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Let's Talk About Luxury Tax and the Red Sox

One thing that always gets discussed in depth during the offseason is the dreaded MLB Luxury Tax (also Competitive Balance Tax or CBT).  There's a lot of easy to misinterpret and just incorrect information out there about what exactly the tax is and how it is calculated. 

Theo Epstein has publicly stated that one of his goals for the year is to remain below the Luxury Tax threshold, so since this is going to be a significant factor in the Red Sox offseason, let's take a quick look at what exactly the luxury tax works, and how it is going to affect the Red Sox going into 2010.  There are some things here I will gloss over a bit and some things that I will go into depth on because I'm trying to keep this as relevant to the Sox' current situation right now without actually going the 20 pages in the CBA.

Star-divide

First off, let me start by saying that all of this is available in the current MLBPA bargaining agreement, in Article 23, starting on page 83.  It's written in legalese, and I'm no lawyer, but I'm doing my best to interpret the relevant parts here for our sake.  If anyone else cares to read through it and finds that I'm misinterpreting something, please let me know, I'm not entirely infallible.

First, the thresholds are seen many places and easy to breakdown.  The ones remaining are:

2010 $170 Million

2011 $178 Million

TAX RATES

Now the rates that teams have to pay these rates are 22.5%, 30%, and 40%.  Each time a team exceeds the threshold, they have to pay in the next highest bracket, with 40% being the maximum.

 For example, if the Marlins went all out and somehow spent an extra $150 million this offseason, they would exceed the threshold for the first time- this year they would have to pay an extra 22.5% of everything past the threshold.  In 2011, however, if their payroll once again exceeded the threshold ($178 million), they would have to pay an extra 30% for each dollar over the threshold.

There is another side to this which frequently gets left out and is very relevant to the Red Sox at the moment.  If a team does NOT exceed the threshold for a year, they drop to the next lowest tax bracket, except that teams stick at the 30% bracket for two years of not being over.

As I said, this is VERY important for the Red Sox.  The last time the Sox exceeded the threshold was 2007, when they were subject to the 40% tax bracket.  This means that in 2008, they would have again been subject to the 40% rate, but since they were under the threshold, it meant that their bracket lowered.  In 2009, they would have been subject to the 30% rate, but again stayed under the threshold.  Now, in 2010, if the Red Sox go over the threshold, they will be subject to the 30% rate in 2010 and will jump to the 40% rate in 2011.  If, however, they avoid going over $170 million in 2010, then in 2011, they will only be subject to the 22.5% tax rate.

What does this mean for the Sox?  Obviously, it makes it very clear why the Red Sox want to stay under this year- it means that in the future, they will be able to go over for a couple of years without being subject to the rate.  If the payroll just barely exceeds the threshold, it still jumps, so since the Sox are likely to only make another couple of moves, it doesn't make sense for them to make a move that will push them just over the threshold.  This is one reason why for 2010, the threshold is a huge sticking point.

PAYROLL CALCULATION

This brings us to another point which is people saying that the team payroll right now is sitting significantly under $170 million, so what is even the worry?

There are a few sticking points which greatly affect this.

First, the payroll for the sake of Luxury Tax also includes 1/30 of the total cost of player benefits (the benefits are split between the teams).  For 2010's sake this is $10.5 million.

Second the Luxury Tax is calculated based on contract average value, not the actual year's cost.  This means that since Lester signed a 5 year/$30 million contract, although he is being paid $3.75 million this year, for the sake of Luxury Tax, he counts as costing $6 million a year.  This number also includes signing bonuses split over the life of the contract, so if a player signed a 3 year/$3 million contract but was given a $15 million signing bonus, he would also count as being $3 million each year for the CBT.  So again, backloading or frontloading contracts does not affect the CBT.

Third, the number still includes players salaries we are paying, and includes buyouts of player's options.  So this year, the Sox still count as paying Lugo as well as the buyouts of Wagner and Saito.  If a player is traded, for the sake of CBT, we count as paying the amount we actually paid- so if the Lowell trade had gone through, we would have been on the hook for $9 million as far as CBT was concerned, not the full $12 million.  If we trade for a player, we are on the hook for the actual amount we pay them.

Fourth, though this is more minor, when a team brings someone up from the minors, the CBT includes their salary pro-rated for the amount of time they spent with the major league club.

Also, this number includes performance bonuses in players contracts. 

 Between all these points, it means that although the opening day payroll for the Sox in 2009 was $ 121,745,999, for the purposes of CBT, it ended up being $140.5 million.  So as you can imagine, the Sox are quite worryingly close to the line right now.  The breakdown here seems pretty accurate, though the arbitration numbers are guesses.  Also note that the breakdown only includes $9 mill for Lowell, meaning the Sox had better shed some salary or they'll be jumping a tax bracket.

WHERE DOES THE MONEY GO?

Not the government, for sure, not that kind of tax.  Also not to the poorer teams, as the name Competitive Balance Tax would have you believe.  The money goes to an industry growth fund (edited for incorrectness).

EDIT: looks like my information about where the money goes was not entirely correct, so let me correct it here.

The first $5 million is held in reserve in case the amount is changed and a CBT Refund needs to be issued.  If no refund is needed, this is then sent to the Industry Growth Fund

75% of the money goes towards paying players benefits.

25% goes into the Industry Growth Fund, which I can't find tons of info on right now, except that their money goes towards:

1. licensing, advertising, marketing

2. International development

3. New Media Technology

4.Community Service

5. Promotion for clubs which have received revenue sharing

So some of the money DOES in fact go to the smaller market teams.  My understanding also is that since they teams split the cost of the benefits and then the CBT goes 75% to paying player benefits, that means that most of the $26 million the Yankees are paying will go towards paying player benefits, thereby reducing what everyone else is paying, though admittedly by a small amount.  This is just my understanding, I could be off on this.

That's my basic quick rundown for now.  If anyone has any other thoughts, anything to add, or any questions, put them in here.  Hopefully this provides some useful information and some perspective on what the Sox are doing this offseason.

Comment 41 comments  |  5 recs  | 

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Still

it is comforting to know that while players like Lackey are making more than the AAV this season, many players like Lester and Pedroia are still below. So while we may be hit with a luxury tax fee, we’re still effectively below what they say we’re paying.

Building Fenway from the ground up - Virtual Fenway

by Sean O on Dec 22, 2009 3:09 PM EST reply actions  

I'd love to find out more about where that money goes

…and about this program to set up baseball in countries without it. That’s really cool.

Great article.

by Justin_Bobo on Dec 22, 2009 3:12 PM EST reply actions  

I'll try to edit it later

with a bit more info on all of that. I got called off to a job so I rushed my finish.

by wolf9309 on Dec 22, 2009 3:25 PM EST up reply actions  

I guess I just assumed

that it was pocketed by cheapskate owners on teams that suck.

Rock me, sexy Jesus...

by nuthinboutnuthin on Dec 22, 2009 4:10 PM EST up reply actions  

Seriously, good article

More fans need to understand the payroll and CBLT. There are fans out there that still expect us to sign Holliday in addition to what we’ve already done AND trade for A-Gon.

DFA Beckett

by South Coast Ghost on Dec 22, 2009 3:22 PM EST reply actions  

Nice post, wolf

Rec’d.

That’s why players like Clay Buchholz, who makes the minimum, are valuable. Teams that develop their own players keep costs down.

I gotta go 'cause I'm probably definitely gonna nod out again.

by Drugs Delaney on Dec 22, 2009 3:57 PM EST reply actions  

Great stuff, Wolf

A nice breakdown of everything.

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by Randy Booth on Dec 22, 2009 4:42 PM EST reply actions  

Great Article, Wolfie!

It also shows just how critical that $3 Million of salary room they were trying to get for Lowell was.

If the numbers are all correct, then they are currently over the CBT by $1M or so.

If they try to do a deal, such as to get Beltre, they are going to have to either suck it up and pay the tax or try to deal some of the salaries.

Hermida could probably be moved – that frees up $3M – we could then bring up Riddick to fill the 4th OF role. Unfortunately, I don’t think anyone will take Lowell or Tek, which are the only salary dumps that would really help. Ortiz ain’t going anywhere with his $13M salary ….

I don’t see how we can do it without trading someone who will cause groaning and consternation like Papelbon. So we are left with either going into Spring as we are now (sigh ….) or biting the bullet and paying the tax.

But this is why Theo & Co are paid the big bucks.

by mmmmm on Dec 22, 2009 5:32 PM EST reply actions  

I really hate the idea of having Reddick waste time at 4 OF.

Get him ABs in the minors. I’m guessing Darnell McDonald come spring.

USG

by Ben Buchanan on Dec 22, 2009 5:57 PM EST up reply actions  

Same

Reddick still hasn’t proved he can hit above AA, he needs time in Pawtucket.

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by Randy Booth on Dec 22, 2009 6:00 PM EST up reply actions  

He can hit above AA, just not consistently. (Stats, for the heck of it)

"Baseball is drama with an endless run and an ever-changing cast." - Joe Garagiola
Chowdah Chatter - an outlet for my random thoughts and such.

by crabchowdah on Dec 22, 2009 9:21 PM EST up reply actions  

I don't think there's any doubt that he will be able to.

Just that he needs his adjustment period like everyone else. You can’t have that sitting on the bench.

USG

by Ben Buchanan on Dec 22, 2009 10:06 PM EST up reply actions  

agreed - but at this point, the economics

might get in the way of having a $1-3 M OF on the bench.

I too would much prefer to have Reddick at Pawtucket.

by mmmmm on Dec 22, 2009 9:53 PM EST up reply actions  

As Buzzy pointed out the other day...

Ryan Church could be a very interesting option.

"That was a lot of fun… You just keep pounding balls into the gap. The one thing you don’t want to do is hit a home run. That’s a rally-killer." Jeff Francoeur

by radiohix on Dec 22, 2009 10:19 PM EST up reply actions  

Is Aaron Bates still playing the outfield

Bates is down to the Caribbean playing in PR and is still hitting the ball hard down there to the tune of .325 in 77 ab with a OBP of .373 and a .854 OPS.

He was playing the outfield last year does anyone know if he is still doing that down there? If he is he might be the 4th outfielder this year…

he showed he can hit pretty well last year when he came up.

by Gweg on Dec 23, 2009 2:19 PM EST up reply actions  

I'm pretty sure he's really just a 1B

who got shoved into left because lars had dibs on the Portland 1b spot. Is that right? Anybody?

I don’t think he has the defense to be an outfielder

by wolf9309 on Dec 23, 2009 2:35 PM EST up reply actions  

dish network and the Sox!!!

I live in the West Coast, California to be expecific… I want to subcribe to Dish Network, but I notice they do not offer MLB Extra Innings. I noticed you are able to subcribe to a multi-sports package and NESN is offered there, but I am afraid come April, the SOX games are going to be blacked out. Am I right?? Is anyone here living in Cali and a Dish network subscriber?? Can anyone help me out. I just dont want to cancel my DirecTV and miss the Sox on NESN this coming season!!!!!

by mltv69 on Dec 23, 2009 3:37 AM EST reply actions  

Generally, this is the sort of thing fanposts are for.

But yes, you will be blacked out. NESN doesn’t have national rights for its games (or didn’t, as of 2008), so they can’t show outside of the New England region. Sorry, but it’s MLBEI or bust, I think.

USG

by Ben Buchanan on Dec 23, 2009 4:06 AM EST up reply actions  

bummer

thats what I was thinking… I guess I will just be sticking to directv, even though they have higher prices…..thanks!!!

by mltv69 on Dec 23, 2009 4:16 AM EST up reply actions  

USG would you please take off those 2 worthless letters in front of Casey Kelly's name...you know...the 2 Ss

They make me nervous man! Who knows? He may drop by the site and become nostalgic again ;)
Please.

"That was a lot of fun… You just keep pounding balls into the gap. The one thing you don’t want to do is hit a home run. That’s a rally-killer." Jeff Francoeur

by radiohix on Dec 23, 2009 5:32 AM EST up reply actions  

You're Da Man

"That was a lot of fun… You just keep pounding balls into the gap. The one thing you don’t want to do is hit a home run. That’s a rally-killer." Jeff Francoeur

by radiohix on Dec 23, 2009 5:56 AM EST up reply actions  

Check out MLB.TV

it’s pretty cool for watching out of market games. You watch on your computer, not TV, though you can always connect the TV to the computer as a monitor and watch that way. Pretty cheap too.

by wolf9309 on Dec 23, 2009 9:08 AM EST up reply actions  

Generally

However you get NESN games all of them nationally if you use Direct TV and subscribe to the MLB Package… you then get all the Nesn feeds (except saturday day game blackout)

I have watched em all that way ON NESN with Jerry n crew for years clear back to Bob montgomery too…

Only ones other than that is Seattle as Montana is in there MLB area… only god knows why… we are 10 hours from the mariners games and 10 from the rockies… YUK

by Gweg on Dec 23, 2009 2:32 PM EST up reply actions  

your right

I’m ou here also but in eMpTyland…Sorry You won’t get anything on Dish…

If you go to Direct TV you can get all the Sox almost on MLB package.
I have followed the sox since 88 and since the loss of the old C Band package the only good service to get them is the DIRECT TV one. Oh and you get NESN to so and when you subscribe to the MLB package you get the NESN feed on 628 so you can always get the good feed with Jerry n/or the replacement.

We don’t get Seattle n Sox (our area bull as we are in Mt grrrr) games here is all…
Not sure which games you won’t get depending on your local area team…

Do look into Direct TV though you won’t be sorry and with Dish you will.

by Gweg on Dec 23, 2009 2:27 PM EST up reply actions  

Mlb Extra Innings

Yeah, I already get NESN that way. I been watching the Sox games on NESN since the 2001 season, back when I first got DirecTV with Extra Innings. I was just wondering of switching to Dish Network cuz they have better channel selection and cuz the prices are cheaper here in Cali, but if I can’t watch Orsillo and Remy calling the games, then thats a huge deal-breaker for me. I guess I will just stick with DirecTV and only upgrade to HD. If I am paying a lot, might as well do it in style. Besides, I would love to watch Ms. Watney in HD!!!!!!

by mltv69 on Dec 23, 2009 3:32 PM EST up reply actions  

Tax

My take from past experience is the Sox want to stay under the tax, BUT…will exceed the threshold if the right player comes along at the right time. The Sox went over in 2007, but I seem to recall that as a pretty sucessful season.

by Scoop1981 on Dec 23, 2009 6:51 AM EST reply actions  

Yeah my basic thought here is

That they’re willing to go over- but they don’t want to do it by a little bit. I think the fact that they’re trying so hard to stay under is a sign that they probably intend to do something next year which will push them over it- remember if they go over this year, they pay 30% this year and 40% next year, but if they don’t until next year they pay 22.5% next year. So it’s a pretty significant difference.

I think it’s just the tactical thinking of WHEN to go over.

by wolf9309 on Dec 23, 2009 9:10 AM EST up reply actions  

Any ideas on how they can get some CBT room at this point?

I really, really really want them to somehow get Beltre at 3rd.

But right now it is looking like there is no way to make enough salary room. I have to admit, I don’t like the idea of them going ‘just over’ the CBT threshold and thus blowing all that extra cash on the higher tax rate that they’d get hit with.

Is it really going to come down to hoping we can somehow still move either/both Lowell and Hermida in the Spring or waiting and getting A-Gon at the trading deadline?

Ugh … that doesn’t fill me with a lot of confidence.

What we need is for some team to suffer an injury at Catcher who gets desperate enough that we can dump Tek’s $3M on.

by mmmmm on Dec 23, 2009 10:31 AM EST reply actions  

The other 29 would pull someone from AAA

rather than be infected with Varitek.

Building Fenway from the ground up - Virtual Fenway

by Sean O on Dec 23, 2009 11:19 AM EST up reply actions  

come on ... surely there's at least one sucker out there?

Lesseee … what team is MLB’s equivalent to the Oakland Raiders ….?

by mmmmm on Dec 23, 2009 4:00 PM EST up reply actions  

Trading both Hermida and Kotchman will save you about $6MM or so, depending on arb.

But then you have to find someone to replace them with for league minimum. Darnell McDonald and Jed Lowrie can probably be okay fits, but that’s not exactly the best bench in the league.

DFA Beckett

by South Coast Ghost on Dec 23, 2009 12:54 PM EST up reply actions  

and as we have seen many times before

Bench strength is key. 2004 comes to mind.

I think Jed is pretty much an ideal utility IF, though there’s a decent chance he won’t be in on opening day, which is probably what our buddy Tug is for- a backup backup infielder who we probably get rid of when Jed is ready.
McDonald is not ideal, but Hermida costs way too much and doesn’t fill our needs (we really need a righthanded backup OF, because they’re going to be playing mainly against lefties).
$6 million will bring us something like $5 million under, so that doesn’t let us get Beltre and stay under- for that happen, there will probably need to be some significant motion in our bullpen. It’s a tough situation. There’s also bound to be some bonuses that get factored in by the end of the year. While not significant, we’re close enough to the line that every little bit counts.

The more I think about it the more I start to think that if no one will take Lowell for at least $3 million, our best bet is to try him in ST, and if he can’t field, have Youk at first and Lowrie at 3rd (or Kotchman at first until Lowrie’s ready). That’s a very good defensive and OK offensive solution.

by wolf9309 on Dec 23, 2009 1:12 PM EST up reply actions  

Based on the calculations....

I think exceeding the cap in is inevitable:

  • Some of the arbitration estimates seem low. Specifically Ohki ($2.5M) and Ramirez ($1M).
  • Unless dealt, Lowell counts for the full $12M now.
  • Unless Tug or Lowrie is the answer, they still lack a backup infielder.

Therefore I don’t think it will prohibit the Sox FO from making a big off season splash. It’s just a matter of whether modest (Gonzalez and/or Chapman) or less payroll friendly (Beltre).

by mg050369 on Dec 23, 2009 2:46 PM EST reply actions  

They look about accurate to me

you have to keep in mind, while Ramram and Oki performed very well, they’re getting raises from very small amounts- ramirez made $441,000 last year, so he would be getting over a 100% raise. Oki made $2.5 mill over 2 years in his last agreement, so he’d be getting a 100% raise. Those are pretty decent estimates for them.

The team as it stands is a contender, though not a definite playoff team (the rotation makes it an almost definite playoff team). Replacing Hermida with a cheap backup OF would save enough to put us under far enough that we probably wouldn’t pass by the end of the year.

I’m sure that Tug/Jed are the backup IF solutions. Tug until Jed proves himself ready, then Tug goes, which may happen before the season starts (I HOPE it does!). Between Jed and Scutaro, we have a backup plan for pretty much every scenario.

So it IS possible to do. It would be a struggle if there are no takers for Lowell, but would be doable. And depending on their plan for the future, it may make a lot more sense in the long run to see how this playoff-contending team does before starting to make drastic decisions- because depending on how they see the future, jumping tax brackets could have a huge influence on what they can afford to do.

by wolf9309 on Dec 23, 2009 3:35 PM EST up reply actions  

I take my arb numbers for Oki back

Oki made $1.75 mill last year. So he probably is in line for a bit more than $2.5 mill, but not a ton more- he’s good but he’s a good middle reliever.

by wolf9309 on Dec 23, 2009 3:45 PM EST up reply actions  

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