Bullpen Thoughts.
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Can I admit I'm not exactly Paps up there when thinking about how the bullpen has been used lately? Our players love playing for Tito and some of that has to do with the confidence he shows in them in certain situations.
Paps, for example, belongs to save situations and that's not going to change anytime soon, and it shouldn't. MDC is the RHP called upon most often in the 7th/8th in close games. Again. No problem.
The issue, here, is some heralded RPs who need to switch roles with their, perhaps, less-heralded counterparts.
Craig Hansen has been up-and-down since called up, looking better than MDC at times, and looking worse than Timlin at others. Yet Tito has shown confidence in Hansen, putting him in situations where the score is close and the Sox are deep into the game. The fact of the matter is, despite how good he was today (and he was, awesome). He needs some of what Joe Morgan might refer to as consistency before he's trusted as the third option out of the pen.
Hideki Okajima. I wish I had some confidence in him. But I just don't. I have to wonder why he was in the game late yesterday, rather than David Aardsma, but of course remembered that we used/wasted Aardsma in back-to-back losses. I don't know what Oki needs, but he needs to put in some impressive work in garbage time to earn our confidence to pitch him late in games. Until then.
Javy Lopez. I wouldn't be saying this last year. But, for now, Javy needs to be getting those high-leverage situations when Tito/Farrell want a lefty. Javy's been effective this year, for whatever reason, and we should keep riding that while it lasts. The fact that his total numbers indicate that he's making hitters, in general, look like Jason Varitek (.703 OPS against, v. .717 OPS) is as encouraging about Lopez as it is discouraging about our captain.
David Aardsma. Aardsma has earned a shot at some more important situations, especially given his performance this weekend, striking out the side in two straight games. A 1.30 WHIP and 36 Ks in 34+? Not lights-out, but certainly better than many of our other options.
In, short, get J-Lo and Aardsma out of these blowout games and near-losses, and let's start using a couple of our best relievers as they should be used.
Oh. And Mike Timlin needs to be moved from the 15-day DL to the foreverplease RL. Yes. I'm in the camp that believes he's pretty much entirely cooked. I know he proved us all wrong last season, but it just seems different.
I suppose some trades could be made to help our cause. Names that intrigue me:
Jon Rauch: 33 Ks and 35 baserunners in 36 2/3. Toiling away for the last-place Nationals.
Alan Embree: Looks like he's gotten his mojo back in Oakland. 31 Ks and a 1.24 WHIP in 30 2/3.
Damaso Marte: He's been excellent, in Pittsburgh,with 39 Ks in 36 1/3 and a 1.07 WHIP. Last I've seen is that Pittsburgh might hold on to him the rest of the year, but I don't know how much sense that makes for them.
Who'd be a fair return for these cats? I dunno. Throw down some ideas in the comments.
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I shiver every time I hear Alan Embree’s name…
by Randy Booth on
Jun 23, 2008 1:46 PM EDT
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Of those 3 names
The only one I’m okay with it’s Jon Rauch. I don’t know what it would take us to get him, however. The shitty part of our bullpen is Oki sucking this much. If he was playing anywhere like he played last season, we would have the best bullpen in the AL.
And what about that Chris Smith dude? He looked pretty good, despite that homer. Anyone?
It's the same old story. Boy finds girl, boy loses girl, girl finds boy, boy forgets girl, boy remembers girl, girls dies in a tragic blimp accident over the Orange Bowl on New Year's Day.
by MerryGoByeBye on
Jun 23, 2008 3:46 PM EDT
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I think we should ball up
and sacrifice some prospects for Huston Street!
Anyone agree?
by sox-inda-south on
Jun 23, 2008 4:09 PM EDT
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I don't like the idea of trading with Billy Beane
It's the same old story. Boy finds girl, boy loses girl, girl finds boy, boy forgets girl, boy remembers girl, girls dies in a tragic blimp accident over the Orange Bowl on New Year's Day.
by MerryGoByeBye on
Jun 23, 2008 4:22 PM EDT
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Yeah...
We’ll just end up looking like fools in Moneyball II: The Search for Spock.
I actually trust Theo not to get fleeced, I just think that Beane doesn’t do deals unless he’s robbing someone blind, so I don’t think it will happen. I nominate Bill Bavasi to replace Cashman as the Yankees’ GM in a mideason putsch, and then we can trade Timlin for Joba – who can assume the set-up role, and cook Paul Pierce, Kevin Garnett and Ray Allen a magical soup which de-ages them five years…
Rock me, sexy Jesus...
by nuthinboutnuthin on
Jun 23, 2008 4:32 PM EDT
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Some thoughts
I’m pretty sure that Lopez and Aardsma have been used in situations to maximize their performance. For Aardsma it’s been mostly low-leverage situations, according to baseball-reference.com (117 of 148 plate appearances against).
Lopez has seen slightly more high and medium leverage appearances (34% of his plate appearances, vs. 20% for Aardsma). In high leverage situations, Lopez’s line is .333 / .385 / .375.
Okajima has really crashed in his eight June innings. He’s given up 9 runs, and allowed batters a .410 / .467 / .564 line. By contrast, in March/April and May he was almost unhittable (ERA below 1, OBP against of .262 and .218).
I think Okajima’s performance will stabilize on its own, and that he does not need to be moved from his role. The Sox could give Delcarmen more 8th inning appearances (especially against Oki’s nemesis the Orioles), but I don’t think this streak of poor performance is indicative of Oki’s true value.
Delcarmen has been really good in high leverage situations, better than everyone not named Papelbon. Opposing batters in such situations bat only .188 / .289 / .313 against him. Small sample size (38 PA), but it’s better than his numbers in low leverage, and a good sign overall. Delcarmen has no earned runs in June; his ERA was 6.17 for April/March, and has steadily fallen since.
In conclusion, I think Manny needs more playing time, Oki should remain a setup man, and Lopez’s low numbers are deceiving. He suppresses the long-ball, but walks too many batters; I don’t think his pitches or his control are as good as Oki’s. Okajima has absolutely sucked this last month, and his OBP against is STILL lower than Lopez’s.
by 0157H7 on
Jun 23, 2008 4:29 PM EDT
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Okajima has really crashed in his eight June innings.
Maybe those genii at Halo’s Heaven were right! (kidding…)
Rock me, sexy Jesus...
by nuthinboutnuthin on
Jun 23, 2008 4:37 PM EDT
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