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Josh Beckett

The Red Sox have always been a good team. Is Josh Beckett still as good as he used to be? Stats point towards him decreasing, but we all know he is still good. He doesn't pitch as many innings as he used to 1 and 2 years ago. He is 28 years old, which means he is getting closer and closer to 30. His  ERA is higher, although he is allowing less hits and runs. Earned runs are higher then they used to be, and more home runs for the other team when he starts. So my question to you: Is Josh Beckett as good as he used to be, or has he decreased over the years?

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As good as he used to be.

Show me some better stats and then maybe I’ll reconsider. FYI: ERA isn’t a great way to measure a pitcher’s performance.

Clutch: A measurement of how much better or worse a player does in high leverage situations than he would have done in a context neutral environment. http://www.fangraphs.com/blogs/index.php/glossary/

by bs.uf15bosox9bears23 on Nov 30, 2008 4:18 PM EST reply actions   0 recs

Josh Beckett is the f’ing man. Both he, and Schilling have “lifetime get out of jail free passes” as far as I’m concerned. If those 2 players aren’t in Sox uniforms, the Bosox don’t have 2 World Series rings. Beckett is a beast, if he was healthy in the ALCS, Tampa doesn’t win. Plain and simple.

by matzushocka45 on Nov 30, 2008 4:23 PM EST reply actions   0 recs

Oh, subtley died over Turkey Day?

Okay, +1

Clutch: A measurement of how much better or worse a player does in high leverage situations than he would have done in a context neutral environment. http://www.fangraphs.com/blogs/index.php/glossary/

by bs.uf15bosox9bears23 on Nov 30, 2008 4:30 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

strange post.

I fully expect Beckett to rock this year. He’s a great performer if a little inconsistent from year to year. This is pretty standard for most pitchers anyway outside of the truly great…and Johan Santana.
He’s only 28 and I’d say he’ll have at least 2 maybe 3 really great years out of the next 5. Good enough for me as his down years are still on par with a #2 starter.

by sydneysox on Nov 30, 2008 5:54 PM EST reply actions   0 recs

True...

It’s just that stats show he has been declining the last few years. I just wanted to know about what people thought of Josh Beckett

A couple was told to individually write a sentence using the words 'sex' and 'love.' The woman wrote 'When two people love each other very much, like Bob and I, it is morally acceptable for them to engage in sex.' And Bob wrote 'I love sex.'

by TitanFighter101 on Nov 30, 2008 7:29 PM EST reply actions   0 recs

Which stats?

His peripherals aside from HRs, and including accounting for BABIP, say that on an inning-by-inning basis he was a BETTER pitcher this year than last year when he was the CYA runner-up.

"Are you a real doctor, or a doctor like Dr. Pepper is a doctor?"

by Allen Chace on Nov 30, 2008 7:55 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

....

The stats that I mention up in the fanpost point out what I say….

A couple was told to individually write a sentence using the words 'sex' and 'love.' The woman wrote 'When two people love each other very much, like Bob and I, it is morally acceptable for them to engage in sex.' And Bob wrote 'I love sex.'

by TitanFighter101 on Nov 30, 2008 9:09 PM EST reply actions   0 recs

And other stats

…which are better measurements of Beckett’s true performance, completely contradict what you say, so you still haven’t answered that question.

"Are you a real doctor, or a doctor like Dr. Pepper is a doctor?"

by Allen Chace on Dec 1, 2008 11:44 AM EST up reply actions   0 recs

The stats you mentioned are all primitative.

Clutch: A measurement of how much better or worse a player does in high leverage situations than he would have done in a context neutral environment. http://www.fangraphs.com/blogs/index.php/glossary/

by bs.uf15bosox9bears23 on Dec 1, 2008 12:41 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

Primitive too.

Manny ain't the only bad man.

by tommy.otm on Dec 1, 2008 5:50 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

Okay, fine. Note to self:

Don’t use medium sized words when you can’t see straight because of a head cold.

Clutch: A measurement of how much better or worse a player does in high leverage situations than he would have done in a context neutral environment. http://www.fangraphs.com/blogs/index.php/glossary/

by bs.uf15bosox9bears23 on Dec 1, 2008 7:04 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

Not Saying Anything

I’m not saying Josh Beckett is not still at the top of the pitching world. But he has been deceasing, and anyone can see it if they go to baseballreference.com. It shows that he is not AS good as he used to be. He is still the greatest of the Red Sox pitchers in their currrent rotation, I think. If you think, its someone else, please comment. I would like to know what you think. But don’t go around saying things, when they might not be true.

A couple was told to individually write a sentence using the words 'sex' and 'love.' The woman wrote 'When two people love each other very much, like Bob and I, it is morally acceptable for them to engage in sex.' And Bob wrote 'I love sex.'

by TitanFighter101 on Nov 30, 2008 9:13 PM EST reply actions   0 recs

He was better this year than two years ago, by any measure except wins. ERA from year to year fluctuates for any pitcher because of various factors, the biggest being luck. He gave up twice as many HRs in 2006 than he did in 2008. He had a great year in 2007 by traditional stats, and an off year in 2008 by the same measures. So no, I don’t think he is getting worse.

I guess he is “deceasing” though. But aren’t we all in a way?

by BTLove on Nov 30, 2008 10:56 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

He had an off-year

Injuries were the prmary problem. Though his season was still much better than his 2006. I think the FO is confident in a rebound, else we’d be players in the Sabathia market. I’m expecting Beckett-Lester to be the top 1-2 in the AL next year.

Manny ain't the only bad man.

by tommy.otm on Nov 30, 2008 9:44 PM EST reply actions   0 recs

Not all injuries mean the same thing!

If a player just gets hurt in a collision or by being hit by a pitch or by some traumatic event, that kind of injury means little. Players can fully recover from them and be better than ever. However (there is always a “However” to posts like this), if the injury is a “getting older” type injury, meaning it happens to older players usually on a recurrent basis, then this type of injury is not totally recovered from and means a significant drop-off in the players potential.

Now what kind of injuries did Beckjett sustain last year?? As far as I can tell, he sustained “getting older” injuries, so I for one agree with the poster!

by NG on Dec 1, 2008 9:01 AM EST up reply actions   0 recs

Arm fatigue.

It’s age-independent.

Manny ain't the only bad man.

by tommy.otm on Dec 1, 2008 9:05 AM EST up reply actions   0 recs

IS IT???????????????????

I think Not (!). (Opps, I almost ended this with an exclamation point)!!!!

by NG on Dec 1, 2008 9:07 AM EST up reply actions   0 recs

Beckett is 28

Yup, he’s WAY over the hill.

I gotta go 'cause I'm probably definitely gonna nod out again.

by Drugs Delaney on Dec 1, 2008 10:04 AM EST up reply actions   0 recs

+1

When you say “He is 28 years old, which means he is getting closer and closer to 30,” That doesn’t help your case at all. Most 28-30 year-olds are in the prime of their career.

by Schulz on Dec 1, 2008 12:49 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

I think with heat throwers (former heat throwers anyway),

once arm damage shows up, they have aged beyond what got them to that point. They then either learn to pitch with more finesse, or they are no longer that good. We shall see with Mr. beckett.

by NG on Dec 1, 2008 2:16 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

Fatigue doesn't equal damage.

Damage requires surgery. Fatigue requires rest.

Manny ain't the only bad man.

by tommy.otm on Dec 1, 2008 5:52 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

I think you're overreacting

Here’s a comparison of 2007 and 2008:

2007: 6.68 IP/GS 3.27 ERA 8.70 K/9 15.5 P/IP .245 BAA (.307 BABIP) 17 HR (0.76 HR/9)
2008: 6.46 IP/GS 4.03 ERA 8.88 K/9 15.4 P/IP .256 BAA (.320 BABIP) 18 HR (0.93 HR/9)

In many ways both years are similar. Beckett’s overall numbers, except for K-rate, were slightly better in 2007. The nearly one run more a game he allowed in 2008 is partially the result of bad luck. I agree with tommy about Beckett’s injuries.

If Beckett is healthy in 2009, I have no worries.

I gotta go 'cause I'm probably definitely gonna nod out again.

by Drugs Delaney on Nov 30, 2008 10:39 PM EST reply actions   0 recs

He's washed up

Of course I’m kidding, Beckett is the part of our rotation that I’m less worried about.

Mother---- him and John Wayne!

by MerryGoByeBye on Dec 1, 2008 12:54 AM EST reply actions   0 recs

Can't we keep him around

in the bullpen to pitch mop-up innings in blowouts?

"no1 has time to read your long comments, are you writing a book?"

by britsoxfan on Dec 1, 2008 3:21 AM EST reply actions   0 recs

Batting practice.

And maybe he can clean the other guys’ spikes.

Manny ain't the only bad man.

by tommy.otm on Dec 1, 2008 9:04 AM EST up reply actions   0 recs

I don't think Beckett is washed up by any means

However his overall conditioning and fitness has to be a worry. He clearly has had some injuries that derailed his performance last year and those can be directly tied to conditioning. If he does not work harder on his conditioning you will see a steady overall decline in performance and overall health. He is at the breaking point in his career where his natural testosterone levels will start declining and without a increased effort on strength and flexibility conditioning he will suffer serious injuries and drop in velocities which will dramatically alter his pitching mechanics and approach to pitching.

Baseball is God's sport! All Truth Goes Through Three Stages 1.It is ridiculed 2.It is violently opposed 3.Finally, it is accepted as self-evident. kinesiologist

by E5 on Dec 1, 2008 8:05 PM EST reply actions   0 recs

What's wrong with his conditioning?

Beckett’s three years in Boston (2006-08) have been very healthy compared to his time in Florida. He was healthy as a horse in 06 and 07, and only suffered a bit this year.

Year: Innings
2002 107.2
2003 142
2004 156.2
2005 178.2
2006 204.2
2007 200.2
2008 174.1

I don’t know what, if anything, is “wrong” with Beckett. But attributing it to health, or conditioning, doesn’t seem like the answer.

"It's just a tiny little nick, but it hurts when I get champagne in there."
- Jason Bay, on getting spiked scoring the winning run in ALDS Game Four.

by 0157H7 on Dec 1, 2008 9:03 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

Often times lack of conditioning will not show up when and athlete is young as their testosterone levels and HGH and insulin levels remain normal and can mask physical damage from physical assertion. As athletes age a consistent work ethic is needed to maintain the normal levels need for proper body repair and body functions. Beckett is young enough he is not in the danger zone of injury and physical break downs but as he ages past 30 his levels will dramatically drop and become in a state which would put him in danger of physical deterioration from the stresses put on his body from pitching.

Baseball is God's sport! All Truth Goes Through Three Stages 1.It is ridiculed 2.It is violently opposed 3.Finally, it is accepted as self-evident. kinesiologist

by E5 on Dec 1, 2008 9:20 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

Umm... when did Beckett become this blog's school science project?

Clutch: A measurement of how much better or worse a player does in high leverage situations than he would have done in a context neutral environment. http://www.fangraphs.com/blogs/index.php/glossary/

by bs.uf15bosox9bears23 on Dec 1, 2008 9:23 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

So you’re not saying that Beckett specifically has to focus on conditioning, but that any player nearing the age of 30 should do this.

I know a lot of people have brought up his “poor conditioning” but their evidence is usually one terrible picture from spring training when his belly was hanging out. I am 100% convinced that Josh Beckett has done, and will do whatever is necessary to be in pitching shape.

by BTLove on Dec 1, 2008 9:34 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

And the picture that was likely photoshopped

by Bostondirtdogs, for effect.

"It's just a tiny little nick, but it hurts when I get champagne in there."
- Jason Bay, on getting spiked scoring the winning run in ALDS Game Four.

by 0157H7 on Dec 1, 2008 10:42 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

Ignore unnecessary "that"

"It's just a tiny little nick, but it hurts when I get champagne in there."
- Jason Bay, on getting spiked scoring the winning run in ALDS Game Four.

by 0157H7 on Dec 1, 2008 10:46 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

David Wells ...

Pitched for a long time on doughnuts and beer.

I gotta go 'cause I'm probably definitely gonna nod out again.

by Drugs Delaney on Dec 1, 2008 11:09 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

Rod Beck too...

but he was able to control his weight with a nice diet of cigarettes.

by BTLove on Dec 2, 2008 1:04 AM EST up reply actions   0 recs

I'm not sure we're allowed to say that about a guy like him

But my god, Rod Beck was a total badass. :)

Mother---- him and John Wayne!

by MerryGoByeBye on Dec 2, 2008 10:58 AM EST up reply actions   0 recs

dig deeper

blisters, back, now the shoulder. he’s been on the shelf a lot through his career. You’re right it was mostly with the Marlins, but you have to wonder if you just got lucky with 200 plus innings. It is starting to look like a 175 innings is more likely each year. He’s built like a horse but isn’t exactly acting like one. Plus the times that he steps up and pitches hurt, he usually doesn’t perform so well.

I see things you don't see.

by LouieTheLip on Dec 2, 2008 1:38 AM EST up reply actions   0 recs

At least he tries.

Pavano.

Clutch: A measurement of how much better or worse a player does in high leverage situations than he would have done in a context neutral environment. http://www.fangraphs.com/blogs/index.php/glossary/

by bs.uf15bosox9bears23 on Dec 3, 2008 4:41 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

Beckett's not even 30!

He’s a power pitcher. Most big, strong power pitchers of Beckett’s body size last for quite a while.

by RickD on Dec 1, 2008 8:31 PM EST reply actions   0 recs

OT

but have we signed Teixeira yet?

Manny ain't the only bad man.

by tommy.otm on Dec 1, 2008 9:39 PM EST reply actions   0 recs

History of Beckett

Josh Beckett has been injury prone his entire career. He’s been dealing with back issues and blister issues since he’s been in the Majors. This year it was his shoulder if I remember correctly. Anyway, in his 4 years with the Marlins he averaged 145 innings pitched each year. Not exactly a work horse. In the three years in Boston he has one good year. He got smacked around his first year in the AL and everybody said is was because he didn’t listen to Varitek. His ERA was over 5 that season and that is far from special. Josh Beckett has always been streaky. At times he dominates but does tend to slump. He dominated in 2007 and it’s no surprise because he’s a great pitcher, but 2007 was a career year. It wasn’t just another Beckett like year, but that’s the only Beckett season that Boston fans seem to remember. His ERA in three years in the AL is over 4,…..that’s far from dominant. If you want to compare Beckett to somebody you might want to look at John Lackey. His numbers against Lackey’s are very similar. I’d argue Lackey is better. So please don’t compare him to Schilling, or Pedro or Roger. Beckett has to pitch another 8 years and he needs a few more seasons like 2007 before we consider this guy one of the greats. Schilling is a hall of famer, and Beckett could easily go 15-10 next year with a 4.23 ERA.! Like I said Beckett has had ONE GREAT season in Three with Boston and that is all Red Sox fans remember. They don’t remember how most of them cursed him in 2006. And now because of 2007 he gets a pass in 2008. He wasn’t hurt all year and when he was healthy he pitched just O.K. In my opinion Beckett hurt his team by pitching when he was clearly unable to get the job done. Let’s not forget Curt got the job done.

I see things you don't see.

by LouieTheLip on Dec 2, 2008 1:33 AM EST reply actions   0 recs

Louie

Why don’t you worry about your own team? Rivera and Posada are another year older and coming off shoulder surgery. Damon and Matsui are old and breaking down. How are the Yanks going to replace Abreu’s and Giambi’s production (and don’t tell me with Nady and Swisher because those players aren’t as good offensively—and their defense isn’t good enough to offset the offensive deficit). Jeter is clearly in decline.

If you want to talk about fragile pitching, how about Phil Hughes and Joba Chamberlain? The latter is a huge injury risk, and was hurt in college. But, even if both are healthy, they’ll be capped out so they’re unlikely to throw many innings. If the Yanks don’t get Sabathia they’re in trouble. AJ Burnett won’t throw 200 innings and Lowe will get lit up in the AL. The Yankee defense is so bad that a rotation that has both Lowe and Wang will be a crap shoot, as both are contact pitchers.

For a Yankee fan, I find it strange that you post here far more than you do on Pinstripe Alley.

I gotta go 'cause I'm probably definitely gonna nod out again.

by Drugs Delaney on Dec 2, 2008 9:29 AM EST up reply actions   0 recs

I live in Mass

I listen to the drivel all day, I pay you back at night. It works out nice Drugadoodles.

I see things you don't see.

by LouieTheLip on Dec 4, 2008 4:13 AM EST up reply actions   0 recs

Can't you just listen to music?

Clutch: A measurement of how much better or worse a player does in high leverage situations than he would have done in a context neutral environment. http://www.fangraphs.com/blogs/index.php/glossary/

by bs.uf15bosox9bears23 on Dec 4, 2008 5:58 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

I can...

…hang out with your sister. Set it up!!

I see things you don't see.

by LouieTheLip on Dec 4, 2008 7:36 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

Pedophile.

She’s 13.

Clutch: A measurement of how much better or worse a player does in high leverage situations than he would have done in a context neutral environment. http://www.fangraphs.com/blogs/index.php/glossary/

by bs.uf15bosox9bears23 on Dec 4, 2008 8:46 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

We don't "only remember 2007"

But with the way he pitched that year and in the playoffs, he has basically gotten a free pass from Sox fans. That’s what happens when you carry a team to a World Series win. You guys do the same for your players that brought you championships. I doubt a Yanks fan would bring up Tino Martinez’s 2000 season when he had an OPS+ of 89. He helped you guys win titles and thats what matters. Its the same thing with Beckett for the Sox. Not to mention that he was pretty good this year, and pitched some great games in the playoffs considering how injured he was.

by BTLove on Dec 2, 2008 2:47 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

I Hope You Do Remember 2007

It was the only time in 12 years that you won the AL east division. The Rays have been around for 10 years and in that time have won as many. I thought dynasty’s dominated. I thought dynasty’s won divisions. What the Red Sox are is wildcard wonders. That is all

I see things you don't see.

by LouieTheLip on Dec 4, 2008 4:20 AM EST up reply actions   0 recs

"Dynasty"

While I don’t like that term, you can’t deny that the Red Sox have been (overall) the best team in baseball over the past five years and will probably continue to be in the near future.

by Schulz on Dec 4, 2008 12:12 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

I agree

Best team in baseball over the last 5 years. I would also say it wasn’t domination or as clear cut as you might think. In 2004 the Yankees were the better team most of the year. In 2005 you finished in third place. Yes you’ll continue to be good but continue to be the best in baseball, well let’s see how the off season goes.

You would also have to admit the Yankees are a big reason for your success. The Yankees kicking your asses for 100 years has been your biggest motivation and learning to open the wallets became a must.

I see things you don't see.

by LouieTheLip on Dec 4, 2008 7:35 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

86 not 100.

And we got to the WS plenty of times during that period.

Clutch: A measurement of how much better or worse a player does in high leverage situations than he would have done in a context neutral environment. http://www.fangraphs.com/blogs/index.php/glossary/

by bs.uf15bosox9bears23 on Dec 4, 2008 8:47 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

No definitely not domination.

The Yankees 4 WS victories in 5 years, that was domination. But the Sox have definitely been the best in these past five years- not by much, but the best. I predicted that they will maintain this status by the way they have integrated young development into their philosophy as an organization, which locks up talent for a long time (see Pedroia, Dustin) and allows them to sign free agents (Teixeira? I’m crossing my fingers).

by Schulz on Dec 4, 2008 9:24 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

We aren't a dynasty in my eyes.

We need to win 3 more championships in the next 5-6 years before I would start thinking of us as a dynasty. 5 Championships in 10 years.

Clutch: A measurement of how much better or worse a player does in high leverage situations than he would have done in a context neutral environment. http://www.fangraphs.com/blogs/index.php/glossary/

by bs.uf15bosox9bears23 on Dec 4, 2008 4:21 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

Blah, blah, blah...

ERA proves nothing. Win-Loss record also proves nothing. He did pretty well in 06, just gave up too many homers. He slipped a little this past year, but I expect him to pick up where he left off in 2007 this year.

Clutch: A measurement of how much better or worse a player does in high leverage situations than he would have done in a context neutral environment. http://www.fangraphs.com/blogs/index.php/glossary/

by bs.uf15bosox9bears23 on Dec 3, 2008 4:46 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

ERA proves nothing??

What are you smoking. ERA is the bottom line my friend, it’s the bottom line and the FIRST THING you look at when determining domination. Remember Pedro and his 2.20 that’s domination. Becket is real good.

I see things you don't see.

by LouieTheLip on Dec 4, 2008 4:29 AM EST reply actions   0 recs

Ugh...
In modern baseball, Sabermetrics uses several defense independent pitching statistics including a defense-Independent ERA in an attempt to measure a pitcher’s ability regardless of factors outside his control. Further, because of the dependence of ERA on factors over which a pitcher has little control, forecasting future ERAs on the basis of the past ERAs of a given pitcher is not very reliable and can be improved if analysts rely on other performance indicators such as strike out rates and walk rates. For example, this is the premise of Nate Silver’s forecasts of ERAs using his PECOTA system.1 Silver also developed a “quick” earned run average (QuikERA or QERA) to calculate an ERA from peripheral statistics including strikeouts, walks, and groundball percentage. Unlike Peripheral ERA, it does not take into account park effects.

From http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Earned_run_average#Sabermetric_treatment_of_ERA

Clutch: A measurement of how much better or worse a player does in high leverage situations than he would have done in a context neutral environment. http://www.fangraphs.com/blogs/index.php/glossary/

by bs.uf15bosox9bears23 on Dec 4, 2008 4:26 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

I guess....

…i’ll leave the stats to you. I’ll use my eyes and Beckett does not scare people. When Pedro was on the mound you needed 3 runs to win. With Beckett you feel like you’ll need 5. The object is to hold the other team from scoring runs BECKETT DOESN’T ALWAYS DO THAT,…HENCE 4.10 AL ERA. He had ONE dominant season. You act like he’s a lock for a great season and history suggests he’s been injury prone and inconsistent.

I see things you don't see.

by LouieTheLip on Dec 4, 2008 7:29 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

I don't think anyone is claiming he is Pedro

Pedro’s 5 or so years in Boston was probably the most dominant stretch of pitching in the history of the game. Beckett is not Pedro, no one is. His top comp at baseballreference is Kevin Millwood. So yes hes closer to John Lackey and Kevin Millwood than Pedro or Roger. Andy Pettite is probably a good comp in Yankee language. The biggest difference though, is that he has been absolutely unreal in the playoffs. Even counting this year when he was injured, he put in some games that were incredible considering. You guys will always have your playoff heroes and we have ours. Josh Beckett is one of them.

In terms of the stats, yes preventing other teams from scoring runs is the point, but the pitcher is not in control of everything. There are fielders too and they move around and make plays (or for the MFY, don’t make plays). There’s also something called luck. It plays a role. The pitcher can only do so much.

by BTLove on Dec 4, 2008 8:37 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

He's a lock.

If you want, we can bet on it.

Clutch: A measurement of how much better or worse a player does in high leverage situations than he would have done in a context neutral environment. http://www.fangraphs.com/blogs/index.php/glossary/

by bs.uf15bosox9bears23 on Dec 4, 2008 8:48 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

Eh

not if he gets injured again, which is a very real possibility.

by Schulz on Dec 4, 2008 9:30 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

BAD FAN!!

Clutch: A measurement of how much better or worse a player does in high leverage situations than he would have done in a context neutral environment. http://www.fangraphs.com/blogs/index.php/glossary/

by bs.uf15bosox9bears23 on Dec 5, 2008 6:36 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

ERA is hardly the bottom line...

…when you have a pitcher like Dice-K getting a 2.9 ERA but loading the bases like it’s going out of style. A lot of ERA has to do with luck, his teams defense and not to mention the subjectivity of a score keeper giving out hits and errors. I am by no means a baseball stat genius, but even I know you need to look beyond ERA and Wins and Loses to determine how well a pitcher is doing. I like the majority of the people on this site, still think Beckett has a lot left in the tank, and I can overlook 2008’s less-“dominate” season because like Schilling in the past, Beckett poured everything he had into the previous year to get us a championship. That’s why it is sometimes overlooked.

Homer: Kids, you tried your best and you failed miserably. The lesson is, never try.

by DougieWentDeep on Dec 4, 2008 1:34 PM EST reply actions   0 recs

Thank you sir.

Louie, learn from him.

Clutch: A measurement of how much better or worse a player does in high leverage situations than he would have done in a context neutral environment. http://www.fangraphs.com/blogs/index.php/glossary/

by bs.uf15bosox9bears23 on Dec 4, 2008 4:28 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

I kew you would use Dice K

He was an anomaly and you know it. He walked a tight rope all year. Usually walks lead to runs but dice k danced through rain drops all year. I never seen anything like it and neither have you. ERA is always an indicator of how the season is going.

I see things you don't see.

by LouieTheLip on Dec 4, 2008 7:14 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

Its an indicator of how many runs have crossed the plate...

this is not entirely due to the pitcher. The fact that you don’t understand the limitations of ERA in evaluating a pitcher, and predicting his future performance, simply shows how little you understand baseball. There are many stats that more accurately predict future ERA’s than past ERA’s.

by BTLove on Dec 4, 2008 8:40 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

THANK YOU!!!

Clutch: A measurement of how much better or worse a player does in high leverage situations than he would have done in a context neutral environment. http://www.fangraphs.com/blogs/index.php/glossary/

by bs.uf15bosox9bears23 on Dec 4, 2008 8:49 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

Actually

….all i have to do is watch him pitch. You can make the numbers do anything. Dominant pitchers are easy to spot. Beckett is up and down and Beckett has also been in and out. Beckett has had times where you knew he was going to give up 5, you just knew it. I have seen the greats and numbers aren’t everything. Take a guy like Mike Mussina who never dominated but won 18 plus games 6 different times. That’s 1 out of every 3 seasons he pitched. One third of his career he won 18 plus. Beckett has pitched for 7 seasons and has won 18 plus ONCE. It’s not like he hasn’t pitched on great teams. He does not dominate the American League at all, and I could care less how it happens but he gives up an average of 4 runs per game over the last 3 years in the AL. Plus I HAVE EYES. I watch a lot of baseball. Beckett does not worry people. When he’s in a groove he is intimidating. That groove comes and goes.He had one masterful season and played out of his mind in the post season. Also he played for the best offensive team of that year. He had 5 runs per game in run support. He has had playoff success and playoff failures as well. He would have to win 18 plus games per season for 5 of the next 10 seasons to do what Mussina did. Just a little perspective on how Josh Beckett’s seasons are actually going.

I see things you don't see.

by LouieTheLip on Dec 5, 2008 8:57 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

You know hoe people were criticizing you for relying on ERA,

well wins is a lot worse. Definitely the worst stat in baseball. Just look at Mussina, he won less games when he was a better pitcher (his years with the O’s). A lot of fans don’t get why ERA isn limited, but almost everyone understands why wins are a terrible stat. Even the cy young voters have figured that out.

by BTLove on Dec 5, 2008 9:57 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

Are you just now picking up on why I call him a pinata?

He doesn’t think, he doesn’t know baseball, he’s fun to hit, he’s colorful.

He’s basically a giant cardboard cylindrical box covered with Yankee logos, that has a speaker inside it. Not sure about the candy.

Clutch: A measurement of how much better or worse a player does in high leverage situations than he would have done in a context neutral environment. http://www.fangraphs.com/blogs/index.php/glossary/

by bs.uf15bosox9bears23 on Dec 6, 2008 8:56 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

His playoff failures came on a bum arm.

Prior to this season, he was was otherworldly in the postseason.

Even with this fall’s craptacular showing, he’s still 7-1 with a 2.90 era in his postseason career, versus Moose’s 7-9, 3.42.

Manny ain't the only bad man.

by tommy.otm on Dec 6, 2008 2:52 AM EST up reply actions   0 recs

how do you know

that moose didn’t pitch hurt?? You Don’t! injuries are part of everyone’s history. Some would say Beckett hurt his team for even trying. Schilling pitched hurt and GOT THE JOB DONE. Big difference. He didn’t step up,…..PERIOD!!

I see things you don't see.

by LouieTheLip on Dec 8, 2008 1:10 AM EST up reply actions   0 recs

Umm... he pitched pretty damn well in our eyes.

So step off.

Clutch: A measurement of how much better or worse a player does in high leverage situations than he would have done in a context neutral environment. http://www.fangraphs.com/blogs/index.php/glossary/

by bs.uf15bosox9bears23 on Dec 8, 2008 5:37 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

Bipolar?

Becket is real good.

Before the season started Beckett was the best pitcher in the league,….if you listened to Boston fans you would think they found another “Rocket”. The fact is that Beckett has spent 3 seasons with Boston now and 2 of those seasons have been sub par.

You said both of these things, Louie.

Well, I will appreciate for you to keep my zingers out of your mouth!

by BoSox415 on Dec 4, 2008 6:02 PM EST reply actions   0 recs

and....

he is good, and I weigh ALL the factors. Adjusting to a new league in 2006, injuries in 2008 post season dominance with Marlins and Sox. I weigh it all and come to the conclusion that Beckett is one of the better pitchers in the AL. he’s no Pedro, he’s no Rocket, he’s no Big Unit. Injuries will shorten his career and the hall of fame is a Looooooong shot. He’s damn good and that is all!!!

I see things you don't see.

by LouieTheLip on Dec 4, 2008 7:19 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

Still sounds like you are flipping back and forth.

Clutch: A measurement of how much better or worse a player does in high leverage situations than he would have done in a context neutral environment. http://www.fangraphs.com/blogs/index.php/glossary/

by bs.uf15bosox9bears23 on Dec 4, 2008 8:50 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

you always miss the point

It’s when you go over board that I step in. He’s not DOMINANT. He’s not a lock for 18 wins, or for 200 innings or for playoff superiority, he’s not a lock to hold his opponent to two runs and there are a bunch of pitchers I would personally rather have. Lester being one of those guys. Santana, Peavy, Liriano, C.C. Lincecum, Lackey. Halladay, Hamels, Haren just to name a few.

I see things you don't see.

by LouieTheLip on Dec 5, 2008 9:05 PM EST reply actions   0 recs

So you think Beckett is injury prone and inconsistent, but you’d rather have Liriano?

by BTLove on Dec 5, 2008 9:58 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

yea,

those other examples I can understand. Liriano does not make sense

by Schulz on Dec 5, 2008 10:07 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

you wouldn't

He blew out his elbow but he hasn’t been injury prone. Beckett has had issues with several body parts

I see things you don't see.

by LouieTheLip on Dec 8, 2008 1:11 AM EST up reply actions   0 recs

Elbow issues mucho important than a few twinges in your side.

Clutch: A measurement of how much better or worse a player does in high leverage situations than he would have done in a context neutral environment. http://www.fangraphs.com/blogs/index.php/glossary/

by bs.uf15bosox9bears23 on Dec 8, 2008 5:37 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

Lackey?

One standout year in a weak division.

Haren has had two good years in weak divisions.

Beckett’s money. Not the best in baseball (Santana), or even the division (Halladay), but better than anyone the Yankees have thrown out there for quite some time.

Manny ain't the only bad man.

by tommy.otm on Dec 6, 2008 2:56 AM EST up reply actions   0 recs

Listen

I’d rather have Beckett but you can make a case for a lot of guys. he is the biggest bargain, that’s for sure

I see things you don't see.

by LouieTheLip on Dec 8, 2008 1:14 AM EST up reply actions   0 recs

You alwaOMFG be quiet.

"Are you a real doctor, or a doctor like Dr. Pepper is a doctor?"

by Allen Chace on Dec 6, 2008 5:24 AM EST up reply actions   0 recs

You're a mod.

Ban this fool.

"It's just a tiny little nick, but it hurts when I get champagne in there."
- Jason Bay, on getting spiked scoring the winning run in ALDS Game Four.

by 0157H7 on Dec 6, 2008 7:55 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

The thing about this thread...

is that I’m pretty sure LouieTheLip agrees with most of us about Beckett. He’s not dominant the way Pedro or Roger were, but he’s damn good. One of the better pitchers in the league and has dominated in the playoffs more than once. Your problem Louie, is that you will say anything to get a rise out of us. I mean, someone who discusses baseball on the internet, but points to wins as an important stat? Someone who claims Beckett is no good because, “he’s not a lock to hold his opponent to two runs.” What standard is this? No logical human being would ever make these arguments in seriousness, much less spend time and effort trying to justify them. Its obvious his entire intention is to piss people off.

by BTLove on Dec 8, 2008 1:38 AM EST reply actions   0 recs

Rec

I gotta go 'cause I'm probably definitely gonna nod out again.

by Drugs Delaney on Dec 8, 2008 9:01 AM EST up reply actions   0 recs

Can't breathe...

Clutch: A measurement of how much better or worse a player does in high leverage situations than he would have done in a context neutral environment. http://www.fangraphs.com/blogs/index.php/glossary/

by bs.uf15bosox9bears23 on Dec 8, 2008 5:38 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

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