Victor Martinez Is The Red Sox's Answer For Another Big Bat
There are a lot of Red Sox fans who have been saying that the Sox need to get another big bat. Despite scoring 872 runs in 2009 (third in the American League), most think another big hitter would solidify this lineup and make a serious run into the postseason for 2010.
The Red Sox, however, already have that big bat. That big bat is already in the Red Sox's lineup and it's actually in the most prominent place in the entire order.
That bat is owned by Victor Martinez.
The Red Sox started 2009 with Jason Varitek at catcher. Varitek started the season hot, hitting 10 home runs between April and May. While it was a pleasant surprise, everyone knew that Varitek wouldn't be able to continue that kind of production. That came true. Varitek's average dropped to .209 to end the year and he hit just three more home runs the rest of the season.To replace his weak bat, the Red Sox acquired Martinez at the trade deadline from the Cleveland Indians. Martinez responded by being a 3-4-5 player for the Sox in 56 games: .336/.405/.507.
Martinez, who has a career .837 OPS, isn't likely to match those numbers specifically next season, but there's no doubt he's going to wreak havoc on opposing pitchers. Martinez averaged 4.05 pitchers per plate appearance last season, 16th best in the American League. Having Martinez in the lineup every day, all season with players like Kevin Youkilis (4.42, 1st), David Ortiz (4.19, 7th) and J.D. Drew (4.13, 9th) is just going to be brutal for pitchers' arms.
Would you take 24 home runs from Martinez in a full season? Martinez's eight home runs with the Red Sox last season would have worked out to 24 home runs over a full season. Figure give or take a little, he's guaranteed for at least 20 home runs on a year.
Martinez is a player that will hit 20+ home runs, gets on base at a near .400 clip and is a pain to strike out (he walked 75 times last season to 74 strikeouts). Is that bat big enough for everyone?
Also, it seems that Martinez will be the team's No. 3 hitter. That's where he hit the majority of the time when he came over from the Indians last season. Martinez in between Dustin Pedroia and Youkilis is a core of a lineup that will minimize outs extremely well.
Of course, this all may go under if Jason Bay or a like bat isn't signed. If you consider Bay or a Matt Holliday in the lineup already, maybe this Sox team is complete offensively. But if the Sox work with a player like Jeremy Hermida in left field -- an unproven commodity -- who knows what to expect?
Your turn: is a full season of Victor Martinez and, say, Bay still on the team, enough? Should the team look for better options off the bench that could supply runs? How good will Martinez be with a full year in Boston?
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22 comments
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Comments
Gotta consider that his offense goes down when he's playing at catcher...
USG
by Ben Buchanan on Dec 14, 2009 12:03 PM EST reply actions 0 recs
But he basically played catcher all year last year.
Correct me if I’m wrong. I’m too lazy to look up the numbers
by Schulz on Dec 14, 2009 12:36 PM EST up reply actions 0 recs
nope
played 155 games last year. 85 at catcher, 70 at 1b.
by wolf9309 on Dec 14, 2009 12:48 PM EST up reply actions 0 recs
Plenty at first with us.
He’d be expected to spend more time behind the dish this year.
USG
by Ben Buchanan on Dec 14, 2009 1:20 PM EST up reply actions 0 recs
yeah
do you have split numbers anywhere of how he performed with the Sox behind the plate vs at first? I was looking but could only find them for the whole year.
by wolf9309 on Dec 14, 2009 1:32 PM EST up reply actions 0 recs
Here are some nifty, perhaps even comforting numbers for you.
.341/.413/.512
Take the small sample size as you will, but that’s better than he did as a first baseman.
USG
by Ben Buchanan on Dec 14, 2009 2:19 PM EST up reply actions 0 recs
Also the OBP is probably a bit lower
I had to compile those myself, and didn’t bother to include sac flys into his OBP.
USG
by Ben Buchanan on Dec 14, 2009 2:20 PM EST up reply actions 0 recs
improbable but great looking numbers
I’m sure he can’t keep it up a whole year, and he won’t be as good as he was the second half of last year, but he’s going to be an absurdly huge upgrade from Tek.
by wolf9309 on Dec 14, 2009 2:50 PM EST up reply actions 0 recs
some numbers
VMart, career
as C: 3017 PAs, .828 OPS,
as 1B: 515 PAs, .876 OPS
Probably more useful:
1st half: 1987 PAs, .819 OPS
2nd Half: 1699 PAs, .859 OPS
I don’t see any sign from this that he fades in the 2nd half so I doubt he suffers offensively much from playing Catcher.
Further it is important to note that his offensive value above replacement as a Catcher is WAY higher than his offensive value above replacement as a First Baseman.
2009 AL league avg Catcher : .724 OPS
2009 AL league avg 1B: .832 OPS
Even if he declines slightly offensively while at Catcher, he’s still MORE VALUABLE as a Catcher.
by mmmmm on Dec 14, 2009 3:09 PM EST up reply actions 0 recs
absolutely no question from anyone
certainly not me, that he’s much more useful as a catcher. The question is just what his offense will look like at catcher all year. Looks promising to me so far.
by wolf9309 on Dec 14, 2009 3:16 PM EST up reply actions 0 recs
not a huge difference over career
.828 OPS as catcher vs. .876 at first.
The numbers from 09 look much more skewed because he was terrible in July, and was playing mostly catcher that month.
by wolf9309 on Dec 14, 2009 12:54 PM EST up reply actions 0 recs
Earlier in his career his knees were healthier.
Now putting more strain on them takes more of his lower body out of his swing, probably. That’d explain why it was mostly an issue later on.
USG
by Ben Buchanan on Dec 14, 2009 1:20 PM EST up reply actions 0 recs
I imagine if Papi OPS's .716 against lefties again
Victor will see some time at DH.
Manny ain't the only bad man.
by tommy.otm on Dec 14, 2009 8:12 PM EST up reply actions 0 recs
He averaged 4.05 pitchers per plate appearance?
Good god, that’s wreaking havoc alright.
by wolf9309 on Dec 14, 2009 12:30 PM EST reply actions 0 recs
Martinez and Bay would be easily enough
But if we don’t have a bat similar to Bay, production will drop. But that’s ok, we can afford that if we improve on our weak defense from 09 and the pitching doesn’t continue the issues it had last year.
by wolf9309 on Dec 14, 2009 12:32 PM EST reply actions 0 recs
vmart
decent point, as I’m looking forward to seeing Victor hit for an entire season with the Sox.
But they got him to augment an offense struggling with Bay and Lowell in the lineup; now both of them are gone. I’m sure they are not done filling out the team, but we are still looking at a weaker lineup right now.
by Scoop1981 on Dec 14, 2009 12:34 PM EST reply actions 0 recs
I would actually consider beltre an upgrade over lowell
even on offense. And here’s my logic. Although lowell is better offensively on average. Betre’s stats will naturaly increase as he moves from pitcher friendly safeco field to fenway.
Also, since beltre is young, we will be able to play him more than we could play lowell, which means, less jason varitek, because we would usually have to give lowell a break for his hip, move v-mart to first and scoot youk over.
Plus lowell will just get worse with age.
by beantownboy171 on Dec 14, 2009 3:13 PM EST reply actions 0 recs
The home-away splits are well documented.
But man, the guy can’t take a pitch.
USG
by Ben Buchanan on Dec 14, 2009 3:22 PM EST up reply actions 0 recs
this is true
terrible at it. To be fair though, the guy he’d be replacing was not a ton better at it.
by wolf9309 on Dec 14, 2009 3:58 PM EST up reply actions 0 recs
I am really concerned that Vic's bat will drop due to constant catching duties.
I project him DOWNWARD.
It concerns me.
Galactus does as he pleases. Because Galactus is drunk.
by Bloggy on Dec 14, 2009 8:16 PM EST reply actions 0 recs

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