11/5,6,7 - Curfews,Catching Up, and Traveling
Sorry about the lack of posts for the past few days - apparently, parents don't like realizing that they've raised an insomniac. Posts might be a little further spaced out, but with more links in each edition, depending on how much I can get done before I literally lose my Internet connection on school nights. Hey, that's what you get when a teenager is your news aggregator. Now, with that out of the way, here's the first set of links:
Does Boston's Trade for Jeremy Hermida Mean the End for Jason Bay in Beantown? - Bleacher Report
Though Hermida is by no means a middle-of-the-order slugger, this could very well signal the end of Jason Bay's tenure in Boston. Bay recently shot down a four-year, $60 million offer from the Sox, and his worth will only increase as the offseason wears on.
Among other reasons why Bay might not be returning, but if this sticks out to someone as a red flag of sorts, we'll have to see if they're right.
Marlins Trade Jeremy Hermida To Red Sox: A Sign of Things To Come - Bleacher Report
Due to the economy, these are the types of trades you are going to see this winter. Teams who can’t afford to wait on young players or can’t afford a player’s salary will be forced to trade them to teams who can.
Lots of different spins on this whole deal. Of course, Hermida was also part of another trade the Sox were involved in, or at least an attempt at one:
Let the Offseason Begin: Boston Red Sox Steal Hermida from Florida Marlins - Bleacher Report
That proposal didn’t gain any traction, and Hermida stayed with the Marlins, but despite missing out on his services, Boston remained infatuated with him and his potential, hoping he would someday be part of their quest for a World Series championship.
Totally forgot about the Manny-Marlins rumor. Although, now I do remember seeing a mockup of what Manny would look like in "fishstripes" on a Marlins' broadcast (don't remember why I was watching that). It was amazing how quickly they jumped on that rumor.
Jeremy Hermida: Bust Or Breakout - Bleacher Report
Seems to be more common view of the trade.
Yeah, I know, not much variety so far; it is interesting to see the variety of opinions available from relatively unconnected authors, as opposed to here, where the discussions can help figure out how we should feel about certain issues. After the jump, some more "independent" writing, an important discovery from YWA, and more general Hot Stove linkage.
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According to a baseball source, the Sox had been engaging with the Brewers in on-and-off discussions involving Hardy since the trading deadline, roughly two weeks before Milwaukee sent the struggling shortstop to the minor leagues. Talks continued up until recently, when the Brewers agreed to send Hardy to the Twins for outfielder Carlos Gomez.
According to the same source, Milwaukee wanted either starter Clay Buchholz or reliever Daniel Bard for Hardy. The Sox were not willing to offer either pitcher. Milwaukee was not interested in righthander Michael Bowden, whom the Sox would have been willing to part with, and the Sox did not have a center field prospect who could match Gomez’s skill set.
Twins Acquire J.J. Hardy
The Twins traded Carlos Gomez for the Brewers shorstop earlier today. Hardy, who had seemingly lost his starting position in Milwaukee to upcoming prospect Alcides Escobar, was being tossed around by many as a possible option for the Red Sox next year.
Other options still remain for the Red Sox to either backup Jed Lowrie or platoon with him. Alex Gonzalez would have to give up his starting position and likely have to accept a good deal less than his $6 million option to return. Old friend Alex Cora remains a free agent. And another guy coming off a down season--Mike Aviles--has had his name pop up once or twice.
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Trade Analysis: Huh?mida
After Tuesday's trade with the fabulous floundering fish, the Florida Marlins, the Red Sox have a new outfielder, Jeremy Hermida. This unexpected deal raises the question of what role he'll have on the team.
Hermida was a forner top prospect who has largely disappointed in the bigs. His best year was without doubt 2007: .296 / .369 / .501 (.870 OPS), 18 HR, 32 doubles in 123 games. Unfortunately, Hermida's star has fallen significantly since then, along with his OPS, which was .729 in '08 and .740 this year. Defensively, Hermida is not impressive, with a career -26.7 UZR, mostly in right field. In left, his numbers aren't very impressive, and he's spent almost no time in center.
My initial thought was that the Sox wanted Hermida as a bench player / 4th outfielder or as a piece for a trade. But Theo's remarks yesterday suggest they see something more:
"Hermida is a player who hasn’t fulfilled his potential yet. We acquired him today for a reasonable cost to see if he might be able to fulfill that potential with us. He’s somebody who has positive indicators that future performance might be better than his past performance. His minor-league track record, his age, his draft pedigree, our scouting reports over the year indicate there’s a chance that he can turn into the player he was once thought to be." Source
Maybe the Front Office thinks they can bottle lightning with Hermida. Theo has gambled on high ceiling position players before - think Wily Mo Pena or David Ortiz. Assuming Theo is high on Hermida, hopefully he's still looking at outfielders, because otherwise Hermida is going to be under a lot of pressure to replace Jason Bay's production. Holliday or Bay,or leaving a horse head in Andrew Friedman's bed and grabbing Crawford, should be the Red Sox plan for LF this year.
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"This was not a blockbuster. This was a value trade, a chance to get a guy with unfulfilled potential at a reasonable cost.
"The last two years, there were high expectations that didn’t come together for him. His performance certainly hasn’t been as good the last two years as it was in 2007. I can tell you that’s the reason we were able to acquire him today. Had he maintained that performance or had linear progression from 2007 to today, there’s no way we would have been trading for him, let alone in this kind of a deal.
"Hermida is a player who hasn’t fulfilled his potential yet. We acquired him today for a reasonable cost to see if he might be able to fulfill that potential with us. He’s somebody who has positive indicators that future performance might be better than his past performance. His minor-league track record, his age, his draft pedigree, our scouting reports over the year indicate there’s a chance that he can turn into the player he was once thought to be.
"Certainly this is a good time to acquire him when his value is a little bit low and to see if with a change of scenery he will be able to fulfill his potential.
"He is somebody who had and we feel may still have considerable promise. This is a player who was highly sought after as an amateur. We liked him in the draft.
"He’s about to move into his prime years. Sometimes talented young players who struggle at the big-league level put it all together and sometimes they don’t. We had a chance to acquire one for what we deemed to be a very reasonable cost."
Theo Epstein on Jeremy Hermida.
1 day ago
Randy Booth
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Early Thoughts On Jeremy Hermida Trade
It's been a few hours and the Jeremy Hermida trade is still a head scratcher.
Hermida, who hasn't done much at the MLB level, has potential. That's about all he has. And a $2M+ price tag, but nothing the Sox can't afford. Perhaps Theo Epstein will be using Hermida as an insurance policy if he can't get a better left fielder via free agency. Maybe Theo just plans to use him off the bench. Who really knows?
The Globe's Amalie Benjamin via Twitter on the Hermida trade:
1) Baseball source said #RedSox made the deal bc they got Hermida on the cheap, and there's a chance he performs better than did with FL.
2) Source also said Hermida might not factor into the team in 2010. Appears to be some early insurance for the #RedSox.
So, basically, the beat writers don't know either.
Just looking at the trade right now, let's grade it. To clarify, the Sox get Hermida and the Marlins receive Hunter Jones, a decent left-handed option out of the 'pen, and Jose Alvarez, a young left-handed pitcher.
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Red Sox Trade for Marlins Outfielder Jeremy Hermida
The Red Sox have reportedly acquired Florida Marlins outfielder Jeremy Hermida:
The Boston Red Sox have acquired outfielder Jeremy Hermida from the Florida Marlins for minor-league left-handers Hunter Jones and Jose Alvarez.Hermida hit .258 with 13 home runs with 47 RBIs for the Marlins last season. Florida drafted Hermida as the 11th pick in the first round of the 2002 draft.Jones, 25, was 4-3 with a 4.25 ERA in 36 appearances for Triple-A Pawtucket last season. He had 9.24 ERA in 11 appearances in two major-league stints with the Red Sox.
Interesting move by the Sox here. Hermida could potentially replace Jason Bay in left field, but there would certainly be a drop in numbers between Bay and Hermida. However, Hermida does have a lot of potential -- that's been the word on him for a few years. Could he break out in Boston? Does Theo Epstein think a full-time gig for Hermida could be a cheap cure for left field? It's possible. Or, Hermida will just be a backup outfielder with, potentially, Rocco Baldelli.
We'll have more on this trade soon.
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Community Projections: Y'all Under Estimated Jacoby Ellsbury
It's not an over statement that the Over The Monster community under estimated what Jacoby Ellsbury would do this season.
Nobody was really that close at all. Only one guess was actually over his batting average this season and the closest guess for stolen bases was still 14 off. Rough.
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