Community Projections: Y'all Under Estimated Jacoby Ellsbury
by Randy Booth on Nov 5, 2009 6:15 AM EST
in Community Projections
10 comments
It's not an over statement that the Over The Monster community under estimated what Jacoby Ellsbury would do this season.
Nobody was really that close at all. Only one guess was actually over his batting average this season and the closest guess for stolen bases was still 14 off. Rough.
The categories for Ellsbury were: AB, HR, BA, OBP, SLG and SB. His actual stats:
Here's how the predictions broke down:
| NAME | AB | HR | BA | OBP | SLG | SB |
| laxtonto | -- | 12 | .284 | .341 | .402 | 56 |
| B Cap | 520 | 14 | .293 | .356 | .410 | 45 |
| bs.uf15bosox9bears23 | 520 | 6 | .267 | .320 | .350 | 38 |
| drabidea | 575 | 10 | .305 | .360 | .420 | 42 |
| BTLove | 563 | 9 | .292 | .348 | .408 | 48 |
| E5 | 310 | 1 | .265 | .335 | .395 | 41 |
| BoSox415 | 550 | 11 | .285 | .370 | .420 | 45 |
| DougieWentDeep | 530 | 9 | .291 | .349 | .416 | 42 |
KEY: Everything bolded and italicized represents a guess that was within 5 units of the actual answer. Anything with a background that is RED is a dead-on prediction.
No one was even close with at-bats. Maybe people thought he'd be hitting 8th or 9th all season long. Home runs were steady across the board and we had some close slugging numbers, but outside of that nothing was really close. Like mentioned above, no one even sniffed Ellsbury's true stolen base numbers.
VICTORY REWARDED TO: drabidea ... again. He was within five units of four of the six categories. B Cap, BoSox415 and DougieWentDeep take second places. E5 gets the walk of shame on this one.
drabidea, here are your winnings (NSFW):
0 recs |
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Steals
No one was even “in the same muthafuckin ballpark” with his actual steals. That guy is fast.
by drabidea on Nov 5, 2009 10:14 AM EST reply actions 0 recs
I haven't even done the other CPs yet
But we’ll see how he racks up…
by Randy Booth on Nov 5, 2009 12:24 PM EST up reply actions 0 recs
Oh, yes
Beautiful use of your winnings in that comment…
by Randy Booth on Nov 5, 2009 12:24 PM EST up reply actions 0 recs
bs was as hilariously down on Jacoby as he was high on Drew.
"Ninety percent [of my salary] I'll spend on good times, women, and Irish whiskey. The other ten percent I'll probably waste."
-Tug McGraw
by BTLove on Nov 5, 2009 12:25 PM EST reply actions 0 recs
I can't understand the tiny BA.
Ells makes contact and runs fast. That’s good for a .280 any year.
by Ben Buchanan on Nov 5, 2009 12:31 PM EST up reply actions 0 recs
bs used to make a point of hating on Ells, from what I remember.
"Ninety percent [of my salary] I'll spend on good times, women, and Irish whiskey. The other ten percent I'll probably waste."
-Tug McGraw
by BTLove on Nov 5, 2009 12:33 PM EST up reply actions 0 recs
:)
I’m still here, folks – just not after 10.
Besides, I like being the outlier that messes with data.
@bs_uf15bosox9be 12 pieces of bacon, a Red Bull, and go get 'em; Learn to use SB Nation
by bs.uf15bosox9bears23 on Nov 6, 2009 4:42 PM EST up reply actions 0 recs
And that's why you can't trust statistics.
Galactus does as he pleases. Because Galactus is drunk.
by Bloggy on Nov 9, 2009 8:31 AM EST up reply actions 0 recs
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