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Around SBN: Explaining Jeremy Lin's Early, Surprising Success

Settle In, Folks. We're going all over the place.

First...

280512109_redsox_twins_71849652_lbig_medium

via www.fangraphs.com

Summary:

Two straight bad starts for Buchholz. Squeezed or not, a pitcher's primary weapon should be a well-located fastball. Buch hasn't had one for awhile, and the idea that he should go down to AAA to harness it/find one isn't one I'm against at this point. If Colon really is dialing it up to/near 97, then it's time to see if he can get ML hitters out. If not in this trip through the rotation, then next. The only thing that might be able to keep Buch at the ML-level is bigger struggles from Jon Lester than Buchholz himself has had lately. 

Livan Hernandez was his usual self tonight, the typical "keep it close" pitcher. He allowed Being's 498th bomb, a two-run shot, an RBI 1B from Papi just before the HR, and nothing beyond that. Juan Rincon and Jesse Crain were effective in finishing off the Sox over the 7th, 8th, and 9th innings. 

The Sox pen, however, was somehow just as effective. Javy came in in relief of Buch, got 5 outs and handed the job over to Craig Hansen, who definitely reinforced the decision to DFA Tavarez rather than demote him. 13 pitches, 8 strikes, 2 GBs and a K. It's one inning, but he looked at least close to ready to take over for the struggling MDC in the 7th/8th inning mix. Timlin came on and got 3 outs and allowed a hit on a total of 7 pitches in the 8th. The Twins were clearly ready to go home for the day.

Player of the Game:

Capt

via d.yimg.com

It's the guy on the left, of course. 498. Look at how small he looks standing next to Papi. I have to interject, however, that it was Craig Hansen that gave me a lift about this game, and made me feel all right when it was all over.

The Shortstop Position:

Alex Cora
Excellent hands and good range
Is not a hitter. Pretty much at all. Runs well, though doesn't have the speed of a real base-stealing threat.


Jed Lowrie
Good hands, worst range of all three
Is a hitter. But we don't know how much rookie "jitters" could become a factor. Is...not ridiculously slow or anything.


Julio Lugo
Excellent range, poor no hands
Runs well, .OBP is almost .350. 

So who do we go with? Honestly, it's going to be Lugo and Cora until one of the two is injured, at least for this season. Lugo is not going to continue to have the kind of defensive issues all season long that have plagued him thusfar. And even if he does, Cora will just see more PT late in games to preserve leads, which Lugo's steadily rising OBP may help to create. I love Jed Lowrie, and under other circumstances I'd be yelling loudest to bring him back up and let him start. It's just not going to happen, not until one of the others gets hurt, or Lugo starts to be a complete black hole at the plate as well.

Tavarez is gone. How does the 'pen shake out?

Well. This was a bit unexpected, if only because most people were of the belief that Hansen would simply be sent down to create room for Sean Casey, and most people thinking DFA were probably attaching Timlin's name to it. Instead, Tavarez is out. I've seen comments around the web about "who is the Sox's long reliever now?" Am I the only one who thinks it's silly to just plan for your starters to be poor enough that within one turn of the rotation, you'll at least once need somebody to come in and throw several innings in a single game? Plus, Tavarez has only twice thrown more than 1 2/3 anyway. Aardsma already has 3 2 IP appearances under his belt, and would seem to be the logical choice (or J-Lo, depending upon situations/matchups) to get the game a little deeper. All the DFA really does is indirectly cause a change in the pecking order.

  • Paps
  • Oki
  • Hansen !?!?!
  • MDC !?!?!?
  • Aardsma
  • J-Lo
  • Um.
  • F.
  • Anyone.
  • Mike Timlin
So really, this didn't change much at all, aside from possibly getting Tavarez some more consistent work somewhere else.

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When our best option for SS is Cora

You know there’s something very wrong with that position.

Walk on, walk on With hope in your heart And you'll never walk alone You'll never walk alone

by MerryGoByeBye on May 13, 2008 1:54 PM EDT reply actions  

on long relief
Am I the only one who thinks it’s silly to just plan for your starters to be poor enough that within one turn of the rotation, you’ll at least once need somebody to come in and throw several innings in a single game?

Unfortunately, with what I saw out of this staff this weekend, long relief isn’t just a luxury, it’s a necessity. If Wakefield and Buchholz carry these horrible outings into stadiums without domes, it’s not going to be pretty. (Not to mention Lester, but he spreads his disasters over five or six innings.)

by morineko on May 13, 2008 7:45 PM EDT reply actions  

My point is that

If you think your starters are going to do that consistently enough to need a dedicated long-man, then you need to re-evaluate your starters themselves.

"Are you a real doctor, or a doctor like Dr. Pepper is a doctor?"

by Allen Chace on May 15, 2008 5:21 AM EDT up reply actions  

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