Over the Monster Top 20 Prospects Voting: #1
It's that time of year again, folks. This year, we're going to be compiling the top 20 prospects in the farm system according to you, the Over the Monster readers, and it will likely be somewhat less cut and dry this time around given the rather seismic nature of the minors this year. We're trying out a new Google Docs based system to make the voting more open. I've provided write ups of 15 of the Sox' best prospects, but voting is not limited to them by any means. Just type in a name and submit.
Age: 22 | Position: 1B | Level: AA
2008: .317/.408/.513 (A+) | .316/.436/.526 (AA)
2009: .233/.328/.345
Considered by most to be the Red Sox' top prospect at the beginning of the year, Lars Anderson's stock has dropped significantly following a dismal 2009 campaign. Still, Anderson remains a top name in the farm system. He has huge power potential which he had displayed in earlier years, which combined with great plate patience should be the recipe for a top offensive player.
Age: 23 | Position: SP | Level: AAA
2008: 2.33 ERA, 101:24 K:BB, .92 WHIP (AA) | 3.38 ERA, 29:5 K:BB, 1.13 WHIP (AAA)
2009: 3.13 ERA, 88:47 K:BB, 1.21 WHIP
If Lars was first last year, Michael Bowden was almost always second. Like Lars, Bowden has also had something of a discouraging year, but unlike Lars, Bowden's problems came at the major league level, where he was pounded, giving up 17 runs in 16 innings. Still, Bowden is young and impressed at AAA, where for much of the year he was outshining Clay Buchholz. The righty has a low-90s four-seamer, a high-80s two-seamer, a curve with a lot of movement, a very good circle change, and a recently added mid-80s slider which has yet to come along.
Age: 22 | Position: SP | Level: AA
2008: 3.67 ERA, 118:24 K:BB, 1.21 WHIP (A)
2009: 3.35 ERA, 101:52 K:BB, 1.41 WHIP
After a breakout 2008, Prince Felix has been rocketing through the Sox system at an impressive pace. Almost entirely skipping advanced-A and making a seemingly seamless transition into AA, Doubront is poised to start 2010 at AAA—something nobody could've predicted when he posted an 8.93 ERA in Greenville in 2007. Doubront is a 3-pitch pitcher with a fastball that sits in the high 80s, a good change, and a curveball. Though his fastball is nothing special, his unique delivery can fool batters.
Age: 22 | Position: C | Level: AA
2008: .283/.328/.508 (A) | .301/.331/.509 (A+)
2009: .274/.332/.427 (A+) | .337/.371/.489
Providing much needed hope for the Red Sox behind the plate, Exposito has displayed a great deal of talent both at and behind the plate. At the plate, Expo is an above average power threat for his position, with a good power swing. He makes a fair deal of contact, but doesn't have the speed to make too much use of it. Instead, Expo would likely be better off working on his discipline, which has netted him only 48 walks in over 800 plate appearances over the last two years. Behind the plate, Luis has great defensive catching skills, but needs to work a bit on the mechanics of his throw to translate arm strength into caught baserunners. Exposito is a clubhouse favorite, notably acting as combination best friend and interpreter to fellow prospect Jose Iglesias.
Reymond Fuentes
Age: 18 | Position: CF | Level: Rookie (GCL)
2009: .290/.391/.379
The new kid on the block, it's hard to mention Fuentes without drawing comparisons to Jacoby Ellsbury. Lots of speed, little pop, not much of an arm, with a tendency for the spectacular. Fuentes is currently lacking in discipline both on the basepaths, where he stole 9 bases in 14 attempts, and at the plate, where he managed only 7 walks in over 150 appearances. Still, both are areas that are likely to improve with professional experience, and Fuentes already has one key advantage over Jacoby: his ability to make good reads.
Derrik Gibson
Age: 19 | Position: SS | Level: Short Season
2008: .309/.411/.394 (Rookie) | .086/.233/.086 (Short Season)
2009: .290/.395/.380
A hidden gem of the Sox system, Derrik Gibson is an absolute on base machine. His plus speed nets him a high average along with a very good number of stolen bases (28 in 33 attempts last year), and his discipline keeps him on the basepaths. Gibson is a plus defender in the middle, and projects to remain at short or second throughout his career. The one obvious knock on Gibson is that he seriously lacks power, and may well not hit more than 2 or 3 home runs in an average year—he has yet to hit one in the minors.
Jose Iglesias
Age: 19 | Position: SS | Level: ? (A-AA)
The newer kid on the block, Jose Iglesias is already drawing attention in Arizona, where observers say there's a lot to the hype Iglesias had coming in as a top defender. Descriptions like "MLB ready" "plus" and even "Ozzie Smith like" have done nothing to lower expectations. The question with Iglesias remains if he will be able to perform offensively. While there is no doubt he is still raw, so far Jose has performed surprisingly well in a limited sample size against the elite Arizona Fall League competition, where he's currently batting .286/.344/.446 with two homers. While speed is not the reason why Iglesias is such a remarkable defender, he does bring a bit to the table, and is 3-for-3 in attempts so far.
Age: 21 | Position: CF | Level: AA
2008: .281/.376/.356 (A) | .233/.305/.397 (A+)
2009: .304/.434/.504 (A+) | .271/.341/.440
One half of 2009's pair of breakout outfielders, Kalish started the year on fire as his power emerged for the first time. Kalish hit 5 homers in 115 at bats in Salem before being promoted to Portland, where he experienced a decent post-promotion slump. Kalish was not to be kept down, though, and ended the season making AA look as easy as A+, even if the season totals seem unremarkable. Kalish has great patience at the plate, consistently managing high OBPs, and is an above average fielder, showing a good arm, range, and glove. Kalish could pan out as either a center fielder or right fielder. One underrated aspect of Ryan's game is his speed, which has regularly netted him about 20 stolen bases a year with a high success rate.
Casey Kelly
Age: 20 | Position: SP/SS | Level: A+
2008: .173/.229/.255 (Rookie) | .344/.344/.563 (Short Season)
2009: .214/.290/.464 (Rookie) | .224/.305/.313 (A)
2009: 1.12 ERA, 39:9 K:BB, .85 WHIP (A) | 3.09 ERA, 35:7 K:BB, .87 WHIP
Perhaps the greatest source for angst in the Sox' farm system is Casey Kelly's position decision: shortstop, or pitcher? It would seem an obvious choice through 2 years, as Kelly is already pushing AA as a starter, but is clearly not ready to leave A-ball as a shortstop. Unfortunately, Kelly has stated his personal preference for shortstop a few times, and so the angst continues. As a pitcher Kelly mixes in a plus curveball and good changeup with his low-90s fastball. He's got great control over all his pitches and is not going to give up a lot of free passes or high meatballs as a result. As a shortstop, Kelly is a plus defender who has shown some potential for good power, but has yet to consistently get on base.
Age: 22 | Position: SS | Level: AA
2008: .280/.341/.412 (A) | .348/.393/.508 (A+)
2009: .319/.373/.543 (A+) | .185/.270/.304 (AA)
A solid defender with a potentially big bat, Navarro makes solid contact with regularity and has enough power to make a few of them leave the park. Not a hugely disciplined hitter, Navarro is going to have to continue to hit the ball or refine his approach if he wants to be productive at higher level, as his average speed will not bail him out. Navarro is not a plus defender, but will not make you uncomfortable if slotted in at second, short, or third.
Stolmy Pimentel
Age: 19 | Position: SP | Level: A
2008: 3.14 ERA, 61:17 K:BB, 1.08 WHIP (Short Season)
2009: 3.82 ERA, 103:29 K:BB, 1.39 WHIP
With a signing bonus of just $25,000, Stolmy Pimentel is looking like one of the Sox' best international bargains. The tall righty has a fastball that can reach the mid 90s with a potentially plus curve and change. Pimentel has the ability to generate swings and misses without offering up a lot of walks, which should serve him well as he moves up through the organization
Age: 22 | Position: CF | Level: AAA
2008: .340/.397/.491 (A) | .343/.375/.593 (A+) | .214/.290/.436 (AA)
2009: .277/.352/.520 (AA) | .127/.190/.183
The Sox' most MLB-ready position prospect, Reddick has cut through the Sox' farm system in a mere 3 years' time. Reddick is a versatile outfielder likely to end up in either center or right depending on who you ask. In center, Reddick would likely have around MLB average range—maybe less, given the recent rise of the position defensively speaking—but would be capable none-the-less. Reddick also has a cannon arm with great accuracy. At the plate, Reddick makes good contact and brings a good deal of power to the table with the potential for more as he matures. Josh has struggled with discipline in the past, but seems to be coming around some, improving to a BB% of around 10 last year.
Age: 20 | Position: 1B | Level: A+
2009: .298/.365/.494 (A) | .295/.371/.420 (A+)
After missing much of 2008 following a diagnosis of Hodgkin's Lymphoma, Rizzo has stormed back from his illness and established himself in the upper echelon of Sox prospects. Rizzo brings an advanced approach to the plate and combines it with a strong bat that, while currently being more of a doubles threat, has shown the potential to be a home run threat. Rizzo is a plus defender at first, with a great feel for the game and good range. Given his strong arm, it's not inconceivable that Rizzo could move to third down the line, though for now he projects much better as a first baseman.
Age: 23 | Position: SP | Level: AAA
2009: 2.57 ERA, 88:26 K:BB, 1.08 WHIP (AA)
Red Sox fans got to see a lot more of Tazawa than they expected to this year. After being predicted to start anywhere from high A to the MLB, Tazawa settled in at AA Portland and pitched very well. Shortly after being called up to AAA (where he pitched 2 games looking much like he had in Portland), Tazawa was rushed to the majors as injuries and mediocrity took their toll on the Sox' rotation. Things did not go well for him there, where he was pounded for 23 runs (21 earned) in 25.1 innings. So he's not ready for the MLB yet. Tazawa still looks every bit like he's got what it takes to be an MLB starter. His fastball sits around 90 MPH with some plus potential, but it's his wide assortment of off-speed pitches that makes Tazawa special. His curveball, slider, and forkball are all above-average pitches, the last 2 with plus potential. Unlike his Japanese compatriot Daisuke, Tazawa has a tendency to attack the zone and as a result does not walk a lot of guys. Future success in the majors will depend on if he can generate swings-and-misses on his secondary stuff.
Ryan Westmoreland
Age: 19 | Position: CF | Level: Short Season
2009: .296/.401/.484
The official Wunderkind of the Red Sox system, Westmoreland is an amazing all-around player. Offensively he brings an advanced approach to the plate resulting in a BB% of over 15, a power bat good for 7 home runs this year with potential for a good few more, and intelligence and speed (perhaps the fastest player in the entire system) on the basepaths that allowed him to steal 19 bases without being caught once. That speed is also a big part of what makes him a great defensive center fielder. So far Westmoreland has had some injury troubles—a torn Labrum last year, and a broken collarbone this year—but neither are the sort of injury that makes you think he's inherently fragile.
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54 comments
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Comments
Great write up. I was torn between Manifest Destiny and Jose Iglesias and ended up going with Mr. Westmoreland. Jose, while a great defender I hear still needs some work with the bat before he is ready.
Reading this through it would appear that we have an amazing surplus of short stops in the system, Lowrie, Iglesias, Navarro, Gibson, not to mention Kelly depending on his decision. Think we may unload a couple of these?
I’m still holding out hope for Lars though.
"We are not normal, We are Legends. People will tell their kids about us." - Deon Butler before Ohio State Game 2008.
I think Navarro could be a good chip if he builds his stock with a good year at AA.
Iglesias seems to be the be-all end-all of guys right now, with Lowrie as a stopgap and Gibson being the backup. Not to mention the 16-year-old $2 million signing bonus baby Jose Vinicio.
The guy was born in 1993. Holy crap.
by Ben Buchanan on Nov 13, 2009 7:49 PM EST up reply actions
Woot, '93 RULEZ!!!
Wait, July 10th? I’M older than him.
@bs_uf15bosox9be 12 pieces of bacon, a Red Bull, and go get 'em; Learn to use SB Nation
You guys are goddam babies. Christ.
"Ninety percent [of my salary] I'll spend on good times, women, and Irish whiskey. The other ten percent I'll probably waste."
-Tug McGraw
:)
Just getting used to the idea that we’re talking about players younger than us; I kinda feel like a pedophile now.
@bs_uf15bosox9be 12 pieces of bacon, a Red Bull, and go get 'em; Learn to use SB Nation
Me too.
In college, I realized all these guys are just normal people. I was in the same class with JJ Reddick and Shelden Williams. I would see these freshman basketball players on campus who were on Sportscenter and shit, but you realize they are just kids trying to have a good time like everyone else.
"Ninety percent [of my salary] I'll spend on good times, women, and Irish whiskey. The other ten percent I'll probably waste."
-Tug McGraw
Except for the pedophile part, that was wierd.
"Ninety percent [of my salary] I'll spend on good times, women, and Irish whiskey. The other ten percent I'll probably waste."
-Tug McGraw
Haha, there's a way to explain my way out of this, but I lack the tact to do it properly.
I guess I just feel like really young prospects are going to start seeming different. Kinda like how teenagers turning 18 have to immediately change their perspective on a good portion of people they may have been attracted to before – if not, they’re a pedophile. I hadn’t realized that I had gotten to a point where I’m going to start hearing about multimillionaire baseball prospects that are younger than me.
Now, if I don’t sound completely creeper, I’m going to shut up and attempt to reboot my brain, since I’ve obviously surpassed my ratio for hours awake to hours asleep. I blame the school system forcing kids to follow a diurnal schedule (totally just learned that).
@bs_uf15bosox9be 12 pieces of bacon, a Red Bull, and go get 'em; Learn to use SB Nation
I'm only 3 months away from that 18 year old point bs.uf.
And My girlfriend is a bit younger than me…..PEDOPHILE!!!!! College is up next for me too…..I don’ t wanna grow up! :(
Manifest Destiny is my vote ONLY because of Kelly’s indecision.
"Hating the New York Yankees is as American as apple pie, unwed mothers and cheating on your income tax." -- Mike Royko
by sox-inda-south on Nov 14, 2009 2:50 PM EST up reply actions
And Renfroe at SS.
Gave him big-money to sign too.
"Ninety percent [of my salary] I'll spend on good times, women, and Irish whiskey. The other ten percent I'll probably waste."
-Tug McGraw
He's supposed to move to 3B eventually, right?
@bs_uf15bosox9be 12 pieces of bacon, a Red Bull, and go get 'em; Learn to use SB Nation
or pitcher...
"Ninety percent [of my salary] I'll spend on good times, women, and Irish whiskey. The other ten percent I'll probably waste."
-Tug McGraw
I meant that he's not necessarily another Kelly, since he could be at a different position when not pitching.
@bs_uf15bosox9be 12 pieces of bacon, a Red Bull, and go get 'em; Learn to use SB Nation
Some notes:
Aroldis Chapman is not a Sox prospect
Will Middlebrooks has one very dedicated fan
Shout out to Everett Hultgren, a real estate agent in CT who is apparently, in one person’s opinion, the Sox’ best prospect.
Damn.
I tried, Everett, I tried.
Seriously, I was tempted to put Jed just to mess with you. Went with MD instead.
@bs_uf15bosox9be 12 pieces of bacon, a Red Bull, and go get 'em; Learn to use SB Nation
Haha! On Da Hop!
Hey USG, you have to keep a list of all the stupid votes you get for every level. Right now you have three good ones.
Bs. with a good choice.
"Hating the New York Yankees is as American as apple pie, unwed mothers and cheating on your income tax." -- Mike Royko
by sox-inda-south on Nov 14, 2009 2:52 PM EST up reply actions
Everett, Jim Dickonson, Julio Lugo, "Me", Aroldis Chapman
by Ben Buchanan on Nov 14, 2009 3:02 PM EST up reply actions
Well, it IS the OTM Top Prospects list
Not the Boston Red Sox Top Prospects list.
Unfortunately, I’m a little old to be considered a prospect. For one thing, I have two years of major blogging service time, and will be eligible for arbitration soon. For another, I’m 35 years old, I am divorced and I’m living in A VAN DOWN BY THE RIVER!
"It's just a tiny little nick, but it hurts when I get champagne in there."
- Jason Bay, on getting spiked scoring the winning run in ALDS Game Four.
Moment of silence for Chris Farley.
@bs_uf15bosox9be 12 pieces of bacon, a Red Bull, and go get 'em; Learn to use SB Nation
E-Coli is a super-two
"Hating the New York Yankees is as American as apple pie, unwed mothers and cheating on your income tax." -- Mike Royko
by sox-inda-south on Nov 14, 2009 11:13 PM EST up reply actions
So I'm basically Jed.
Quick start, now trying to keep it up with a handicap and long periods of absence. Explains why I feel the need to support him.
@bs_uf15bosox9be 12 pieces of bacon, a Red Bull, and go get 'em; Learn to use SB Nation
So are you talking about School or blogging here on OTM?
Most likely both.
"Hating the New York Yankees is as American as apple pie, unwed mothers and cheating on your income tax." -- Mike Royko
by sox-inda-south on Nov 15, 2009 11:38 AM EST up reply actions
Nope.
I missed two days of school for my traveling, and that’s the first two I’ve missed all year. I’m completely caught up.
@bs_uf15bosox9be 12 pieces of bacon, a Red Bull, and go get 'em; Learn to use SB Nation
That counts for Jose, right?
@bs_uf15bosox9be 12 pieces of bacon, a Red Bull, and go get 'em; Learn to use SB Nation
Yeah, I gave it to 'im.
But man, come on.
by Ben Buchanan on Nov 14, 2009 9:44 PM EST up reply actions
Kinda looks like they typed it too fast.
Or they were messing with you.
@bs_uf15bosox9be 12 pieces of bacon, a Red Bull, and go get 'em; Learn to use SB Nation
You know, for me it came down to Westmoreland and Kelly
And while I think Ryan’s potential/upside > Casey’s potential/upside, I think Casey is already well on his way to reaching his upside, and in the end I went with Mr. Kelly assuming he goes RHP, none of this SS nonsense. I think a ceiling of a good #2 is still a win for a late first round pick, personally, and combined with guys like Westmoreland, Gibson, Fife, and others 2008 could turn out to be a very good draft for us.
DFA Beckett
by South Coast Ghost on Nov 13, 2009 8:07 PM EST reply actions
Westmoreland definitely
Not only does he have the highest ceiling but unlike Lars, has actually performed on track to his high ceiling.
Well, Lars has been around longer, so that's not really fair...
@bs_uf15bosox9be 12 pieces of bacon, a Red Bull, and go get 'em; Learn to use SB Nation
Agreed
Manifest hasn’t been given enough time to suck royally for a year. (Note this is just an example, Lars didn’t SUCK, he just wasn’t as good this year as people would hope he would be.)
"We are not normal, We are Legends. People will tell their kids about us." - Deon Butler before Ohio State Game 2008.
Of course, chances are MD never sucks...
Once he recovers from his injury.
@bs_uf15bosox9be 12 pieces of bacon, a Red Bull, and go get 'em; Learn to use SB Nation
As usual, Great write up USG
And THANK YOU for showing a very well deserved love to Gibson: The kid start at Lowell was off the charts, messed up with his process for a period of time but most importantly, made the adjustments and went back on track: This is IMO very important in the development process of any prospect.
I think that we should give a bigger importance to the defense when evaluating a prospect (or a major leaguer for that matter) because it’s a tool that will less likely erode when the prospect in question climb the steps of the ladder, in other words: If you’re a great with the glove, there’s big chances that you’ll remain great with it at the higher levels!
This is one of the reasons why Rizzo (who’s defense is ML ready) ranks higher than Lars in my list other than he has the same advanced approach at the plate and the fact that his batted ball data projects him as a better hitter for avg and even power!!!!
An other thought about the list: Lin should be on this list instead of Fuentes because of:
His has equal speed to Reymond with better instincts (82.5 % rate success in stealing attempts)
His defense/arm combo is superior to Fuentes (he’s up there with Rizzo and Iglesias as prospects with GG potential)
His plate discipline is very advanced and he keeps getting better and better
He’s a line drives hitter, so his avg and OBP should improve projecting him as your ideal leadoff/CFer hitter.
Oh…and forget about Westy injury problems: He has a brand new “St Joseph protect me” tattoo now :)
"That was a lot of fun… You just keep pounding balls into the gap. The one thing you don’t want to do is hit a home run. That’s a rally-killer." Jeff Francoeur
Fuentes gets the nod over Lin from me largely due to age.
Lin hasn’t really done anything in the minors. As much as being a line drive hitter might suggest he should have a high average/OBP through about 1,000 minor league ABs he’s done absolutely nothing. He may be a great defensive player, but Fuentes is too, and Fuentes ins’t at the point where he has to prove that he can contribute with the bat to earn his place in the system.
Of course, this is all largely irrelevant. Him not being on the list doesn’t mean he can’t be voted for, and I expect neither will garner significant interest for top-5 places, after which I’ll be adding onto the write-ups.
by Ben Buchanan on Nov 14, 2009 4:21 PM EST up reply actions
USG, I'm glad you're taking this vote seriously. Last year I think Randy was time-strapped and the list kinda went too fast and unorganized.
This should be not only entertaining but informational. And USG keep an “X” on your calender for when Baseball America releases the Redsox Top 10. I think it is like December 10th, but I’m not sure.
"Hating the New York Yankees is as American as apple pie, unwed mothers and cheating on your income tax." -- Mike Royko
Credit Randy with the ideas, really.
I’m just executing them.
by Ben Buchanan on Nov 14, 2009 7:54 PM EST up reply actions
We are Lambda-class shuttles to your Executor.

@bs_uf15bosox9be 12 pieces of bacon, a Red Bull, and go get 'em; Learn to use SB Nation
Nope, but it's far too sexy.
It might offend other minors, so you should probably take it down.
@bs_uf15bosox9be 12 pieces of bacon, a Red Bull, and go get 'em; Learn to use SB Nation
What was the photo.
Think of it more like I’m your Cargo Freighter for the SSD Eclipse (Empire at War).
"Hating the New York Yankees is as American as apple pie, unwed mothers and cheating on your income tax." -- Mike Royko
by sox-inda-south on Nov 14, 2009 11:15 PM EST up reply actions
Aww, it worked on my computer. Then I came back and it was this.
Yeah, take it down, USG. It was supposed to be a picture of the second version of the Imperial starcruiser, known as the Executor, being approached by a shuttle (the inverted Y ships that most people think are called Y-wings). /nerd
@bs_uf15bosox9be 12 pieces of bacon, a Red Bull, and go get 'em; Learn to use SB Nation
I prefered the Episilon-class shuttles.
They could at least defend themselves. My personal favorites ship is the Interdictor. The Gravity wells are awesome. The best Star Wars Games of all time (Space battling) are Empire at War and X-Wing vs. Tie Fight: Balance of Power
"Hating the New York Yankees is as American as apple pie, unwed mothers and cheating on your income tax." -- Mike Royko
by sox-inda-south on Nov 15, 2009 11:54 AM EST up reply actions
But we can't defend ourselves when it comes to opinions about minor leaguers.
We don’t have any information that would lead to a different take on them than what USG has said. Hence, we’re just shuttles for our attention, delivering it to these posts.
@bs_uf15bosox9be 12 pieces of bacon, a Red Bull, and go get 'em; Learn to use SB Nation
SSD Eclipse:

"Hating the New York Yankees is as American as apple pie, unwed mothers and cheating on your income tax." -- Mike Royko
by sox-inda-south on Nov 15, 2009 11:56 AM EST up reply actions
Yeah I'm a Star Wars Nerd: Interdictor Cruiser

"Hating the New York Yankees is as American as apple pie, unwed mothers and cheating on your income tax." -- Mike Royko
by sox-inda-south on Nov 15, 2009 11:57 AM EST up reply actions
Yes, Executor!
Shi-Ouss! For Aiur!
"It's just a tiny little nick, but it hurts when I get champagne in there."
- Jason Bay, on getting spiked scoring the winning run in ALDS Game Four.

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