Community Projections: Y'all Under Estimated Jacoby Ellsbury

by Randy Booth on Nov 5, 2009 6:15 AM EST in Community Projections

It's not an over statement that the Over The Monster community under estimated what Jacoby Ellsbury would do this season.

Nobody was really that close at all. Only one guess was actually over his batting average this season and the closest guess for stolen bases was still 14 off. Rough.

The categories for Ellsbury were: AB, HR, BA, OBP, SLG and SB. His actual stats:

	G	AB	R	H	2B	3B	HR	RBI	BB	K	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG
2009 - Jacoby Ellsbury	153	624	94	188	27	10	8	60	49	74	70	12	.301	.355	.415

Here's how the predictions broke down:

NAME	AB	HR	BA	OBP	SLG	SB
laxtonto	--	12	.284	.341	.402	56
B Cap	520	14	.293	.356	.410	45
bs.uf15bosox9bears23	520	6	.267	.320	.350	38
drabidea	575	10	.305	.360	.420	42
BTLove	563	9	.292	.348	.408	48
E5	310	1	.265	.335	.395	41
BoSox415	550	11	.285	.370	.420	45
DougieWentDeep	530	9	.291	.349	.416	42

KEY: Everything bolded and italicized represents a guess that was within 5 units of the actual answer. Anything with a background that is RED is a dead-on prediction.

No one was even close with at-bats. Maybe people thought he'd be hitting 8th or 9th all season long. Home runs were steady across the board and we had some close slugging numbers, but outside of that nothing was really close. Like mentioned above, no one even sniffed Ellsbury's true stolen base numbers.

VICTORY REWARDED TO: drabidea ... again. He was within five units of four of the six categories. B Cap, BoSox415 and DougieWentDeep take second places. E5 gets the walk of shame on this one.

drabidea, here are your winnings (NSFW):