CP Results 2008: J.D. Drew
'Tis the season for community projection results. It's when I stick my nose into Excel for a few hours and figure out where people went right and wrong. A community projection, if you don't know, is where members of the OTM community predict how a certain player will do in the upcoming season. To see an example, here is J.D. Drew's.
And speaking of Drew, we start with Drew. Overall, predictions were a tad high for how Drew actually produced. It certainly didn't help though that Drew missed a good chunk of time due to injury. Had Drew been able to play in 30 or so more games then these predictions probably would have been a lot closer and, in some cases, lower.
Here's how the numbers broke down:
Games Runs Hits Doubles HR RBI BA OBP
ACTUAL 109 79 103 23 19 64 0.280 0.408
PROJECTED 139 89 145 33 19 88 0.285 0.389
CLOSEST 130 87 110 24 17 77 0.282 0.400
The closet projection was by OTM user future. As you can see by the average projection, if Drew were healthy the entire season he'd actually surpass expectations.
Thoughts? The remaining projections will be posted soon.
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I'm going to be lazy and project the same thing as last year
Games: 140
Runs: 90
Hits: 160
Doubles: 35
Home runs: 20
RBIs: 85
Batting Average: .280
On-Base %: .380
Drew will be healthier (how could he not be?), but less productive when he plays. And that will be ok because we won’t have another outfielder who refuses to play because $20M/year isn’t a living wage.
6 am Randy?
Is someone missing Tuesday nights in the Equinox office?
"Well let me just quote the late-great Colonel Sanders, who said...'I'm too drunk to taste this chicken.' "
-Ricky Bobby

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