7:15 PM EDT up reply actions  

I hope he becomes a great pitcher, I do.

I just can’t shake the feeling that he’s a major bust.

by bdalebs on Mar 31, 2009 8:51 PM EDT up reply actions  

See?

At least I hate a player that REALLY sucks? People are hating on Buch now and getting away with it with no analogies…

"Hey we got a lot in common here... I'm gonna rape you"

by MerryGoByeBye on Apr 1, 2009 12:01 AM EDT up reply actions  

After "sucks", it's really a "!" not a "?"

Must… Never… Post… Drunk… Again!

"Hey we got a lot in common here... I'm gonna rape you"

by MerryGoByeBye on Apr 1, 2009 12:02 AM EDT up reply actions  

Make a FanPost while drunk.

Sandy Kazmir did it last season on DRB and it was epic.

by bdalebs on Apr 1, 2009 6:09 PM EDT up reply actions  

I’ve had a few posts that I didn’t really remember making. Usually they are fairly coherent, just a little combative.

by BTLove on Apr 1, 2009 9:56 PM EDT up reply actions  

Mine are filled with grammar mistakes

More often than when I’m sober, that is.

"Hey we got a lot in common here... I'm gonna rape you"

by MerryGoByeBye on Apr 1, 2009 11:24 PM EDT up reply actions  

Essentially. I’ll make a post about this later.

by Randy Booth on Mar 31, 2009 6:25 PM EDT up reply actions  

I'm quick on picking up on these things.

All these new deals are bringing a lot of new users. We need some kind of test to determine if the user can post on each blog, so we can keep trolls out.

by bdalebs on Mar 31, 2009 8:53 PM EDT up reply actions  

The key to keeping out trolls

is to NOT FEED THEM.

"It's just a tiny little nick, but it hurts when I get champagne in there."
- Jason Bay, on getting spiked scoring the winning run in ALDS Game Four.

by 0157H7 on Mar 31, 2009 10:17 PM EDT up reply actions  

And for newly minted editors like me

to ban them, of course. Which I will do, with extreme prejudice.

"It's just a tiny little nick, but it hurts when I get champagne in there."
- Jason Bay, on getting spiked scoring the winning run in ALDS Game Four.

by 0157H7 on Mar 31, 2009 10:18 PM EDT up reply actions  

Woo hoo!

Manny ain't the only bad man.

by tommy.otm on Mar 31, 2009 10:36 PM EDT up reply actions  

Chris Carter will never be sent down to the minors ever again.

by matzushocka45 on Mar 31, 2009 7:29 PM EDT reply actions  

Any chance we can extend the deal?

A nice, long-term contract for Mrs. Mark Kotsay would provide economic stability and attractiveness durability that is just what Sox fans their family needs right now.

by lone1c on Mar 31, 2009 10:16 PM EDT up reply actions  

Is she hot or something?

Post a picture.

Friendship is like peeing on yourself: everyone can see it, but only you get the warm feeling that it brings.

by sox-inda-south on Apr 1, 2009 6:37 AM EDT up reply actions  

HOLY SHIT!

SEXXYYY!!!

Friendship is like peeing on yourself: everyone can see it, but only you get the warm feeling that it brings.

by sox-inda-south on Apr 1, 2009 6:45 PM EDT up reply actions  

Huh?

She is bangin! In the words of the black people at my school: “A Nah, Dat Girl Gotta DONK!”

Friendship is like peeing on yourself: everyone can see it, but only you get the warm feeling that it brings.

by sox-inda-south on Apr 1, 2009 6:57 PM EDT up reply actions  

Haha

On Da Hop!
Kotsay got dem’ Dancin on it!

Friendship is like peeing on yourself: everyone can see it, but only you get the warm feeling that it brings.

by sox-inda-south on Apr 1, 2009 6:57 PM EDT up reply actions  

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