I love this photo. (via cache.boston.com)
Believe it or not, the community projections this year for Jason Varitek were almost spot on -- except those pesky averages. Here's the stat breakdowns:
G BA OBP SLG 2B HR BB
ACTUAL 131 .220 .313 .359 20 13 52
PROJECTED 120 .264 .353 .423 20 15 59
CLOSEST 127 .248 .334 .403 20 17 61
As you can see, Red Sox Nation didn't expect Varitek to bat as badly as he really did. Every other category that wasn't dependent on batting average or on base percentage, though, was pretty close. Undoubtably though if that batting average was higher, he'd have more doubles and home runs to throw the projections off.
We should do another community projection in the spring for Varitek (after he signs, right?) to see what people think then.