Boston interested in Jake Peavy?
by Randy Booth on Dec 18, 2008 11:40 AM EST
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PrintWith deals breaking down to trade Jake Peavy to the Braves and the Cubs, what will it take for the Red Sox to swoop in, flash Peavy a smile and lure him to Boston? Nick Cafardo writes the Red Sox have "some" interest:
The Red Sox have "some" interest in Jake Peavy, but as of a few days ago the teams had not entertained any substantive trade talks as Padres GM Kevin Towers knew that Boston was not on Peavy's wish list. But now that talks with Atlanta and the Cubs have broken down, Towers needs a new team to deal with and the 27-year-old Peavy, according to his agent, Barry Axelrod, probably would OK a deal to Boston. But if there's a Teixeira splash, the Red Sox might not have the money to entertain it.
It would take a lot to bring Peavy to Boston, but I'm about willing to do anything. It would take Clay Buchholz, Michael Bowden or Lars Anderson (most likely Bowden) and at least three more pretty good prospects to get Peavy. I'm pretty much willing to do that.
Cafardo also mentions that with the 5th starter hole, the Red Sox have examined medical records for Brad Penny and John Smoltz.
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I'd pass
I also don’t think the Sox can afford both Peavy and Teixeira.
I gotta go 'cause I'm probably definitely gonna nod out again.
Money
Teix will get between $22-27 milliion, and you have to factor in how much of Lowell’s contract the Sox can eat. Peavy will need an extension, at least $15+ million (making the highest paid Sox pitcher). Randy, did you see Neyer’s recent Peavy chat? There’s some interesting stuff in there.
I also wouldn’t trade either Buchholz or Anderson to get him either. They have high ceilings and will be cheap for a long time. Boston’s payroll will climb in the near future. Beckett’s contract is up in 2 years (option), and the Sox will likely try to lock up their younger (non-Boras) players and Youk, thereby increasing payroll.
I gotta go 'cause I'm probably definitely gonna nod out again.
by Drugs Delaney on Dec 18, 2008 12:07 PM EST up reply actions
Also, clicked your link … interesting info on Peavy. I understand he won’t be as good as he is with the Padres — I think that’s given — but like Neyer said, he still won’t be horrible.
by Randy Booth on Dec 18, 2008 12:12 PM EST up reply actions
Brandon Webb might be a better target for the Sox
An extreme ground-ball pitcher.
"You know you're having a bad day when the fifth inning rolls around and they drag the warning track." - Mike Flanagan, Baltimore Orioles pitcher, 1992.
True, but if we want to talk money, he’s going to get a lot. Probably close to what Sabathia got…
by Randy Booth on Dec 18, 2008 12:27 PM EST up reply actions
I'm also a little concerned...
…about Peavy’s home/road splits. How much are his great numbers attributable to making half his starts in a cavernous ballpark?
Not gonna get into a Buchholz argument
but I think the Padres would be willing to take less for Peavy if Buchholz is in the package. His potential and name recognition might lessen the Padre’s stance on who else is in the deal.
I read that any deal will have to include either Buchholz/Masterson/Bowden + Lowrie + a high level prospect for Peavy. To me knowing our option with Lugo, Lowrie is the piece I am not willing to give up.
Buchholz, Reddick + prospect, sure. Something like that I am good, but Lowrie + Buch/Bowden/Masterson is too much.
However a Beckett, Dice-K, Lester, Peavy, Wake rotation with Teix in the lineup would make the Red Sox the favs for the next 5 WS.
I am torn…
Anyone know what Peavy makes a year?
Peavy Contract
He just signed an extension for the following per year.
2009 $11 mil, 2010 $15 mil, 2011 $16 mil, 2012 $17 mil
You don't know that for sure
No one knows what the economy will be like in two years.
I gotta go 'cause I'm probably definitely gonna nod out again.
by Drugs Delaney on Dec 18, 2008 6:41 PM EST up reply actions
That's a long term bet...
Speaking of which, where’s NG? I need to go over specifics of the Wake bet.
Clutch: A measurement of how much better or worse a player does in high leverage situations than he would have done in a context neutral environment. http://www.fangraphs.com/blogs/index.php/glossary/
We need another quality starter
so I’m with you – I’d be happy to have him in a Red Sox uniform. I
Pitching is still what wins. Wakefield isn’t impressive; Beckett missed at least two months last season and Dice-Kat least month last year. Buchholz? Pleez. I hope the Sox are in the market for more pitching.
By the way, people: stop assuming “Tex” is a Boston Red Sox member. We HOPE that’s the case, but until his signature is a contract, don’t assume anything.
But Teix is the Sox' #1 target
Until he signs with them or somewhere else, don’t expect the Sox to make any big money moves.
I gotta go 'cause I'm probably definitely gonna nod out again.
by Drugs Delaney on Dec 18, 2008 3:08 PM EST up reply actions
Just passing through
But just wanted to say that San Diego is going to ask for your best pitching prospect, your best positional prospect, two other mid tier prospects and a relief pitcher as well. Then when your front office thinks they have a deal in place and the Pads see that you are serious. Towers is going to come back and ask for more than what was in the deal originally or to replace some of the lesser prospects with a third top prospect. Just ask the Braves and Cubs.
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