CP Results 2008: Dustin Pedroia
by Randy Booth on Dec 19, 2008 6:00 AM EST
in Community Projections
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via i.a.cnn.net
Dude's a stud. That's all I can say.
The American League's MVP had a season for the ages. Little Scrappy Doo did something that no one could have predicted -- even readers at Over The Monster couldn't do it. Here's how Pedroia's stats compared to what OTM readers projected out of the All-Star second baseman:
AB AVG OBP SLG HR SB
ACTUAL 653 .326 .376 .493 17 20
PROJECTED 530 .304 .378 .447 11 6
CLOSEST 542 .323 .389 .487 13 8
As you can see, no one really thought he'd hit for such a good average. We basically nailed the OBP, but also under estimated his power and his ability to steal bases. It's not so much that Pedroia is fast -- because he isn't -- he just picked great times to swipe a base. After this season I don't think anyone will ever doubt what Pedroia can do in terms of home runs, either. He can mash pretty well for a little guy.
The closest guess was by OTM reader 2004LoveAffaird. Everone was off with ABs, but he was close with AVG/OBP/SLG and not too far away with the home run numbers.
Up tomorrow is Jason Varitek. That should be a doozy!
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Randy
If it’s not too much trouble, could you put a link to last years CP post. My memory isn’t good enough to to remember what I had for projections a year ago.
2009 projections
AB: 660
AVE: .320
OBP: .400
SLG: .500
HR: 20
SB: 20
Runs saved by playing defense like a guy 10 inches taller: 20
He's got mad hopz for a white guy.
Clutch: A measurement of how much better or worse a player does in high leverage situations than he would have done in a context neutral environment. http://www.fangraphs.com/blogs/index.php/glossary/
Eh
I have hops like that. Of course, I’m also 10 inches taller than him.
I'm just a slightly-larger-than-average-white-kid-who-can't-jump-'cause-of-screwy-knee(s).
Clutch: A measurement of how much better or worse a player does in high leverage situations than he would have done in a context neutral environment. http://www.fangraphs.com/blogs/index.php/glossary/
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