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Five things to watch in Fenway in 2007

Next month pitchers and catchers report. That's the day when all the colors in the world seem brighter and depression levels in New England drop. Come April, though, there are five things to really watch for in Fenway.

1) Daisuke Matsuzaka
The hot question: Is he worth the money?
There's no doubt about it, Red Sox Nation is going to have some culture shock come February. The biggest news in the sports world will revolve around our number three starter: the Dice Man. Every start will be scrutinized. Every strikeout will be analyzed. Matsuzaka will bring a whole new world to Red Sox Nation and baseball will benefit greatly. If he does well, that $51.1 million will look like nothing. If he struggles, the Red Sox front office will be questioned every day. "The Gun from the Rising Sun" will, hopefully, overshadow all the steroid scandals and shine a bright light onto baseball and the Red Sox.

2) Curt Schilling's final season
The hot question: What kind of numbers will he put up in his last season?
With Matsuzaka all the hype, we haven't talked about our number one starter Curt Schilling. His contract is up after this season and he's said before he's not going to go the Roger Clemens-rout. He's done and there's no question in his mind. How will Schilling perform this year? Is he going to go out with a bang or will he fizzle out behind injuries? If we know anything about Schilling it's that he's a competitor. He doesn't quit and we're not going to see him quit this season. He's going to push the limit. He's going to be extremely fun to watch in what will be his final season (supposably - there's always that 0.01%, right Roger?)

3) Dustin Pedroia
The hot question: Can he be a successful starter in 2007?
Boston hasn't flat out given a starting position to a rookie in recent years. It took Kevin Youkilis two years before he got a starting gig. Pedroia has only 89 major league at-bats but it looks like he'll be our starting second baseman. He's had a great minor league track record but, as we've seen before, that doesn't mean much when you step into the big leagues. Pedroia has earned the faith of a lot in Red Sox Nation and I have a feeling he won't disappoint.

4) The new-look bullpen
The hot question: Will all these acquisitions pan out?
Epstein wanted to revamp the weak bullpen of 2006. He did so by acquiring arms like Brendan Donnelly, J.C. Romero, and Hideki Okajima. He's also reached deep into the back of the closet to sign talent like Runelvys Hernandez and Joel Pineiro, two pitchers who haven't lived up to potential but could serve purposes in the bullpen. Add those names to a bullpen that includes Mike Timlin, Manny Delcarmen, and Julian Tavarez, and we've got the makings of a strong bullpen. If things don't come together and some arms don't bounce back to previous success, we'll have a bullpen full of Rudys. And without a bonafide closer ready to come in the 9th, we could be doomed.

5) Jon Lester
The hot question: Is he healthy?
Last year we learned that Red Sox pitching prospect Jon lester had cancer. But recently doctors said that he was healthy and he's back to pitching. This is great news to Lester, his family, the Red Sox, and us as fans. We care about his health first and foremost but we still want to see if this young pitcher, who has loads and loads of talent, will get back on the mound in Fenway. I think he will, and when he does he'll get the biggest standing ovation in Fenway Park history.

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Re: Five things to watch in Fenway in 2007
I hope Epstein wasn't smoking crack when they are talking about having Joel Pinero as a closer.  

by ReLaunch on Jan 5, 2007 6:54 AM EST reply actions  

6)
Will Wily Mo continue to develop into the masher and more complete player the F.O. thinks he can be.
"You know you're having a bad day when the fifth inning rolls around and they drag the warning track." - Mike Flanagan, Baltimore Orioles pitcher, 1992.

by SoxDevil on Jan 5, 2007 9:44 AM EST reply actions  

I'd like to point out...
... just how diverse the current poll results are. Obviously, there's no clear-cut closer if Papelbon moves to the rotation as we all expect, but there's not even a general consensus on who's next-best.

I voted for Tavarez. He's mean. He's nasty. He's ugly. Perhaps he can build on his late-season success to be a more successful.

"You know you're having a bad day when the fifth inning rolls around and they drag the warning track." - Mike Flanagan, Baltimore Orioles pitcher, 1992.

by SoxDevil on Jan 5, 2007 9:48 AM EST reply actions  

Re: I'd like to point out...
I was actually going to post about the new poll. It's so split! I voted for Hansen, but until today it's been Delcarmen almost every day. It's interesting to see that Hansen and Delcarmen have been right next to each other the whole voting way...

by Randy Booth on Jan 5, 2007 11:35 AM EST up reply actions  

Nice Looking Team Y'All Got!
I must admit that I really like your lineup, rotation, bench and even your bullpen.  It would all look that much better if Papelbon was still the closer and Lester could take his starter's spot (I'm so happy he's healthy again) but it all looks good as is.  I can't pick you ahead of the Yanks just yet, but I'm almost there.  

by ejruiz @ Over the Monster on Jan 5, 2007 3:30 PM EST reply actions  

Re: Nice Looking Team Y'All Got!
As of the moment, the Yanks have three solid starters. Three and a half if you factor in Clemens joining the team at the break. From what I've heard (maybe from Keith Law at ESPN?), Igawa is better suited to the 'pen and may be a bust as a starter.

Sure, they still have a heckuva lineup, but is it enough to overcome 50-plus starts from Igawa/Proctor/"the-ghost-of-Carl-Pavano"/Hughes/Sanchez? Unless Hughes turns into Ron Guidry by May, or Clemens signs on to start the season, or Cashman flips some of his newly amassed minor-league talent for another starter (Dontrelle, anyone?), I think they're committing '07 to rebuild.

I'm not saying the Yanks won't be competitive, but between our starters and our lineup, I like our chances, even with Pin-head (*TM) in the running to be our closer.

by tommy.otm on Jan 5, 2007 4:16 PM EST up reply actions  

Re: Nice Looking Team Y'All Got!
Yup, there are no questions on the Sox rotation.  Will Becket adjust to the AL after last year?  Will Papelbon become a good starter?  How will D-Mat do in the US? Does Schilling have anything left in the tank?  Those are 4 of the Sox starters.  Not saying the Yanks or any other teams don't have ifs', but the Sox have pretty big ones also.  
I do admit though it has the "potential" to be very good.

by ReLaunch on Jan 5, 2007 5:27 PM EST up reply actions  

Re: Nice Looking Team Y'All Got!
Yup, we've got questions too. But I'll take our questions over theirs. On the other hand, I just read this on ESPN -
Of course, it's possible the Yankees' sudden accumulation of young, cheap talent that would be acquired in both the Johnson and Gary Sheffield deals is leading to a mega-swap with the Twins, who've undoubtedly calculated (and fainted at) the cost of keeping Johan Santana after he becomes a free agent in two years. Cashman's army of youngsters might be the escape the Twins would need, given that Barry Zito is now earning $18 million per year.

I don't see it happening, because there are teams that could put together better packages than the Yanks (the Dodgers jump to mind, but the Sox could probably do it too if they'd part with Papelbon). But it is a scary thought.

by tommy.otm on Jan 5, 2007 5:41 PM EST up reply actions  

Re: Nice Looking Team Y'All Got!
Again, thats why I said it before.  Zito's contract is bad for baseball all around.  For a pitcher who at best is a #2 on the decline making 18mil, it really hurts teams like the Twins.  Don't get me wrong, I would love Santana on the Yanks just as you would love him on the Sox.  But there is something not right paying an ace in excess of 22 million a year and only a handful of teams being able to afford them.  Zito is a type of pitcher that at max should have only gotten 14million, at complete max.

by ReLaunch on Jan 5, 2007 7:30 PM EST up reply actions  

Re: Nice Looking Team Y'All Got!
Mark my words: Johan Santana will be the highest paid player in baseball.

by Randy Booth on Jan 5, 2007 10:27 PM EST up reply actions  

Re: Nice Looking Team Y'All Got!
No shit, its just ridulous how much higher the market will be for him when he is a FA.  Not good for baseball.

by ReLaunch on Jan 6, 2007 2:12 AM EST up reply actions  

Re: Nice Looking Team Y'All Got!
There's some old saying appropriate here, and I'm too cliche-weary to bust it out, but the Yankees are the first place team of the East until we take it ourselves.  It's certainly possible with this year's team, but the players they have lost this offseason either contributed very little last season (Sheffield), or were replaceable (RJ).  Can one starter achieve a 5+ ERA with 17 wins and 200 innings like he could?  Maybe not.  But a combination of Karstens, Igawa, Pavano can probably get to those numbers.

That being said, Wang's D will let him down this year, A-Rod will require 3 different shrinks, and Giambi will take enough HGH to make his head explode in a very cartoon-y way...just kidding, maybe.

"Sorry? Sorry doesn't cut it Melissa, I want an apology."-Jason Penopolis, Home Movies

by Allen Chace on Jan 6, 2007 1:55 AM EST up reply actions  

Re: Five things to watch in Fenway in 2007
  1.  I think the answer to this one will be yes.  He seems to have the poise and the talent.  The biggest issue might be the 4 days between starts rather than 5...
  2.  225 IP, 1.30 ERA, 260K, 3 1/2 BB.
  3.  Yes.  Something along the lines of .270/.365/.410 doesn't seem too unrealistic, if his BABIP gets back to 'average'.  I also think he's already the superior defender to Loretta, who probably only surpassed Pedroia defensively in the 'lack of rookie jitters' category.
  4.  Successful BP(bullpen) pitchers: Timlin, Okajima, Donnelly (sort of), Tavarez (sort of), Delcarmen.   Successful BP(batting practice) pitchers: Romero, Pineiro, Hernandez.
  5.  Healthy, yes, and I think he'll be healthy enough to contribute by at least mid-May.  That being said, it could take an injury to a SP for him to see time in the bigs, so unfair though it may be to Lester, I hope he won't mind some more time in Rhode Island.
"Sorry? Sorry doesn't cut it Melissa, I want an apology."-Jason Penopolis, Home Movies

by Allen Chace on Jan 6, 2007 2:11 AM EST reply actions  

Re: Five things to watch in Fenway in 2007
I wish Schilling would do that. If he did, he'd never retire. 3.5 walks? Hmm. I'd like to see that.

by Randy Booth on Jan 6, 2007 12:34 PM EST up reply actions  

Re: Five things to watch in Fenway in 2007
The only thing I can reveal about the .5 walk is that it will involve the Detroit Tigers.
"Sorry? Sorry doesn't cut it Melissa, I want an apology."-Jason Penopolis, Home Movies

by Allen Chace on Jan 7, 2007 12:27 AM EST up reply actions  

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