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What Do We Have Left In The Fridge? Pitcher Edition.

Believe it or not, there are FAs who were apparently less desirable than Joel Pineiro.  Some of whom are still on the market.  Some of them might be a longshot, but I thought, hmm, Joel Pineiro is probably a longshot, at least earlier in the week I did.

So what's left?  Who's left?  And can any of them help the Sox, hopefully on mL-NRI contracts, unlike say this contract, for example.

"Pitchers", so to speak.

Dustin Hermanson

Am I the first person in the offseason, blogging, non-blogging, or otherwise to think of him?  We're running an open contest to be the closer(all entries must be received by the second week of February), why not someone who has actually been a full-time closer before?  I initially was concerned about the fact that Hermanson is considered a type A FA, but the White Sox didn't offer him arbitration anyway.

Chances he signs with us: 65%

Dan Kolb

Just re-read everything I said about Hermanson.  Kolb has closing experience, and should come pretty cheaply.  I think Hermanson is a surer bet to be a decent arm out of the bullpen either way.

Chances he signs with us: 40%

Kent Mercker

I honestly think that if Okajima had not been signed, Mercker might have been signed by the Sox already.  He's type B, so we wouldn't be giving the Reds the delicious hero sandwich pick with mustard they would receive.  However, Romero's signing might fill our LHRP reclamation project quota.  Mercker's been a pretty successful reliever the last few seasons, though he did have elbow reconstructive surgery towards the end of last season.

Chances he signs with us: 25%

Willie Eyre

I'm not serious about this one, trust me.  I do think it's important to check his stats last season, and realize that even in Minnesota's excellent bullpen last year, this absolute scrub finished 20 games.  ...automatically vesting options...yikes.  If Pineiro stinks, I'm sure that they'll watch his GF totals closely, but still.

Chances he signs with us: -12,000%

Star-divide

Chan Ho Park

No, I'm not Scott Boras trying to sell this idea.  I will readily admit that his pitching splits for his MLB career aren't exactly inspiring for this possibility.  However, he was pretty successful as a closer during the WBC, an incredibly small sample size.

Chances he signs with us: 10%

Jorge Sosa

This has been said about Sosa ad nauseum, but he always seems incredibly adept at working out of jams.  This also means he's incredibly adept at working into jams.  Nonetheless, he's a guy with an arm and a pulse.  Check out his splits as a reliever...absolutely not pretty.  He's shown flashes though, and I'm guessing mL-NRI is the best he gets from anyone, though the Nationals could get involved, since they'll have -2 starters to begin the season.

Chances he signs with us: 15%

Scott Schoeneweis

Another guy I might've expected to be signed had Okajima and Romero not already signed.  Schoeneweis has had some decent success out of the bullpen as a lefty reliever.  I seem to remember there being some kind of non-baseball-related controversy involving him.  Anyone remember that?  

Chances he signs with us: 10%

Some final notes:

  • I deliberately chose almost all RP options.  Between Lester, Hansack, Tavarez, Gabbard, Pauley, etc, we have enough options to cover starts in the event of injuries.  However, that doesn't mean I'd be opposed to stashing Jerome Williams in Pawtucket in the hopes he can fulfill some of his promise.
  • These aren't guys we should be counting on in any way.  Some of them (the LH in particular), I think would be great in simply pushing some of the other pitchers to better performance.
  • I'm thinking about heading down to Spring Training to audition for the closer role myself.  I'm sure anyone who wants to try starting games for the Nationals probably wouldn't be turned away immediately either.
  • I used ESPN's FA Tracker to an extreme degree.  These were the names on there that I came up with as being possibilities.  If anyone thinks I overlooked anyone who could be as useful/more useful than the above, please correct me.  Eddie Guardado comes to mind, but he looked absolutely cooked during his time in Seattle last season.
  • Help us Bryce Cox and Edgar Martinez, you're our only hope(s).

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Re: What Do We Have Left In The Fridge? Pitcher Ed
Another big plus about Hermanson is that he has actually pitched in Boston before. It wasn't much, but for 14 innings in 2002, he has a Boston Red Sox at Fenway Park. That's certainly an added advantage.

by Randy Booth on Jan 6, 2007 7:50 PM EST reply actions  

Hermanson
was topping out at about 87 last year. His 'fastball' was sitting at 85.

He hasn't pitched in back-to-back games since September of '05, and was limitted for much of the second half of '05 including missing much of the playoffs (He was ineffective in his only appearance.)

He has recurring back injuries such that the only fix (fusing discs) will end his career. He elected not to have the surgery. He was unable to pick up his newborn last off-season because he was in so much pain.

Need I go on?

by The Cheat @ Over the Monster on Jan 6, 2007 8:21 PM EST reply actions  

Re: Hermanson
The Cheat:  I honestly did not know about all that.  He wasn't someone I was touting neccessarily to be "the" guy.  But wow.  

According to this scouting report, he pretty much relies on his fastball and a decent slider.  If he can't hit higher than 87, I suppose he's probably done.

"Sorry? Sorry doesn't cut it Melissa, I want an apology."-Jason Penopolis, Home Movies

by Allen Chace on Jan 6, 2007 10:37 PM EST up reply actions  

Dan Kolb.
As a Braves fan, just reading the name "Dan Kolb" makes my stomach turn and my head hurt; trust me, you don't want to go in that direction.  I mean, even with the mess that we called a bullpen in Atlanta last season, not once did I think to myself "gosh, I wish we still had that Dan Kolb around".  Honestly, signing Dan Kolb to compete for your closer's role (or for any reason at all, really) makes as much sense as trading actual players for Jose Vidro... to play DH... while you pick up most of the tab... I think you get my meaning.  

I still don't know why the Red Sox are moving Papelbon out fo the closer's role without a solid replacement already in place.  I mean, it's not like they lack potential starters; why are they forcing things now???

by ejruiz @ Over the Monster on Jan 6, 2007 8:26 PM EST reply actions  

Re: Dan Kolb.
One thing about Papelbon is that they don't want so much stress on his shoulder. He had surgery last year, and they believe if they move him to the rotation it will take pressure off his shoulder. If it means Paps is off the disabled list, then I'm all for it.

by Randy Booth on Jan 6, 2007 8:48 PM EST up reply actions  

Re: Dan Kolb.
Well, I certainly agree re: Vidro.  I still think that signing Kolb to a mL + NRI contract is pretty much a no-risk/medium-low reward-type signing.  He probably can't recapture the magic, but he'd be worth a try at that price.
"Sorry? Sorry doesn't cut it Melissa, I want an apology."-Jason Penopolis, Home Movies

by Allen Chace on Jan 6, 2007 10:39 PM EST up reply actions  

Re: Dan Kolb
The only magic Kolb had in Milwaukee that year was the magic of good luck and the smoke and mirrors factor of closing.  His strikeouts and WHIP are simply unthinkable for a closer.  Looking around for vets with expeience, one would much more quickly consider available arms such as 'Mike Timlin,' 'Julian Tavarez,' 'Brendan Donnelly, 'J.C.Romero,' 'Curt Schilling' and 'Tim Wakefield.'  I'd take all of them over the names on this list.  We're the ones who grouse about Seanez signings, aren't we?

I was a house painter for years.  I learned early on that you might become a truly great housepainter, but if you were decent, clean and thorough the homeowners considered you a great painter regardless. I feel the same about closing.  Yes, there are some true greats. But for every Rivera there's an Isringhausen. Say what you will, he's just not that special.  Heck, we all saw the huggable Lee Smith and we all know he doesn't belong in the Hall of Fame.  But that did't stop him from leading the world in saves.  Jeff Reardon and, dear God, Jeff Russell, went to all star games. We all know they weren't very talented.  

I say we just name the closer and then back him up big time.  I honestly don't care if its Pineiro, Hansack or Timmy Wakefield.  Okay, I don't want it to be Wakefield.  Or Tavarez or Schilling. My pick is Delcarmen.  The guy has a lot more guts right now than Hanson.  

by alfredoz on Jan 7, 2007 12:56 AM EST reply actions  

Re: Dan Kolb
I like your last statement. Let's name a closer as quickly as possible and put him through the fire. I'm leaning towards Hansen or Delcarmen, but we'll see come March (it's soooo close!).

I think Hansen is going to come into spring throwing smoke and dominating competition. He's my pick and I think we should stick with him.

by Randy Booth on Jan 7, 2007 1:20 AM EST up reply actions  

Re: Dan Kolb
I think that Hansen relied a bit too much on pure heat when he came up at first. When he saw how easily MLB hitters mashed a 98mph 4-seamer down the middle, I think he lost some confidence.

Hansen needs to throw with movement, so a 93-95mph 2-seamer would be a better pitch in the majors. If he can throw that with confidence, I'll cast my vote for Hansen right now.

"You know you're having a bad day when the fifth inning rolls around and they drag the warning track." - Mike Flanagan, Baltimore Orioles pitcher, 1992.

by SoxDevil on Jan 8, 2007 9:46 AM EST up reply actions  

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