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2009 Starting Pitching Projection

Most of you saw my earlier post on the community project on Beyond the Boxscore. I have made some changes to my spreadsheet due to the feedback I received. This time instead of posting the whole spreadsheet I am going to do it in segments.

Today's section is starting pitchers. The projection will be of each pitchers innings pitched and their ERAs. The ERA's listed are the average of Bill James, CHONE, and Marcel's projection of each pitcher's FIP. The innings listed are based off of the same average of Bill James, CHONE, and Marcel's projection. I did have to make some modifications to some of the pitchers innings pitched. This was so the total of all the pitchers is 940.

Please respond with what you think each pitcher's innings pitched and ERA will be next year. Please also let me know also if any of the numbers listed seem ridiculous.

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Jon Lester S 179 4.09
Daisuke Matsuzaka S 172 3.98
Josh Beckett S 178 3.63
Tim Wakefield S 150 4.32
Clay Buchholz S 90 4.22
Brad Penny S 107 4.09
John Smoltz S 64 3.73

*Note that John Smoltz innings pitched have been split between Starting (64) and Relief (30). I left the ERA for starting and relief at the same (3.73). Let me know if these do not seem reasonable.

Next Post: Relief Pitchers

                                                                                                                                                                                                               

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