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ALDS Preview: Red Sox v. Angels

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via cache.boston.com

One game out of nine. That's it.

The Red Sox's record against the Angels this season is not something to gloat about. In nine match-ups, the Sox walked away with only one victory and that just happened to be their first game. It was an unlikely win at that: Jacoby Ellsbury homered twice, David Pauley earned the start (one of his two this season) and Mike Timlin earned the win.

It wasn't exactly how it would be drawn up.

But after that is when the slide began. Seven consecutive losses to the Halos did not help the Sox prove that they were playoff worthy. Of course, you have to beat the good teams to win the World Series, right? It was obvious early that the Angels were contenders in the weak American League West but the Sox didn't know their number.

However, it's a different animal now. The Red Sox, who have one two of the last four World Series, have proven to be a different team come the playoffs. And the Angels? They are the opposite: since 2002 (when they actually won the World Series), the Angels have won just four of 16 playoff games and have been swept out of the playoffs twice. They only advanced past the ALDS once and that was against the Yankees in 2005.

So how will it play out this year?

Here are the match-ups for the first three games of the series:

GAME 1: JON LESTER (BOS) @ JOHN LACKEY (LAA), WED.
It's ace versus ace. The Red Sox would have liked to pitch Josh Beckett here, but a recent oblique injury has pushed his start back until game No. 3. Still, Lester has been the Sox's ace the entire 2008 season so he might as well get the nod tonight. Lackey is one of the best pitchers in the game but has a lifetime 5.54 ERA against the Sox. This season he fared better against Boston, but his splits suggest he'd rather be pitching on the road (4.29 ERA on the road, 3.23 at home). This one is likely to be a pitcher's duel.

GAME 2: DAISUKE MATSUZAKA (BOS) @ ERVIN SANTANA (LAA), FRI.
Here's a toss up. Matsuzaka might pitch better than usual because the Angels aren't a patient team and we know how he likes to walk a batter now and then (understatement?). This is a home/away match-up that works for the Sox: Santana at home has a 4+ ERA. Matsuzaka on the road has a 2.37 ERA. If the Angels aren't patient, this one could go the Sox's way.

GAME 3: JOE SAUNDERS (LAA) @ JOSH BECKETT (BOS), SUN.
Don't shoot the messenger, but something tells me that Beckett won't be able to start this game. No hard facts here, but I just have that feeling. If Beckett can't start, it'll be a hard game for the Sox to win. Saunders hasn't been the best pitcher in the Halos' rotation but he is a left-handed pitcher and we know what kind of trouble that could give the Sox. Beckett, though, is the best post-season pitcher in baseball today. If he gets on the field healthy, maybe nothing can stop him.

Games four and five, if necessary, will take place Sunday and Monday.

The waiting is all over now. All we can do is watch some baseball and hope for the best. And, like we know, the post-season is a new season: One out of eight? Doesn't matter anymore.

Go Sox!

Poll
How will the ALDS between the Red Sox and Angels turn out?
Red Sox in 3
23 votes
Red Sox in 4
105 votes
Red Sox in 5
43 votes
Angels in 3
15 votes
Angels in 4
36 votes
Angels in 5
25 votes

247 votes | Poll has closed

0 recs  |  Comment 13 comments |

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sounds crazy...

but i really believe advantage red sox…

they have a better def. efficiency than anaheim and frankly i think their starting pitching can go toe to toe with anaheim.

plus, even if you lose 1 and 2 you come back with beckett at home and lester in game 4 on regular rest.

scioscia will sac-bunt his way right out of the series

by EWS1532 on Oct 1, 2008 10:54 AM EDT reply actions   0 recs

Lineup

I think a lot of people are underestimating the Angels’ lineup. Unless I’m mistaken, it looks something like this:
1. Figgins 3B
2. Anderson OF
3. Teixeira 1B
4. Vladdy DH
5. Hunter OF
6. Kendrick 2B
7. Matthews Jr. OF
8. Napoli C
9. Aybar SS

Pretty formidable. That lineup has the ability to do serious damage to our pitching staff- especially our bullpen which has been inconsistent.

by Schulz on Oct 1, 2008 3:27 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

I think this is worth re-posting:
MLB Team 2008 Average .264/.333/.416/.749
Angels 2008 Team Average 268/.330/.413/.743

Thanks drabidea.

"You know you're having a bad day when the fifth inning rolls around and they drag the warning track." - Mike Flanagan, Baltimore Orioles pitcher, 1992.

by SoxDevil on Oct 1, 2008 4:12 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

FYI - it was 1 game out of 9

Angels won the season series 8-1, but that’s all in the past now.

like you mentioned, the Angels have to deal with a different monkey with respect to a Red Sox playoff squad (not many happy memories there). However, I think it would be a bit naive to consider this Hålo team just like those of the past – new weapons (Tex, Hunter, etc.), players maturing (Santana, Kendrick), and some guys feeling healthy and showing it (most notably Anderson, but also Vlad, and dare I say it, even Gary Matthews Jr. as of late).

but of course that’s all to be proven on the field and 8-1 from April through September won’t buy us a victory in October, but it might at least give some confidence to get there.

here’s to a great series.

load the spaceship with the rocket fuel... load it with the warriors...

by gdog009 on Oct 1, 2008 11:23 AM EDT reply actions   0 recs

Fixed. Thanks.

It’s not the same team and neither are the Sox, but history does play a factor. I was looking at tonight’s lineup for the Angels — eek. Scary stuff with Tex in the middle…

by Randy Booth on Oct 1, 2008 11:52 AM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

indeed - Sox not the same either

I for one am glad we don’t have to deal with Manny -our nemesis over recent years, though Papi has had our number on occasion as well.

It was even good this year to only deal with mini-Manny (or half-Manny or whatever you want to call him when he was dogging it…) whatever side you may take, that was pretty ridiculous how poor his effort was particularly in those games in the two series post All-Star break.

I gotta say though, I got quite a chuckle out of the disaster in left when Manny crawled toward and rolled-over on the ball and then seeing Theo’s reaction. so at least I got that going for me, which is nice.

load the spaceship with the rocket fuel... load it with the warriors...

by gdog009 on Oct 1, 2008 1:19 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

haha

nice groundhog day reference :P

by Schulz on Oct 1, 2008 3:09 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

The big game of the series is the first one

For whatever reason, I really think we can take the one with Dice-K on the mound. So if Lester can give us a strong game, we can come back from LA up 2-0. I know it’s not very likely and all, but it could happen.

Mother---- him and John Wayne!

by MerryGoByeBye on Oct 1, 2008 1:10 PM EDT reply actions   0 recs

Go Sox

Sox could finish this quick….you guys usually own lackey and lester has been amazing….and if dice K avoids being wild i think they will get to santana n bam theres a 2 game lead already and game 3….Beckett….nuff said

Lets Go Silver n Black!!

by TuLoRocks2008 on Oct 1, 2008 2:24 PM EDT reply actions   0 recs

dice k

i think dice-k’s wild ways will play in our favor. the angels are a free-swinging club, and with matsuzaka nibbling at the corners, i predict a lot of swinging Ks

by Schulz on Oct 1, 2008 3:11 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

One point of dissention
RHF, HH:. Who do you take for Game 3 if Beckett cannot start and why?
RB, OTM: It has to be Tim Wakefield. Wakefield is hit or miss, but he is a big game pitcher. Paul Byrd has been solid since coming over from the Tribe, but I’d rather see Wakefield in that situation. Even if Wakefield is having an average day with the knuckleball, it still be good enough. If Wakefield faulters early though, Byrd would most likely see action.

I actually think Paul Byrd is the better choice for Game 3 if Beckett can’t go. Byrd has been decent in the post-season, though not exceptional. Last year, he scattered 6 hits and 2 runs over 5 IP.

"You know you're having a bad day when the fifth inning rolls around and they drag the warning track." - Mike Flanagan, Baltimore Orioles pitcher, 1992.

by SoxDevil on Oct 1, 2008 3:04 PM EDT reply actions   0 recs

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