CP Results 2008: Jason Varitek

I love this photo. (via cache.boston.com)
Believe it or not, the community projections this year for Jason Varitek were almost spot on -- except those pesky averages. Here's the stat breakdowns:
G BA OBP SLG 2B HR BB
ACTUAL 131 .220 .313 .359 20 13 52
PROJECTED 120 .264 .353 .423 20 15 59
CLOSEST 127 .248 .334 .403 20 17 61
As you can see, Red Sox Nation didn't expect Varitek to bat as badly as he really did. Every other category that wasn't dependent on batting average or on base percentage, though, was pretty close. Undoubtably though if that batting average was higher, he'd have more doubles and home runs to throw the projections off.
We should do another community projection in the spring for Varitek (after he signs, right?) to see what people think then.
0 recs |
9 comments
Comments
Smell the glove, Slappy!
I’ll always love Tek for that.
I gotta go 'cause I'm probably definitely gonna nod out again.
by Drugs Delaney on Dec 20, 2008 8:35 PM EST reply actions 0 recs
Being off by 44 points on avg., 40 poins on OBP, and 64 poins on slugging is not very good at all.
"Far better is it to dare mighty things, to win glorious triumphs, even though checkered by failure... than to rank with those poor spirits who neither enjoy nor suffer much, because they live in a gray twilight that knows not victory nor defeat." - Theodore Roosevelt
by Daniel52 on Dec 20, 2008 9:20 PM EST reply actions 0 recs
Yankee troll?
The projected were prolly from calculations and other stuff done by SABR guys (I don’t know for sure, wasn’t on here back then). The “Closest” part is the Community Projections.
Clutch: A measurement of how much better or worse a player does in high leverage situations than he would have done in a context neutral environment. http://www.fangraphs.com/blogs/index.php/glossary/
by bs.uf15bosox9bears23 on Dec 20, 2008 11:26 PM EST up reply actions 0 recs
No … “projected” is the overall average between everyone at OTM’s projection. “Closest” is one person’s predictions that was, well, the closest. I forgot to mention who actually was the closest this time, but I did in previous posts…
by Randy Booth on Dec 21, 2008 11:51 AM EST up reply actions 0 recs
It looks like it was Country Jez
correct me if I am wrong
by drabidea on Dec 21, 2008 3:29 PM EST up reply actions 0 recs
Oh... sorry Daniel52.
I assumed [insert joke] because you were a Yankee fan and well, you know…
Clutch: A measurement of how much better or worse a player does in high leverage situations than he would have done in a context neutral environment. http://www.fangraphs.com/blogs/index.php/glossary/
by bs.uf15bosox9bears23 on Dec 21, 2008 9:16 PM EST up reply actions 0 recs
I think I was closest!!!
I haven’t been here in nearly 3 months, but when I pop back to find out what’s going on, there’s a re-run of the ’Tek projections, with what looks like my line as closest.
How proud am I? Well, I’d rather have been wrong and had ‘Tek at .280, but hey, I’ll take what I can!
Jez, over the pond, in football season …
by CountyJez on Dec 21, 2008 3:29 PM EST reply actions 0 recs

by 





















