via bayareabaseball.today.com

'Tis the season for community projection results. It's when I stick my nose into Excel for a few hours and figure out where people went right and wrong. A community projection, if you don't know, is where members of the OTM community predict how a certain player will do in the upcoming season. To see an example, here is J.D. Drew's.

And speaking of Drew, we start with Drew. Overall, predictions were a tad high for how Drew actually produced. It certainly didn't help though that Drew missed a good chunk of time due to injury. Had Drew been able to play in 30 or so more games then these predictions probably would have been a lot closer and, in some cases, lower.

Here's how the numbers broke down:

		Games	Runs	Hits	Doubles	HR	RBI	BA	OBP
ACTUAL		109	79	103	23	19	64	0.280	0.408
PROJECTED	139	89	145	33	19	88	0.285	0.389
CLOSEST	130	87	110	24	17	77	0.282	0.400

The closet projection was by OTM user future. As you can see by the average projection, if Drew were healthy the entire season he'd actually surpass expectations.

Thoughts? The remaining projections will be posted soon.