The Audacity of Failure
On a fundamental level, baseball is about failure. The best batters will succeed in not making an out only 40% of the time. Most major league pitchers allow at least one run, and often many more, to score. The criteria for pitching a perfect game - no hits, no walks, no hit batsmen, no errors - are so difficult to meet that this feat has only been pulled off 17 times in over 120 years of baseball history. An elite season in baseball is 95 victories, a 58.6% winning percentage; in basketball or football, elite playoff contenders may win 80% or more of their games (07 Pats: 16-0, 07 C's: 66-16).
The last series against the Rays is difficult to accept unless you acknowledge the predominance of failure in baseball. After winning game one, I was accepting of any outcome, as at most the Sox would only face a net loss of one game. But games two and three were eminently winnable games that fell apart.
On Tuesday, after disappointing performances from both starters, Jason Bay gave us the lead in spectacular fashion. The stage was set for Papelbon, who had pitched intensely in both of the previous games. Paps was evidently tired, missing location and leaving balls up. It didn't help that he had to face Dan Johnson, a hitter with good discipline and power. [Aside: how the hell did Johnson clear waivers twice in the Rays' favor?] But he could've been facing an all-Alex Cora lineup and it wouldn't have mattered, considering the way he was pitching. Hideki Okajima may have been a better choice to pitch in that situation - he wasn't overworked, and has been pretty good of late.
Wednesday's game was even worse, and there was plenty of blame to go around. The entire offense performed anemically, even some of our best hitters (Ortiz, Youk, Bay and Lowell were 0 for 17, with 5 BB). And Francona made bad decisions. Generally I like him as a manager, but like most he has vulnerabilities, and this game showed off one of them: using pinch-runners. In the 7th, Coco Crisp pinch ran for Jason Varitek. Coco's been on-fire lately and he should have started the game to begin with, but using him to run for one inning and then throwing in Kevin Cash is beyond stupid. In a tight game, at least Tek can hit one out, something our backup really can't do.
Then, in the 9th inning, when Mike Lowell reached base, Tito pinch-ran Cora for him. This was inexcusable. Cora has no speed. Cora has no range. And Cora can't hit for power. Mike Lowell can at least hit homers, which is an important thing in a tied game at home, I hear. And he's a better hitter than Cora, which might matter if the #6 spot came up in an important situation. Like trailing by two runs with two outs in the inning and two men on, for example.
Some luck and better management might have helped us win on Tuesday or Wednesday. But the fact that neither loss was lopsided encourages me. The Rays won the series, but could just as easily have lost all three games. With injured players returning, and a squad that has weathered adversity, the Red Sox are still well-placed to make the playoffs, and even win it all. In a season with so many failures, small and large, we can still overcome and prevail. That's one thing I love about baseball.
Consider this a post-mortem thread for the Rays series, and feel free to add your own thoughts or vehement disagreements. And don't forget to answer the poll.
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I second that
Very nice post.
Mother---- him and John Wayne!
by MerryGoByeBye on
Sep 12, 2008 5:13 PM EDT
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It all comes down to the series with the Blue Jays at Fenway!!
Having TB come into Fenway and show up the Sox was a problem, but if the Blue Jays do the same thing, I think that would be a very very very very significant Bad sign. Let’s root exceptionally hard that this does NOT happen! Also some luck with the weather may be needed as well!
by NG on
Sep 12, 2008 7:00 PM EDT
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I agree with you
This series could be cruical.
by ccthemovieman on
Sep 12, 2008 7:02 PM EDT
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Still looking at the glass half-empty?
We’re pretty much a lock for the post season, and a couple of our best players are recovering from injuries, playing or not. We have had a ton on bad luck this year, but our luck should begin to change when he flip the calendar.
Remember when we were kids and we mixed sodas together and called them "suicides"? It was OK though, because Dr. Pepper was always there.
by bs.uf15bosox9bears23 on
Sep 12, 2008 8:21 PM EDT
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I have to be impressed
by game management of Terry Francona, Actually, it’s next to nil as he rarely forces the issue offensively.
Men on first and second, nobody out, tie game, bottom of the ninth, and NO effort to move a runner to third…..and, of course, Youk hits into a double play and we lose an hour later. Learn to play “small ball” once in awhile, Tito, when all you need to win is one lousy run.
by ccthemovieman on
Sep 12, 2008 7:01 PM EDT
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Be serious,
the Sox are not the Sox without Tito. How about putting Chris Carter up to pinch hit? Not too many managers would have the intestinal fortitude to put up a AAA hitter in that situation and it paid off with a huge single. Wednesday night the batting order was coming up just about perfectly every inning and nobody could come up with the big hit.
Save small ball for the National League.
by 4thturn on
Sep 12, 2008 9:49 PM EDT
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I was just pointing out one of Tito’s problems, not calling for his head. Until the game is managed by computers, we’re likely to see poor decisions made by any manager. I like Tito’s character, and believe he’s done a very good job in his role; he seems to handle most players well and keep the clubhouse friendly. That said, I would like to see him keep HR-hitters in the lineup, and not have players who don’t make much contact (i.e. Varitek) try to execute hit & run plays. Tito’s a great guy and good manager, but he could do some things better, and he’s not essential to the team.
Agreed on the small ball. Youk should be swinging away with runners on 1st and 2nd, not giving up an out. Hitting into a double play happens, and it sucks, but Youk could just as easily have executed the bunt only to see two quick non-run-producing outs after him.
by 0157H7 on
Sep 13, 2008 12:37 AM EDT
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I'm not calling for Tito's head
I just wish he’d play a little “small ball” here and there. It’s not just National League baseball. Mike Scoicia uses it, and he’s having a pretty fair year with the Angels.
Nobody would dspute how good Francona is with people, and in that category he is very valuable. I get tired of the Bill James mantras about it always being bad to give up outs. That is not always true.
by ccthemovieman on
Sep 13, 2008 8:39 AM EDT
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Mike Scioscia is overrated
Sure the Angels are having a great year. But they are also in the weakest division in the AL. They play 36 games against the two of the worst teams in the league: Seattle and Oakland. The Angels’ run differential is +67, worse than the Red Sox, Rays, Blue Jays, White Sox, and Twins.
If the running game and small ball is so good, how come the Angels have only scored 686 runs? Only five AL teams have scored fewer runs. Tampa is one. But they have played fewer games, and the Rays’ pitching has been much better. Do you know which team is last in sacrifice hits? Tampa Bay, who are currently in first place in the East.
I’ll take Tito over Mike Scioscia any day.
I gotta go 'cause I'm probably definitely gonna nod out again.
by Drugs Delaney on
Sep 13, 2008 10:07 AM EDT
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Absolutely right.
And let’s not forget the Rangers, worst pitching staff in baseball. Now, if the Angels had started the year with Mark Teixeira, their run differential would be better, but their offense is still pretty weak compared to other playoff contenders. In fact, if Scioscia didn’t use small ball tactics, his offense might be better.
by 0157H7 on
Sep 13, 2008 11:39 AM EDT
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are YOU serious?
Carter’s single was a HUGE hit? If I recall, the Sox didn’t score in the inning, so how is that a HUGE hit – it meant nothing…..and we went to lose. What a ridiculous statement.
Props, though, for Francona to have the balls to put the kid up. The announcer, Don Orsillo, was obviously displeased Sean Casey wasn’t up to bat. and the camera kept showing Casey. Carter’s hit silenced the media crew.
by ccthemovieman on
Sep 13, 2008 8:47 AM EDT
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+1
(4thturn)
I gotta go 'cause I'm probably definitely gonna nod out again.
by Drugs Delaney on
Sep 13, 2008 9:55 AM EDT
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