Over the Monster: An SB Nation Community

Navigation: Jump to content areas:


Pro Quality. Fan Perspective.
Around SBN: Baby Boilers no more: Michigan State-Purdue Preview

CP Results 2008: Dustin Pedroia

P1_pedroia_medium
via i.a.cnn.net

Dude's a stud. That's all I can say.

The American League's MVP had a season for the ages. Little Scrappy Doo did something that no one could have predicted -- even readers at Over The Monster couldn't do it. Here's how Pedroia's stats compared to what OTM readers projected out of the All-Star second baseman:

 

		AB	AVG	OBP	SLG	HR	SB
ACTUAL 653 .326 .376 .493 17 20
PROJECTED 530 .304 .378 .447 11 6
CLOSEST 542 .323 .389 .487 13 8

 

As you can see, no one really thought he'd hit for such a good average. We basically nailed the OBP, but also under estimated his power and his ability to steal bases. It's not so much that Pedroia is fast -- because he isn't -- he just picked great times to swipe a base. After this season I don't think anyone will ever doubt what Pedroia can do in terms of home runs, either. He can mash pretty well for a little guy.

The closest guess was by OTM reader 2004LoveAffaird. Everone was off with ABs, but he was close with AVG/OBP/SLG and not too far away with the home run numbers.

Up tomorrow is Jason Varitek. That should be a doozy!

Link to the original CP for Dustin Pedroia

0 recs  |  Comment 6 comments

Story-email Email Printer Print

Comments

Display:

Randy

If it’s not too much trouble, could you put a link to last years CP post. My memory isn’t good enough to to remember what I had for projections a year ago.

by drabidea on Dec 19, 2008 9:36 AM EST reply actions   0 recs

It’s up on the original post now…

by Randy Booth on Dec 19, 2008 11:36 AM EST up reply actions   0 recs

2009 projections

AB: 660
AVE: .320
OBP: .400
SLG: .500
HR: 20
SB: 20
Runs saved by playing defense like a guy 10 inches taller: 20

by RSNexile on Dec 19, 2008 10:25 AM EST reply actions   0 recs

He's got mad hopz for a white guy.

Clutch: A measurement of how much better or worse a player does in high leverage situations than he would have done in a context neutral environment. http://www.fangraphs.com/blogs/index.php/glossary/

by bs.uf15bosox9bears23 on Dec 19, 2008 9:44 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

Eh

I have hops like that. Of course, I’m also 10 inches taller than him.

by RSNexile on Dec 19, 2008 10:21 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

I'm just a slightly-larger-than-average-white-kid-who-can't-jump-'cause-of-screwy-knee(s).

Clutch: A measurement of how much better or worse a player does in high leverage situations than he would have done in a context neutral environment. http://www.fangraphs.com/blogs/index.php/glossary/

by bs.uf15bosox9bears23 on Dec 19, 2008 10:27 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

Comments For This Post Are Closed


User Tools

Welcome to Over The Monster, an SB Nation community that delivers news and analysis while encouraging discussion regarding everything regarding the Boston Red Sox organization. OTM was founded Feb. 22, 2005.
Start posting about the Red Sox »

Join SB Nation and dive into communities focused on all your favorite teams.

FanPosts

Community blog posts and discussion.

Recent FanPosts

Einstein_small
The STI List
Small
Johnny D.
39135485-59af19dbb26654095f910f34176af094_4ae8a81e-scaled_small
Predictions Group
Small
Red Sox sign Joe Nelson
Einstein_small
AL EAST WAR Projections - Positional
39135485-59af19dbb26654095f910f34176af094_4ae8a81e-scaled_small
Cameron Overpaid?
Anthony_rizzo_small
The Tale of The 1985 St Louis Cardinals
Small
Brief Sabermetric Primer: GPA
Small
Brief Sabermetric Primer: IsoP
Small
OT: The Red Sox of the NFL - Go Saints!!!

+ New FanPost All FanPosts >


Managers

N32606527_32219358_6072_small Randy Booth

Editors

Master_shake_small Allen Chace

Rorscach_small 0157H7

Red_seat_small Ben Buchanan

Authors

Zissou551_small SoxDevil

Red_sox_logo_small Logan Lietz

Photo_small wolf9309