CP Results 2008: Jason Varitek

by Randy Booth on Dec 20, 2008 6:00 AM EST in Community Projections

I love this photo. (via cache.boston.com)

Believe it or not, the community projections this year for Jason Varitek were almost spot on -- except those pesky averages. Here's the stat breakdowns:

		G	BA	OBP	SLG	2B	HR	BB
ACTUAL		131	.220	.313	.359	20	13	52
PROJECTED	120	.264	.353	.423	20	15	59
CLOSEST	127	.248	.334	.403	20	17	61

As you can see, Red Sox Nation didn't expect Varitek to bat as badly as he really did. Every other category that wasn't dependent on batting average or on base percentage, though, was pretty close. Undoubtably though if that batting average was higher, he'd have more doubles and home runs to throw the projections off.

We should do another community projection in the spring for Varitek (after he signs, right?) to see what people think then.

Spring projections for Varitek

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Thanks Randy

by drabidea on Dec 20, 2008 1:53 PM EST reply actions

Smell the glove, Slappy!

I’ll always love Tek for that.

I gotta go 'cause I'm probably definitely gonna nod out again.

by Drugs Delaney on Dec 20, 2008 8:35 PM EST reply actions

More like taste the glove…

OverTheMonster.com

by Randy Booth on Dec 20, 2008 9:01 PM EST up reply actions

Being off by 44 points on avg., 40 poins on OBP, and 64 poins on slugging is not very good at all.

"Far better is it to dare mighty things, to win glorious triumphs, even though checkered by failure... than to rank with those poor spirits who neither enjoy nor suffer much, because they live in a gray twilight that knows not victory nor defeat." - Theodore Roosevelt

by Daniel52 on Dec 20, 2008 9:20 PM EST reply actions

Yankee troll?

The projected were prolly from calculations and other stuff done by SABR guys (I don’t know for sure, wasn’t on here back then). The “Closest” part is the Community Projections.

Clutch: A measurement of how much better or worse a player does in high leverage situations than he would have done in a context neutral environment. http://www.fangraphs.com/blogs/index.php/glossary/

by bdalebs on Dec 20, 2008 11:26 PM EST up reply actions

No … “projected” is the overall average between everyone at OTM’s projection. “Closest” is one person’s predictions that was, well, the closest. I forgot to mention who actually was the closest this time, but I did in previous posts…

OverTheMonster.com

by Randy Booth on Dec 21, 2008 11:51 AM EST up reply actions